Dan Crawford is scheduled to be a referee in tonight’s Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 between the Heat and Celtics in Boston.
Given the fact that the refereeing has been a major topic of discussion in this series, the fact that Crawford will officiate tonight’s game might raise some eyebrows.
Why?
Because if you look at the numbers over the last several postseasons, the Heat seem to perform better in playoff games refereed by Crawford as compared to their other games in the span.
Last year, the fact that the Mavericks had a very poor record in playoff games reffed by Crawford was well-documented on ESPN.com (and other outlets) prior to Game 2 of their series against the Trail Blazers. It should be noted that the Mavs went on to win that game and their next game that Crawford reffed en route to an NBA title.
Heat in Playoffs Since 2004
Dan Crawford games All Others
Heat W-L 13-3 (.813) 48-40 (.545)
vs. Spread 11-4-1 (.719) 41-44-3 (.483)
PPG diff +6.4 +1.6
Foul diff PG -0.3 -0.9
FTA diff PG +1.9 +2.7
In the nine postseasons since 2004 (the “Dwyane Wade era”
, the Heat are 13-3 in playoff games reffed by Dan Crawford and 48-40 in all other playoff games in that span. To control for effects like home/road or playing better/worse opponents, it may be better to look at the expected win-loss for the Heat in those games given the pre-game point spread (betting line) for each game.