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PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black

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faisal233

Member
I think they are full of shit as far as Iran goes. We tear up the agreement and then what? Go to war? Within the 1st year? The citizenry will fucking love that.

The only campaign bullet point I know they are for sure going to follow thru on is repealing Obamacare. They have cornered themselves in on that one and their supporters will not let them get away with it.

DEMs need to let them bring repeal to a vote even if they don't kill the filibuster. Ryan wants nothing more than to cripple ACA even more through budget reconciliation and then hang that noose around the democratic party's neck.

Let's take the L and try again later instead of having a gaping would that will linger on for a decade.
 

BiggNife

Member
I really do hope Trump will be a good president. Blank slate and all that.

(hoping the climate transition team rumor is not a sign)

I mean, I hope he doesn't burn this country to the ground, but I'm not giving him a blank slate.

Dude's still a racist, sexist slimeball and always will be.
 

Maxim726X

Member
Literally all Trump has to do is meet with Iranian leaders, detail a tweaked, but essentially the same, agreement and brag about how he renegotiated everything for a better deal.

This is a fair point, hadn't considered this for whatever reason.

I really hope that he does.
 
I'm starting to see people say they don't even think Trump will run again in 2020. That would be...wow...

If a major scandal happens I bet he'll look to exit or just be a first term president. Like what some people said he'll might try to get somethings passed, like maybe Congress limits, the wall, an infrastructure bill, or anything he wants that Congress doesn't he won't get them passed and be angry at Republicans and Democrats both. Although, the Republicans will heavily pressure Trump to pass somethings like tax bills, repealing Obamacare, etc. Basically nothing is going to get done and his supporters are going to want him to get the really bad stuff passed, but it won't get passed.

He'll do executive orders that will destroy Obama's legacy though and his cabinet will be very terrible. Even if he was a secret progressive it doesn't matter because of his advisors, cabinet, and the rest of the GOP are right-wing. He'll be a bad president in a sense that he got nothing notable done besides some bad stuff like repealing Obamacare, that people he'll have to work with will just lead him by the nose especially foreign ones once they find him out to be incompetent considering he does have very deep personally issues. I don't think he'll last.

Imo regardless, Hillary completely tainted Trump during the election including Trump himself. He'll be the most unpopular president in Jan 20th, and most people think he can't do the job anything he does from now on will probably be heavily scrutinized.
 
I mean, I hope he doesn't burn this country to the ground, but I'm not giving him a blank slate.

Dude's still a racist, sexist slimeball and always will be.

We've had super racist presidents that have done good things in this country. Basically every president before the 1980s was racist. Basically just Carter and all presidents after Reagan I would not consider to be overtly racist (was HW racist? Google doesn't say much). Everyone before that was during a time when racism was just the norm and everyone did it. That didn't stop them from helping minorities.

But I don't think Trump will be like that. He didn't run his campaign on that.
 

Leninpest

Member
I don't want to harp on Sanders supporters anymore but I think it's quite ridiculous that over the past two days, they've been saying that Hillary's fault was not appealing to WWC, and that we should've given Bernie a chance, but none of them are acknowledging Sanders failure to attract the minority vote during primaries. His lacking efforts toward southern states and the amount of shit BLM got from his supporters for asking him to say anything about their movement were strong points of contention that were known.

http://www.dailydot.com/layer8/bernie-sanders-black-lives-matter-dem-debate/ ??? BLM support was built in almost from the beginning.
 

Dan

No longer boycotting the Wolfenstein franchise
I don't buy this trending belief that Trump isn't going to pursue his campaign rhetoric, not when the potential Cabinet appointments are nightmares.
 

Barzul

Member
Come on man. That's too fucking far.

I hate the Deplorables as much as anyone. But she lost 7 million voters who voted for a black man. They arent unreachable. We can either chalk that up to the country being so fucking racist that we just pack it up and go home and wrote the country off as lost.

Or we can figure out WHY 7 million votes were lost.

This right here. If you're still thinking of some of these 7 million as deplorable, you're the problem with the Democratic party. I want to win and advance this country forward with progressive ideals more than I care what these people think deep down of minorities like me and I need them to do it.
 

Kusagari

Member
Trump is actually a gift for the GOP if they want to keep Obama policies. All they need to do is have Trump brag about renegotiating everything and their base will buy it all.
 

The Technomancer

card-carrying scientician
I have a friend on facebook desperately trying to rationalize how "people" (as in, likely himself) could have voter for Trump separate from all of the hate in the face of me sharing some of the vile reactions to Trump's election
 
Clinton spent too much on Negative ads agaisnt Trump then Positive ads about herself.

She should have made policy Ads of different subjects

a) an entire ad about Health Care, Child Care

b) an entire ad about paid family leave, equal pay, higher minimum wage

stuff like that

The World Series ads were just negative ads against Trump; she need to sell herself more than tear him down
 

Crocodile

Member
Hillary look at the post that compares Hillary's position with the republicans and Sanders and tell me again how on those she stands for progressives. She isn't authentic look at the emails that show the sausage making process of how she assumes public positions.

Yeah a lot of voters from states that have no influence on the actual battle for the election result. I know this sounds awful but that's the political system in the US. If you want it to change you need to win elections using the current system in place.

Oh boy, more purity tests <3

The Clinton & Sanders worked together on the platform and she co-opted many/most of his positions. It was the most progressive Democrat platform ever. If it was good enough for Sanders, why isn't it good enough for you?

Also, politics is like all sausage making LOL. As long as nothing illegal or unethical is going on that's not a reason to be upset if the policies you like are being put in place or have a chance of being put in place.
 

tuffy

Member
I don't buy this trending belief that Trump isn't going to pursue his campaign rhetoric, not when the potential Cabinet appointments are nightmares.
Trump's had at least two different stances on a wide variety of issues, so I don't doubt there'll be plenty of times where his actions don't match his rhetoric.
 

Revolver

Member
There cannot be enough hatred for the cable news media.

I keep hearing from them about his speech the other night and how calm and respectful he seems today. Oh shut up! Did they not watch any of his rallies and how he mocked how easy it would be to look presidential? Memory spans of a gold fish.
 
totally agree.

The problem was the Clinton campaign thought they had to choose one message against Trump. well... 1. if that premise is true, they chose the wrong message. they thought painting him as the deplorable, unnacceptable candidate would win college educated votes. the college educated laughed in our faces.

2. why choose just one? he gave democrats every avenue to attack him. and, on the flip side, he used every avenue to attack Hillary... attacked her from the left, the right, attacked her strengths, attacked her weaknesses. if you're going to use a micro-targeted data-driven campaign, then use micro-targeted, data-driven messaging and attacks.

I think it's unfair to pin all of this on Mook (though the resource allocation based on data was clearly lacking), but he was clearly a data guy over a messaging guy... if he was Plouffe, where was the Axelrod of this campaign? Messaging failure.

Mook is a data guy, yes but most of the data were wrong.
 
I think they are full of shit as far as Iran goes. We tear up the agreement and then what? Go to war? Within the 1st year? The citizenry will fucking love that.

The only campaign bullet point I know they are for sure going to follow thru on is repealing Obamacare. They have cornered themselves in on that one and their supporters will not let them get away with it.

I'm interested in how that will go, will they keep the filibuster in hopes that the Dems will obstruct and they can, hypocritically but it will work because the GOP can get away with anything, point to them as holding up the will of the country...

Or do they nuke the filibuster and kill it and you know be held responsible for what comes next (if people actually do which again GOP can pretty much do what they want and get away with it).

Furthermore what do the Dems do... do they filibuster it knowing they'll get shit on for it, or do they step back say go for it and hope the GOP hangs themselves on this. Option B might be politically shrewd but hurts a lot of people but option A might just be delaying the inevitable anyway.
 

kirblar

Member
I'm interested in how that will go, will they keep the filibuster in hopes that the Dems will obstruct and they can, hypocritically but it will work because the GOP can get away with anything, point to them as holding up the will of the country...

Or do they nuke the filibuster and kill it and you know be held responsible for what comes next (if people actually do which again GOP can pretty much do what they want and get away with it).

Furthermore what do the Dems do... do they filibuster it knowing they'll get shit on for it, or do they step back say go for it and hope the GOP hangs themselves on this. Option B might be politically shrewd but hurts a lot of people but option A might just be delaying the inevitable anyway.
I think it's dead and we have to pray for a backlash election in two years.
 
Clinton spent too much on Negative ads agaisnt Trump then Positive ads about herself.

She should have made policy Ads of different subjects

a) an entire ad about Health Care, Child Care

b) an entire ad about paid family leave, equal pay, higher minimum wage

stuff like that

The World Series ads were just negative ads against Trump; she need to sell herself more than tear him down
That I definitely agree on. It's weird how negative her ads are, especially since the research we have on the subject shows that negative ads have limited, temporary effectiveness at best and yet she tied a tremendous portion of her advertisements to Trump instead of herself. Granted, Trump is a particularly terrible candidate, yes, but that doesn't give them a reason to actually vote for her and doesn't solve the problem of their effectiveness being temporary at best. Don't really understand the thinking there. I mean, I do, but it seems easily demonstrated to be a bad idea and they went with it anyway.

Of course, not sure how much difference that type of thing really makes anymore, but with what happened, it definitely didn't help at the very least.
 

jtb

Banned
One thing I think we can all agree on: The media as a whole failed the American public.

even if Hillary had won, that would have been the case. it has never been so obvious that a strong, free press is vital to the survival of our democracy. our core journalistic institutions have never been weaker and that clearly enabled Trump's rise. Zuckerberg needs to take a good, hard look in the mirror and fix his fucking platform before he opens his mouth about how he's making the world a "better" and "more open" place.

I really don't know how you fix it. It's not going to get better, not on its current trajectory. Maybe a Trump presidency will rally the press and save newspapers. I don't know.
 
Looks like Trump flip-floped on South Korea

I expect that to happen a lot now, and I expect him to get involved in a lot of foreign conflicts than before because of the GOP and his advisors. I doubt he'll keep any of his promises.

In the end few of his supporters will say he was a victim of a terrible system, some of his critics will say a complete moron, and rest will say he is a extremely bad president.
 

daedalius

Member
Trump's had at least two different stances on a wide variety of issues, so I don't doubt there'll be plenty of times where his actions don't match his rhetoric.

Pretty sure he has held opposing viewpoints on almost every major issue that exists at this point.

No one knows what the hell he is going to do.
 
Zero chance.

He would get crucified by his own party. The Iran deal is dead.

There are so many unknowns with Trump that I'm not sure we can say for certainty either way.

Like, that he cares if his party crucifies him or not. At this point, I'm not sure if they are in the position to do that, given that they worked against him as hard as he could and he saved their asses and won them the election anyway.

And that he has contradicted himself on this. He's said it was awful and he would repeal it. But he also said that he would "keep it in place, but police the shit out of it", or something to that effect.

We have no precedent or ability to predict how he's going to act or handle stuff like this, honestly.
 
Cleveland Cavaliers went to the White House today for a celebration of their championship. Will be interesting to see what NFL and NBA championship teams that are mostly made-up of minorities will do going forward. NBA coaches Steve Kerr and Stan Van Gundy had harsh (true) words about Trump yesterday
 
Jim Justice outran Hillary Clinton by 55 points in West Virginia to keep WV as having a Democratic Governor.

Justice is a billionaire tax evader who refused to pay his employees.

I guess nominating billionaire tax evaders who refuse to pay their employees is very popular in West Virginia? Which fits into... None of the current theories for Hillary's loss actually.
 
That I definitely agree on. It's weird how negative her ads are, especially since the research we have on the subject shows that negative ads have limited, temporary effectiveness at best and yet she tied a tremendous portion of her advertisements to Trump instead of herself. Granted, Trump is a particularly terrible candidate, yes, but that doesn't give them a reason to actually vote for her and doesn't solve the problem of their effectiveness being temporary at best. Don't really understand the thinking there. I mean, I do, but it seems easily demonstrated to be a bad idea and they went with it anyway.

Of course, not sure how much difference that type of thing really makes anymore, but with what happened, it definitely didn't help at the very least.

Trump's positive ad of putting people back to work with that music made him look more pro-Blue Collar than any Democrat ad.

It's not just about tearing down your opponent but also at promoting yourself and your own policies
 

Draft

Member
One thing I think we can all agree on: The media as a whole failed the American public.
How many anti-Trump news opinion columns, editorials, and endorsements were written in 2016?

How many articles were published about the awful things Trump has said or done? How many articles about his shady business dealings and his suspicious connections to foreign governments and about the motley crew of alt-right provocateurs that made up his campaign?

Thousands. Tens of thousands. The media reported on Donald Trump over and over and over again. What's the failure? They also reported on Hillary Clinton? Hillary is no angel and she got plenty of critical coverage. She also received dozens of endorsements, literally every endorsement from any paper of consequence. The undertone of election coverage for months has been: whatever Hillary lacks in character, Trump lacks it 100 times over. And while Hillary may be cagey about aspects of her personal business, she is the only candidate with the temperament and experience to become President. That's not fringe praise from Salon. That's mainstream media outside of Fox News.

The media did not fail anyone. The media made extremely clear the differences between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. The media exposed as much about Donald Trump as was possible. If there was a failure involving the media, it is with voters that had access to this trove of information but failed to process it. The failure is with an electorate to bitter or apathetic to prevent the White House from falling into the hands of a unprepared, childish, mean-spirited, bigoted demagogue.

I sympathize with the idea that Trump should have been marginalized by the media, he should have been labeled a liar in every article, his litany of sins should have accompanied every single piece written about him. Wouldn't have done much. The people who voted him into office aren't ignorant of Donald Trump's history. What they know too, and care about more, is not being told what to do by some smarty pants writer from the New York Times. The coverage gets more negative, the Trump base becomes more convinced the media is full of shit. The coverage goes away, the Trump base falls deeper into a rabbit hole of consuming nothing but Breitbart and Facebook feed updates.

The media couldn't have done much else to educate Americans on Donald Trump's failings. Americans looked at those failings and either ignored them or treated them like features, not bugs.
 
This hit hard:

&#8207;@AtLes69
We've been told white Appalachians just want socialism and class-centricity, but the "Democrat" who became governor in WV which Clinton lost

@AtLes69
is a billionaire who flouted property taxes/shafted workers in Appalachian states and won on a platform to the right of national Democrats.

@AtLes69
Are leftism's utopian proposals to dodge anti-racism and appeal to whites falsifiable? At what point do these become open deflections...

@AtLes69
that rest on a framing of white concerns that are disconnected from how white people see their interests and how they want them presented?

&#8207;@AtLes69
If socialism is what white people secretly clamor for how did Jim Justice win by almost ten points in a state Clinton got 26% support in?
 

Totakeke

Member
even if Hillary had won, that would have been the case. it has never been so obvious that a strong, free press is vital to the survival of our democracy. our core journalistic institutions have never been weaker and that clearly enabled Trump's rise. Zuckerberg needs to take a good, hard look in the mirror and fix his fucking platform before he opens his mouth about how he's making the world a "better" and "more open" place.

I really don't know how you fix it. It's not going to get better, not on its current trajectory. Maybe a Trump presidency will rally the press and save newspapers. I don't know.

Seriously, I'd love to see where Zuckerberg's idealism stands now. All you Facebook employees powering this, do you not feel at least a little bit responsible?

Youtube too, with all the right-wing propaganda directed to me. How does the person with minimal time or care to spend on politics discern the truth?
 
The underlying argument was they would have fallen in line because what choice do they have....

But we don't have to....

It's discomforting and it worries me about the direction of the American progressive movement

I'm really hoping that some of these reactions are just heat of the moment style musings. I'm someone who takes my right to vote very seriously (been eligible 7 years so far, and the only time I missed an election was when I was very sick and could not do it), so I would be very disgusted if all this shit I've been hearing about writing off minority concerns as "identity politics" that were a liability started making traction in the party's leadership

It's kind of cool the GOP appears to have a hard cap in turnout though. Turnout hasn't really gone up or down much since Bush. It's just been the Democrats dropping the ball every single loss because our turnout is all over the place.

I've been saying that the democrats have the potential to be a real tour de force in this country. For 24 years we've won all but one Popular Vote, and that PV we lost in particular was under some very special circumstances. We need to do something about party unity and voter apathy/education.
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
I don't think you can cancel the Iran deal. It's not bilateral. Is Europe going to impose more sanctions? I don't think so...
 
A lot of these GOP governors need to be careful with the congressional GOP. If the economy starts dipping, these governors are not going to be in a good position. They managed to ride Obama's economic improvements as their own (while criticism him) but if the economy of the entire country starts slipping, they'll be blamed.

The GOP is in a really awkward spot. They have a crazy, unpredictable, uncontrollable person as the president. A tea party sipping true believer speaker and a right leaning old school Reagan style "moderate" who talks a hard conservative game as Senate Majority leader. It's like three different, completely unorganized facets of the party and they all want full control.

They're threatening to destroy Obamacare without replacing the parts of the bill that are very popular. They're threatening to get rid of gay marriage, which has bi-partisan support and is probably the fastest way on the planet to get Democrats enthused to beat them. They don't believe in global warming, despite the majority of the country across both parties believing it's a problem. They didn't win the popular vote. They loss house seats. They didn't win because people voted for them, but because nobody voted. They have no mandate to speak of. Many of their governors only have their offices due to Obama's strong economy.

This entire thing is basically set up near perfectly for them to bring in a 2008 style wave for the Democrats. And they know it. They're not stupid. It's a balancing act, and if it teeters off course, it'll be a disaster for the GOP. And losing 2020 in a landslide would crush the GOP for a decade. In sort of a reverse 2010. They got a brief blast of fresh air, but they're still a dying party, only propped up by voter suppression, liberal apathy, and gerrymandering. They know this, and they work towards all three of those things because they can't win without them anymore because America continues to reject their policies, despite them winning elections.

Going to be a weird couple of years for the GOP. It's almost bittersweet for them, absolute power, but with 2020's census year election looming in the distance.
 

Ecotic

Member
Man it feels like having worked endlessly on an RPG and then having your data corrupted. You have to start all over. It's like 2005 again.
 
A lot of these GOP governors need to be careful with the congressional GOP. If the economy starts dipping, these governors are not going to be in a good position. They managed to ride Obama's economic improvements as their own (while criticism him) but if the economy of the entire country starts slipping, they'll be blamed.

The GOP is in a really awkward spot. They have a crazy, unpredictable, uncontrollable person as the president. A tea party sipping true believer speaker and a right leaning old school moderate who talks a hard conservative game as Senate Majority leader. It's like three different, completely unorganized facets of the party and they all want full control.

They're threatening to destroy Obamacare without replacing the parts of the bill that are very popular. They're threatening to get rid of gay marriage, which has bi-partisan support and is probably the fastest way on the planet to get Democrats enthused to beat them. They don't believe in global warming, despite the majority of the country across both parties believing it's a problem. They didn't win the popular vote. They loss house seats. They didn't win because people voted for them, but because nobody voted. They have no mandate to speak of. Many of their governors only have their offices due to Obama's strong economy.

This entire thing is basically set up near perfectly for them to bring in a 2008 style wave for the Democrats. And they know it. They're not stupid. It's a balancing act, and if it teeters off course, it'll be a disaster for the GOP. And losing 2020 in a landslide would crush the GOP for a decade. In sort of a reverse 2010. They got a brief blast of fresh air, but they're still a dying party, only propped up by voter suppression, liberal apathy, and gerrymandering. They know this, and they work towards all three of those things because they can't win without them anymore because America continues to reject their policies, despite them winning elections.

Going to be a weird couple of years for the GOP. It's almost bittersweet for them, absolute power, but with 2020's census year election looming in the distance.

This is the worse state for both parties at the moment.
 

Pixieking

Banned
Man it feels like having worked endlessly on an RPG and then having your data corrupted. You have to start all over. It's like 2005 again.

Yes pls! 3 years of W followed by 8 of Obama, and now we can correct Michigan and Wisconsin.

Also, more I read of the GOP being wary, the more I like this. SCOTUS may be lost (partially), but this is nowhere near as bad as we thought when we saw the Rust Belt fall.

We can do this,!
 
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