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PoliGAF 2015-2016 |OT3| If someone named PhoenixDark leaves your party, call the cops

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watershed

Banned
If I were the President, I would be calling Trump out by name daily to help reinforce the narrative that he is the inevitable nominee. Rally the right behind Trump.

Obama has already said that it would have been a lot of fun to run against Trump. In many of his speeches to donors(?) Obama has absolutely slayed Trump and the GOP.

Trump has a clear ceiling that begins and ends with a segment of republican voters, and he would be toxic as a general election candidate. I know Obama would destroy him, I'm not familiar with Hillary's approach to Trump though. I think she ridiculed him in one of the debates but outside of that, I can't recall.
 

gaugebozo

Member
I'm sorry. I laughed.
SxwZHoG.gif
(Cruz/Trump thread)
 

Cerium

Member
If I were the President, I would be calling Trump out by name daily to help reinforce the narrative that he is the inevitable nominee. Rally the right behind Trump.

Obama is trying to maintain the dignity of the office. Paying Trump that kind of attention validates him in a sense.
 
Yes, and the LGBT sections of her site show the same lack of color that's been typical of the movement. It's nothing that's actually wrong but just an observation.

I'll never understand this liberal mentality. Hillary's events have been quite diverse, her career has displayed that as well. Why there's this constant demand for constant validation for even the most minor shit is beyond me. But the constant insularity on the left, especially among younger activists, blows my mind.
 
The New Yorker examines the war within the Republican Party: A House Divided
“I used to spend ninety per cent of my constituent response time on people who call, e-mail, or send a letter, such as, ‘I really like this bill, H.R. 123,’ and they really believe in it because they heard about it through one of the groups that they belong to, but their view was based on actual legislation,” Nunes said. “Ten per cent were about ‘Chemtrails from airplanes are poisoning me’ to every other conspiracy theory that’s out there. And that has essentially flipped on its head.” The overwhelming majority of his constituent mail is now about the far-out ideas, and only a small portion is “based on something that is mostly true.” He added, “It’s dramatically changed politics and politicians, and what they’re doing.”

Nunes first heard about the shutdown strategy in 2013 from a caller on a talk-radio show back home in the late summer. “I said, ‘I don’t know where you’re hearing this from, but it doesn’t work,’ ” he told me. Then the idea went viral. “By the time we got back here in September, you had over half the members of our caucus who really believed we could shut the government down and ultimately Obama would repeal Obamacare.”

On Thursday, after the Pope had come and gone in Washington, an event that Boehner, who is Catholic, later described, tearfully, as the highlight of his career, Boehner called Mulvaney, Labrador, and several other Freedom Caucus members to his office. Meadows had filed the motion in a manner such that, at any point, it could be called to the floor—as “a privileged motion”—for a vote. Boehner asked Labrador and the others if they were really going to go forward with the motion to vacate. “Is there any way at all I can get you guys not to vote for this?’’ Boehner asked.

“Mr. Speaker, you know that we didn’t want this motion to be filed,” Labrador said. “But if somebody goes to the floor and does the privileged motion, I think you’re in a worse position today than you were a few months ago.” Labrador told Boehner that Republicans could not win the Presidency if Boehner remained as Speaker, because conservatives wouldn’t be energized.

“You have two choices, Mr. Speaker,” Labrador told Boehner. “Either you change the way you’re running this place, which you have been unwilling to do, or you step down.”

Ryan represents a bridge between Boehner’s generation and the members elected since 2010, and some in the older guard told me they don’t know if Ryan can control Labrador’s faction any better than Boehner could. “The question remains: can we change the underlying political dynamic that brought us to this point?” Charlie Dent, the head of the Tuesday Group, a caucus of fifty-six center-right Republicans, told me. He said that the Republican conference was divided into three groups: seventy to a hundred governing conservatives, who always voted for the imperfect legislation that kept the government running; seventy to eighty “hope yes, vote no” Republicans, who voted against those bills but secretly hoped they would pass; and the forty to sixty members of the rejectionist wing, dominated by the Freedom Caucus, who voted against everything and considered government shutdowns a routine part of negotiating with Obama. “Paul Ryan’s got his work cut out for him to expand the governing wing of the Republican Party,” Dent said. “There shouldn’t be too much accommodation or appeasement of those who are part of the rejectionist wing.”
 
I'll never understand this liberal mentality. Hillary's events have been quite diverse, her career has displayed that as well. Why there's this constant demand for constant validation for even the most minor shit is beyond me. But the constant insularity on the left, especially among younger activists, blows my mind.
I didn't write a think piece on it. I just made a simple comment. There's other significant issues Hillary's had with dog whistles that're much more pressing than this, clearly.
 

The Technomancer

card-carrying scientician
Oh my god I just now realized that Hillary looks almost exactly like a hybrid of my mother and maternal grandmother. She could be my aunt and I wouldn't blink an eye
 

The Technomancer

card-carrying scientician
The New Yorker examines the war within the Republican Party: A House Divided

Labrador then pointed to another chart, which showed that the G.O.P.’s favorable ratings this year dropped from forty-one per cent, in January, to thirty-two per cent, in July. “This is what happens when we do nothing,” he said. “This is the new G.O.P. majority in 2015, when we stand for nothing.” The problem, in his view, was that the Party was “governing,” he said, adding air quotes to the word. “If people just want to ‘govern,’ which means bringing more government, they’re always going to choose the Democrat.”

good lord
 

Mario

Sidhe / PikPok
The New Yorker examines the war within the Republican Party: A House Divided

” The overwhelming majority of his constituent mail is now about the far-out ideas, and only a small portion is “based on something that is mostly true.” He added, “It’s dramatically changed politics and politicians, and what they’re doing.”

What do they expect after 8 years of demonizing science/academics/education, applying hyperbolic criticism to every single thing Obama and the Administration says and does, scapegoating and finger pointing, causing fear and uncertainty, spreading misinformation, and outright lying?

You reap what you sow.
 

danm999

Member
So the shutdown in 2013 was Boehner basically trying accelerationism on his own party and it didn't work, and now instead they're talking about doing it again over some fake videos and he's like "FUCK IT I'M OUT".
 

danm999

Member
After Rod Blum, who represents a swing district in Iowa, voted against Boehner, the National Republican Congressional Committee, which helps fund the reëlection efforts of House incumbents, refused to support him. “There’s some anger that he’s not getting N.R.C.C. support,” a Republican member of Congress who often disagrees with the Freedom Caucus told me. “It’s his first day in office and he votes against the Speaker, the largest funder of the N.R.C.C. What the fuck? I mean, come on. You can’t help stupid.”

Terrific.
 

watershed

Banned
It's been obvious since day 1 that the sole purpose of this new wave of republicans is to NOT govern. That is their intention and their mandate from their own supporters, the people who voted them into office. They are in congress to NOT do their jobs as elected representatives. Simple as that.
 
I agree that their agenda has nothing to do with governing and instead focuses on essentially dismantling government outside of the military. I wouldn't even compare their strategy to Grover Norquist, who certainly wants to destroy government but is smarter about doing it.

The most puzzling thing about this is the birth of the idea that Obama is some negotiating mastermind who has defeated republicans at every turn, holds firm to liberal principles, etc. Boehner and especially McConnell have been pretty effective when negotiating with Obama. The far right's anger is largely over them not getting everything they want; if you get 40-60%, depending on the hand you were dealt, that's pretty damn good. Governing is a game of inches, there are very few big touchdowns.

It'll be interesting to see this "strategy" during Hillary's term. A lot of that article makes it seem like conservatives feel Obama is some unique case of a lawless president/master negotiator. Yet when Hillary takes over they're going to do the exact same thing.
 

Cerium

Member
I agree that their agenda has nothing to do with governing and instead focuses on essentially dismantling government outside of the military. I wouldn't even compare their strategy to Grover Norquist, who certainly wants to destroy government but is smarter about doing it.

The most puzzling thing about this is the birth of the idea that Obama is some negotiating mastermind who has defeated republicans at every turn, holds firm to liberal principles, etc. Boehner and especially McConnell have been pretty effective when negotiating with Obama. The far right's anger is largely over them not getting everything they want; if you get 40-60%, depending on the hand you were dealt, that's pretty damn good. Governing is a game of inches, there are very few big touchdowns.

It'll be interesting to see this "strategy" during Hillary's term. A lot of that article makes it seem like conservatives feel Obama is some unique case of a lawless president/master negotiator. Yet when Hillary takes over they're going to do the exact same thing.
The far right can't make up their minds about whether Obama is a wimpy weak appeasing pussy or a tyrannical and uncompromising liberal ideologue.
 

dabig2

Member
The New Yorker examines the war within the Republican Party: A House Divided

Hate politics in this country. We'll still have nearly half the country voting for these idiots and thus stalling even more of our progress. Hell, they're setting it back and would set it back even more if they gained control of the Presidency and control of the courts.
 
Hate politics in this country. We'll still have nearly half the country voting for these idiots and thus stalling even more of our progress. Hell, they're setting it back and would set it back even more if they gained control of the Presidency and control of the courts.
That scary and frustrating fact has made me a cynical bastard. I am so disillusioned with half the country voting in crazy government hating proto-humans. I just hope that the republican party gets snuffed out in my lifetime and we'll have adult discussion about issues in the congress like our European brethren instead of dipshits like Inhofe bringing in a snowball as his proof that global warming is fake.
 
A quite a few Reps are elected specifically to not govern ,but to be against something. It is going to hurt them for people who want to see something get done and people who want to stop everything , because they have unrealistic expectations or ignorant on how to stop anything.

During 2015, the Republicans didn't manged to stop Obama much at all.

That scary and frustrating fact has made me a cynical bastard. I am so disillusioned with half the country voting in crazy government hating proto-humans. I just hope that the republican party gets snuffed out in my lifetime and we'll have adult discussion about issues in the congress like our European brethren instead of dipshits like Inhofe bringing in a snowball as his proof that global warming is fake.

I wouldn't be to worried about that demographics won't be on their side and considering Rep's current attitude unintentional or not; demographics is going to be against them for a bit.
 
I wouldn't be to worried about that demographics won't be on their side and considering Rep's current attitude unintentional or not; demographics is going to be against them for a bit.
But their feverish base will keep winning the midterm elections thereby guaranteeing gridlock. Democratic coalition, even with demographics on its side, only works during presidential elections.
 

dabig2

Member
That scary and frustrating fact has made me a cynical bastard. I am so disillusioned with half the country voting in crazy government hating proto-humans. I just hope that the republican party gets snuffed out in my lifetime and we'll have adult discussion about issues in the congress like our European brethren instead of dipshits like Inhofe bringing in a snowball as his proof that global warming is fake.

Absolutely. The GOP has been running on the same algorithm since before I was born and they've only gotten more crazy these past several decades. Unfortunately, most of the electorate has either gotten crazier with them or just grown apathetic to the whole process (see most of the millennial generation).

I'm extremely frustrated that it's not going to change (for the better at least) for at least another couple Presidential cycles - definitely not till after Hillary's 2 terms are up and even that's not completely guaranteed. We literally have to wait for a decent chunk of the older electorate to die off at this point to get anywhere. It's maddening.
 
But their feverish base will keep winning the midterm elections thereby guaranteeing gridlock. Democratic coalition, even with demographics on its side, only works during presidential elections.

And in the senate. Because of that it would be easy for the democratic president to elect judges to will rule in favor for the president for many things, if they can't get certain things legislatively, they can use the judicial branch not unlike the current republican strategy. Winning back the house would be difficult, but it is more possible to close the distance and bring over some republicans. Maybe some of the democrats have a better strategy ( I think Hillary has one), but it shouldn't be any worse than it is now as getting the senate and the president can change quite a few things.
 
But their feverish base will keep winning the midterm elections thereby guaranteeing gridlock. Democratic coalition, even with demographics on its side, only works during presidential elections.
Just need to figure out a way to boost turnout among the people who don't usually vote in midterms. If turnout was even a few points better in 2014 Democrats probably would have had the Senate.
 
Although I don't think Bernie is going to be the nominee, I do think it would be great if he, and other liberal senators and representatives, can maintain the enthusiasm among his supporters, and get them to go out and vote during the midterm elections. The same with the president. They need to go all out in 2018.
 

dabig2

Member
Ditching Debbie Wasserman Schultz is a foregone conclusion after 2016. We need young, innovative blood in the DNC in general before those 2018 midterms roll along. Hopefully post-Presidency Obama also frees up his time in a way to go out there and energize the people as his candidacy did in '08.
 
Ditching Debbie Wasserman Schultz is a foregone conclusion after 2016. We need young, innovative blood in the DNC in general before those 2018 midterms roll along. Hopefully post-Presidency Obama also frees up his time in a way to go out there and energize the people as his candidacy did in '08.
Just make Howard Dean the eternal DNC chair.
 
Ditching Debbie Wasserman Schultz is a foregone conclusion after 2016. We need young, innovative blood in the DNC in general before those 2018 midterms roll along. Hopefully post-Presidency Obama also frees up his time in a way to go out there and energize the people as his candidacy did in '08.

The DNC themselves are the voting body to determine the who becomes the chair, right? Isn't her position up for reelection next year?
 

PantherLotus

Professional Schmuck
Let it not go unnoticed that on December 13th 2015 PoliGAF spent several pages of sincere concern about Ted Cruz. LOL I know y'all are bored but COME ON.
 
Although I don't think Bernie is going to be the nominee, I do think it would be great if he, and other liberal senators and representatives, can maintain the enthusiasm among his supporters, and get them to go out and vote during the midterm elections. The same with the president. They need to go all out in 2018.
They won't. I think the last few years has proven that simply giving or promising people free stuff isn't a good way to motivate them. When you give entitlements people have little ownership or motivation to work towards continuing the process; that's true of children and it's true of this new liberal voting block.

The other major problem is that democrats haven't given their base a lot to truly be excited about. All of Obama's major domestic "accomplishments" are divisive, with opposition far more excited than the supporters. Look back at 2010. Democrats literally didn't have anything to run on. What was there to run on in 2012 outside of supporting the president? And 2014 was like 2010.

I think focusing Obamacare so much on lower working class people was a big mistake politically. Now you've got an entire middle class that barely benefits at all from the law, and thus most of them are apathetic about the law's survival. And then there are plenty of people who aren't impacted by the law at all yet see their private sector insurance premiums rise every year. While their tax dollars subsidize cheap (and often bad) plans for poorer people. That's a bad way to motivate voters.
 

dabig2

Member
Just make Howard Dean the eternal DNC chair.

Democrats (and I really mean Obama and his pals) and the media did Dean dirty. This guy should've been a superstar after his successes, but he got pushed to the side and snubbed by the administration on several occasions. I'd welcome him back to the main stage in any capacity.

The DNC themselves are the voting body to determine the who becomes the chair, right? Isn't her position up for reelection next year?

Yeah, her term is over sometime in January of 2017, so shortly after the 2016 elections. She's 99.99999% gone. I think if you google her name, virtually every article the last 2 years is on how much they and everyone else hates her. She did herself no favors with the whole debate fiasco either.
 
You've seen the numbers in iowa, damnit! Ted Cruz isnt the shoeshine boy any longer! He's a fuckin contender for the presidency of the most powerful nation on earth! Only god and or a bill clinton dnc speech can save us now
 

Gotchaye

Member
So this "pro-life is anti-sex" thing that came up in the time before Xenoblade struck me as a good example of a kind of conversation that's important but which is kind of awkward to have in an ideologically diverse group because it's about explaining positions in such a way that the people who actually hold those positions have a hard time contributing usefully.

Reasonable disagreement is plausibly not even possible in many situations. Something we seek to do when presented with what looks like reasonable people disagreeing is figure out how some of them are actually not being reasonable. Obviously this can go badly wrong if we're the ones being unreasonable, but if it's permissible to have political beliefs then it's going to be permissible to try to explain how people who disagree are coming to their political beliefs unreasonably.

So we have a lot of theories about why liberals are liberal and why conservatives are conservative. Mostly this is self-serving crap. And often people go badly wrong either right from the start or by getting mixed up and thinking that "the real reason" someone believes X is actually that person's motivation - that it's what they really think and that it's what they'd tell you or if they wouldn't tell you that it's because they're lying about their motives.

But you've still got to do this. Pro-choicers need to have a theory that explains why pro-lifers get it wrong and that points towards steps that could be taken to get pro-lifers to see that they're going wrong or at least to preventing young people who are making up their minds from making that same error. And they're going to look for evidence that supports a theory like that. Noting that it's not plausible that actually pro-lifers are consciously pretending to care about abortion in order to punish women for having sex, the priorities and the purely factual errors of the movement are the sorts of things that are going to count as evidence that this is not all coming from a place of concern for human life. One can of course explain these priorities and errors in terms of the psychology of well-meaning people with imperfect information who are nevertheless truly committed to protecting human life, but properly understood this is a bit beside the point. For almost any political movement there's going to be an explanation for it in terms of the conscious motives and beliefs and attention of its supporters and another explanation in terms of culture and sociological factors, etc. And probably more than half the time supporters of the movement would deny a correct explanation of the second type.

The uncontroversial example of this working really well (and I don't use it here to lay claim to the analogy for my side) is slavery, right? You read what defenders of the institution were saying and then you look at the pattern of the errors they made and what they were paying attention to and you come to a very different conclusion about why some people found slavery to be such a great thing. You even had people at the time saying this and defenders of slavery insisting that no that didn't make sense since they felt nothing but affection for slaves.

But to circle back, while I think it's an important thing to be thinking and talking about, obviously the people being psychologized are going to want to defend themselves and I don't really know how that ought to be handled in a thread like this.
 

PantherLotus

Professional Schmuck
You've seen the numbers in iowa, damnit! Ted Cruz isnt the shoeshine boy any longer! He's a fuckin contender for the presidency of the most powerful nation on earth! Only god and or a bill clinton dnc speech can save us now

(lol if nobody lols for you)

An extremely effective and useful clown. The worst kinds of clowns are the ones like DWS who are just plain incompetent at everything and submarine their own party.

i think we all need to admit the role of the party chair is absolute nonsense at this point.

(i liked howard dean at the time, fwiw. he's clearly at his best when he's the one driving the story instead of championing another's cause)
 
The DNC chair doesn't exist in a vacuum. His or her effectiveness is often a product of who the president is. Bush provided democrats with a lot of grassroots energy, and Dean channeled it well. Some would argue he wasted resources for short term gains in red/purple states though.

DWS has had to deal with an aloof democrat president who doesn't seem to care about the health of his party on the state level (see: coal and the dismantling of the democrat party in rural areas/the south). She has also had to deal with an apathetic base that stopped caring about the grassroots after the first week of November 2008.

In short it's easier to rile up your base in opposition to something. And at the same time when your party doesn't have a strong leader it's hard to rally your base to his or her causes. Don't get me wrong, DWS is terrible. But I don't think anyone could have done a particularly good job with this president and this base.
 

PantherLotus

Professional Schmuck
This is the same planet in which Occupy and BLM exist and we're trying to pretend DWS couldn't rally the base because of Obama. OK!
 
This is the same planet in which Occupy and BLM exist and we're trying to pretend DWS couldn't rally the base because of Obama. OK!
Neither are competent or well organized groups. One is dead. The other seems to think top down change exists, which must be why so little effort goes into actual political processes that actually impact people's daily lives (state elections, prosecutors, judges, sherrifs, school boards, etc). But yes, protest Bernie Sanders and Hillary some more...
 
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