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[Emarv]

I think it's pretty clear the debate helped stabilize his base. The 3rd debate could tilt things a few points mainly for similar reasons.

It's why I think all of the big oppo has to hold off until right after that last debate. Just pound with old tapes and statements in the weeks leading up. With no major debate like event for him to use to stabilize, one tape of the N-word or something is all it would take to drop that moderate GOP support he has.

 

[Meowster]

White men in Missouri after sexual assault-gate prefer Trump 62-26.

Jesus.

the men in my state suck. if only they were all gay instead. 😔

 

[Teggy]

Romney won Missouri by nearly 10 points.

 

[whyamihere]

?
Missouri isn't a deep red state

It's decently red, where Dems can sometimes win downballot, and it's getting redder.

 

[TheOfficeMut]

White men in Missouri after sexual assault-gate prefer Trump 62-26.

Jesus.

Seems like Missouri is one big locker room.

 

[Dierce]

White men in Missouri after sexual assault-gate prefer Trump 62-26.

Jesus.

At this point we should consider the fact that nothing will change these people's opinions on their despotic leader. They mindlessly put party ahead of country.

 

[RustyNails]

Post-pussy tape and debate as well, sucks.

I dont think Pussygate is having as big of an impact downballot.

 

[VendettaRed07]

Last poll was Trump +3.

Hm.

I'm still trying to grapple with how the polls here are going to actually reflect the actual votes for Trump.

It would be impossible for any other republican to come even close to where he was polling if they had zero ground game and no money like him. But his 100% name recognition and brand really helps overcome that. Or it did during the primary; but we all know how different the General will be.

I think any state that polls with in 5% Hillary should go for and has a chance to win.

 

[Slacker]

Trolling Trump twitter fans on my lunch break. Multiple times I've said something smart-assy and they "liked" the tweet. Maybe I'm being trolled.

 

[Emarv]

FYI https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/emailid/19663

Breitbart: THE VULGAR LANGUAGE THE DEMS DONT WANT YOU TO SEE.

 

[rokkerkory]

Rudy again proves himself to be a disgusting piece of trash.

Forgive him he is old and forgetfulness is setting in.

 

[TheOfficeMut]

Breitbart: THE VULGAR LANGUAGE THE DEMS DONT WANT YOU TO SEE.

Breitfart: We have our locker room talk, they have their email talk.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

It's decently red, where Dems can sometimes win downballot, and it's getting redder.

Yup. We went red in 2000 and haven't gone back. Just not enough minorities here and too few urban areas for a state of this geographical size.

Hopefully we can continue to elect moderate dems though.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Rape culture is when a man admits to sexually assaulting women in the exact way that several women have accused Trump of being sexually assaulted and men still pretend it was just "talk."

 

[Wilsongt]

https://m.facebook.com/TheOther98/p...7875225866/1490942314250075/?type=3&source=48

Oi

 

[kevin1025]

Rudy again proves himself to be a disgusting piece of trash.

I think he needs help, something is wrong with him.

 

[nature boy]

New Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin likely voters:
Clinton 44%
Trump 37%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%
#MULawPoll

 

[Pixieking]

Hm.

I'm still trying to grapple with how the polls here are going to actually reflect the actual votes for Trump.

It would be impossible for any other republican to come even close to where he was polling if they had zero ground game and no money like him. But his 100% name recognition and brand really helps overcome that. Or it did during the primary; but we all know how different the General will be.

I think any state that polls with in 5% Hillary should go for and has a chance to win.

I posted this link this morning, but this morning in my country is different to most of the rest of this thread. Interesting read, I think.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

New Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin likely voters:
Clinton 44%
Trump 37%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%
#MULawPoll

Last one was Clinton +3 good shit

 

[StoOgE]

FYI https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/emailid/19663

Was it an insult, or like they were into it?

 

[nature boy]

New Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin likely voters:
Clinton 44%
Trump 37%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%
#MULawPoll

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 56s56 seconds ago
US Senate race in WI:
Feingold 46%
Johnson 44%
Anderson 4%
#MULawPoll

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 1m1 minute ago
In September, Feingold held a 44%-39% lead over Johnson, with Anderson at 7% among likely voters. #MULawPoll

 

[RastaMentality]

US Senate race in WI:
Feingold 46%
Johnson 44%
Anderson 4%
#MULawPoll

 

[StoOgE]

New Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin likely voters:
Clinton 44%
Trump 37%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%
#MULawPoll

I'll take it. Considering WI is the "most likely" Blue state to have bought into his blue collar protectionist racist horseshit.

 

[whyamihere]

New Marquette Law School Poll, Wisconsin likely voters:
Clinton 44%
Trump 37%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%
#MULawPoll

Pre-debate, 50% pre-tape.

 

[RustyNails]

Ugh, downballot needs to attach R's to Trump's hips.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/13/u...istorting-national-polling-averages.html?_r=0

Nate Cohn explains in detail how the USC poll is the worst poll possible.

 

[Bowdz]

I think it's pretty clear the debate helped stabilize his base. The 3rd debate could tilt things a few points mainly for similar reasons.

It's why I think all of the big oppo has to hold off until right after that last debate. Just pound with old tapes and statements in the weeks leading up. With no major debate like event for him to use to stabilize, one tape of the N-word or something is all it would take to drop that moderate GOP support he has.

Agreed.

 

[StoOgE]

US Senate race in WI:
Feingold 46%
Johnson 44%
Anderson 4%
#MULawPoll

That is less good. That said, I don't see a lot of ticket splitting between Hillary and Russ.

 

[excelsiorlef]

Jeb's ad earlier this year had a chryon saying that Trump concedes on Twitter.. I could see that happening.

Ha ha ha

That ad also predicts a loss similar not seen since Mondale in 84.

Which also might happen.

 

[NeoXChaos]

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 11s12 seconds ago
Among likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Trump 41%, Clinton 40%
Friday: Clinton 44%, Trump 38%
Saturday and Sunday: Clinton 49%, Trump 30%

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 14s15 seconds ago

Among female likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Clinton 45%, Trump 36%
Friday: Clinton 60%, Trump 33%
Saturday+Sunday: Clinton 56%, Trump 23%
MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 1m1 minute ago

Among male likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Trump 47%, Clinton 35%
Friday: Trump 44%, Clinton 28%
Saturday and Sunday: Clinton 40%, Trump 39%

.

 

[nature boy]

Clinton 33% advantage with women in Wisconsin!

Saturday+Sunday

 

[whyamihere]

US Senate race in WI:
Feingold 46%
Johnson 44%
Anderson 4%
#MULawPoll

Oh, I don't like this, though it's also from last week, so.

 

[Teggy]

I think he needs help, something is wrong with him.

Many people are saying.

 

[whyamihere]

.

Right. Like, it's not their fault when they decided to do the poll, but.

 

[hipsterpants]

I'm just going to start living in a post-facts world because I have a hard time believing most of these Senate polls.

 

[studyguy]

US Senate race in WI:
Feingold 46%
Johnson 44%
Anderson 4%
#MULawPoll

I have hope but we'll see.

 

[nature boy]

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 2m2 minutes ago
Among male likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Trump 47%, Clinton 35%
Friday: Trump 44%, Clinton 28%
Saturday and Sunday: Clinton 40%, Trump 39%

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 2m2 minutes ago
Among female likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Clinton 45%, Trump 36%
Friday: Clinton 60%, Trump 33%
Saturday+Sunday: Clinton 56%, Trump 23%

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 59s60 seconds ago
Among evangelical likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Trump 64%, Clinton 24%
Friday: Trump 55%, Clinton 32%
Sat+Sun: Trump 47%, Clinton 31%

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 6s6 seconds ago
Among white likely voters w/ college degrees in WI:
Thu: Clinton 48%, Trump 32%
Fri: Trump 44%, Clinton 40%
Sat+Sun: Clinton 54%, Trump 28%

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 47s47 seconds ago
Among white LVs without college degrees in WI:
Thu: Trump 48%, Clinton 33%
Fri: Trump 41%, Clinton 38%
Sat+Sun: Clinton 42%, Trump 35%

It did hit him, wonder how much the debate actually helped him.

 

[Teggy]

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 11s12 seconds ago
Among likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Trump 41%, Clinton 40%
Friday: Clinton 44%, Trump 38%
Saturday and Sunday: Clinton 49%, Trump 30%

Quoting in case people missed this.

 

[Loudninja]

Saturday and Sunday: Clinton 40%, Trump 39%

0_0

 

[metalslimer]

Hopefully Clinton's GOTV effort can really push a lot of down ballot races.

Also, I can't believe Trump was actually winning prior to the tape.

 

[Aaron Strife]

US Senate race in WI:
Feingold 46%
Johnson 44%
Anderson 4%
#MULawPoll

If Feingold somehow loses I swear to fucking Christ.

 

[PBY]

0_0

is it 39 or 30?

 

[BigJonsson]

is it 39 or 30?

Likely voters is 30, male voters is 39

 

[whyamihere]

We'll see what happens with early voting, but:

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/786258607616561152

@ElectProject
Statewide, OH absentee ballot requests are down 2.6% from 2012. In Democratic strongholds:
Cuyahoga -16.1%
Franklin -16.3%
Hamilton -3.1%

 

[Debirudog]

Male voters are trash.

 

[Fladam]

Male voters are trash.

Gays allowed. Adam said so.

 

[Kangi]

If Feingold somehow loses I swear to fucking Christ.

Yeah, I don't like the prospect of Feingold and Bayh collapses.

 

[Paches]

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll 11s12 seconds ago
Among likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Trump 41%, Clinton 40%

Yeah it is pre-tapes/debates, but that is disturbing to me.

 

[ZealousD]

How One 19-Year-Old Illinois Man Is Distorting National Polling Averages

God Nate versus the USC/LA Times poll.

http://i.imgur.com/b5gYlOF.jpg

My instincts knew that there was probably just one or two black guys skewing the result. But I could never find the actual individual voter data to confirm that. Good to see the confirmation.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Gays allowed. Adam said so.

Atheists and Jews need to be allowed too