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PoliGAF 2012 Community Thread

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benjipwns

Banned
What the hell is the point of this, then? :mad:
Missouri moved up along with everyone else, but when they tried to move back behind the March firewall to avoid being penalized it got blocked by the State Senate. So they left the primary on the ballot and just made it non-binding and moved the delegate awarding to a caucus.
NBC is calling Minnesota for Santorum.

Is that a winner-take-all for its 55 delegates?
It's up to the conventions.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
LINK



Republicans run on a platform of wasting taxpayers money which is why they are holding this primary.

What the fuck? That sounds so needlessly complex and convoluted that it makes perfect sense given who's putting this together.
 
Romney's going to be about as effective as the Black Knight from Monty Python & the Holy Grail by the time the general election rolls around.

"Oh what are you gonna do, bleed on me?"
 

Mike M

Nick N
It's whatever the State Convention decides.

Technically every single race tonight is non-binding. The straw poll results will not determine the delegate counts.

I knew about MO's binding caucus in March, but when does CO and MN decide forealsies?
 

Averon

Member
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2012/02/that_doesnt_make_sense.php?ref=fpblg

That Doesn’t Make Sense

The word coming from the Mitt campaign is that Missouri doesn’t really matter because there are no delegates there and they didn’t commit time or money. The problem, though, is that Santorum doesn’t really have any time or money to commit there either. And if you’re the frontrunner, the presumed nominee, you get clobbered in a swing state just because you didn’t aggressively campaign there? That’s a very, very low standard. Santorum is clearly leaning hard on evangelicals. And really this isn’t about Santorum. It’s about Romney. Absent crushing spending and a week or so to focus on a single state, Romney seems to have a really rough time. That’s bad, especially in the Midwest where a Republican candidate has to run strong. And especially when he’s faltering in national polls versus President Obama.
 

benjipwns

Banned
I knew about MO's binding caucus in March, but when does CO and MN decide forealsies?
It's like Iowa. The caucuses decide delegates to the local/state conventions which then picks the national delegates. And that decision has nothing to do with the straw poll results. You could have a precinct where it's Santorum 50%, Romney 30%, Paul 15%, Newt 5% in the poll and Newt could still wind up with all the delegates.
 

Chumly

Member
No one would have thought to campaign against Santorum anyway, but my point is more that success is not necessarily predicated on spending lots of money.

But it can be highly correlated with the money. Romney basically bought Florida. I guarantee if he unloaded his money on those states he would be at least closer.
 
I would love to see Santorum take the nominee.

It'd be fun watching him flounder against Obama in debates. I'm sure Santorum were mutter words like "socialist" and "muslim" a good bit.
 
No one would have thought to campaign against Santorum anyway, but my point is more that success is not necessarily predicated on spending lots of money.

I get what your saying, but Newt has been slammed (and harmed) twice now because of Mitt's money. Santorum has yet to be the brunt of it. Lets see if Santorum holds up against what Romney is about to unleash on him
 
Santorum Takes County Romney Won In '08 @ thinkprogress : Santorum wins Adams County outside Denver by 10 points. Romney won Adams by 53 points in 2008. (via @NKingofDC)

cnn with 26% precints, Santorum leads

Santorum 1,851 42% 0
Romney 1,375 31% 0
Gingrich 668 15% 0
Paul 556 12%


CO is coming in fast now, with Santorum ahead (for now).

will romney fire another person if he looses there?
 
But it can be highly correlated with the money. Romney basically bought Florida. I guarantee if he unloaded his money on those states he would be at least closer.
Santorum was pretty thoroughly outspent in Iowa, though. I'm not saying money doesn't matter, just that it's not the exclusive determinant.
 

Brinbe

Member
I get what your saying, but Newt has been slammed (and harmed) twice now because of Mitt's money. Santorum has yet to be the brunt of it. Lets see if Santorum holds up against what Romney is about to unleash on him

It won't work quite the same against Santorum. Only gonna work to piss off conservatives.
 

Matt

Member
Santorum was pretty thoroughly outspent in Iowa, though. I'm not saying money doesn't matter, just that it's not the exclusive determinant.

Actually, we can say this based on the evidence so far: Unless Romney significantly outspends his opponents in a state, he looses it.
 
Santorum was pretty thoroughly outspent in Iowa, though. I'm not saying money doesn't matter, just that it's not the exclusive determinant.

Iowa is always the outlier because it is first and candidates can spend months there shaking hands and kissing babies. You can't do that in other states because there is no time, that's where money and television comes in
 
The problem for Santorum is:

1. MO win means nothing for delegate count
2. MN votes don't decide delegates
3. I believe it is something similar to MN for CO

So, we have to wait till when to find the actual delegate distribution?
 

Ecotic

Member
Yeah splitting the threads totally sucks. I actually thought the splitting of the threads had killed off the poligaf threads through confusion. I kept looking at the off-topic and wondering where'd poligaf go?
 
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