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PoliGAF 2016 |OT13| For Queen and Country
- Thread starter aspiegamer
- Start date
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I'm surprised that she didn't endorse Obama the moment Biden was announced, actually.
Trollin' in the Veep.
I was poking around 538's updates and found Gravis' latest national poll!!
Clinton - 50
Trump - 50
... Registered voters.
I don't want to be that guy but I almost want to say they completely made this one up
"I can't be arsed doing this poll. What about you?"
"Nah, not really"
"Tell you what, here's an idea. I'm a registered voter, you?"
"Yep"
"Okay, I think you see where this is going. 'I'm voting for Clinton'."
"Uh... oh! Yes, I get it. 'I'm voting for Trump'"
"Job done. Pub?"
"Pub."
Spiritreaver
Member
Today's gonna be a fun day.
Bloomberg/Selzer
FLORIDA
4way
Trump 45
Clinton 43
Johnson 4
Stein 2
H2H
Trump 46
Clinton 45
Bloomberg/Selzer
FLORIDA
4way
Trump 45
Clinton 43
Johnson 4
Stein 2
H2H
Trump 46
Clinton 45
The Republican standby of "true, but not honest". Republicans are ahead in early voting in Florida, yes - but they're nowhere near as much ahead as they have been in previous years, it's very nearly neck-and-neck; Obama carried Florida in 2008 and 2012 and had a much lower proportion of the early vote at this stage than Clinton does.
sazzy
Member
looks like a new (public) poll?
can't find any mention of it going back to 1st august on 538
And Pennsylvania?
Manmademan
Member
doesn't have early voting, and extremely limited absentee voting. so just false.
Manmademan
Member
that's a lot of words to say "early voting drives up turnout, high turnout favors democrats." "Pennsylvania tends to have a republican controlled legislature, but way more democrats than republicans overall, so early voting is a no."
cartoon_soldier
Member
I can't wait to see Selzer fall from their pedestal. They were so wrong in Iowa this time too.
Someone show these idiots how email clients are these days. They show the recipient name not email address...
Officerrob
Banned
Cheryl Mills needs to get appointed to a high position just so I can see Scarborough meltdown
I would like Supreme Court justice just so she can go destroy the FOIA and Joe can shit his pants on live tv.
cartoon_soldier
Member
nature boy
Member
The downfall of Nate Silver and Anne Selzer, believe me
Yes and post election there will be some republican governor or Secretary of State launching an investigation into why a thousand dead people voted. A year from now there will be a 5 sentence blurb in the smallest newspaper that says 999 of those dead people voted validally but we found one fucker who cheated the system
Aaron Strife
Banned
sazzy
Member
anyone seen Trumpland?
it starts off a bit awkward, gets pretty emotional in the middle, and then ends really weirdly.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q1EnRLZ3p4o
it starts off a bit awkward, gets pretty emotional in the middle, and then ends really weirdly.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q1EnRLZ3p4o
nature boy
Member
FL Senate poll:
SurveyUSA ‏@surveyusa 22m22 minutes ago
Florida, @surveyusa for @BN9 and @MyNews13:
Rubio 45
Murphy 41
SurveyUSA ‏@surveyusa 22m22 minutes ago
Florida, @surveyusa for @BN9 and @MyNews13:
Rubio 45
Murphy 41
We can do this! Counting on all of our newly registered Puerto Rican's and millennials since 2012.
Officerrob
Banned
Nicolle Wallace talking about Arizona, "He doesn't have any field offices, but look how close it is"
Hey Nicolle, IT'S ARIZONA!!
Hey Nicolle, IT'S ARIZONA!!
Finale Fireworker
Member
Now that this new Florida poll has shown Hillary won't win, I'm going to have to stay up extra late to watch them call the election for Trump.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Man if we just whiff this one I'll be so mad.
It would be one thing if Rubio were consistently up double digits but to quote an earlier article how stupid is it going to look if Rubio wins by 80,000 votes and the DSCC didn't spend a cent?
Exactly it shouldn't even be close lol
balladofwindfishes
Member
She still assuming 2004 turnout numbers?
Lol maybe he should have actually had some?
sazzy
Member
The first 30 minutes today were basically:
If Donald wins every state he's supposed to, and every state he's close in, and every state he's within margin of error in, he can get to 266! And then all he has to do is win New Hamphshire and he can win this thing!
She's assuming a mass milennial deflection to Bernie sanders and for la Hillary to become unpopular!
Both likely outcomes given Cheryl mills.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Tightening SHIT
User 463088
Banned
Where does she get these numbers!?
She has the Hispanic vote over 4% down from 2012.
She has the over 65 vote at 31% of the electorate, up 7 points from 2012.
She has us with only a 2 point party advantage
She has Trump getting 10% of the African American vote, and 36% of the Hispanic vote.
How do you do these things?
She has the Hispanic vote over 4% down from 2012.
She has the over 65 vote at 31% of the electorate, up 7 points from 2012.
She has us with only a 2 point party advantage
She has Trump getting 10% of the African American vote, and 36% of the Hispanic vote.
How do you do these things?
plagiarize
Banned
Watching the Gingrich Kelley showdown from last night, one thing became clear to me...
The Newts must really think Trump still has a good chance, because really it's all or nothing for them to continue defending Trump.
When he, and his ideas, are soundly defeated, they will have their support of Trump around their necks for the rest of time. Maybe they will be able to continue to be politically relevant, but it will never, for the rest of their career, not be something working against them and hurting them.
The Newts must really think Trump still has a good chance, because really it's all or nothing for them to continue defending Trump.
When he, and his ideas, are soundly defeated, they will have their support of Trump around their necks for the rest of time. Maybe they will be able to continue to be politically relevant, but it will never, for the rest of their career, not be something working against them and hurting them.
Aaron Strife
Banned
I feel the broadest problem with the mainstream media (and this extends to many pollsters) is they take 2004 as the "normal" of American politics, where Republicans are the reasonable, serious party compared to the liberal weenie Democrats who always trip on their own feet. There's always something to rationalize a Democratic win as an aberration - Obama won in 08 because Bush screwed the pooch royally. Clinton's victory will be strongly portrayed as Democrats lucking out with Trump as the nominee.
2012 tried to be pigeonholed into this and the media seemed to be bracing for a Romney win (back to "normal") but Obama won anyway and fairly comfortably. There's not really an obvious explanation there that the media wants to admit to, only that an increasingly extremist GOP and a rising minority electorate will produce easy Democratic wins. But that completely turns things upside down.
nature boy
Member
sazzy
Member
on twitter she's saying hillary went to adele's concert and no one freaked out about that lol
lyrick
Member
yeah in her rambling she said something about that too.
Nazgul_Hunter
Member
Rudy is bombing on New Day. Chris Cuomo doing good work today
plagiarize
Banned
One difference is Clinton can afford to take a day off and Trump can't.
lyrick
Member
Looking at today's influx of campaign emails I'm going to guess that it may have been a birthday present.
Ignatz Mouse
Banned
Donald hasn't tweeted personally for 6 days.
They definitely took his phone away.
They definitely took his phone away.
Finale Fireworker
Member
What if he's dead.
Donald, tweet a picture with a newspaper like Castro. Pls respond.
Not like this. Nooooo.
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