I agree with that timeline. Anything more and she pushes it to close to the proper amount of voter awareness to whatever it is.
PoliGAF 2016 |OT13| For Queen and Country
- Thread starter aspiegamer
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Cybit knows?
If there is a remaining juicy item or two, I'd bet anything that Team Clinton is saving something just in case they need to distract from a wiki-related embarrassment.
Think of it as insurance..
- something potentially momentum-stopping is released by Wikileaks
- Team Clinton, in response, drops the information
- media goes for the shinier, more salacious object (following the principle that SEX is more attention-grabbing than classification minutiae/Goldman-Sachs details/etc)
*Look at the keys! Look at 'em!*
Think of it as insurance..
- something potentially momentum-stopping is released by Wikileaks
- Team Clinton, in response, drops the information
- media goes for the shinier, more salacious object (following the principle that SEX is more attention-grabbing than classification minutiae/Goldman-Sachs details/etc)
*Look at the keys! Look at 'em!*
whyamihere
Banned
Why are you guys so obsessed with this "killer oppo"? Even if she doesn't have it, she's still winning by high single digits.
DontBeThatGuy
Member
I've noticed a shift with some of my family as well, not just because of the first debate and the tapes, but also that damn Robert De Niro video, lol. It made the rounds.
Hope this teaches the media of not making a big fuss out of every batch of Podesta emails out there. Nothing so far has been of the public interests outside of typical political chatter. Trumpers are making a big deal out of every adjective, subject heading and curse word in those emails, trying to make something out of it.
Giving a campaign a heads up about an article is common. Far too common, yes, but there's no evidence in that email that they changed the story because of it. And asking the subjects of a story for a response is a journalistic principle, which these dummies know little about.
ShironRedshift
Member
It's not about Clinton, really. She's definitely got this. It's about depressing R turn out as much as possible to secure the Senate and run-up the margin in the House at this point.
Because I want Trump thoroughly destroyed and all the cowardly GOP who allowed this slug to threaten our democracy along with him. Salt the fucking earth.
HanShotFirst
Member
Huffpost Aggregate has Hillary at 49.2%, does she reach 50% before the election?
Of course the GOP doesn't understand how journalism works. I'm sure Glenn will be giddy to be drug into this election by Trump himself.
Because it's the difference between confirmed Senate and maybe House vs narrow Senate.
DontBeThatGuy
Member
She sounds exactly like Trump and his campaign, I wonder why.
With a side of Julian fries
Aaron Strife
Banned
At this rate probably. She seems to be in the low 50s in a lot of one on one polling.
Knuckle Sandwich
Member
"It is depressing to share a country with people you share nothing with"
"The Trump foundation benefited one orphan... Donald Trump."
I don't always agree with Bill 100% but he speaks some real truths in the interview.
ArkhamFantasy
Member
Would you guys say the senate is more important for the democrats to take back or congress?
Officerrob
Banned
Trump must go down, and he must go down hard
Aaron Strife
Banned
Yeah but Trump can totally win by winning all of the Romney states* and picking up Ohio**, Florida*** and Pennsylvania****!
*Already a tall order given Clinton is winning North Carolina and possibly Arizona
**Maybe
***Nope
****Are you fucking serious lol?
Just overheard my dad who believes in the Illuminati and thinks Obama is a Muslim talking about how much of a piece of shit Trump is. Both of my parents were going to reluctantly vote R to prevent Hillary, but they've both since woken up to the monster that their party has put forth as a candidate. I'm proud of them (even if they're still wrong about everything else).
The Technomancer
card-carrying scientician
#professionalcampaign
Ahahaha what? Why would you make The Sink into a campaign location? Obama visited it sure but its a dimly lit place with deliberate graffiti all over the walls. Not at all on brand with Trump
Aaron Strife
Banned
Senate.
We need SCOTUS appointees.
Also thanks to gerrymandering any House majority would be tepid at best. Expect a lot of freshmen trying to weasel out of tough votes if we did take it back.
ShironRedshift
Member
Senate, easily so Hillary can get her judicial appointees through. That's the most important thing. The House would be a nice bonus to get legislation passed more easily, but the Senate is crucial.
FBI has all the oppo on Hillary
RustyNails
Member
Hillary cracked 7.0 lead on RCP
Tal Shiar Agent
Banned
The Senate is the number 1 priority. A blue senate at least lets Hillary appoint SCOTUS judges without opposition.
ArkhamFantasy
Member
So the democrats dont require congress to get laws passed?
At this point, I'm confident that we don't really need any other drops in order to win the Presidency and the Senate. Trump has been more than adequately damaged, and the disparity in on-the-ground operations will see to it that the job is done as far as both goals are concerned.
The timing of drops is more of a fun spitball topic..
(But if there is any sort of magic information out there that suddenly makes the bowels of the earth open up such that seats like Rubio and McCain are immediately vulnerable.. I WANT IT.)
This is where I am at too.😃
Black Mamba
Member
Trump has not led a single all October national poll this month besides the USC/LA Times poll.
Not one. At least according to 538. You can extend this to post Debate #1.
I honestly think the 1st debate and follow-up will go down as the worst performance ever.
Not one. At least according to 538. You can extend this to post Debate #1.
I honestly think the 1st debate and follow-up will go down as the worst performance ever.
He's going for the hat trick!
I mean you need it for a lot of stuff, but having 2 of 3 is better than 1 of 3.
Or is it perfectly on brand?
RustyNails
Member
Trump is going to be sitting next to Hillary in the 3rd debate. We all know the election is over and Hillary is the president, but I really wanna see how he interacts in a sit down setting.
HanShotFirst
Member
Ok, so in 2012 both Huffpost and RCP had Obama at a 1.5% lead but he won the election by about 4%. Can we assume something similar for Clinton (winning by more than polls say) without getting into "unskewing" territory. Also what are the reason for an under count in polling? From my understanding minorities were under counted in polling in 2012 (ie Spanish speaking communities were under represented in polling in places like Nevada and Colorado) thus leading to Obama's greater than expected victory.
Just to recap the national polls that were released the past couple of days.
CBSNews - Clinton +9
NBC/WSJ - Clinton +11
ABC/WaPo - Clinton +4
Monmouth University - Clinton +12
George Washington University - Clinton +8
CBSNews - Clinton +9
NBC/WSJ - Clinton +11
ABC/WaPo - Clinton +4
Monmouth University - Clinton +12
George Washington University - Clinton +8
nature boy
Member
I doubt he would try to spit on her, but he might.
Finale Fireworker
Member
People keep telling me to keep my expectations in check for the senate. But should I really?
I care MOST about the Supreme Court because then it's one less thing to worry about for (hopefully) decades. But it really feels like a toss up still. I hate that.
I care MOST about the Supreme Court because then it's one less thing to worry about for (hopefully) decades. But it really feels like a toss up still. I hate that.
Pretty much, and i might add it fun watch the surrogates double talk
Trump unshackled!
User 463088
Banned
Two things:
1) Murphy is landing a few blows against Rubio. I don't know that it makes a difference, but he has landed a few solid hits. He just hit him really, really good over LGBT issues and immigration issues.
2) Hillary would have worn Rubio's skin as a suit for fashion week.
1) Murphy is landing a few blows against Rubio. I don't know that it makes a difference, but he has landed a few solid hits. He just hit him really, really good over LGBT issues and immigration issues.
2) Hillary would have worn Rubio's skin as a suit for fashion week.
bodyofanamerican
Member
I'm strangely confident that Wallace will be a good moderator.
But she can't cross 50 though
Trump wins
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