He was going for his whole "America sucks but the people are great" thing like he does when he repeatedly shits on the military.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT13| For Queen and Country
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He was going for his whole "America sucks but the people are great" thing like he does when he repeatedly shits on the military.
User 463088
Banned
Plz click to my website so ESPN gets money thank you.
Interesting Utah poll that shows trump leading by only 3. Not sure if this was posted before but it's by Rass.
http://heatst.com/politics/utah-pol...nt-gop-to-endorse-evan-mcmullin-in-3-way-tie/
http://heatst.com/politics/utah-pol...nt-gop-to-endorse-evan-mcmullin-in-3-way-tie/
Going to be sad when ESPN shuts them down anyway
Lines here in Austin are 2-3 hours still.
In 2012 I walked in and voted with zero wait.
LV models here may not account for the tons of liberals who have been waiting in the wings for any chance at all to turn the state Blue.
Good Nate: I love numbers, facts and pure data driven modeling.
Bad Nate: What if like those electronic voting kiosks fail man?
User 463088
Banned
Also, I say this weekly, Andrea Mitchell is the fucking worst.
"Early voting in Florida looks good for Democrats. There's even a small uptake in Hispanic voting."
It's up 99%!
That's like me saying my alcohol mixes are a small affront to mixology.
"Early voting in Florida looks good for Democrats. There's even a small uptake in Hispanic voting."
It's up 99%!
That's like me saying my alcohol mixes are a small affront to mixology.
nature boy
Member
Sulfur Stench can't even win one of her "home" states! SAD!
It would be Trump's luck that there isn't a secret Trump voter, but a secret Hillary voter
Yup. He said it on the podcast too and Harry tweeted a nod to the same idea last night.
They're being needlessly misleading and manipulative, and it's really pissing me off.
Seriously though, there's something baffling to me about Nate Silver implying there's a systemic polling issue when his entire website is dedicated to making predictions based on a poll aggregate.
An aggregate helps eliminate the issue of variance, but it doesn't do anything if the polls are all skewed in the same way.
An aggregate helps eliminate the issue of variance, but it doesn't do anything if the polls are all skewed in the same way.
gotstrangepowers
Banned
That's awesome--it's disappointing that Bexar hasn't turned out as well though. Maybe their number is depressed by republicans staying home.
I imagine there are a number of wives who would fit that bill.
Trump is the master of making a mountain out of a molehill
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
If only the election had started already--say, a week or two ago--and we had a significant percentage of actual voting demographic data to look for any sign of a systemic polling error.
Ah, well.
Ah, well.
Rockin' Ranger
Member
In the final week he'll be selling a Trump presidency as 4 more years of Obama.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
Hanity said:
some mighty fine economic anxiety there!
It's why I honestly don't think it's about clicks. If all polls have a issue, then his entire site and work have been worthless. It's counter-intuitive to wanting to go to his site to see the new polling numbers.
Nate is a contrarian at heart. I'm convinced this is what drives a lot of this and a lot of his weird statements this year. He enjoys being the one standing off to the side saying "Maybe everyone else is wrong and I'm right, I guess we'll see".
Because other than that, I see no advantage for him to call into question his entire model.
Box of Kittens
Banned
Correct. Romney was ahead in the popular vote count when Ohio was projected for Obama (putting his projected Electoral Vote total over 270) and a lot of people took this as meaning there would be a divergence between the popular and electoral votes. In general, people are bad at understanding that returns aren't necessarily representative. Witness the 2012 Election Night OT where people were panicking when Romney had popular and electoral vote leads early and when returns from rural Virginia put Romney up in that state.
I probably won't be able to get around to it, but I'd love to throw some sort of guide to watching the returns that explains some of this stuff.
Um...
User 463088
Banned
So, I don't care if Andrea talks about emails all day. But, if you're going to do that, why the hell do you go to a rally and try to talk about them!?
That would require far more money and effort than Hannity is worth. Just drop him down a deep hole.
That is weird as fuck, and she is trying to stir up shit with Jeff Weaver. Does she hate Hillary or something?
User 463088
Banned
She and her husband are not fans of the Clintons.
Dollars to donuts somebody's going to give Hannity the exact same offer. Lumpy's not allowed to come to Canada though, we don't want him.
What a tool.
A Serious Man
Member
Has there ever been anything more "good ol' boys" than Trump congratulating Newt on that interview?
Some pepple really want this election to end up like that BC election in 2013 were the left wing party was leading by like a mid single digit margin against the incumbent party and the left wing party ended up losing the election by like 4 points.
GutsOfThor
Member
I'm waiting to get my hair cut right now and the lady ahead of me is a trump deplorable talking about how trump gets thousands of people at his rallies which means he will win.
Help me gaf.....
Help me gaf.....
Ignore that lady.
Carpe Carnim
Member
This is all gut-level guessing, but I think her Clinton Mania stems from her marriage to Greenspan. He was savaged by Liberals, especially Krugman after he provided cover for W's tax cuts, and overseeing the Tech Bubble burst.
It's either that or the Clinton's killed her cat at some point, and she's got a vendetta.
I almost feel like it's an attempt to cover his ass if his predictions aren't accurate. "My model's not the problem, the polls are the problem" Even though he's choosing to use those polls for his model. It's like building a rocket out of cardboard and telling people cardboard's probably not the right material to build a rocket out of.
lol. Did you know John King is a Republican?
How does SC rate with teen pregnancies?
One of the reasons for rejection?
I'm sorry my sex is offensive to you, you Ducker.
What about healthy, "normal" relationships?
Totally okay since all teens in SC have healthy relationships, right?
Oh.
Get fucked you old ass, abstinence only, scared of healthy sexual relationship, gay hating, child abusing mother fuckers.
She really seems to have a personal vendetta against Hillary. For all the talk of media bias she's the one that appears personally invested the most to me.
I mean, in a way, I feel bad for John King and Steve Kornacki. Every day they're told to go to that wall and try to make the race look interesting when it's just not anymore. So now it's "spend a few seconds on the real map and Trump's insanely narrow path to victory, and then spend the majority of the time having fun with silly scenarios!"
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
Because nobody has time to argue in public when I got shit to do
They have to keep the narrative alive
Box of Kittens
Banned
It definitely happens. Without going back and checking...
1860 was a bit unusual because of the split in the Democratic Party, but the "official" nominees (Lincoln and Douglas) were both from Illinois.
1920 put the governor of Ohio (Cox) against an Ohio Senator (Harding).
1944 had former New York Governor turned President FDR against New York Governor Tom Dewey. Come to think of it, I think Willkie (1940) also had NY as his home state.
JHoNNy1OoO
Member
Whenever you see the magic wall pop up you know it's all about "the dead heat".
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