We can't have fresh Trump twitter quotes but I guess this is good enough.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black
- Thread starter Y2Kev
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If we talk about it in a level headed manner I believe that he seriously needs to take another look at his model. A lot of the criticism is valid and he's going to end up being the RCP of polling averages really quickly if he doesn't.
His attitude of basically being an asshole and acting superior has started from day 1 and has only added fuel to the criticism and hate he gets.
Looks like--at least in Central Ohio--the rain won't start until after around 6:30pm, one hour before polls close. Not sure what that means, though.
Edit: FUCK....looks like it'll be raining all day in Northeast Ohio. Dammit!! Maybe it'll be a light rain.
In a positive outlook, Ohio seems to have a good amount of polling places so lines that go outside aren't a common sight.
Source: I've lived and voted in 4 different areas of Ohio and never waiting more than, like, 10 minutes. But who knows!!!
Agreed. Mook also said on Thursday night during their weekend battle-planning that they expect to win NC. I believe in them!
User 463088
Banned
Also, super sad to hear about Janet Reno. I worked pretty extensively on her gubernatorial campaign in 2002. 
FloydtheFathead
Member
1) Slayven would be okay with it if he'd get to have a hot Asian chick if I recall correctly..
2)I will insult the Browns because the universe constantly does.. shit at least Philly has Embiid
Wafflecakes
Member
Does rain REALLY make that much of a difference in turnout?
gutter_trash
Banned
Ohio is going Red
cartoon_soldier
Member
Yea, that poll is not that good.
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
dude Ohio is gone, don't even worry about it.
I think what worries me is if there IS high turnout, I could see some polling locations (on a non-rainy day) have lines that last until well after 7:30pm, but if it's pouring down rain or something, I wonder if people would wait?
I also wonder if maybe most of these lines are actually indoors as well? I just don't know!
And man, it's Ohio. If people here aren't used to rain and cold winters, they're in trouble. But to be fair, it's freaking 70s in November and we haven't had a real winter in two years now, ugh.
Carpe Carnim
Member
Nah. Make it a month. Then perhaps we could stop building campaign strategies around 'Muh Oppo'
It's like we're in an electoral version of old westerns, where the Cavalry is bound to arrive in the nick of time carrying a briefcase full of salacious stories we'll gather all the children to gawk at.
Make Election Day a national holiday and have damn street fairs that offer free admission if you voted. I dunno, we neednto do something to get people excited to do their damned civic duty.
Fragamemnon
Member
upshot poll making me feel way less confident when you look at early voting data. Don't think Clinton can lose college educated whites by that much and win. 2012 repeat.
When there's hour+ lines to vote, yes.
Congress needs to mandate that everyone uses optical scan ballots instead of touchscreens.
Not if people go vote!!@!443y781264
Do you really think she can lose college educated whites by 9 points? Just seems like such an outlier and swing from last time.
Wafflecakes
Member
Pretty sure congress doesn't have the authority to mandate that though...
sazzy
Member
sigh...
things like this make me wish for a donald victory... to be unleashed upon the world.
Hydrophobic
Member
This feels like it is enough to inhibit the driver lol. Maybe they should've left the rear window clean...
cartoon_soldier
Member
If upshot/Sienna is right, basically Dems not performing as well as they should in EV to win NC.
Young and hispanic voters are in the Unaffiliated category. I would assume Dems are getting 60+ % of that number and are ahead of their 2012 EV.
Hasphat'sAnts
Member
Gah. Wish we had better news in NC
Leads can't last forever, and we both know polls can change. It's hard to pull that handle, in the cold November rain.
If you thought this post was awful, you're not the only one. You're not the only one.
/sick guitar riff
cartoon_soldier
Member
They might be ahead but Republicans are more ahead.
Sort of the only redeeming factor in the Upshot poll is that 6% who did EV refused to say who they voted for and demographically they favor Clinton.
bigwinnerx
Member
Seeing that the Philly transit strike is over is great news. That should (you'd hope) seal up PA.
What a dumb way to phrase that.
cartoon_soldier
Member
Better news in FL
As for NC, I hope Clinton can get Black vote up to 23% share on Election Day.
As for NC, I hope Clinton can get Black vote up to 23% share on Election Day.
Hasphat'sAnts
Member
This implies Duke alums actually stay in NC
cartoon_soldier
Member
Did upshot have the female/male breakdown? I didn't see crosstabs.
Just one poll, right? Take an average.
excelsiorlef
Member
Is it NC or FL where the by party vote is deceiving because the increase in GOP is explained in part by a lot of Dixiecrats voting officially under the GOP bannerfor the first time?
nature boy
Member
Man this CNN report on Mosul is INTENSE
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
and smother the pain with an unknown dose of an unknown drug made in somebodys kitchen
And then take a deep breath...
balladofwindfishes
Member
Welcome to Poligaf
Carpe Carnim
Member
Both. The south is full of folks that haven't voted Dem since Carter, but have never changed affiliation.
This year's competitive Primary shook a lot of those folks loose, and back to where they should have been registered
cartoon_soldier
Member
Reps are up 116k over 2012. Not really positive.
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
You should see the 60 minutes report on it from last night (which is loaded with dead bodies, insane CQC and more dead bodies)
I like to think that I have gotten used to the mood swings but even I get caught out occasionally.
Same poll also confirms that NPAs lean dem. Also ignorning the Qpac poll that had Clinton +2. I know we all love Nate Cohn and The Upshot and these Siena polls are very high quality but let's not forget about their last Florida poll showing Trump +4. Their poll is also a tie, not a Trump lead. I think the disappointment stems from everyone's hope that NC would be a decisive win rather than a tight one.
excelsiorlef
Member
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