PhoenixDark
Banned
Sticking with my gut feeling that he lost a lot of money to a ponzi scheme or something, hence why he came out of his shell a couple years ago with nonstop speaking events/running for president.
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PoliGAF 2015 |OT2| Pls print
- Thread starter ivysaur12
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Sticking with my gut feeling that he lost a lot of money to a ponzi scheme or something, hence why he came out of his shell a couple years ago with nonstop speaking events/running for president.
RustyNails
Member
While we're talking about game analogies, fall of Ben Carson is like that of konami.
Trump better live tweet that shit.
theprodigy
Member
That's not how Paper Mario: Sticker Star is spelled.
FloydtheFathead
Member
It's fucking amazing . I mean he also picked Tennessee to beat Florida? I mean why? It's absolutely idiotic.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
PFTCommenter interviews Carcetti, oh my god:
http://www.sbnation.com/2015/10/15/...ally-interviews-presidential-candidate-martin
http://www.sbnation.com/2015/10/15/...ally-interviews-presidential-candidate-martin
theprodigy
Member
Super Paper Mario is a good game, unlike that thing on the 3DS that calls itself Paper Mario
pfft, picking Tennessee against anyone
except Georgia ayyyy
Black Republican
Member
what is Jebbie cash on hand anyways? can only find old reports
Retromelon
Member
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
I'm on itI've made roughly 29 Ben Carson threads over the last few weeks so it can't be me
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1125024
Coriolanus
Banned
What is seen as a positive for a white male politician will be spun as a negative for a female politician.
Same reason why Bams never appears Angry and often opts for Disappointed.
Plus the less cues one takes from Thatcher, the better.
Glad to see GAF scored round #1 as a win for Bernie, as this is inline with the snap poles after the debate (CNN: Bernie - 83%, Hillary - 12%) and with my point-by-point re-watch scorecard.
The greatest exchange was on Wall Street, where Hillary nicely highlighted her far too close relationship "I basically said, 'cut it out'" [lol], which should be no surprise to anyone, when her top lifetime campaign contributors are Citigroup and Goldman Sacks, with over $700k a piece, not to mention the $200k, a pop, speeches, paid for by Wall Street. Her trying to show affinity over the 2008 recession, without acknowledging that President Clinton's deregulation played a significant role, was also very rich.
Despite a few wobbles, I thought Bernie gave a commanding performance and demonstrated, unequivocally, that he is a very real contender for President, with absolutely no policy positions that Americans cannot get behind. His line "Congress doesn't regulate Wall Street. Wall Street regulates Congres" was awesome and underpinned his opening remarks, on the importance of campaign finance reform.
Sure, he got wolloped by Hillary, on his five votes against the Brady Bill, but given his forthright and progressive stance on just about every other piece of gun legislation, such as closing the gun show loophole, I have no doubt that he would passionately fight for common sense gun controls. Clearly though, he needs some polish here, as his responses elicited only silence from the otherwise exuberant supporters, at my local debate watch party.
Bernie's very sincere push for twelve weeks of payed family leave, for new mother's, is the perfect antidote to Hillary's, utterly simplistic, vote for me because "I'm a woman" mantra, implying that only a woman can truly advance a woman's cause, when, in reality, any real progressive, such as Bernie, would be just as much in favor of any policy that tries to address, still persistent, gender inequalities.
The greatest exchange was on Wall Street, where Hillary nicely highlighted her far too close relationship "I basically said, 'cut it out'" [lol], which should be no surprise to anyone, when her top lifetime campaign contributors are Citigroup and Goldman Sacks, with over $700k a piece, not to mention the $200k, a pop, speeches, paid for by Wall Street. Her trying to show affinity over the 2008 recession, without acknowledging that President Clinton's deregulation played a significant role, was also very rich.
Despite a few wobbles, I thought Bernie gave a commanding performance and demonstrated, unequivocally, that he is a very real contender for President, with absolutely no policy positions that Americans cannot get behind. His line "Congress doesn't regulate Wall Street. Wall Street regulates Congres" was awesome and underpinned his opening remarks, on the importance of campaign finance reform.
Sure, he got wolloped by Hillary, on his five votes against the Brady Bill, but given his forthright and progressive stance on just about every other piece of gun legislation, such as closing the gun show loophole, I have no doubt that he would passionately fight for common sense gun controls. Clearly though, he needs some polish here, as his responses elicited only silence from the otherwise exuberant supporters, at my local debate watch party.
Bernie's very sincere push for twelve weeks of payed family leave, for new mother's, is the perfect antidote to Hillary's, utterly simplistic, vote for me because "I'm a woman" mantra, implying that only a woman can truly advance a woman's cause, when, in reality, any real progressive, such as Bernie, would be just as much in favor of any policy that tries to address, still persistent, gender inequalities.
T
thepotatoman
Unconfirmed Member
Self selecting polls are actually the best polls because the act of voting itself is a self selecting poll.
I know you're probably kidding, but spoofing one of these online polls is super easy and you're unlikely to get any kind of representative sample of the American electorate due to the fact that certain demographics will be over-represented and others will be under-represented. There's a reason everyone still does phone polls, done properly they give a damn good image of the race as it is.
Roland_Gunner
Member
You keep saying that but the most successful female politicians like Thatcher and Golda Meir have been willing to be strong and even angry when challenged by their male peers. A middle aged white woman is going to have different expectations they need to manage than a younger black man.
Well, he won't be able to say anything stupid at least.
Poodlestrike
Banned
Yeah, but you've been low-grade diablosing about him for a while now.
Stopping your campaign for 2 weeks is not, and cannot be, a positive.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
If true, this would hurt him tremendously.
But he will be able to still spew nonsense on Facebook and at his book signings.
No, it isn't. But with this electorate you never know.
I don't think I've ever been worried about Carson winning. I'm more surprised he hasn't melted under the spotlights yet than anything else.
Poodlestrike
Banned
Whoops, meant to quote Plinko, lol.
I dunno. He came into relevance by being ignored and barely saying anything, this is basically him going back to the roots of his popularity.
:lol
Been there, dude. Been there.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
I guess I don't get why people are thinking his campaign is over. He's still in the next debate, which is all people will care about.
I can see this bringing about a "See? He's not even a traditional politician in the sense that he doesn't waste time campaigning! That's so admirable!" feeling from the base.
I can see this bringing about a "See? He's not even a traditional politician in the sense that he doesn't waste time campaigning! That's so admirable!" feeling from the base.
Fox News contributor arrested for lying. Oops.
http://www.mediaite.com/online/fox-news-guest-arrested-charged-with-lying-about-cia-ties/
http://www.mediaite.com/online/fox-news-guest-arrested-charged-with-lying-about-cia-ties/
He suspended his campaign for a month.
No. 2 weeks.
mightynine
Member
I don't think Carson's base is even going to notice the difference between a book tour and a campaign - what he's been saying on the campaign trial is what's in the book. This isn't like Newt's cruise.
That said, I think his reasoning for trying to make it seem like he's not profiting off running for president is pretty damn flimsy.
That said, I think his reasoning for trying to make it seem like he's not profiting off running for president is pretty damn flimsy.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Trump complains about the next GOP debate having too much ad time.
Nate Silver responds with:
Silver is legit shook to the point of grasping onto anything for proof that Trump won't be the nominee.
Nate Silver responds with:
Silver is legit shook to the point of grasping onto anything for proof that Trump won't be the nominee.
Fenderputty
Banned
Someone most likely supports Carson because he's a religious nut who makes bigoted people feel less bigoted. Why would they care about a short stint from his campaign to promote his book?
If Nate's wrong it's going to do a lot of damage to his brand, he seems like the one that's afraid here.
God, I hope Trump comes out swinging like in the first debate. I need some more fatalities.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
He really climbed in the last two weeks with "loser Jews should armed their kindergarten teachers. I would have beaten Hitler with a single .357 right after I sold out my neighbors to the Nazi death camps."
So I don't think another two weeks off will hurt.
I have no problem with losing if it meant Trump getting the nomination. Might as well pick out the Inaugural suit & dress the day it happens.
Avon Barksdale
Member
Come on Nate lol. Trump is too strong (and consistently) at this point to be a fluke.
Fenderputty
Banned
Should have used "bruh"
mightynine
Member
Nate's seeing ESPN cut costs left and right and knows if his brand falters, 538 is just as boutique as Grantland.
BertramCooper
Banned
Even if Trump falls, it's just really hard for me to see all of that support going to establishment candidates.
Republicans hate their own party. I mean, they really fucking hate them.
Republicans hate their own party. I mean, they really fucking hate them.
Pretty much, he should have just stayed with the Times instead of going out on his own.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
You guys seem pretty eager to go back to a world without Silver and proper statistical analysis.
Wolf Blitzer dead heat for everybody!
Wolf Blitzer dead heat for everybody!
Black Mamba
Member
Silver ventured off into pseudo-analytics now.
The problem with claiming someone like Trump has less chance than Jeb! right now is that there really isn't any hard data to support Nate's position. Just a few data points.
Politics is very different than sports, where for the most part, the rules are the rules and everyone works in the same confines. And this isn't analyzing polls, he's trying create formulas to explain what will happen...but those can't be properly tested. Variables change too much.
Silver has essentially become what he detested just 4 years ago.
I don't want to go without him, I just wish he would stick with what he knows and not with what he doesn't. When he uses the numbers he's amazing, when he doesn't he's no better than Wolf.
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