THE HOUSE DIVIDE - As of July 4th, 2014
PRETEND
Bomb Squad = Amber, Caleb, Christine, Cody, Derrick, Devin, Frankie, Zach
Non-Bomb Squad = Brittany, Donny, Hayden, Jocasta, Nicole, Pao Pao, Victoria
ACTUAL
Team Anti-Devin = Brittany, Christine, Cody, Derrick, Hayden, Nicole, Victoria, Zach
Team Pro-Devin and/or Puppets = Amber, Caleb, Devin, Donny, Frankie, Jocasta, Pao Pao
I believe the above are pretty much on point. Incidentally, Caleb and Frankie will continue to roost/sleep in the HOH this week.
From the Anti-Devin group, the people most likely to flip and force a 6-6 tie or even a pro-Brittany eviction majority decision, IMO, are Christine, Derrick and Zach.
Derrick was the only one of the 3 actively engaged in the HOH decision making last night so make of that what you will.
From the Pro-Devin group, Donny can be considered somewhat of a soft vote. Jocasta won't keep Brittany over Pao Pao so she's not flexible.
As for POV, I don't expect it to be used this week.
The replacement nominee would be Victoria if either candidate was removed from the block as she is the only non-immune name in black opposite him in both the pretend & actual alliance dynamic.
Pao Pao getting replaced would actually be a problem as it would flip the vote from 7-5 to 6-6 just based on house dynamics.
But it's not likely that Caleb/Devin will suss that out as they're still under the misguided belief that the Bomb Squad is intact and will not evict their precious BotB challenge-sucking anchor.
For what it's worth, however, Devin did promise Pao Pao he would replace her with Victoria if he wins POV tomorrow.
Not sure how much stock I would put into that, though. He also promised Joey he would vote for her and pushed for Donny to go up on the block despite being aligned with him.
Frankie needs to be kept in the dark until post-POV or you can kiss Brittany's life in the game goodbye.
The fact that he's continuing to sleep upstairs should keep Zach/Christine (both of whom have F2 deals with him) in check for now.
