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[Grief.exe]

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump
Major story that the Dems are making up phony polls in order to suppress the the Trump . We are going to WIN!

k.

So, he's just making up whatever now then. Cool. 2 weeks to go.

Here's context, and subsequent debunking.

https://twitter.com/BraddJaffy/status/790538660315820032?s=09

 

[Aaron]

Anyone who votes for Trump doesn't give a shit about thier religious beliefs. It's all posturing.

 

[Wolfgunblood Garopa]

Anyone who votes for Trump doesn't give a shit about thier religious beliefs. It's all posturing.

Trump is clearly amoral, and is the kind of genuine monster that would send evangelicals back to pre-Reagan levels of political participation if they were actually honest about their beliefs.

 

[kirblar]

@NateSilver538 12m12 minutes ago

@jbouie: There's a ~0% chance Trump is leading in polls now, but our model gives him a 14% chance of winning because polls could be way off.

So, basically, 86% is the highest the polling model will ever show someone, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

 

[KHarvey16]

So, basically, 86% is the highest the polling model will ever show someone, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

Where does it say that? The models take more than polls into account.

 

[Kifimbo]

So, basically, 86% is the highest the polling model will ever show someone, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

No, because if this were true, Johnson and Stein would also have 14% of winning.

If Trump was at 20% in the polls, the chances of winning would be 99%+.

 

[User 463088]

So, basically, 86% is the highest the polling model will ever show someone, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

I think the caveat is that there's still time left, etc. She's maximized where she can hit because there's still uncertainty built into his model.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

His model also shifted 1.3% toward Trump yesterday after an Oklahoma poll.

Nate, just stop.

 

[thestopsign]

Shouldn't that percentage get smaller as it gets closer to the race and more polls drop showing the lead continuing?

 

[Voysa Reezun]

I think the caveat is that there's still time left, etc. She's maximized where she can hit because there's still uncertainty built into his model.

Right. As each day passes without closing in the polls, Hillary will rise above 86% until she hits 99.9% on election day.

 

[Emarv]

So, basically, 86% is the highest the polling model will ever show someone, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

I could have sworn at some point this summer/fall she hit 90% for a little bit. Like right after the convention. Am I misremembering or is his model changing?

 

[kirblar]

I think the caveat is that there's still time left, etc. She's maximized where she can hit because there's still uncertainty built into his model.

There is no time left. It's two weeks out.

 

[User 463088]

There is no time left. It's two weeks out.

His model disagrees. I mean, I agree. There's no real time left to change thing. A lot of other models take less uncertainty into account. His model likes the question marks.

 

[Slayven]

There is no time left. It's two weeks out.

I mean shit, people have already voted.

 

[User 463088]

I mean shit, people have already voted.

Only the dead ones. And the ones that are FRAUD!

Remember during the primaries when Reddit was pissed that early voting was a thing? Good times, good times.

 

[KHarvey16]

There is no time left. It's two weeks out.

It's not just uncertainty that something major will happen but that key or otherwise highly weighted polls in important states are inaccurate.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

Monmouth is dropping a North Carolina poll today

 

[Finale Fireworker]

I mean shit, people have already voted.

How can people have voted before November 28th? FRAUD!

 

[Boke1879]

Monmouth is dropping a North Carolina poll today

FUCK

 

[Wolfgunblood Garopa]

Only the dead ones. And the ones that are FRAUD!

Remember during the primaries when Reddit was pissed that early voting was a thing? Good times, good times.

Has Trump whined about early voting being a part of the rigged system yet? I feel like this is something he could complain about being unfair to him.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

Has anyone else noticed that Gravis has gone silent and not released a poll in about a month?

Now they very well may be conducting private polls but I find it amusing how they and Breitbart haven't released any polls since the first debate.

 

[Blader]

Has Trump whined about early voting being a part of the rigged system yet? I feel like this is something he could complain about being unfair to him.

I guarantee that when certain states are called for Hillary with only 1 percent of precincts reporting, he'll use that as evidence of fraud and a media rigged against him.

 

[User 463088]

Monmouth is dropping a North Carolina poll today

FUCK. Someone get my rubber sheets.

Has Trump whined about early voting being a part of the rigged system yet? I feel like this is something he could complain about being unfair to him.

He hasn't, so far as I know. But, you know, he has no early vote team...because he's a dumb.

 

[Cyanity]

Hey um, I have a question about Hillary's tax plan, and specifically, how it will affect small business owners. My boss who makes much less than 250k a year is emphatic that Hillary will raise his taxes and screw him even further than he's already been screwed by taxes and regulation. I don't think his taxes will go up if Hillary's economic plan goes into effect, but if anyone could provide solid proof/explanation of how an H presidency would affect his business, that would be great. He's got less than 10 employees and we're in MA, btw.

 

[Finale Fireworker]

I hope that Donald gets pissed on Twitter when networks call the race for Hillary as soon as polls report from Florida. I am positive he will claim this as part of the rigged system. How can there be a winner before the polls even close on the west coast!? FRAUD!

Spoiler

My auto-correct automatically turns fraud to FRAUD now.

 

[User 463088]

http://nypost.com/2016/10/23/ex-tru...-that-tried-to-expand-russias-spying-efforts/

Two of Donald Trump’s closest former aides have ties to a firm that tried to help the Russian government spy on its own people, sources told The Post.

Former Trump campaign Chairman Paul Manafort and ex-“core’’ aide Rick Gates have financial links to EyeLock, which lobbied Russian leader Vladimir Putin’s government in a bid to expand the country’s domestic spying program, sources said.

The Russians wanted to use “iris-reading’’ technology in their subways to scan riders’ eyes and ferret out those on “watch lists,’’ sources said.

Trump’s campaign said it was unaware of Manafort and Gates’ ties to EyeLock.

“Mr. Trump and the campaign have absolutely no knowledge of this, and these individuals are no longer with the campaign,’’ Hope Hicks, a Trump campaign spokeswoman, told The Post.

EXTREME. VETTING.

Also:

 

[makingmusic476]

I hope that Donald gets pissed on Twitter when networks call the race for Hillary as soon as polls report from Florida. I am positive he will claim this as part of the rigged system. How can there be a winner before the polls even close on the west coast!? FRAUD!

Spoiler

My auto-correct automatically turns fraud to FRAUD now.

Wouldn't that assume he'd turn to his phone to tweet during a crowded election night event?

I'm not sure even he'd do that.

 

[TumblingHippo]

Seems like only yesterday that everyone was running away from Obama and not wanting to be associated with him for their senate elections...

 

[makingmusic476]

Maybe he's gonna put eye scanners in the wall.

 

[thebloo]

Seems like only yesterday that everyone was running away from Obama and not wanting to be associated with him for their senate elections...

One of the plays of the Clinton campaign is this. I know that it seems logical in retrospect, but this is in 2014: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DdDaKTMqf38

Hillary was at +6-8 favorability at this point, while Obama was at -5.

 

[User 463088]

Wapo should droppo the oppo on Aleppo rapido...or else we'll all get complacent!

 

[NeoXChaos]

Maine

I will only briefly mention that Clinton shows polling improvement in Maine, and since the first debate Democrats are exceeding their 2012 levels in Maine’s Second Congressional District. I think the likelihood Maine will split its Electoral College votes between the two congressional districts is fading (Maine and Nebraska are the only two states that do this), barring some unforeseen event.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-p-mcdonald/early-voting-the-election_b_12614284.html

 

[CoolOff]

Wapo should droppo the oppo on Aleppo rapido...or else we'll all get complacent!

Who is Dr.Oppo?

 

[Dubbedinenglish]

I hope that Donald gets pissed on Twitter when networks call the race for Hillary as soon as polls report from Florida. I am positive he will claim this as part of the rigged system. How can there be a winner before the polls even close on the west coast!? FRAUD!

Spoiler

My auto-correct automatically turns fraud to FRAUD now.

He's going to be tweeting along for states that he wins...then go silent...then the rigged will come out.

"People are saying there is tremendous fraud, lie you wouldn't believe."

 

[User 463088]

Who is Dr.Oppo?

Dr. Oppo is Domo Arigato Mr. Roboto.

It's only Dr. Oppo if you're nasty.

 

[lyrick]

He's going to be tweeting along for states that he wins...then go silent...then the rigged will come out.

"People are saying there is tremendous fraud, lie you wouldn't believe."

7PM November 8th:
Major Network: With 0% of the reporting complete we are calling Virginia for Hillary Clinton.

Trumps thumbs will be on fire.

 

[User 463088]

@realDonaldTrump
We are winning and the press is refusing to report it. Don't let them fool you- get out and vote! #DrainTheSwamp on November 8th!

k.

 

[mo60]

@realDonaldTrump
We are winning and the press is refusing to report it. Don't let them fool you- get out and vote! #DrainTheSwamp on November 8th!

k.

The only one that will be draining the swamps on november 8th is Hilary.

 

[DrForester]

I could have sworn at some point this summer/fall she hit 90% for a little bit. Like right after the convention. Am I misremembering or is his model changing?

The Nowcast has hit 90% for her a few times, but not the other ones.

 

[Bronx-Man]

He's losing it.

 

[Slayven]

"Draining the swamp" sounds like something that the one asshole at work says to announce he is going to the bathroom

 

[Loudninja]

@realDonaldTrump
We are winning and the press is refusing to report it. Don't let them fool you- get out and vote! #DrainTheSwamp on November 8th!

k.

lol after all this rigged nonsense now he wants them to get out an vote.

 

[shiba5]

@realDonaldTrump
We are winning and the press is refusing to report it. Don't let them fool you- get out and vote! #DrainTheSwamp on November 8th!

k.

Which is it? I thought it was rigged.

(He really likes his new catch phrase. It sounds ominously like, "When I'm President, I'll get rid of everyone I don't like.")

 

[SexyFish]

He's losing it.

He's gonna be fun at rallies today.

 

[Ignatz Mouse]

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump
'Clinton Charity Got Up To $56 Million From Nations That Are Anti-Women, Gays' #CrookedHillary

That apostrophe on "gays" is really annoying me.

It's a single quote maek, closing out the quote begun with "Clinton."

 

[Boke1879]

@realDonaldTrump
We are winning and the press is refusing to report it. Don't let them fool you- get out and vote! #DrainTheSwamp on November 8th!

k.

Good job Donny. Don't encourage them to go vote early!

 

[Teggy]

This is the map Trump is sending in fundraising emails. They say the current state is 266 Trump, 193 Clinton. Not sure how they are getting that, because that's not what the map shows.

Edit: Ah, this is how. The map doesn't show it but they claim to have polls that show them winning in IA, OH, ME, FL, NC and NV.

 

[Slacker]

Went through and responded to every tweet I could find saying that the polls are lying and Trump is actually winning with a simple "LOL." I wish twitter informed me when I get blocked by someone. Of course, most I'm talking too are probably bots but it still bears working.

 

[Emarv]

This is the map Trump is sending in fundraising emails. They say the current state is 266 Trump, 193 Clinton. Not sure how they are getting that, because that's not what the map shows.

Sure, Jan.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

This is the map Trump is sending in fundraising emails. They say the current state is 266 Trump, 193 Clinton. Not sure how they are getting that, because that's not what the map shows.

But... Those states don't equal 266 -_-