darkstar0155
Member
I know more than a few dem leaning independents that voted Bush solely because they though he would be better to continue the war with than changing. I think that and the swift boater attacks is what mostly did him in.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT13| For Queen and Country
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I know more than a few dem leaning independents that voted Bush solely because they though he would be better to continue the war with than changing. I think that and the swift boater attacks is what mostly did him in.
Spoiled Milk
Banned
Nonsense, he's the REAL Harry Enten! Says so right in his handle!
whyamihere
Banned
I don't think those are tweets form actual Harry Enten.
This is a fake profile
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Fairly certain it was actual proof. There were warnings to state of Indiana voters to check their registration because there were quite a few attempts and changing information.
Isn't that a fake Twitter account?
The House is not happening this year.
She's likeable enough!
Yeah. It isn't.
Voysa Reezun
Banned
That's not Harry Enten's Twitter. He's at ForecasterEnten.
The cynic in me doesn't want to get excited, but if that turns out to be the case...whoo boy.
Baron von Loathsome
Member
As I understand it, the Political Machine series has always had a considerable right wing bent. I mean, this is Stardock we're talking about.
Box of Kittens
Banned
Agreed. Failure to respond effectively to the Swift Boat attacks is my single biggest complaint about Kerry.
What a lot of people ignore is that he also did a fair number of things right, including turning in three strong debate performances. Would I have loved a more charismatic candidate? Of course. But Kerry simply wasn't the disaster he's often made out to be. Just because a candidate loses the race doesn't mean they're a bad candidate.
whyamihere
Banned
You probably should edit this post.
Spoiled Milk
Banned
DrForester
Kills Photobucket
That might explain why Sassy Trump works so well in those videos....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fkgK2M8e6-4
Hooligan69
Member
So does the redistricting happen by the current president in 2020, or the one (re)elected that year?
User 463088
Banned
FUCK.
Also, the media is fucking bored with Hillary winning. Like, they're throwing anything they can to see what sticks. It's hilarious.
One poll is tight in FL! She's only leading by 4 in NH! PRETEND THE +9 NATION DOESN'T EXIST! Here's an African American woman who likes Trump, is Hillary doomed?! Hispanic votes in Florida are only up 99% WHY NOT MORE!? Is WIKILEAKS creating a rift between Bernie Sanders supporters and Hillary's campaign!? What if OUR REVOLUTION PAC doesn't like who Hillary nominates for Assistant Undersecretary of Health and Human Services Sniffle DIVISION!?
FUCK!
Box of Kittens
Banned
Redistricting will occur after the 2020 election.
TestOfTide
Banned
My prediction:
- 54-36 on the popular vote thanks to GOTV and voter enthusiasm gap.
- Clinton wins at least 380 EC votes (but many won't be final until the next day).
- Dems take back both houses of congress, with many of those new seats being suburban districts in Red and lean Red States.
- Murphy just barely beats Rubio thanks to GOTV.
- Within days after the election, Hillary makes clear that she wants the lame duck GOP Senate to confirm Merrick Garland, putting pressure on moderate GOP senators to call for a hearing and a vote.
- Tidal wave of GOP leaders repudiating Trump once it's official that he's lost in a landslide.
- Bill Mitchell has the most glorious meltdown that makes Rove's 2012 meltdown look like nothing.
Trends are showing that although it started later than usual, we are seeing the usual shift away from third parties, and reports say that most of them are becoming Hillary voters.
User 463088
Banned
Charlie Crist +3 in his race for Congress per MSNBC
BobTheFork
Member
So Nate accidentally some internals?
Voysa Reezun
Banned
Basileus777
Member
Harry Enten has the worst sense of humor.
Spoiled Milk
Banned
Give-out-tiny-vouchers. It's an illegal incentive to vote.
"Get On That Vape" - Grover Norquist
I'm not in the bicycle thread but I feel like I'm in the bicycle thread. These look like chainring combos.
Angry Grimace
Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
"Get out the vote." Basically your apparatus to mobilize actual voters going to the polls. Very important for Democratic races because while there's a registration advantage for Democrats, a lot of Democratic leaning voters don't actually vote (for a myriad of reasons).
A lot of the Republican GOTV apparatus is Democratic voter suppression.
BobTheFork
Member
I thought it stood for Grand Ole TV.
Carpe Carnim
Member
Redistricting is entirely the purview of the states. The POTUS has no input to how the State Legislatures or redistricting boards carve up the map. There are certain Federal rules that govern minority representation, but those only directly effect a few districts in each State.
Reps elected in 2020,for the most part (I'm looking at you Texas) will oversee those maps. Luckily it's a high-turnout POTUS year, unlike 2010. Gawd help us all
Man-is-Obsolete
Member
Well what if the systemic polling errors were actually hiding votes for Hillary?
RastaMentality
Banned
can TrumpTV please have bill mitchell on for election night
JetBlackPanda
Member
Im sure you guys already talked about this but get ready for years of this shit.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...3-11e6-9980-50913d68eacb_story.html?tid=sm_fb
https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...3-11e6-9980-50913d68eacb_story.html?tid=sm_fb
Seriously, how long will the pundits continue to push the "She's so disliked by most of the country"?
The greatest con Trump ever pulled was helping to remind America that Hillary is alright.
Oh, bring it.
We saw what happened the last time they pulled this stunt.
Also, this requires them to have control of congress.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
You guys are straight up huffing hopium now. Rs will come home somewhat over the next two weeks and then she'll outperform the final polls.
C: 51.5
T: 43.5
Friendship ended with Weld: 4
WiFi/etc.: 1
Edit: Bonus edition that adds up to 100!
C: 51.5
T: 43.5
Friendship ended with Weld: 4
WiFi/etc.: 1
Edit: Bonus edition that adds up to 100!
If the republicans do this they just handed hilary her second term probably.
TestOfTide
Banned
Get out the vote. It's what the entire groundgame of a decent campaign builds up to: tilting the election in your favor by making sure that all or nearly all of your supporters vote.
As this thread has probably mentioned, advertisements are mostly just about increasing name recognition for your candidates. Groundgame is for actually influencing opinions of undecideds and maximizing turnout on your side.
whyamihere
Banned
Yeah, I think(?) that was posted on twitter the other day. It's from a firm that I hadn't heard.
Were's the last two percent?
Oh. So those voting fraudsters the upstanding police raided and shut down in Indiana.
Hard to launch investigations when you're in the minority
RastaMentality
Banned
McMuffin Surge
I think this is less hopium and more bath salts.
Carpe Carnim
Member
Real Talk: Unless Dem voters decide to show up in Midterms, there will be no voter backlash to complete GOP intransigence, and/or government shutdowns. Unless they're dumb enough to do it within a month of elections.
The GOP base sees Democratic control as prima facie illegitimate and will demand scalps; bloody, bloody scalps
nature boy
Member
Rassss polled the NV senate race because KTNV-TV 13 Action News was stupid enough to pay them :
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