do we have any clue how well she's doing with college educated whites in the South?
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT13| For Queen and Country
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do we have any clue how well she's doing with college educated whites in the South?
Not that I would completely write off Georgia, but it always felt like quite a longshot to me.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
You don't need a justification. Voters care very little about process stuff and won't punish the GOP for blocking Supreme Court picks forever.
Republicans have to fold eventually.
There's no fucking way they hold for that long. McCain backed off when he got shit on about the stonewalling comments earlier in the week, granted he's in a race and has to be chickenshit but lord I can't see them hold for years and coming out clean.
There's no fucking way they hold for that long. McCain backed off when he got shit on about the stonewalling comments earlier in the week, granted he's in a race and has to be chickenshit but lord I can't see them hold for years and coming out clean.
Fragamemnon
Member
I did one for 2004 , never again. Now I just get on skype with friends. I ever drink a beer( so edgy!) to take some of the tension off.
Beer Monkey
Member
That's why you hack the tabulating computers and not the voting machines.
ArkhamFantasy
Member
Can the republicans do anything to block the SCJ nomination if the democrats control the senate?
Aaron Strife
Banned
They're barely outpacing 2012, a year in which Romney's campaign/Republicans didn't really take early voting seriously. Being able to match that when Republicans are floundering miserably in other states speaks to having some semblance of a ground game I suppose, but still not a very good one.
Filibuster - SCOTUS justices still need 60 votes.
Assuming Schumer doesn't nuke it.
Chained Prometheus
Member
Just did my early voting here in NC! 
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Georgia could really use a lot of immigration.
Knuckle Sandwich
Member
I did in '12. It was a bunch of political nerds staring at screens while eating pizza and drinking booze/smoking weed. Good times. Can't do it this time due to the wife and kids. :-/
JHoNNy1OoO
Member
He better nuke it. I think most Dems know the GOP will nuke it the moment they get all 3 branches anyways.
If they try to filibuster after that whole song and dance about letting the next president make the pick, it's going to get nuked surely.
AntraxSuicide
Banned
Which he should. The GOP will do it in 2018 if we don't, and I'd like to make the next 2 years as productive as possible.
RustyNails
Member
Khan family better be invited to the SOTU.
whyamihere
Banned
Just did my early voting here in NC!
Debroah Ross steals another vote!
nature boy
Member
Wow, guy deserves a beating.
They'll be at the inauguration and/or SOTU.
RustyNails
Member
How long did you have to wait in line?Just did my early voting here in NC!
The backup contingency for that is they are still stored on the actual voting machines themselves and can be checked, further backup contingency would be the actual paper ballots in the machines.
Surprisingly, our voting system is actually relatively secure as the majority of the country still utilizes paper ballots.
It's not surprising that the IA Republican party has a competent ground game considering how the whole caucus process is every 4 years.
He was also atrocious about asking Trump to actually answer his questions. He'd ask something, let Trump go on a completely unrelated tangent for two minutes and then just move on or make Clinton respond to Trump's non-answer.
Asked my family if anyone wanted to go to the Clinton/Kaine rally in Pittsburgh tomorrow as a joke, because they're all crazy conservatives. Two people replied thus far:
"No thanks. We are pro life."
"No I don't visit with the devil"
That last one was my mom. Oh, the hilarity.
"No thanks. We are pro life."
"No I don't visit with the devil"
That last one was my mom. Oh, the hilarity.
Just voted early here in Wisconsin, +1 for Hillary
Just did my early voting here in NC!
congrats guys. How were the lines?
Manmademan
Member
There isn't one. If the democrats take the house, it's gone.
if the republicans hold on to the house, it will probably live another day though- they won't be able to get anything through the house anyway, and the filibuster will prevent democrats from having to take potentially damaging positions on ridiculous bills that hit the floor.
There was zero line when I went. Aside from a handful of elderly people, it was just my mom and I there. They told us it was way busier this morning before folks had to go to work, but even then I was shocked at how empty it was.
Studguy... this what you wanted, right? This is my promise I made to you.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
It amazes me every day that Trump is promoting himself as the law-and-order candidate when he's hired Roger Ailes, Roger Stone, James O'Keefe, Chris Christie, and numerous other criminals and he's probably a tax evader and he gives constant interviews to violent criminal Bill O'Reilly.
Just say "I want the blacks to be put in prison," there's no one in the world who actually believes Trump cares about law and order.
Just say "I want the blacks to be put in prison," there's no one in the world who actually believes Trump cares about law and order.
I would like dems to take an angle of attack using all the republicans saying that "I am supporting the republican nominee" in response to "are you supporting Trump"
I suppose many of these people are surrogates and not necessarily elected officials, but I think it would be a good route to take to say "For the GOP it's not about what is right, their morals, or their values. When it comes down to it, the only answer for them is Party over everything."
I suppose many of these people are surrogates and not necessarily elected officials, but I think it would be a good route to take to say "For the GOP it's not about what is right, their morals, or their values. When it comes down to it, the only answer for them is Party over everything."
Pancake Mix
Copied someone else's pancake recipe
In response to the thread comparing Trump to Brexit...
You know what GAF, other than financially, Brexit isn't that bad. It shouldn't be news to anyone that citizens of island nations could disproportionately have isolationist views.
The problem is that the single market and thus freedom of movement are vital to the UK's economy, and the UK already has a sweetheart deal with the EU, so the advisory vote should be ignored. Brexiters want their cake and to eat it too, but they won't get to.
Don't compare leaving the EU to someone who won't concede defeat in a democracy...
You know what GAF, other than financially, Brexit isn't that bad. It shouldn't be news to anyone that citizens of island nations could disproportionately have isolationist views.
The problem is that the single market and thus freedom of movement are vital to the UK's economy, and the UK already has a sweetheart deal with the EU, so the advisory vote should be ignored. Brexiters want their cake and to eat it too, but they won't get to.
Don't compare leaving the EU to someone who won't concede defeat in a democracy...
whyamihere
Banned
if I could turn back tiiiime
(THESE ARE FROM 2014)
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/hillary-clinton-2016-map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/...-the-2016-map-and-if-she-does-it-wont-matter/
(THESE ARE FROM 2014)
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/hillary-clinton-2016-map
The top minds in the proto-Hillary Clinton 2016 campaign infrastructure are already gaming out Electoral College scenarios. What they think they have is a candidate who could compete in a handful of traditionally red states, putting Republicans on the defensive and increasing her chances of winning the White House.
Mitch Stewart, Obama's 2012 battleground state director who is now an independent consultant advising the grassroots group Ready for Hillary, laid out the electoral math to TPM in a recent interview. Clinton will start with Obama's map, he said, and can build from there.
There are two buckets of states potentially in play. Arkansas, Indiana and Missouri comprise one bucket. The first is a somewhat unique case, given Clinton's history there, while the other two were razor-thin in 2008, but the principle is the same: Clinton has a record of appealing to white working-class voters -- especially women -- and they could be enough when paired with the Obama coalition to pull out a win.
"Where I think Secretary Clinton has more appeal than any other Democrat looking at running is that with white working-class voters, she does have a connection," Stewart said. "I think she's best positioned to open those states."
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/...-the-2016-map-and-if-she-does-it-wont-matter/
Wolfgunblood Garopa
Member
Yep. Him, Pence, the Republicans, all believe in continuing the criminalization of black communities and keep them from voting.
Bonen no Max'd
Banned
I mean, Nixon ran on law and order while simultaneously breaking the law, it's not unprecedented.
Damn they were pretty close
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Some analysts pretty badly confused Hillary being strong with working class whites with the actual results of racist white Democrats preferring Hillary to a black man in the primaries.
whyamihere
Banned
(Same with Bernie)
Fragamemnon
Member
also no one wants him around
Those Safeguard's rely on the majority's whim.
Should the teaparty centric GOP take all three branches of government, does anyone really expect them to keep it around and to let the Democrats block their legislation?
It would be a further right congress than the one that almost nuked the nations finances with the debt ceiling.
Sorry, but I don't think you can rely on norms when the other party has only shown a complete disregard for anything but winning every battle regardless of self harm and factual outcome.
A Link to the Past
Banned
That Rudy Giuliani video is so creepy, and it really emphasizes just how easily people like him can legitimately defend people who commit sexual assault when Giuliani does not understand boundaries like that.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
We at least have the rank ordering of racist white Dems with regards to the groups they don't like.
Jews > White women > black men
... I guess this is useful knowledge for something?
Qwerty710710
a child left behind
A few Georgia polls came out today and they all show Trump with 2-4 point leads. Looks like it's not flipping this year.
True meaning: I talked to a strategist and he laughed me out of the room.
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