whyamihere
Banned
I don't buy Johnson would be up that much in the South, and this is a pretty new firm. I refuse to believe until election night!
I think he's doing 11am, 3pm, and 6pm updates. So yes. As is his wont.
-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
PoliGAF 2016 |OT13| For Queen and Country
- Thread starter aspiegamer
- Start date
- Status
I don't buy Johnson would be up that much in the South, and this is a pretty new firm. I refuse to believe until election night!
I think he's doing 11am, 3pm, and 6pm updates. So yes. As is his wont.
Crimson_Gold
Member
$5 million and we can prevent Rubio from getting that Windows Vista update. This is our chance
Hellsing321
Member
This definitely makes those rape charges sound a lot less outlandish.
metalslimer
Member
Yeah it was pretty busy today. People seem to be pretty pumped up. I'm not sure the metro areas will be enough to take out Trump but I'm convinced it's going to be too close to call when the polls close which would be hilarious.
gutter_trash
Banned
Can you imagine how sad they're gonna look in the final days before the election. Boris, Kayleigh, Andre, Lord will all understand the defeat and sound really apocalyptic about America's future.
All alone, Scottie Hughes will stand up on election night believing so deeply that Trump will win. The last Trumpeteer.
Just glancing around it's insane how big of a voting day today was. Remember when people thought this election would have low turnout? I think we're in for a MASSIVE Nov 8th in many places.
RustyNails
Member
Final days maybe. But after the election results, Kellyanne, Lord and Bauer will go to a secret bar and pop off bottles of champagne on earning millions of bucks and celebrating that the nightmare is finally over. They will sit and curse Trump's ass off and reminisce about their craziest "shit trump said" moments they had to face in media.
Kayleigh and Scottie however will be crying bitter, bitter tears.
Carpe Carnim
Member
The more lucid operatives in the RNC are fighting off tears now that they realize Trump is poised to not only risk their Legislative majorities, but extend the consent decree with the DOJ/Dems against "ballot security" schemes that is slated to expire next year.
Burn that house down, Trumpie!
https://www.brennancenter.org/legal-work/dnc-v-rnc-consent-decree
Burn that house down, Trumpie!
https://www.brennancenter.org/legal-work/dnc-v-rnc-consent-decree
Add 2 votes for Hillary in Texas (San Antonio)! Wife and I voted this afternoon. Pretty good showing at the early voting station. All in all we waited for about an hour to vote. I've never had to wait that long during early voting so it was really encouraging to see so many people show up.
newshinycd
Member
Fuck. Yes.
Come on Texas. Let's join the party. I want to go Blue one time in my life.
Carpe Carnim
Member
Sociologist who study voting patterns have found that your first two presidential votes at younger ages, tends to highly correlate with which party you vote with as an adult. It's been described as a partisan 'stickiness'.
Keep that in mind when you examine these statistics, and realize that Latinx voters are the fastest growing demographic in the nation.
Keep that in mind when you examine these statistics, and realize that Latinx voters are the fastest growing demographic in the nation.
Best, unspoken part of this whole thing; "Trump! Stop! We desperately need to be able to freely intimidate minorities again and you are ruining everything !"
Edit: Fuck that rat-eating spider, seriously. I realize I just posted a 150mb GIF a few pages back so this is a little pot-meets-kettle, but that was about bandwidth and this is about nightmares.
There aren't any.
At home voting in online polls.
Smiles and Cries
Member
we have a TrumpGaf?
Too shy even in anonymity.
thesaucetastic
Unconfirmed Member
How is Murphy done? I thought there weren't many ticket splitters and Hilary had a good margin. (Disclaimer: Haven't been paying too much attention to Florida)
Carpe Carnim
Member
I don't buy it either, but we can't let all these rubber sheets stay dry.
Basileus777
Member
McCain is so confident that he's campaigning in Nevada for Heck.
Accurate
You don't think Lord is one of the true believers? Conway is for sure celebrating but Lord has always seemed all in on the Trump juice, doing the most fucking insane mental gymnastics of any of the surrogates purely because his IQ isn't at rock bottom like Boris or Pierson.
The best Spanish speaking outreach.
Lord isn't a true believer. You can look at him and tell he's spewing bs for a paycheck.
Manmademan
Member
He's not. Might be tough, but it's winnable.
Florida Cubans will do some ticket splitting for Rubio. Even though Hillary has a good margin in polls, this spoils things a bit.
The potential bright side: since 2012 nearly as many Puerto Ricans arrived in Florida as there are Cubans total. These are unlikely to show up as likely voters for a number of reasons in polls, but actual Latino participation in FL via early voting is WAY up. Someone said double 2012 numbers, but I haven't seen the data myself.
Edit: yep. Daily beast has an article. Latino early voting is up 99%. If that holds Rubio is screwed.
These are very unlikely to be Cubans turning out for Rubio.
whyamihere
Banned
So I read that over 200 million Americans are registered to vote, vs 146m in 2012 (of which 126m went out and actually voted)
This is pretty amazing no? We should expect 180m~ votes?
Most of the new registered voters are democrats as well!
This is pretty amazing no? We should expect 180m~ votes?
Most of the new registered voters are democrats as well!
Someone can correct me, but IIRC, Rubio is running far ahead of Trump with Cuban's in Florida meaning there are a decent number of people who are ticket splitting. If Hillary blows Trump out in Florida by 6-8% it's possible for Murphy to be dragged across the line, but with the current polling margins, it's unlikely that Murphy will be able to overcome the ticket splitting.
hipsterpants
Member
I'll gladly mock 538 for its nonsense this election cycle, but:
hnnng
hnnng
Basileus777
Member
Not a very good candidate basically running a generic D campaign against name recognition Rubio. Being outspent 2-1 by Rubio forces with DCCC pulling out from ad spending due to expensive state/resources allocted to cheaper Senate race alternatives. Rubio losing Hispanics to Murphy but no where near as bad as Trump while winning the White vote parity to Trump.
Carpe Carnim
Member
So Cheetos Jesus is coming to my town tomorrow night. This should be interesting considering we are one of only 3 blue Counties in all of the FL Panhandle.
I'm thinking I may have to check out the affair from the periphery. The Repubs in this town are of the Jeb Bush variety. I don't know what he expects to accomplish, except attract Southern Georgia voters
I'm thinking I may have to check out the affair from the periphery. The Repubs in this town are of the Jeb Bush variety. I don't know what he expects to accomplish, except attract Southern Georgia voters
Aaron Strife
Banned
Interesting.
Republicans are probably feeling some heartburn over seats/offices that are further down in the weeds that even some of us wouldn't consider.
AWWWWWW YEAH SON!!!!!!
Kander taking down Blunt would be in my top 5 best case scenario events on election day along side taking the House, laughing at Issa losing, and watching Rubitron be destroyed.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
https://twitter.com/KristenhCNN/status/790706066313052160
Do Trump fans hate CNN so much because Trump watches CNN and doesn't read all the newspapers that hate him?
Do Trump fans hate CNN so much because Trump watches CNN and doesn't read all the newspapers that hate him?
Carpe Carnim
Member
Cubans aren't nearly as monolithic as they used to be. In fact, younger Cubans are just as likely to be Dems as other ethnic cohorts
whyamihere
Banned
Oh my.
Trump is far from an innocent man.
EmCeeGramr
Member
Not to torture you poor souls anymore, but Rick Wilson's endless oppo tease is now hinting that the Daily Beast story about coke parties and underage models is the "shot" and the chaser is coming soon.
Not to get my hopes up anymore that the "oppo tapes" actually exist, but if this story was put out there just so that Trump can deny it and a tape backing it up appears right after, then oh man.
Not to get my hopes up anymore that the "oppo tapes" actually exist, but if this story was put out there just so that Trump can deny it and a tape backing it up appears right after, then oh man.
We really don't know what's going to happen on Election Night, do we?
I mean.. we know Hillary will win comfortably. But we don't know how far into the traditionally red column she'll reach.
We know the Senate will be ours.. but we don't know the exact seats or margins.
We know we'll make gains in the House, but again, we have no idea as to the extent.
The ceilings on all of these races are so fuzzy. These early voting numbers are starting to look impressive, even in areas that are surprising.
2012 felt like it could've been predicted in each category within a normal range. But 2016? We don't know. And I'm turgid with excitement.
I mean.. we know Hillary will win comfortably. But we don't know how far into the traditionally red column she'll reach.
We know the Senate will be ours.. but we don't know the exact seats or margins.
We know we'll make gains in the House, but again, we have no idea as to the extent.
The ceilings on all of these races are so fuzzy. These early voting numbers are starting to look impressive, even in areas that are surprising.
2012 felt like it could've been predicted in each category within a normal range. But 2016? We don't know. And I'm turgid with excitement.
- Status
Similar threads
- Locked
- Locked
- Locked