The oral argument in the Hobby Lobby case before the Supreme Court has kind of overshadowed this, but the DC Circuit heard oral argument in
Halbig v. Sebelius today. That's the case that's
challenging the IRS rule which extends subsidies to exchanges established by the federal government. (The district court
rejected the challenge.) The audio is already(!)
available here (note: that's a direct link to the MP3). (The audio from the Hobby Lobby case should be released on Friday.)
This case is far dumber than the Hobby Lobby one and the district court's reasoning (which was a Republican appointee, btw) basically made fun of the entire argument to invalidate the subsidies.
It's really a last ditch effort hoping to get the approval of partisan judges. It won't matter. If the petitioner prevails here, the DC circuit will review en banc and reverse and if it ever comes to the SCOTUS, I guarantee they will not accept the current pretitioner's claims.
It really is a stupid fucking argument. No one believes Congress' intent was to not subsidize the exchanges and every part of the law shows this. They're trying to argue a technicality in a huge fucking document. It's pathetic, really.
At least Hobby Lobby presents actual questions of law, not "OMG THEY FORGOT TO PUT IN A COMMA" type argument.
Regarding Hobby Lobby, they won't prevail IMO (book the 4 + Roberts and Kennedy) and it would be interesting to see how Scalia deals with the case seeing as he wrote the opinion in the 90s that said religion via business is not an excuse to ignore laws generally. Basically, he will have to ignore his previous ruling to accept Hobby Lobby's argument.
Also, I do not agree that Hobby Lobby would be a natural extension from Citizens United. People are overreacting to "personhood." A corporation spending money to lobby is not the same thing as telling other people how their religion shall be. As someone mentioned previously, can a Hasidic bus company prevent men and women sitting next to one another? Can a company deny vaccinations or caner medical treatments from insurance, as well? It's a ridiculous proposition.
Furthermore, free exercise of religion does not mean you have the right to impose your beliefs on your employees. It means the gov't can't stop you from exercising your religion. For example, it cannot stop you from going to church or praying. That doesn't mean you can stop someone in your business from praying, however, or not having insurance with birth control.
Somewhere along the line the notion of freedom of religion got warped by those on the right. It only means you have the right to freely exercise your religion FOR YOURSELF that has no affect on anyone else. You can pray, eat, drink, go to church how you want. That's all it is.
Is anyone expecting the Supreme Court to not rule in favor of Hobby Lobby? Of course Kennedy is going to favor Hobby Lobby, it's a business.
I'm guaranteeing they won't rule in favor by at least 6-3, possibly 7-2 or better.
BTW, while I always caution against oral arguments because they aren't very predictive, Kennedy specifically addressed Hobby Lobby's case of why they won't just accept the penalty and allow the employees to buy insurance on the exchanges on their own if it's a financial wash and allow the employee keep their own religious freedom.
Kennedy will not side with hobby lobby. Mark it, dude.