Kotaku Rumor: Microsoft 6 months behind in game production for X720 [Pastebin = Ban]

-Xbox Store might contain a lot of easily portable titles between xbox/w8/phone

And this is what people were worried about when win8 launched.

That is, a situation wherein big game titles, both 1st and 3rd party, will release only through the windows app store and require winRT. It will mean more money for ms and more control over the software for the developers.

It will also mean higher prices and much less retail competition in the PC space and the end of win7 as a decent gaming platform.
 
So you think the Kotaku rumor is definitely referring to WinRT then? Yes.

Would Windows RT (the OS) even be feasible given what we know about the Durango hardware? Maybe with some weird abstraction layer or something.
WindowsRT is basically a more locked down version of Windows, with some APIs not exposed. There would be no reason for running it (imo), and more to lose by doing so. They would be better off (assuming they have the development assets that I believe they have) doing a WINPHONE-esque customization to the actual UI. not saying that it should look like winphone, but be its own tailored experience specifically geared towards games and media consumption. Like what the 360 is now, and what my vision of what BigPictureMode is (never used it). But of course exposing a lot more functionality, features, and badassery.

Some responses inline.


We *know* Durango is x86 based. This implies no Windows RT. If Xbox is to take anything from Windows, Xbox would use the kernel and probably a lot of other low-level technologies from Windows. Xbox would also 'port/customize/expose' a lot of WinRT API.

If the App store rumor is true, Xbox would probably expose those API to the app store developers along with specifically xbox-only API (kinnect? whatever else). This would be beneficial to the entire MS ecosystem, as the WinRT APIs are on phone, xbox,Desktop/tablet


And this is what people were worried about when win8 launched.

That is, a situation wherein big game titles, both 1st and 3rd party, will release only through the windows app store and require winRT. It will mean more money for ms and more control over the software for the developers.

It will also mean higher prices and much less retail competition in the PC space and the end of win7 as a decent gaming platform.

I think you might be misunderstanding me. This would be for the indie developers who don't get big publisher contracts. The 1$-10$ games. Again, All speculation, , but I think this would be beneficial to both the end user AND Microsoft.
 
lolwat

Very interesting Stephen. I thought the 360 had an absolutely stellar launch. Just on day 1 I purchased NFS: Most Wanted and Call of Duty 2.

About a week later I got Kameo, Perfect Dark Zero, PGR3, and Condemned. That's not even including a couple other good games at launch. I don't think the Wii U launch is typical one bit.


Yep, i also felt the 360 launch was strong. I bought all the games you mentioned with the exception of Need for Speed and had a hell of a time (and Kameo really gave me that Next gen feel with its great parallax mapping textures).
 
The bird has been proved legit...many times.
He only missed the 8gb thinghy, even asking for an autoban when proved wrong.

Many times? I have asked and been giving one thing that I could verify and that was the esram speed and that will not be proven until MS releases specs. So how has he been proven legit?
 
The burden of proof is not on me.
Yes it is, the burden of proof is always on the one trying to dispute the evidence. He is simply putting out info out there and it's up to people here to believe him or not but if you want to say he's lying you have to show us some proof.
 
People are paid to post shit on forums? Where do I sign up?.....

http://topbestlisted.blogspot.com/2011/08/top-10-best-paid-forum-posting-jobs-on.html

expect to make $3-$5/hour.

If you want to whore yourself for companies like MS etc, you need to work for a large PR firm with ironclad guards against any astroturfing accusations being able to stick against the client. You might want to shoot off a resume to Bivings Group or similar.

further reading: http://www.monbiot.com/2011/02/23/robot-wars/

Like the other members of the team, he posed as a disinterested member of the public. Or, to be more accurate, as a crowd of disinterested members of the public: he used 70 personas, both to avoid detection and to create the impression that there was widespread support for his pro-corporate arguments...

Emails obtained by political hackers from a US cyber-security firm suggest that a remarkable technological armoury is being deployed.

  • companies now use “persona management software”, which multiplies the efforts of the astroturfers working for them,
  • this software creates all the online furniture a real person would possess: a name, email accounts, web pages and social media.
  • fake accounts can be kept updated by automatically re-posting or linking to content generated elsewhere, reinforcing the impression that the account holders are real and active.
  • human astroturfers can then be assigned these “pre-aged” accounts to create a back story,

But perhaps the most disturbing revelation is this. The US Air Force has been tendering for companies to supply it with persona management software, which will perform the following tasks:
  • . Create “10 personas per user, replete with background, history, supporting details, and cyber presences that are technically, culturally and geographically consistent. … Personas must be able to appear to originate in nearly any part of the world and can interact through conventional online services and social media platforms.”
  • Automatically provide its astroturfers with “randomly selected IP addresses through which they can access the internet.” [An IP address is the number which identifies someone's computer]. These are to be changed every day, “hiding the existence of the operation.” The software should also mix up the astroturfers’ web traffic with “traffic from multitudes of users from outside the organization. This traffic blending provides excellent cover and powerful deniability
  • . Create “static IP addresses” for each persona, enabling different astroturfers “to look like the same person over time.” It should also allow “organizations that frequent same site/service often to easily switch IP addresses to look like ordinary users as opposed to one organization.”

EDIT: check out this thread for some good role models: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=552004
 
Tolito:

why blow the lid on this now?

Ms pr will not favour you during launch.

the only way I can rationalise vthis us you are already off a deal and have nothing to lose... Or you perceive a storm of Xbox criticism is coming and positioning yourself for that is better in the long run as pr threats will mean nothing then.

in any instance you have most to lose if this is false... Ergo I believe it to be true.
 
The burden of proof is not on me.

Here is what I remember about his claims:
1. He got Durango's RAM speeds correct
2. He was the first one to claim Sony's RAM was upgraded to 4 GB, which was correct.
3. He got PS4's box dimensions hilariously wrong. I guess technically they could be right as we don't know the actual dimensions but the dimensions he claimed were just straight up ridiculous
4. Claimed 8 GB was impossible.

There were other rumors he had, but I don't remember them. Maybe the ones I'm forgetting improve his rumor track record, but from what I recall he hasn't been super reliable.
 
http://topbestlisted.blogspot.com/2011/08/top-10-best-paid-forum-posting-jobs-on.html

expect to make $3-$5/hour.

If you want to whore yourself for companies like MS etc, you need to work for a large PR firm with ironclad guards against any astroturfing accusations being able to stick against the client. You might want to shoot off a resume to Bivings Group or similar.

further reading: http://www.monbiot.com/2011/02/23/robot-wars/



EDIT: check out this thread for some good role models: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=552004
that's pretty sad for anyone involved in that. Also the accusations you make are saddening
 
Here is what I remember about his claims:
1. He got Durango's RAM speeds correct
2. He was the first one to claim Sony's RAM was upgraded to 4 GB, which was correct.
3. He got PS4's box dimensions hilariously wrong. I guess technically they could be right as we don't know the actual dimensions but the dimensions he claimed were just straight up ridiculous
4. Claimed 8 GB was impossible.

There were other rumors he had, but I don't remember them. Maybe the ones I'm forgetting improve his rumor track record, but from what I recall he hasn't been super reliable.
Pretty sure he got PS4's RAM speed correct as well (when we were all assuming 192).
 
Yes it is, the burden of proof is always on the one trying to dispute the evidence. He is simply putting out info out there and it's up to people here to believe him or not but if you want to say he's lying you have to show us some proof.

If a person claims something then the burden is on that person to supply some support for that claim, some evidence that others can examine before accepting it.
 
Here is what I remember about his claims:
1. He got Durango's RAM speeds correct
2. He was the first one to claim Sony's RAM was upgraded to 4 GB, which was correct.
3. He got PS4's box dimensions hilariously wrong. I guess technically they could be right as we don't know the actual dimensions but the dimensions he claimed were just straight up ridiculous
4. Claimed 8 GB was impossible.

There were other rumors he had, but I don't remember them. Maybe the ones I'm forgetting improve his rumor track record, but from what I recall he hasn't been super reliable.

The way I've always taken insiders is as nothing more than mouthpieces. They'll be used to disemminate information. And I'd imagine they'd be happy with it. First with info and knowing more than the average poster. Now that mouthpiece role of course is subject to abuse / failing.

The danger of this type of insider is that those "I've heard posts..." get more traction than they ordinarily would.

On my phone or I'd explain it better!

Edit: A certain type of insider.
 
If a person claims something then the burden is on that person to supply some support for that claim, some evidence that others can examine before accepting it.
And you were told to check the posting history, I don't see why it's someone's job to find the quotes so you can think he is legit.
 
Several mods claim to have inside information, and they concur that thuway is a reliable source. I don't see anyone claiming these mods are making things up.
 
If a person claims something then the burden is on that person to supply some support for that claim, some evidence that others can examine before accepting it.

This is simply not possible. Some people have a good track record with these kinds of things, and it's their reputation you use to judge their merits. Asking for insiders to post evidence about or from their sources is a silly notion that simply wouldn't ever happen.

And yea, I'll vouch for Thuway. No insider is going to be correct all the time since even developers only know so much, but he's been right the majority of the time. I have actually been privy to some of his insider stuff and it's legit.
 
This is simply not possible. Some people have a good track record with these kinds of things, and it's their reputation you use to judge their merits. Asking for insiders to post evidence about or from their sources is a silly notion that simply wouldn't ever happen.

And yea, I'll vouch for Thuway. No insider is going to be correct all the time since even developers only know so much, but he's been right the majority of the time. I have actually been privy to some of his insider stuff and it's legit.

I think (or hope!) Karma was looking for posts from Thuway that were a) posted before info had been leaked elsewhere and b) turned out to be true / were subsequently confirmed.
 
There are people reading this thread right now who have yet to say a damn thing and know I am telling the truth. I am not arguing the road map, I am intentionally telling you that Durango at ONE point in time was scheduled for a 2012 release to usurp Sony and go head to head with the Wii U. Don't believe me if you don't want. Thanks.

This probably won't mean much coming from me, but people did think I was crazy when I also mentioned Microsoft wanting to launch in 2012 years ago. What he says isn't off base. Just that things clearly did not turn out that way. Yes, I know thuway wasn't a reliable source of anything in the past (in regards to that poster saying he trolled 360 and talked up Uncharted). Hell I argued with him many times in the past about how the PS4 was going to be 1.8tf and he said stuff like "fuck that, 3+TF or bust" and laughed the 1.2tf figure of the Xbox... but he has recently gained some... friends. That I can corroborate based on what little I know. What he's saying right now is not some made up bullshit. The plans, long ago, involved 2012. The plans changed.

slider said:
The way I've always taken insiders is as nothing more than mouthpieces. They'll be used to disemminate information

Spot on.
 
As far as I know the current Durango was always planned for 2013. There was no one year delay.

They might have targeted 2012, but that would be before any real work was done on the system.
 
Why did they even close studios like Bizzare? They really need to secure more first party studios, as we can see from Sony, third party exclusives have unreliable platform allegiances at best.

Do you mean Ensemble?

Because mother fucker I am still mad about MS killing Ensemble.
 
This is simply not possible. Some people have a good track record with these kinds of things, and it's their reputation you use to judge their merits. Asking for insiders to post evidence about or from their sources is a silly notion that simply wouldn't ever happen.

And yea, I'll vouch for Thuway. No insider is going to be correct all the time since even developers only know so much, but he's been right the majority of the time. I have actually been privy to some of his insider stuff and it's legit.

Yeah, from what has been posted here that doesn't seem to be the case at all.
 
It's easy to question your claims when the goddamn official source contradict exactly what you're saying. Are you suggesting the leaked roadmap is wrong? That MS intentionally aimed to mislead by claiming a 2013 release when they were aiming for 2012?

What makes me question you further is that if they were indeed aiming for a 2012 release, why in the hell are they struggling at the moment? All signs point to a 2013 release, regardless of what one game intended to aim for.

Such BS. Either you're lying or your sources are shit.
Gesh, some context. The key here is the FCC 2010 mandate for RVU to be offered by cable companies Dec 2012 till TiVo sued the FCC and now it's been put back to June 2014. The 4/2010 document mentions getting a Xbox 361 on the market by Dec 2012 to support XTV. So you are likely correct that by 4/2010 Microsoft had given up plans to launch in 2012 but at one point it's likely they planned for 2012.

Some time before June 2011 everything changed and ARM has a greater role to play in EVERYONES consoles both refresh and next generation. Sweetvar26 mentioned the designs changed from Steamroller to Jaguar which launches in 2013. Problems with Steamroller and 28nm.

EPA Energy Star decisions in 2011 may have impacted the designs of both. It also is impacting computer designs so AMD's plans could have changed Microsoft's plans. Don't know which is true.

There is enough in the above to justify Sony and Microsoft having issues.
 
I'm starving for information, same as everyone else, and I absolutely enjoy the ride that has been the leaks and reveals. However, I wonder if, at some point, companies like MS, Sony, Apple, etc. are ever going to reevaluate their process for maintaining secrecy. NDAs clearly aren't working, or don't have the teeth they're supposed to.

Microsoft in particular seems to have a greater proportion of leaks than any other game company (from my admittedly limited observation). It's as if the "partners" they work with have very little respect for them, in contrast to a Sony for example; and that's not meant to open up any well-worn arguments of which company is better, or more game oriented, or 'artistic', or whatever, as I don't doubt there are folks at both companies who do care about games. MS, it seems, appears to have legacy issues which translate into loser lips for their products.

Perhaps what these companies might consider doing, is doing away with the idea of "product surprise", and instead, let the public in on the process from day one. They can even do it reality TV style if they wanted to; imagine if we were able to follow the Durango development process from day one, with all the ups and downs, via blog or tv. Yes, I know we'll get the inevitable book about all of this from whats-his-name.

As for Thuway being credible; I assume he is, and he's had plenty of secondary confirmation. But I can't help (wrongly, I know) but wonder how he's getting his info; I keep picturing him playing "doctor" with one of his sources (male, of course), who he has incriminating iphone pictures of, and he oh-so-coyly and subtly threatens to publish them.

It may even be Don himself :)
 
They can even do it reality TV style if they wanted to; imagine if we were able to follow the Durango development process from day one, with all the ups and downs, via blog or tv.

No-one will ever do that with their tech just because it'd be a endless stream of bad press as people constantly bemoan what they're doing wrong. Their competitors also get to watch and take notes and improvements. It'd be awesome, but we are all too back-biting to deserve it, I'm afraid.

I think we're very much in the era of deliberate misinformation for console things though. Spin some things to make them seem better, some things to make them seem worse... I do wonder if one company would ever "leak" fabricated things about their competitor. That'd be superb.
 
The 360 launch wasn't bad, it was the utter wasteland between launch and it's second holiday season that sucked.

Ghost Recon AW, Oblivion, PGR3, Dead or Alive 4, Call of Duty 2, Dead Rising, Fear, Hitman Blood Money, Battlefield 2, Burnout Revenge, Condemned Origins, Lost Planet, Prey, Saints Row, LotR: Battle for Middle Earth and Rainbow Six Vegas seem like a reasonable release schedule leading into Gears of War, Halo 3, Viva Pinata and many others that started off the "boom" of games after the launch year.

Plus weird, unpolished side-stuff like Ninety Nine Nights, Kameo, Chromehounds, Culdecept Saga, Earth Defense Force, Phantasy Star Universe, Project Sylpheed, Rockstar Table Tennis and Test Drive Unlimited, among others, that appealed depending on your taste.

Yes, I looked at a list.
 
Plus weird, unpolished side-stuff like Ninety Nine Nights, Kameo, Chromehounds, Culdecept Saga, Earth Defense Force, Phantasy Star Universe, Project Sylpheed, Rockstar Table Tennis and Test Drive Unlimited, among others, that appealed depending on your taste.

Yes, I looked at a list.

So many great games there.

Anyway, the 360 2006 line-up wasn't a wasteland, but Microsoft's first party line-up was - absolutely nothing until Ninety-Nine Nights, and that was in August.
 
Ghost Recon AW, Oblivion, PGR3, Dead or Alive 4, Call of Duty 2, Dead Rising, Fear, Hitman Blood Money, Battlefield 2, Burnout Revenge, Condemned Origins, Lost Planet, Prey, Saints Row, LotR: Battle for Middle Earth and Rainbow Six Vegas seem like a reasonable release schedule leading into Gears of War, Halo 3, Viva Pinata and many others that started off the "boom" of games after the launch year.

Plus weird, unpolished side-stuff like Ninety Nine Nights, Kameo, Chromehounds, Culdecept Saga, Earth Defense Force, Phantasy Star Universe, Project Sylpheed, Rockstar Table Tennis and Test Drive Unlimited, among others, that appealed depending on your taste.

Yes, I looked at a list.

Kameo was not unpolished. It was one of the best 360 offerings.
 
I think a planned launch for 2012 (decided in 2011 I guess) with 1.2 TF is not that unbelievable. It would have certainly seemed right for them to undercut PS4 by a year, I think.
 
http://topbestlisted.blogspot.com/2011/08/top-10-best-paid-forum-posting-jobs-on.html

expect to make $3-$5/hour.

If you want to whore yourself for companies like MS etc, you need to work for a large PR firm with ironclad guards against any astroturfing accusations being able to stick against the client. You might want to shoot off a resume to Bivings Group or similar.

further reading: http://www.monbiot.com/2011/02/23/robot-wars/



EDIT: check out this thread for some good role models: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=552004

man to think of the money I am missing out of spending all my days and nights on GAF $_$
 
There is a famous poster on Beyond3D named Bkilian. He was the audio engineer on Durango, and he is one of the biggest sources for all of this information. He no longer works at Microsoft, but during a private message session with a particular GAF member, he mentioned that he is frustrated that "the suits began caring only about profit". On his way out he was terribly frustrated with the design and goals of the machine. Karak eat your heart out.

This is terribly disappointing to hear. I might be a PS owner by the end of this year then.

As far as I know the current Durango was always planned for 2013. There was no one year delay.

They might have targeted 2012, but that would be before any real work was done on the system.

Interesting. So you are saying pretty confidently that it wasn't due to issues that they are releasing this year?
 
This is terribly disappointing to hear. I might be a PS owner by the end of this year then.



Interesting. So you are saying pretty confidently that it wasn't due to issues that they are releasing this year?

It's what I suspected for a while, I'm trying to get excited for this reveal but stern caution overshadows. Would be nice to be pleasantly surprised on the 21st though
 
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