metalslimer
Member
Mosul is going to be a wreck for such a long time =(
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black
- Thread starter Y2Kev
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That is weird then because I recall reading much more positive takes from a number of posters over the past several days. Were those assessments incorrect then? Not harping on you personally, just saying there seems to be a mixed message here.
cartoon_soldier
Member
This is the Dem problem with NC EV:
345k more white voters.
345k more white voters.
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
Nate Silver after the election: "Well I didn't say that Hillary winning Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, etc. was impossible, its just that she had a lower chance than Donald to win and she beat the odds. Nothing wrong with my model there."
that's the face of someone activating his trap card
nature boy
Member
Thanks, will check it out. Pretty terrifying
Wafflecakes
Member
That is one race that I cannot get optimistic about. The polls would have to be massively wrong.
cartoon_soldier
Member
PPP
PPP
PPP also said yesterday that they think Clinton will win NC... just less confident than Florida.
Wafflecakes
Member
PPP
Fucking white people...
metalslimer
Member
It's going to be very close in NC, but we still have the better ground game. God damn Republicans for what they did to early voting though.
gutter_trash
Banned
why does Joe Scarborughoguhuough invite guests when he spends his time talking over them?
sazzy
Member
he invites people so he can spend time talking over them.
So basically just "the guys he knows".
Lord Frieza
Member
Crazy
Voysa Reezun
Banned
Now, tack three more points onto this because these polls didn't catch all the Hispanic voters who wouldn't make it through an LV screen.
She's up eight or nine points right now.
metalslimer
Member
Ben Carson for HHS. Trump Jr for education. Ivanka for Labor
maquiladora
Member
What's really crazy is that 14% would still vote for Trump. WHY.
I almost hope the moderators /admins of r/The_Donald are in the running for cabinet positions, what a clusterfuck explosion that would be
bangbang i'm a timpani
Banned
betting markets went flying on the comey announcement yesterday:
https://electionbettingodds.com/WIN_chart_maxim_lott_john_stossel.html
https://electionbettingodds.com/WIN_chart_maxim_lott_john_stossel.html
I hope that holds. I told a coworker that if he gets over 15% of Latinos I'd eat a hat.
I don't like eating hats.
Lord Frieza
Member
God, those cabinet positions are straight up disgusting, even if not unexpected
They hate tacos.
They hate tacos.
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
As someone who is going to a free SNF Pats game because of a bad bet.
You made a really bad bet.
This is where I'm at. Was really hoping my state would make a clean break for blue, especially after McCrory's nonsense, but alas.
Also missed that the Clinton's are back in Raleigh tonight... At freakin' midnight. Maybe they'll start earlier than the site says like last time.
If you want to feel better about it, just imagine that guy having to clean that shit off his windows on Wednesday while the car radio is nothing but talk about Clinton's victory.
Baron von Loathsome
Member
He's forgetting to put Milo in charge of Minitrue.
RustyNails
Member
It looks scary but keep in mind that whites under 35 and women of all ages in that chunk are voting for Hillary. Mostly married white men are a problem.
NC will come through for Hillary. Souls2Polls could only help so much because Govenor McFuckface gutted the early voting there. Despite that we're even.
Her odds on betfair are now exactly the same as they were pre the original Comey letter. When they shot from 1.2 -> 1.44 (Euro style odds)
Knew i should have got on at 1.4!
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Barron for Secretary of Cybersecurity
Dubbedinenglish
Banned
Ok guys! Who is excited for oppo droppo today!
Veritigo_X
Member
Happy election eve, poligaf.
On a scale from dry to soaked, how are our bed sheets today?
On a scale from dry to soaked, how are our bed sheets today?
D
Deleted member 231381
Unconfirmed Member
Because it is easier for Hispanics to pass as 'real' Americans and not receive the kind of hatred directed at 'non-Americans' (from the perception of the Republican right), I think. You can see from the Latino Decisions crosstabs that if you were born in America and speak primarily English you're about 10 percentage points less likely to vote Clinton than if you were born abroad or speak primarily Spanish, and I think that's because being Hispanic is "escapable" in a way that being black isn't.
RustyNails
Member
There's a greater chance that Trump wins and Hillary is a gay lesbian Satanist lizard than an oppo droppo today.
Haha, excellent. This is a done deal now.
sazzy
Member
MEMEMEMEMEMEME!!!
They're damp, but it's because of the Senate...........
Yeah, as soon as I said it I realized I should have said 20%, but I was feeling cocky. Oh well, he's not the kind of guy who would actually look up the numbers on his own and was more concerned with my "theory" that Clinton would win tomorrow.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
Silver was right, the pollsters are herding.
How good is this pollster that it can be called a done deal?
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
That's what you'll say to yourself until you get to your desk Thursday morning with a "Make America Great Again" hat accompanied with a fork and steak knife!
They're one of the most R-leaning pollsters out there. So if those results are legit, it means good things for her.
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