A Serious Man
Member
They're trash but they skew heavily to the right. If they have Clinton up, that's pretty bad for Trump.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black
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They're trash but they skew heavily to the right. If they have Clinton up, that's pretty bad for Trump.
Roland_Gunner
Member
Ras =/= the pollsters.
Basileus777
Member
Ras does this every cycle, it says nothing about other pollsters.
I didn't believe you but wow. He really fucking said that. He's been mister "Trust the Numbers!!" (while adjusting literally every poll) this entire cycle and now he's straight-up saying, "Fuck the polls, I'm right. Even though my model is based on the polls."
Is that a national poll?
I'll just cover that shit in hot sauce from my bag just to screw with him.
I know, but losing college educated whites by 9 points? cause for concern I suppose.
Roland_Gunner
Member
Bill Weld as the Attorney General really wouldn't bother me.
To be fair, I believe 538 said weeks ago on their podcast that they expected to see last minute herding by smaller outlets. Don't know if Ras was included in that theory but still.
That's what the dude's post said. Idk. I didn't post it. Haven't been on twitter yet to check.
metalslimer
Member
The rally tonight is going to be lit. What is Trump doing for his last rally?
cartoon_soldier
Member
Michigan
CBS, ABC, Selzer, NBC, etc. are not small outlets
DrForester
Kills Photobucket
Today show goes through final polling data.
Shows Clinton up 10 points in New Hampshire.
Goes to map and New Hampshire is listed as a "toss-up" to keep Clinton under 270.
Shows Clinton up 10 points in New Hampshire.
Goes to map and New Hampshire is listed as a "toss-up" to keep Clinton under 270.
Shooting someone on 5th Ave.
Is that who he was tweeting about? Yikes. Nate gonna Nate.
Lord Frieza
Member
Lol, well, it's not 100 points!
Sam Wang basically responds to Nate Silver's twitter rant about how any model giving Hillary >98% isn't based on empirical data.
http://election.princeton.edu/2016/11/06/is-99-a-reasonable-probability/#more-18522
Good stuff, here.
http://election.princeton.edu/2016/11/06/is-99-a-reasonable-probability/#more-18522
Good stuff, here.
sazzy
Member
Fragamemnon
Member
Clinton's cabinet and major undersecretary and justice dept. appointees should all be Democrats that aren't past their prime. She's got the experience and doesn't need elder statesmen in these posts, and Democrats need to build a bench of future district and statewide candidates very, very badly.
gutter_trash
Banned
i agree with Wang
Trump's path of sweeping all the Swings and flip a Blue makes the probability of it happening super low
Trump needs a tidal wave surge, but that is very difficult to achieve in an increasingly diverse and complexe electorate
Waves happen in smaller countries with fewer minorities, not in the current US though
obijkenobi
Member
My gf and I are voting at the Central Library tomorrow. I'm just hoping I'm done before noon :/
Roland_Gunner
Member
The cabinet -> senate or governor pathway doesn't work anymore because people are so distrustful of politicians and Washington. In the Indiana senate race voters view Bayh's experience as a negative. The last politician I can remember who successfully transitioned from the cabinet to elected office was Mel Martinez in Bush's first term. Portman was also in the Bush white house but he won in the '10 wave election. Anybody would have taken that seat.
Early vote + GOTV means NC is still looking good to me. But then, I'm bullish on Ohio as well. May be an incorrigible optimist.
We don't know anything. Let's just calm down and relax. We don't need this place to become a place of panic right now. Let's save that for tomorrow lol.
balladofwindfishes
Member
Cesare Borgia
Banned
Bill Weld as the Attorney General really wouldn't bother me.
A libertarian as AG? No thanks.
RustyNails
Member
Yes. President Trump here we come.
shinra-bansho
Member
No. NC lost. Fuck..oppo opppo. where oppo droppo. FUCK.
maybe. I don't know. It's probably going to be close
maquiladora
Member
No.
Fuuuuuuuuck
But Brexit
Trump, Clinton, and Obama are all here in Michigan today. I had no idea we were so important.
If Trump wins here so help me god I will move to New Hampshire.
http://www.mlive.com/news/index.ssf/2016/11/trump_clinton_and_obama_visits.html
If Trump wins here so help me god I will move to New Hampshire.
http://www.mlive.com/news/index.ssf/2016/11/trump_clinton_and_obama_visits.html
The very fact that Weld would say these things goes into why he's a Libertarian and not a Republican. That being said I think Hillary should fill her cabinet with Dems to not take any risk regardless if they seem sane.
Another topic. Has there been any indication in the early voting that there is a secret Trump vote out there that some were claiming? People that wanted to support him or would but won't admit it? We know the flip side of that is different and happening for Hillary as there are a LOT more Hispanic/Latino voters out there voting then anyone thought would show up.
Haha. I think Nate is legit trolling
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
I find it hilarious that the VP for Johnson is for all intents and purposes stumping for Clinton.
Why is Richie Rich on CNN assuring us that Trump is smart and compassionate?
Looks more like Draco Malfoy to me.
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