He's gonna win, Aaron, I think it's safe to say.
Too bad this wasn't tied to the presidential election.
I have this theory that the DNC is making a calculation in not supporting WI Dems in the recall effort. The first is that they thought it was unlikely to succeed, and if it did, would yield relatively little for them since the GOP controls the state House. High risk of loss (bye bye $$), low upside benefit.
The other is that they won't mind much if Walker sticks around the rest of his term. He'll be a good foil for Dems, both in the fall and during the midterms when he's up for reelection, which might also help Dem enthusiasm.
I'd like to see some cross tabs on questions about whether a voter approves of Walker's performance, and whether they think he should be recalled. I suspect there are some people who don't like him, but think he should be allowed to finish his term. Wisconsin is staring down the prospect of perpetual recall elections if this keeps up and I imagine many in the state are not thrilled by that prospect. I'm not a fan of recalls, myself. You vote the shithead in, you're stuck with him.