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PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black

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Revolver

Member
Kellyanne was on CBS This Morning saying they have 6 paths to victory and when asked if he will be gracious in defeat, "He's a very gracious man and he will." Thanks Kellyanne I needed a good laugh to start the day.
 

AniHawk

Member
so we're heading into tuesday with all major polls in agreement of a 3-5 point clinton win, and nc, fl, and nv looking like they're at least leaning clinton.

feeling pretty good about tomorrow. a little nervous, but not worried. i hope california does away with the death penalty and passes some good stuff tomorrow too.
 
D

Deleted member 1159

Unconfirmed Member
Why is Richie Rich on CNN assuring us that Trump is smart and compassionate?

9CvxmVq.jpg

Jesus Christ the Malfoys actually exist IRL
 

XenodudeX

Junior Member
Man, NC is gonna be tight. Really comes down to what college educated whites do and how much they break either way, and also what share of the electorate is Hispanic.

I'm so tired of important political outcomes hinging on what white people are feeling at the moment.
 
so we're heading into tuesday with all major polls in agreement of a 3-5 point clinton win, and nc, fl, and nv looking like they're at least leaning clinton.

feeling pretty good about tomorrow. a little nervous, but not worried. i hope california does away with the death penalty and passes some good stuff tomorrow too.

3-5 points is probably fairly conservative at this point I think.
 
Hillary got this. Even under the worst imaginable circumstances I can't see her getting less than 272, and that's so generously Trump that he somehow wins Nevada.

Clinton+8, 353 EVs, 52 Senate, 205 House. Admittedly a little bullish.
 
so we're heading into tuesday with all major polls in agreement of a 3-5 point clinton win, and nc, fl, and nv looking like they're at least leaning clinton.

feeling pretty good about tomorrow. a little nervous, but not worried. i hope california does away with the death penalty and passes some good stuff tomorrow too.

This is exactly where I am.
 

Diablos

Member
Last minute NH surge makes me feel better about the Senate.

Dems need to lock the fuck down their modus operandi in VA for the special election next fall. No margin for error is acceptable.

btw just like last cycle, MSNBC is getting surprisingly good as Election Day draws near. CNN for the lulz
 
I'm so tired of important political outcomes hinging on what white people are feeling at the moment.

Fully agreed. Meanwhile my facebook wall is a bunch of white guys complaining about how it's not fair that their third party candidates aren't doing better.

AWWW did your white male opinion not matter the most? Diddums.
 

sazzy

Member
this election is unique in so many ways

President Obama’s relatives and others in his ancestral village are angry that the president’s half-brother Malik Obama has come out in support of Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump over Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Local leaders and close relatives of Mr. Obama, whose father was born in Kenya and who is seen as a source of immense national pride, met to place a curse on Malik Obama. Threats of violence have been made against the family apostate.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/nov/6/malik-obama-donald-trump-supporter-gets-curse-from/
 

HylianTom

Banned
Last minute NH surge makes me feel better about the Senate.

Same here. I was sweating the Senate a bit, but those numbers are reassuring.

I hope Clinton does like Obama did and outperforms expectations by a few points. Between Latino turnout being undermeasured in polling and Trump's nonexistent ground game, we could well see it happen, which means most (if not all) swing states would fall in our direction - along with any key downballot races that are within winnable range.
 
Lmao this CNN remote with airplane seats in the foreground and the reporter turned around in her chair


Edit: The stewardess giving the safety presentation in the background lololol
 
Watching CNN broadcast from inside the Clinton plane turn to the window showing it start moving with a splitscreen of it turning on the tarmac is a little too meta for me.
+7 would require a massive Trump gotv fail. Favreau and Pfeiffer are low-key saying the Dems think its +5/6.
He has zero GOTV, although technically I don't know if it's a "fail" if there were never expectations in the first place. Clinton ground work on the other hand has planted strong seeds for wins in FL, NC and NV, and that's just what's immediately noticeable from early voting in a few states. There's no reason to think it's not helping her more broadly, although we won't really know about MI/PA until tomorrow.
 
Since the dream of Clinton getting most of the popular vote is dead as a doornail, I'm going with +5 Clinton. Electoral college in the low 300s. 51 senators. +15 in the house.

These numbers commeth from my butt.
 
I saw a guy on a street corner holding up a Trump yard sign this morning. Trump GOTV is legit. Don't discount the effects of this. If that guy stands there all day he's probably reaching a few thousand voters. Now extrapolate that to every street corner in the country.
 
I saw a guy on a street corner holding up a Trump yard sign this morning. Trump GOTV is legit. Don't discount the effects of this. If that guy stands there all day he's probably reaching a few thousand voters. Now extrapolate that to every street corner in the country.

You're crazy. I didn't see any guys on corners holding Trump signs this morning. So clearly there are no people holding up Trump yard signs, and I don't know why you would lie about something so important.
 

Zukkoyaki

Member
I saw a guy on a street corner holding up a Trump yard sign this morning. Trump GOTV is legit. Don't discount the effects of this. If that guy stands there all day he's probably reaching a few thousand voters. Now extrapolate that to every street corner in the country.

Don't forget about the power of their hearts
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Watching CNN broadcast from inside the Clinton plane turn to the window showing it start moving with a splitscreen of it turning on the tarmac is a little too meta for me.
He has zero GOTV, although technically I don't know if it's a "fail" if there were never expectations in the first place. Clinton ground work on the other hand has planted strong seeds for wins in FL, NC and NV, and that's just what's immediately noticeable from early voting in a few states. There's no reason to think it's not helping her more broadly, although we won't really know about MI/PA until tomorrow.

Not according to Newt Gingrich, who has his finger on the pulse of American elections!
 
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