eBay Huckster
Member
Yeah but what if I average it with a poll that doesn't need to have its weights adjusted in order to come anywhere close to the aggregate
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT13| For Queen and Country
- Thread starter aspiegamer
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Yeah but what if I average it with a poll that doesn't need to have its weights adjusted in order to come anywhere close to the aggregate
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Hahahaha Steve Kornacki going through oldest inaugurated Presidents.
"William Harrison was 68 in 1841, HE ONLY LASTED A MONTH BTW"
Died of pneumonia!
This sounds almost like air traffic control
On flight plan LAT -> USC -> AP -> GFK, now passing over IBD VORTAC
plagiarize
Banned
The clock is running out. The polls will tighten *a bit*, and then Clinton will likely outperform them, just as Barry did... but yeah. The presidency is in the bag. The senate is leaning the right way, but isn't in the bag yet, and the house isn't going to happen in 2016.
But it doesn't need to.
But it doesn't need to.
Piloted by Ann SelzerOn flight plan LAT -> USC -> AP -> GFK, now passing over IBD VORTAC
Died of pneumonia!
As he was saying that I imagined him for some reason sitting on the doorstep of the White House coughing. And I didn't make the connection to Hillary. Sad!
hehehe
Come and celebrate Hillary Clinton's (probable) victory outside the Ecuadorian Embassy on the 9th of November. Julian Assange will obviously be thrilled with a Clinton victory but is sadly trapped inside so we're bringing the party to him in a show of solidarity.
Swedish Police fancy dress optional.
(Obviously IF Trump wins this event will be cancelled at short notice and we will feel extremely embarrassed. Thankfully the inevitable nuclear war that follows Trump's victory will ensure any embarrassment is short-lived).
Hahahaha Steve Kornacki going through oldest inaugurated Presidents.
"William Harrison was 68 in 1841, HE ONLY LASTED A MONTH BTW"
Lets hope Hilary doesnt try to prove how manly she is by giving a two hour innoguration speech in the pouring rain
whyamihere
Banned
Holy shit.hehehe
Yeah but what if I average it with a poll that doesn't need to have its weights adjusted in order to come anywhere close to the aggregate
Well that is no fun!
Actually the reason I mentioned it is because it's similar to the USC poll.
@nate_cohn
Key note on the AP/GfK poll: it's a probability sample conducted online. Yet Trump doesn't overperform.
Died of pneumonia!
Probably lacked stamina. Sad!
ryutaro's mama
Member
So we are focusing on single polls again or naw?
So we are focusing on single polls again or naw?
Yes. The next single polls come out in 5 minutes, and our mood will shift accordingly.
Ooh, Bill Weld on MSNBC now.
"She's a spring chicken!"
I enjoyed that haha.
whyamihere
Banned
www.diapers.comYes. The next single polls come out in 5 minutes, and our mood will shift accordingly.
ryutaro's mama
Member
#teambedwet
whyamihere
Banned
@AP: BREAKING: AP-GfK poll: Hillary Clinton grabs potentially decisive advantages over Donald Trump in final days of 2016 campaign.
I love the phrase "potentially decisive".
hehehe
Lmao, it's almost like the 2008 South Park election. They just need to start chanting "loser" to Assange.
RustyNails
Member
Ah just checked, its state.I think they're dropping a couple of state polls.
However if they are dropping a national, I predict Clinton +10
The junky Ap/Gfk poll will be more than enough for today
maximum360
Member
CNN has two stories on their homepage about Clinton's lead shrinking
r/politics was also in a panic this morning about it.
CNN loves a horse race, even an artificial one created by CNN.
ryutaro's mama
Member
I love the phrase "potentially decisive".
CAUSE YOU NEVAH KNOW
Hobbestetrician
Member
I am fairly sure one of the reasons my dad usually votes R (I think I sufficiently shamed him into not voting Trump) is that his financial guy constantly sounds the DEFCON 1 alarm at him about Democrats winning elections.Advises trades based on the political climate for the living.
I love the phrase "potentially decisive".
When they drop another poll next Wednesday with Hillary +7, it will be evidence that she is collapsing.
CNN just doing a good job to make sure complacency doesn't sink in.CNN loves a horse race, even an artificial one created by CNN.
Thanks CNN!
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
If the tightening is due to the other guy going from 38 to 42 while you stay at 48-49, then you're still doing just fine. Some of these ridiculous numbers like the AP poll are due to Trump getting a lower share than he will probably end up getting.
gutterboy44
Member
I love the phrase "potentially decisive".
I think Trump's word salad is starting to leech into the public conscious. I mean why give Trump the benefit of the doubt that he has never earned for a millisecond. Everyone is too afraid to call it cause he still might pivot! If it were the other way around, the Trump coins would already be minted.
cartoon_soldier
Member
Nevada polling all over the place
StopMakingSense
Member
+9 NH
Even in NV
Even in NV
Basileus777
Member
NBC/WSJ/Marist NV: Heck 49, Masto 42 - was Heck +2 in Sept
Now this is the first poll of the day that I don't like.
whyamihere
Banned
NBC/WSJ/Marist NV: Heck 49, Masto 42 - was Heck +2 in Sept
This is just not something that's backed up at all by other polling/what we're seeing every day on the ground. Unless there's a HUGE swell of Democrats crossing over for Heck.
8 X 11 Printer Paper
Member
Nevada polling all over the place
Nevada tends to be a bitch to poll right, even non-right leaning pollsters tend to have it more Republican friendly then it really is due to the nature of the states demographics.
whyamihere
Banned
Well, we have a solid idea of what NV looks like at this point. And it doesn't look like a tie or Heck ahead.
User 463088
Banned
There is nothing to suggest those Nevada numbers are anywhere near accurate....other than Nevada is impossible to poll for a lot of reasons. Early voting tells us a completely different story.
Basileus777
Member
The NH number is pretty favorable to Ayotte, she's outrunning Trump by a full 10 points.
Killerhertz
Neo Member
Whats everyone's opinions on retirees voting for hillary that given any other republican would have never voted for her?
I ask cause I was genuinely surprised when I saw my grandma say she's voting for her only one vote but a surprising one believe me
I ask cause I was genuinely surprised when I saw my grandma say she's voting for her only one vote but a surprising one believe me
whyamihere
Banned
The NH number is pretty favorable to Ayotte, she's outrunning Trump by a full 10 points.
Not really that surprising. Before this election, Ayotte, Hassan, and Shaheen all had very high favorables. Hassan and Ayotte are running a bit independent of the top of the ticket.
RustyNails
Member
What the HECK
Chezzymann
Member
Still think clintons winning by 6-7%, despite these tempting +10 polls coming out. Aggregates are around 6% don't think she'll double them even if LA Times IBD and Rasmussen are mucking everything up.
User 463088
Banned
Mark Murray ‏@mmurraypolitics 3m3 minutes ago
In NV, Clinton leads Trump 60%-35% among those who have *already* voted (13% of likely voters) -- per new NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of NV
@mmurraypolitics
Mark Murray Retweeted Mark Murray
Among the 87% of likely voters who haven't voted yet, it's Trump 46%, Clinton 42%
22% of LV have already voted....these numbers sense do not make. Any.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
+6 is her floor I think but its considerably more likely than double digitsStill think clintons winning by 6-7%, despite these tempting +10 polls coming out. Aggregates are around 6% don't think she'll double them even if LA Times IBD and Rasmussen are mucking everything up.
hehehe
Is this actually happening?
eBay Huckster
Member
accounting for IBD, rasmussen and gravis being tire fires, the huffpost aggregate is currently C+8.2
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