Avon Barksdale
Member
First post of the season:
SEAN FUCKING COUTURIER BITCHES!!!!!!!!!!
Wrong thread, LOL.
First post of the season:
SEAN FUCKING COUTURIER BITCHES!!!!!!!!!!
“We were directed at the time . . . to delay the report of the investigation until after the 2012 election,” David Nieland, the lead investigator on the Colombia case for the DHS inspector general’s office, told Senate staffers, according to three people with knowledge of his statement.
The Post sent two reporters to Cartagena but were unable to locate the woman.
What did he have to do with it? Congress' decision to operate only on continuing resolutions and not budgets while not passing much of anything else is the key contributor here.when Obama drives the deficit ... down
True, it's not like any spending cuts were ever enacted or that reduced unemployment reduces the amount of government expenditures.What did he have to do with it? Congress' decision to operate only on continuing resolutions and not budgets while not passing much of anything else is the key contributor here.
You think Romney would have been ok with tax increases?The spending cuts that Congress enacted?
What the hell is the difference between a "liberal" and a "progressive"? I thought progressive just replaced the world liberal because the word liberal became a slur, but I guess I am wrong?
Then I guess we'll just credit Obama for six of the top nine deficits in American history, with the other three being 1943-1945.
A former President called this the soft bigotry of low expectations.
A liberal wants limited, controlled, government with expansive individual rights including strong private property rights and thus low taxes, minimal welfare programs, etc.What the hell is the difference between a "liberal" and a "progressive"? I thought progressive just replaced the world liberal because the word liberal became a slur, but I guess I am wrong?
Then I guess we'll just credit Obama for six of the top nine deficits in American history, with the other three being 1943-1945.
A former President called this the soft bigotry of low expectations.
That he helped make bigger after spending years and millions of dollars seeking the responsibility for it. (While criticizing it!)He inherited the large deficit.
That he helped make bigger after spending years and millions of dollars seeking the responsibility for it. (While criticizing it!)
But, I'm trying to minimize the blame here on the poor guy.
There might be a worse idea than cutting spending during a depression, but I doubt it.
The fundamental economic question of the last five years has been a simple one: how much does stimulus work? The answer, according to a new paper by Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin, is much more than we previously thought. And that means austerity has also hurt more than we thought so much so that it might even be self-defeating.
That's right: cutting spending in a slump might actually make debt problems worse.
It's all about the fiscal multiplier. Stimulus, you see, is measured by how much one dollar of government spending increases GDP. But in a normal economy, it doesn't. That's because the Federal Reserve has its inflation target that it's determined to hit (or at least not overshoot). Government spending, though, can flood the economy with money, raising prices in the process. So the Fed, in turn, would either raise rates to offset this spending it doesn't want, or wouldn't cut rates like it otherwise would have.
Either way, the Fed's actions would keep the economy from being any bigger with more government spending than it would be without it.
But this calculus changes when there's a recession, especially if interest rates are at zero. In that case, the Fed wouldn't want to neutralize stimulus spending. So GDP would grow at least as much as spending does what economists call a multiplier of one and maybe more since there could be spillover effects.
Think about it like this: spending money on roads and bridges might boost the economy more than just the money the government directly spends. That's because the newly-paid construction workers will go out and spend their money too and so on, and so forth. Indeed, even the oh-so-orthodox International Monetary Fund estimates that the fiscal multiplier might be as high as 1.7 right now.
Riera-Crichton, Vegh, and Vuletin took this analysis a step further. They focused squarely on countries that, between 1986 and 2008, had both been in a recession and increased spending. This last point is critical. Stimulus, remember, is supposed to be countercyclical: the government spends more when the economy shrinks. But historically-speaking, countries have actually cut spending about half the time that they've been in a slump. So counting all that austerity as "stimulus," as most do, gives us a misleadingly low estimate of the multiplier, something like 1.3. But it turns out, based on this new better sample, that the multiplier is really around 2.3 during a garden-variety recession, and 3.1 during a severe one.
That's not quite a free lunch, but, economically-speaking, it's a free mid-morning snack.
This leaves us in an upside-down world where smaller deficits might actually make our debt problems worse. When interest rates are zero, spending cuts can cripple the economy so much that GDP falls more than the government saves. And that means the debt-to-GDP ratio might increase even though government spending is decreasing like it has in Greece. That's why the IMF thinks infrastructure spending would almost pay for itself right now, and why Larry Summers and Brad DeLong have been saying the same for years now.
We can't afford austerity right now.
Ask Aaron and Antoine, they're the ones wanting to toss the deficit dropping all on Obama.Why should he be blamed? The deficit should've been larger to help the population at large.
Man, the Washington Post is now down to publishing religious gibberish to promote trickle down economics, they must be really hurting from the Vox exodus.
Man, the Washington Post is now down to publishing religious gibberish to promote trickle down economics, they must be really hurting from the Vox exodus.
I should have specified that I meant "liberal" in the American sense.A liberal wants limited, controlled, government with expansive individual rights including strong private property rights and thus low taxes, minimal welfare programs, etc.
A progressive wants a powerful state to twist the dregs of society to the whims of the betters. So they support most anything that expands the power of the "betters" over the masses.
There's a cultural alignment between the two in that both liberals and progressives are generally fine with abortion, homosexuals, PD, birth control, etc.
Uh, yeah. It's the very essence of trickle down economics.huh? Advocating more spending is related to trickle down economics?
And there's a link to a study in there...
So then it IS wrong to attribute government spending and deficits singlehanded to individual Presidents based solely on the years of their terms of office.Almost everything spent in the spending for 2009 was passed by Bush.
Most of the ARRA did not kick in til the 2010 and 2011 budgets.
Lots of defenders of Congress in PoliGAF apparently.I don't understand why this argument is even happening.
I don't understand why this argument is even happening.
a. The deficit is going down because the economy is improving.
b. Since the deficit doesn't matter, this is a topic of no interest.
c. The only reason we're discussing it is because you're buying into conservative talking points aimed at shrinking the size of the government. Deficit hawkery:Randianism::Welfare enforcement:racism.
Uh, yeah. It's the very essence of trickle down economics.
So then it IS wrong to attribute government spending and deficits singlehanded to individual Presidents based solely on the years of their terms of office.
Deficits are.No, you have it completely backwards.
Trickle down was a belief that tax cuts, regulation cuts, and spending cuts would generate growth. Not spending increases. Spending increases, at least during economic downturns, is Keynesian.
But no 2009 budget was signed until March 2009. After ARRA was enacted. So we can't give Bush all the credit for saving the global economy can we?But facts need to be correct. Bush signed off on over 90% of the 2009 budget. Obama will almost certainly do the same for the 2017 budget. 2009 is under Bush's term, 2001 is under Clinton, and so on.
Also remember, the 2009 fiscal year started on October 1, 2008. Not the first of January.
Mostly just means Democrat. But the affinity or usage of it as an epithet by a Limbaugh is the difference. "Conservative" without any definition is much more popular than "liberal" without any definition for whatever reason, so Democrats try to get away from it.I should have specified that I meant "liberal" in the American sense.
Deficits are.
Tax cuts can create deficits just as well as spending increases. Reagan and Bush were perfect Keynesians because they did both.
But no 2009 budget was signed until March 2009. After ARRA was enacted. So we can't give Bush all the credit for saving the global economy can we?
My point was that the whole thing is silly since Congress didn't even pass budgets after that for Obama to sign or not. Nobody really did much of anything actively, Obama especially, for the deficits to come down they just did by circumstance. (Which ironically was Cheney's argument.)
The economic theory of trickle down economics is not the same as the economic theory of stimulus. In its implementation, it happened to become a form of stimulus, but if they cut spending at the equal rate they cut taxes, it would not be stimulus while still being trickle down economics.Deficits are.
Tax cuts can create deficits just as well as spending increases. Reagan and Bush were perfect Keynesians because they did both.
In either case, the notion is that money aggregated (from the lower classes) at the top and then distributed politically will "trickle down" and benefit the lower classes. It's bunk, especially when you use the same thing as an independent and dependent variable.
But it's the same theory. Revenue increases don't come from magic with tax cuts, they're supposed to come from the boosted economy. Same as deficit spending is supposed to boost the economy.No, this is incorrect. In trickle down theory, tax cuts lead to revenue increases and deficit reduction.
Of course, the theory is stupid.
I cut out all the rest because I don't really have a disagreement, but I do have one here.No legal semantics thing called a "budget" was signed. ... A budget bill is nothing but some fake political thing. Spending bills is what matters. ... You are way too focused on an official piece of legislation that says "budget" on it. Those mean nothing. For someone who is always so critical of the "game of politics," you're being swept up in it all of a sudden.
Yeah, well, almost nobody's ever followed that part intentionally because it's not politically ideal unlike the other half.And part of keynesian theory is to slow growth when it's going too fast, which makes much of Reagan's and Bush's stimulus anti-keynesian too.
But it's the same theory. Revenue increases don't come from magic with tax cuts, they're supposed to come from the boosted economy. Same as deficit spending is supposed to boost the economy.
The "Cheneysian Theory" is that you can outpace the deficit with the boom (and thus revenues).
I cut out all the rest because I don't really have a disagreement, but I do have one here.
I think that the law should require Congress with passing a budget resolution just as it tasks the President with submitting one. It lets one party off the hook from having to make a formal statement regarding upcoming appropriations. Why have the President submit a budget proposal if Congress is just going to conveniently roll over the previous budget while adding new or changing appropriations later?
Essentially I'm arguing for it to be considered a supply bill. It's not anything actually binding but it represents the actual power of blocs.
Yeah, well, almost nobody's ever followed that part intentionally because it's not politically ideal unlike the other half.
No Jello in the cafeteria. Special Eighth Amendment exemption.Under such a law, what would be the consequence of not passing a budget resolution?
Nor should the argument seem strange that taxation may be so high as to defeat its object, and that, given sufficient time to gather the fruits, a reduction of taxation will run a better chance, than an increase, of balancing the Budget. For to take the opposite view to-day is to resemble a manufacturer who, running at a loss, decides to raise his price, and when his declining sales increase the loss, wrapping himself in the rectitude of plain arithmetic, decides that prudence requires him to raise the price still more;—and who, when at last his account is balanced with nought on both sides, is still found righteously declaring that it would have been the act of a gambler to reduce the price when you were already making a loss.
When?Given that we have seen the actual benefits of government spending increases, I'm not sure how it's nonsense.
So it's loaded language to be as accurate as possible? What's wrong with identifying the exploiting class?Also, you are framing with loaded language like "elites" rather than just acknowledging that there is a tax system and then discussing the best way to tune it.
Assuming this is a fact (I don't see why it would be) why would you then seek to intentionally accumulate it at the top? I thought that was the problem you wanted to address?is the fact that even assuming completely free a different fair markets, money is going to accumulate at the top and lead to political instability (and overreaction).
You confiscate actual produced wealth from someone, take a cut out of it to pay for overhead, then direct the remainder at something decided on by politics. (So okay, more overhead.) How could this possibly result, overall, in a multiplier of the original capital? Other than luck..I do not understand how a positive multiplier is absurd on the face of anything. Money circulates. It doesn't take one hop and then stop.
They do? Why? Examples?Unregulated markets tend to oligarchy
Lotta typos though. APK must have been their typist.
The spending cuts that Congress enacted?
Doesn't mean much if the people don't pay them.The United States has some of the most progressive tax rates in the world
Wasn't big enough, but I will give respect where it deserves. America could have followed Europe's austerity model.enacted larger government stimulus
This is just untrue no matter how you slice it.has the world's largest government
and yet all we hear is talk about how we're entering a new Gilded Age ruled by the 0.1%. (Which was in reality a great time for broad wealth creation.)
You confiscate actual produced wealth from someone, take a cut out of it to pay for overhead, then direct the remainder at something decided on by politics. (So okay, more overhead.) How could this possibly result, overall, in a multiplier of the original capital? Other than luck..
So best case, it'd average out to be zero, except that you're skimming off the top, and commonly "investing" in negative returns so it's much more likely the multiplier is negative.
. APK must have been their typist.
You confiscate actual produced wealth from someone, take a cut out of it to pay for overhead, then direct the remainder at something decided on by politics. (So okay, more overhead.) How could this possibly result, overall, in a multiplier of the original capital? Other than luck..
So best case, it'd average out to be zero, except that you're skimming off the top, and commonly "investing" in negative returns so it's much more likely the multiplier is negative.
They do? Why? Examples?