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Canada Poligaf - The Wrath of Harperland

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maharg

idspispopd
Our system is being neglected to death and they're at least getting a government insurance option (which, incidentally, is what we actually have -- public insurance). I don't really consider that a non-conservative policy direction for us. Here in Alberta we're probably about to go back to regressive "premiums" even.
 

firehawk12

Subete no aware
Our system is being neglected to death and they're at least getting a government insurance option (which, incidentally, is what we actually have -- public insurance). I don't really consider that a non-conservative policy direction for us. Here in Alberta we're probably about to go back to regressive "premiums" even.
I have friends in America who are forced to get insurance who are in a position where they can't really afford it, but aren't poor enough to get it for free, so it's just another drag on their finances.

Forcing everyone to get insurance isn't really the same as providing public health insurance, since for us, we don't really see a monthly bill for our coverage.
 

maharg

idspispopd
And I have a friend in Canada who's had debilitating back pain for years that he can't get any timely treatment for. Also, like I said, some of us do (or have or will again) have to pay premiums for our public health insurance.

Like, I agree we still have it better in a lot of ways, but the trendline is not positive here. Our government would scrap it if they could, while their executive branch of their government (a separation of powers we don't even have) would definitely institute it if they could. I'm just tired of this back patting that doesn't recognize that things *are* changing.
 

firehawk12

Subete no aware
And I have a friend in Canada who's had debilitating back pain for years that he can't get any timely treatment for. Also, like I said, some of us do (or have or will again) have to pay premiums for our public health insurance.

Like, I agree we still have it better in a lot of ways, but the trendline is not positive here. Our government would scrap it if they could, while their executive branch of their government (a separation of powers we don't even have) would definitely institute it if they could. I'm just tired of this back patting that doesn't recognize that things *are* changing.
Well, assuming you are on the lower end of the income scale, I guess it's a matter of what is "better" - waiting longer for "free" treatment, or paying for insurance that you can't really afford.

That said, I mean, a decade plus of Harper has turned out country to shit anyway.
 
Harper is going get re elected because Justin isn't picking the right battles and isn't talking about important issues.

I am voting Liberal but it's not my job to campaign for them. That is the candidates' job.

You could say that my enthusiasm is fleeting
 

Stumpokapow

listen to the mad man
What about moving within Canada? Which city has the best winters?

Vancouver has the best climate in Canada at all seasons; more moderate summers than the sweltering middle of Canada, moderate winters, little to no snow, but snow always within driving distance.
 

maharg

idspispopd
Vancouver has the best climate in Canada at all seasons; more moderate summers than the sweltering middle of Canada, moderate winters, little to no snow, but snow always within driving distance.

My understanding is Victoria trumps it weather-wise, if only for having less cloud cover and rain. But I haven't spent anywhere near enough time in either city for this to be a first-hand judgement.
 

firehawk12

Subete no aware
Meh, forget weather. I'd move to Sasketchewan if only so I could switch to Sasktel and not pay Bell 80 bucks a month for a data plan.
 
Harper is going get re elected because Justin isn't picking the right battles and isn't talking about important issues.

I am voting Liberal but it's not my job to campaign for them. That is the candidates' job.

You could say that my enthusiasm is fleeting

Based on everything you've posted in this thread, your idea of the "right battles" would be for Trudeau to be obsessed with a dead/dying separatist movement, with little detours into thinly-veiled racism. I suspect the Liberals can make do without enthusiasm like yours.

Vancouver has the best climate in Canada at all seasons; more moderate summers than the sweltering middle of Canada, moderate winters, little to no snow, but snow always within driving distance.

The only problem with Vancouver is that it's full of Vancouverites who never fail to tell you how perfect their weather is. Though on the upside, it's just a short, cheap train ride away from Seattle and Portland, so it has that going for it.
 
Based on everything you've posted in this thread, your idea of the "right battles" would be for Trudeau to be obsessed with a dead/dying separatist movement, with little detours into thinly-veiled racism. I suspect the Liberals can make do without enthusiasm like yours.



The only problem with Vancouver is that it's full of Vancouverites who never fail to tell you how perfect their weather is. Though on the upside, it's just a short, cheap train ride away from Seattle and Portland, so it has that going for it.

the right battles are Jobs and the Economy, the rest is just ideological gobbledygook
 

Fuzzy

I would bang a hot farmer!
Meh, forget weather. I'd move to Sasketchewan if only so I could switch to Sasktel and not pay Bell 80 bucks a month for a data plan.
You should look into getting on a teacher's plan if you know any teachers or even OPSEU's plan if you know any members of that. You'll get 5GB of data plus everything else (a bunch of minutes/unlimited text/caller id/voice mail) for mid-$50 a month including taxes.
 

Blackhead

Redarse
Thanks for the tip. Time to get serious about life/savings/retirement to Vancouver or Victoria. Or just forget it

Meh, forget weather. I'd move to Sasketchewan if only so I could switch to Sasktel and not pay Bell 80 bucks a month for a data plan.
Look up how to get the Sasketchewan/Manitoba Koodo or Fido plans in other provinces...
 
http://www.ekospolitics.com/index.php/2015/02/conservatives-and-liberals-locked-in-dead-heat/
20150220_slide1.jpg


the most interesting is the regional breakdown, look at the Conservatives gaining ground in Quebec with the pie cut 4 ways:
20150220_slide3.jpg


Like I said before, as long as Justin talks stupid and doesn't pick his battle intelligently, Harper will be re-elected
 

Stumpokapow

listen to the mad man
So, looking at the province by province shifts since 2011:

Two-party vote share:
BC: CPC -17, LPC +19
AB: CPC -16, LPC +13
SK: CPC -5, LPC +15
MB: CPC -15, LPC +20
ON: CPC -7, LPC +10
QC: CPC +6, LPC +9
Atlantic: CPC -11 from NL 2011 figures, LPC +31 from NB 2011 figures

Obviously this doesn't take into account the extent to which LPC gains are coming at the expense of the NDP, but let's not pretend this "near-draw" doesn't bode poorly for the CPC nationally.

I'm a bit busy but someone enterprising could take the provincial vote share shift and apply it at a per-riding level to get the uniform swing model seat projections.
 
Lol don't start throwing your tomatoes just yet.

Harper is using separate regional strategies to pander to different zones.

notice the uptick in Quebec; Harper is using his anti-terror bill to his advantage and to play on the fears that has been peddled since the debate on ''reasonable accommodations'' started in 2007 up to the PQ's proposed ''Charter of Values'' of 2014. To make them believe that his anti-terror bill is the answer to their fears

identity politics played to a fiddle
 
Don't blame Alberta, the vast majority of those votes are wasted. Blame Ontario.

Exactly, the Conservative vote is actually kind of inefficient. Alberta gives them a base of 25+ seats, but it also exaggerates their vote. Their floor for forming government is a couple of points higher than it is for the Liberals. The Conservatives being so competitive in Ontario is the reason to be worried about them staying in power.
 
so Alberta gains 6+ seats, so potential of 6+ more Conservative MPs probable. There is a chance that an urban Edmonton riding will go NDP but the rest are pretty dark blue

...except for the fact that a couple of them will be competitive. See Viewtiful's post above: there's a pretty good chance the Liberals end up with at least two AB seats, and could get as many as six. Writing off a whole province just because you don't know anything about its politics is ignorant.
 

maharg

idspispopd
Yeah, it's actually pretty unlikely the net gain for the CPC will be 6. Again, the CPC's overall potential in Ontario remains better in spite of higher popular vote in Alberta.

Also I'm amused how you put 6+ as if more seats are gonna magically pop out of nowhere. The number is fixed.
 

lupinko

Member
Thanks for the tip. Time to get serious about life/savings/retirement to Vancouver or Victoria. Or just forget it

I'm glad my former company gave me that amazing retirement package investment, that grows in the background while I expat it out.

No chance I would have done that kind of investment on my own.

And I feel for you guys at home right now, Harper bringing back the Mulroney triple time.
 
If the CPC win, it'll be because of Ontario. And how the hell are they at 22% popular vote in Quebec. That's surprising.

Liberals need to start getting their game in order.
 
http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/0...015_n_6754690.html?utm_hp_ref=canada-politics
OTTAWA — The Green party, the Bloc Québécois and upstart Forces et Démocratie party could be frozen out of the upcoming federal election debates, The Huffington Post Canada has learned.

The Conservatives and the NDP want many debates, but sources in both parties say they also want to limit the number of participants to the “main parties,” believing that the contrast between Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and the NDP’s Thomas Mulcair would be sharper without the three other party leaders on stage.

The broadcast consortium, the group of TV networks that sets the rules for the debates, has yet to meet with the parties but some networks already seem to prefer more debates with fewer participants.
what say you guys?
you got some who say that both the Greens and Bloc have elected MPs while others say that they both do not have enough MPs to be considered to have Offcial Party Status.

On one hand you could hear the points of all parties, but having too many parties all at once reduces the amount of time that the leaders debate eachother.
 

maharg

idspispopd
Really any party with seats in the legislature should get to be there, but I think there needs to be some innovation on the format to make it not suck with too many people. They tried in 2008, when May first got in, but it was an unmitigated disaster of a format.
 

Archer

Member
Met Trudeau night before last. Dapper dude, well spoken, has a youthfulness abt him. He will be Canada's JFK Jr, minus the Madonna bad boy element.
 

Mr.Mike

Member
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/the-navys-arctic-ambition/article23290380/

There's an interactive image at the link that details some of the AOPS capabilities.

For the Royal Canadian Navy, it’s been seven stormy years since Prime Minister Stephen Harper announced the construction of the Arctic/Offshore Patrol Ships (AOPS).

There has been criticism of the program on many fronts: how delays prevented a 2013 first-ship delivery; how projected costs jumped $400-million; why the Nanisivik Arctic naval base on Baffin Island was downgraded to a refuelling station; and how the ships – originally planned to be eight, but now only five or possibly six – would be slow-moving “slushbreakers,” as opposed to icebreakers.

But now the course is set. With the AOPS designs finalized and the first steel set to be cut in September at Irving Shipbuilding in Halifax, it’s finally clear what the Navy will be capable of when the new ships set sail for the Arctic.

The $3.5-billion deal signed with Irving in January calls for the construction of five ships, with incentives for the yard to deliver six. The 103-metre long vessels, each crewed by a complement of 65, will be able to cut through one-metre first-year ice, thereby opening a vast area of the southern portion of Canada’s Arctic archipelago to the Navy, as well as extending the navigable Arctic season in the eastern region from weeks to months. It’s expected the ships will be escorted by coast guard icebreakers for missions into heavier ice.

The first ship, named the Harry DeWolf after the decorated wartime RCN commander from Bedford, N.S., is scheduled to launch in 2018. The rest of them are expected to follow in roughly nine-month intervals.

The Nanisivik refuel station will play a key role. It will untether the ships from their bases in Halifax and Equimalt, B.C., allowing them to maximize their 6,800 nautical-mile range and 120-day endurance. The Navy says the ships will provide three key operational capabilities:

-- "sea-bourne surveillance of Canada's waters, including the Arctic”;
-- “situational awareness of activities and events in these regions”;
-- and assertion and enforcement “of Canadian sovereignty when and where necessary.”

Mr. Harper says they will be able to patrol the length of the Northwest Passage during the four-month shipping season, as well as guard its approaches year-round. In 2013, ships made 22 passage transits, according to the Canadian Coast Guard, including the first-ever commercial transit by the Danish bulk carrier Nordic Orion.

arctic_map_final.jpg
 

Boogie

Member
That red line. :-/

Basically the military saying "yes, we expect the planet to be screwed by climate change in 15 years."
 

Stumpokapow

listen to the mad man
That red line. :-/

Basically the military saying "yes, we expect the planet to be screwed by climate change in 15 years."

I suspect what you mean is "We expected Canada's New Weather to be enhanced by the natural loving rays of the sun, praise be to Alberta".
 

Sch1sm

Member
Can we just talk about this. It's on Globe & Mail, The Star, as well.

The prime minister ratcheted up the rhetoric against the niqab even as Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau accused him and his ministers of stoking prejudice against Muslims.

Harper ignored those examples and returned instead to his assertion last month that it's "offensive" for someone to wear a face-covering niqab while taking the oath of Canadian citizenship.

Okay. Sure. Maybe transparency and identity purposes. Which is what I thought, at least, until I kept reading.

[Stephen Harper] said Trudeau doesn't seem to understand "why almost all Canadians oppose the wearing of face coverings during citizenship ceremonies."

"It's very easy to understand," Harper added. "Why would Canadians, contrary to our own values, embrace a practice at that time that is not transparent, that is not open and, frankly, is rooted in a culture that is anti-women?"

Considering the niqab isn't limited to a single culture, and is worn by anyone (who chooses to) that follows the religion, what even is he talking about here?

Harper said “almost all Canadians” agree with his government’s position in appealing the case of a woman who objected to unveiling during a public citizenship oath-taking ceremony. (She had agreed to unveil for identification purposes prior to her citizenship test.)

But the oath is taken among a group of people, isn't it? At least, when my mother did it in the early 90s, it was. Not that she wears a niqab, so it wasn't a issue.


This is turning into a Justin Trudeau, freedom of religion vs Stephen Harper, this isn't the way things work here. Trudeau says it promotes a divide between Muslim Canadians and the nation through fomenting fear, the like, Harper is appealing the ban on face coverings that was struck down:

Harper has vowed to appeal a court ruling which struck down the ban on wearing a face-covering veil during the citizenship ceremony.
 

lacinius

Member
The prime minister ratcheted up the rhetoric against the niqab even as Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau accused him and his ministers of stoking prejudice against Muslims.

This is the text of the speech that Trudeau gave, and it's actually really quite good imho, and offers quite the contrast from anything Harper ever has to say: http://www.macleans.ca/politics/for-the-record-justin-trudeau-on-liberty-and-the-niqab/

Interestingly enough, after giving that speech, over at the Washington Post there was this: “Among those looking in from the outside, however, many were struck by how rare it was to hear a mainstream politician making such a dramatic stand for Muslims… praised Trudeau's comments, saying they were ‘inconceivable for a leading US politician’.”

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...lims-today-as-it-did-jews-in-the-30s-and-40s/


Meanwhile... over in the Harper Camp, Jason Kenny remains in way over his head: http://ottawacitizen.com/news/polit...s-misleading-photos-of-muslim-women-in-chains
 
anyone wanting to figure why Harper is going down that road, it's because it bodes well among Nationalist Quebecers who are anti-immigrants

http://www.journaldemontreal.com/20...rudeau-davoir-une-position-antifemme#livefyre

read the comments sections, you have anti-federalist commentators saying that finally they have something that they agree on with Stephen Harper.

http://quebec.huffingtonpost.ca/201..._n_6843040.html?utm_hp_ref=politique#comments

political pandering for votes just like Diefenbaker pandered to Duplessis supporters, and the way Mulroney coddled Bouchard and recruited Nationalists for the Progressive Conservatives in the 80s (that turned out well, uh Brian?)
 
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