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PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black

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Well probably him then since I was thinking 5.


But this event, this MIRACLE, will have books and movies made about it for decades to come. And people still won't understand how miraculous it was. Donald Trump. A businessman, a guy with no political background, no military history, destroyed 2 Political Parties, the media and everyone therein to win the Presidency. I don't even think I described how half insane that sounds.
Because you used the word miracle instead of Nightmare.
 

Nafai1123

Banned
Unfortunately Clinton was not exciting, and they believed the propaganda from Republicans. I'm not sure you can just say liberals were just being 'morally pure.' They didn't do that with Obama.

The reality is that Clinton was probably just an unappealing candidate. I liked her a lot, but seems like that might be the case. It was easier for them to be 'morally pure,' because they just didn't like her.

Right, but my point is there are many Republicans who don't like Trump, and yet they still went out and voted for him. Conservative women supported him way more than we anticipated. I dont they they were excited to vote for a pussy grabber, but they did it anyway.

Democrats need that level of voter investment to be competitive. You can't rely on a fickle voter electorate because you can't predict how they will respond.
 

stupei

Member
Shit I need to sleep.

I did extra life this weekend, got a root canal yesterday, and then woke up early to go vote. I'm basically running on empty but here I am watching people I grew up around in Ohio joking on facebook about how they should go buy a house in Hollywood now, it'll probably be cheap once all the liberal elites flee the country.
 
That really isn't true about Pennsylvania, and the rest of the Midwest doesn't really matter if Pennsylvania is lost.

Clinton basically tied Obama's vote totals in North Carolina and exceeded Obama's vote totals in Florida by a pretty significant amount.

It is true that democratic voting is down in Minnesota, WI, and MI, but that didn't cost her the election thanks to Pennsylvania.

Yeah, white, rural voter turnout was way the fuck up, and we goddamn know why that is.
 
Hamilton County, home of Cincinnati Ohio, chose Clinton by 10 points.

Stop saying you want to give us to Kentucky; we don't like them other than Lexington which is kind of hot - we'd date her, and we really aren't that comfortable with Ohio as a whole, either.

All of Ohio should be like Cincinnati and you should cherish us, Ohio.

:(
 

KingBroly

Banned
Because you used the word miracle instead of Nightmare.

A miracle just means it was improbable. The journey and the culmination thereof are just insane, considering how often people told us 'yup, he's done.' Then he came back the next day and ruined another politician. It was like 'what? huh? How? You were finished!?' over and over again.
 

DrForester

Kills Photobucket
3EERm.jpg
 

Dan

No longer boycotting the Wolfenstein franchise
Be fair, liberals like to hold candidates to impossible standards that conservatives will never bother with. You can't really compare the two.
That's not the argument being made. Angry Fork wants to claim voters concerned with flip-flopping were taken in by Trump's working class rhetoric while ignoring his own flagrant history of flip-flopping.
 
Setting aside the fact that our country is going to be utterly fucked up...

what the fuck are elections now? what is polling? what is "ground game"? what are debates? what are ads? what is strategy???? nothing meant anything

I cannot believe this isn't fiction
I'm sure there's a dystopian novel or film about it out there.

A miracle just means it was improbable. The journey and the culmination thereof are just insane, considering how often people told us 'yup, he's done.' Then he came back the next day and ruined another politician. It was like 'what? huh? How? You were finished!?' over and over again.
Miracle isn't used to describe horrible things
 

Jooney

Member
The more you think you know, the less you truly understand.

In one dreary afternoon, what I've known to be true in American politics has been turned on its head. The smashing of political norms, the expectations that come with being a public servant, the mechanics of campaign operations - all upended by an outsider with zero political experience.

It will be fascinating to read the autopsy and where democratic politics moves from here.

While I have abhorred what Trump has stood for and how he has run his campaign, he is President-elect now and has the awesome power that comes with the office.

He will soon be leader of the free world, and I hope he does a good job.
 

aaaaa0

Member
A huge disappointment.

To me, this election conclusively demonstrates:

1. Polls don't matter.
2. Data and analytics don't matter.
3. Ground game/Get-Out-The-Vote doesn't matter.
4. TV ads, in fact pretty much all ads, don't matter.
5. The debates don't matter.
6. Endorsements don't matter.
7. Celebrities don't matter.
8. Policy doesn't matter.
9. Fact checkers don't matter.
10. Scandals don't matter.
11. Gaffes don't matter.
 

Tubie

Member
Can you imagine how ramped up and merciless the drone program is about to become under Trump? Shoot first, check for facts later.

A lot of innocent lives in the middle east just got a death sentence tonight.
 

Snake

Member
They were probably already low and the polls were misreading the situation.

This is a joke right? Approval ratings are typically polls of all Americans, not at all comparable to a modeled guess of what kind of electorate is going to turn out.
 

Toxi

Banned
At the end of the day, the electorate chose an obviously corrupt and moronic Jack-o-lantern with a tenuous grasp of the English language as our President. That does not speak well of our intelligence.
 

Bowdz

Member
Guys, this is the first election (since I've been politically active) that my candidate has lost.

I don't like this feeling.
 

Mael

Member
Why are people claiming the idealist candidate would have won?
He didn't win in the primaries to begin with and the dems were not excited by him to make him win the primary anyway.
 

Loudninja

Member
At the end of the day, the electorate chose an obviously corrupt and moronic Jack-o-lantern with a tenuous grasp of the English language as our President. That does not speak well of our intelligence.
Alot of us did our part but we not going to live this down ever.
 

Phased

Member
A huge disappointment.

To me, this election conclusively demonstrates:

1. Polls don't matter.
2. Data and analytics don't matter.
3. Ground game/Get-Out-The-Vote doesn't matter.
4. TV ads, in fact pretty much all ads, don't matter.
5. The debates don't matter.
6. Endorsements don't matter.
7. Celebrities don't matter.
8. Policy doesn't matter.
9. Fact checkers don't matter.
10. Scandals don't matter.
11. Gaffes don't matter.

Candidates matter above literally all of that. Trump stepped in a lot of shit, but Clinton brought 20 years of shit (Real or made up, mostly made up) with her and it showed with a lack of enthusiasm from Democrats.

All of that stuff matters. Just attach it to a candidate without her negatives and with a lot more charisma, and we're probably looking at a different race.
 

Nafai1123

Banned
How not addressing the needs of your customers is a failure of your customer? If you need pure, idealistic candidates to generate turnout than fucking get them instead of trying to beat them into submission with what you want to offer.

Democrats know how to produce turnout but decided on pushing their own candidate cause relations and clout. Listen to your customer. If you put an inadequate product don't complain when the customers don't buy it if you were aware before hand that it wasn't adequate. You only have yourself to blame.

No, you have primary voters to blame. Like I said in my post just above this, you cannot predict the reactions of a fickle and constantly evolving mass of the electorate. Hopeful idealism brought to an apathetic or opposing conclusion is the fault. Idealism is nothing without a sense of the reality surrounding it.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
This is a joke right? Approval ratings are typically polls of all Americans, not at all comparable to a modeled guess of what kind of electorate is going to turn out.

No. I think this was more fundamental than just poor turnout models, I think there was a systemic error in who was being contacted.
 

pigeon

Banned
Right, but my point is there are many Republicans who don't like Trump, and yet they still went out and voted for him. Conservative women supported him way more than we anticipated. I dont they they were excited to vote for a pussy grabber, but they did it anyway.

Democrats need that level of voter investment to be competitive. You can't rely on a fickle voter electorate because you can't predict how they will respond.

We can't get that level of voter investment because we refuse to endorse legalized violence and suppression towards a group of Americans.
 
Just......dead inside. Only consolation is that I'm in Cali. Things will get worse, but there's a floor here.

I can't imagine what it's gonna be like to be a minority in a red state.
 
Hispanic vote margins, courtesy of 538

Here’s how the firm Latino Decisions found the Latino vote broke out by state, for Clinton and Trump.

Arizona — 84-12
California — 80-16
Colorado — 81-16
Florida — 67-31
Illinois — 86-10
Nevada — 81-16
North Carolina — 82-15
New York — 88-10
Ohio — 80-17
Texas — 80-16
Virginia — 81-15
Wisconsin — 87-10
I really cannot believe that breakdown in Florida.
 

Angry Fork

Member
The economy is doing great, Obama has an excellent approval rating. America is succeeding.

I don't think Bernie would have done any better.

I don't think we made any wrong choices. The tweet from Nate Cohn about white voters voting as a minority bloc sums it up. There were millions of white voters out there who didn't turn out for McCain and didn't turn out for Romney because they WEREN'T RACIST ENOUGH. They wanted a candidate more terrible, more dangerous, and more evil.

They found him.

It would've been nice to know in advance, but frankly, knowing that America is full of Nazis BEFORE they elect Idiot Hitler would probably have been worse than only finding out now.

I mean it's true we have our own widespread racist shit but I believe this stuff is created out of material conditions and it's possible to reverse, or at least sedate. People care less about blaming X group for their problems if they don't have that many problems.

As for the other guys romney and co. still looked like boring slimey dudes who would sell anyone out. To trump voters he's an honest guy who's going to get rid of all the assholes who sold them out.

With Bernie, I'm inclined to think the smarter people in the GOP basically felt this way about him (that his populist message was more dangerous to them than Hillary's weird better together thing):
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry...e-sanders-clinton_us_56bbafb3e4b0c3c5504ff6c7

He's right about how the average person viewed candidates this year and why the socialist moniker wouldn't have been a big deal compared to what he was saying.

After all Trump has said much worse things than Bernie can ever say about socialism and they still support Trump. Surely the millions of people who still supported Trump aren't all pro-sexual assault, pro-muslim registration, etc.? It just doesn't make sense imo and is a very cynical unrealistic view of the population.
 

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
Candidates matter above literally all of that. Trump stepped in a lot of shit, but Clinton brought 20 years of shit (Real or made up, mostly made up) with her and it showed with a lack of enthusiasm from Democrats.

All of that stuff matters. Just attach it to a candidate without her negatives and with a lot more charisma, and we're probably looking at a different race.

Trump brought far more shit, but none of it mattered.
So I don't get this argument.

Shit, a President-Elect will be in court TWICE before January.

Who knows what stuff will be filed now that he is President.
 
A huge disappointment.

To me, this election conclusively demonstrates:

1. Polls don't matter.
2. Data and analytics don't matter.
3. Ground game/Get-Out-The-Vote doesn't matter.
4. TV ads, in fact pretty much all ads, don't matter.
5. The debates don't matter.
6. Endorsements don't matter.
7. Celebrities don't matter.
8. Policy doesn't matter.
9. Fact checkers don't matter.
10. Scandals don't matter.
11. Gaffes don't matter.
They won't bring legs to a magikarp out of water.
 
I actually feel better about the election now that I'm aware just how bad democratic turnout was.

The Trump strategy isn't something that will work the same way twice, and there isn't an overwhelming coalition of racist white voters.

Hopefully democrats learn their lesson that no coalition can be taken for granted, and we don't run anyone nearly as bad as Hillary a second time.

Say what you want about her policy skills or work ethic, she was awful at giving democrats a reasonn to vote FOR her and not just against Trump.
 
People literally chose someone they didn't think was qualified for President over someone they admitted they believed was qualified for President.

I...what can I say?
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
I mean it's true we have our own widespread racist shit but I believe this stuff is created out of material conditions and it's possible to reverse, or at least sedate. People care less about blaming X group for their problems if they don't have that many problems.

As for the other guys romney and co. still looked like boring slimey dudes who would sell anyone out. To trump voters he's an honest guy who's going to get rid of all the assholes who sold them out.

With Bernie, I'm inclined to think the smarter people in the GOP basically felt this way about him (that his populist message was more dangerous to them than Hillary's weird better together thing):
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry...e-sanders-clinton_us_56bbafb3e4b0c3c5504ff6c7

He's right about how the average person viewed candidates this year and why the socialist moniker wouldn't have been a big deal compared to what he was saying.

After all Trump has said much worse things than Bernie can ever say about socialism and they still support Trump. Surely the millions of people who still supported Trump aren't all pro-sexual assault, pro-muslim registration, etc.? It just doesn't make sense imo and is a very cynical unrealistic view of the population.

Considering Bush won reelection in large part thanks to homophobia...
 

sazzy

Member
The media better watch each and every second of Donald's and his aide's and his Presidential appointments like a HAWK for the 4 years.
 

mo60

Member
I actually feel better about the election now that I'm aware just how bad democratic turnout was.

The Trump strategy isn't something that will work the same way twice, and there isn't an overwhelming coalition of racist white voters.

Hopefully democrats learn their lesson that no coalition can be taken for granted, and we don't run anyone nearly as bad as Hillary a second time.

Say what you want about her policy skills or work ethic, she was awful at giving democrats a reasonn to vote FOR her and not just against Trump.

Looking at the numbers coming out of AZ, GA and even TX the republicans probably can't afford to use the trump strategy twice.
 
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