The economy is still bad
The economy is getting better
PD summed up.
The economy is still bad
The economy is getting better
Hillary would do just fine in VA and if Obama could win NC in 2008 she could win it again in 2016. Florida would be competetive too. The rest of the south is a lost cause.Hillary is quite disliked in many places too. Obama (well, the reaction to Obama) has effectively killed the party in the south outside of a few hold overs. We can't assume anything positive in the region in the foreseeable future.
I bet Clinton people are scared shitless right now
If I was Obama, yesterday's press conference would have been to announce Immigration action by executive order
Hillary would do just fine in VA and if Obama could win NC in 2008 she could win it again in 2016. Florida would be competetive too. The rest of the south is a lost cause.
I think the worst candidate out of all the races had to be Braley. What a moron. Honestly he deserved to lose. The Senate was gone anyway.
Why would they be? The problem was turnout.
Its like saying obama was toast for 2012 after 2010
Because we need actual liberal policy not lame half-measures that still don't put us close to where we were in the 60s.What, precisely, is making you so worried? Progressive policies are only getting more popular. How else does minimum wage increases basically make a clean sweep even in places like South Dakota in a republican election year?
I know Republicans are always saying "its not the policies it's the packaging", but they're wrong. Republicans may have people liking the word "conservative", and they may have people picking republicans as being better at generalized issues like the economy, but every time you put an actual bill in front of peoples faces. Every time you list out a real tangible change you're proposing to the government, people tend to be for the liberal versions, and not the conservative ones.
The problem really is with the Democrat party, which I actually find encouraging because that can be fixed. In my mind, I think it's largely because they lack focus on a national level. Presidential years gives a party a focus by default, but midterms don't and in today's climate where everything is a nationalized issue, you can't just send out every individual out there to fend for themselves anymore. A big reason Udall had little to campaign on is the national party largely didn't have anything concrete to campaign on, for instance.
It does no good if the only time you ever hear about liberal issues is in campaign promises. Obama at least identified the problem himself at the press conference saying he and others were out there talking about minimum wage on the campaign trail, but it didn't penetrate. I think it's because people just believe politicians will say anything on the campaign trail to get elected, and honestly for good reason too.
Black Mamba is also completely right that people aren't that dumb, but they just can't follow politics as closely as we do. And it's unreasonable to ever expect that of people. But that means you can't just take one half-hearted swing at passing a minimum wage increase, and expect everyone to pick up on your efforts. You just need to push that sort of thing with better focus and more frequency, and constantly explain the tangible acts you've taken to get it to the point where you need the other sides cooperation (though currently hard with no chamber of congress to do it through now). That's how you get issues like that to penetrate people that don't follow politics super closely.
These things aren't hard to figure out, and should they do, I think you'll see a lot more progress in the near future.
6) This sounds great, why are people mad?
Well, sure, it sounds great to you. You are a discerning reader of explanatory journalism, and you understand that Pigouvian taxes to correct environmental externalities are part of any savvy modern policymaker's toolkit. But to the man on the street, it's a big ol' tax on his driveway. Even worse, its opponents came up with the idea of calling it a "rain tax." Who would tax the rain? Everyone knows rainwater runoff is totally harmless, unless you care about something silly like wildlife or drinking water.
Progressive policy isn't passing, measure that are progressive and require nothing from people are passing. How we fix this problem is unknown and what's got me down. Its the same thing with Obamacare.7) Can we draw any broad, sweeping conclusions from this?
Sure! The rain tax controversy is a little narrow and weird, but it speaks to a big reality in American politics. People really do not like paying taxes. They like having money, and they do not have a lot of confidence that the government will spend their money wisely. This isn't just true of voters in Oklahoma and Nebraska, it's true of voters in Maryland too. It's true that taxing the rich — i.e., having other people pay more taxes — is pretty popular. But people don't want to pay more taxes themselves.
This is a problem for liberals for two reasons. One is that many environmental and public health problems are best-solved through this kind of tax. The logic for taxing impermeable surfaces is a small-scale version of the logic for taxing carbon dioxide emissions. If you can't sell these kind of solutions even in Maryland, you're going to have severe trouble tackling major issues. The other is that the countries who've had the most success in tackling inequality — places like Sweden — don't just tax the rich. To be clear, they do tax the rich more heavily than the US does but they tax the middle class even more heavily. They use these broad-based taxes to finance broadly used social services, just as America's Social Security relies on both broad taxes and broad benefits. If you can't sell people on tax hikes, it's hard to make much progressive headway.
Losing 2016 presidential would be better for democrats long term than letting Hilary win.
You yourself used the terminology better. How am I supposed to know what that means. By all accounts the economy of 2016 will be better than 2014 just like 2014 was better than every year before it. Unless there's an unexpected downturn then the direction has been positive for years now. How are you so sure the 6th year itch could have been averted? How often in the history of our electoral process does that even happen?
Beyond the economy, people just find something else to concern themselves with. ISIS and Ebola were probably more prominent in Republican attack ads than anything to do with the economy. How long can one realistically expect to keep winning the Presidency? 3 terms right now amounts to pulling off a miracle. You guys keep trying to assign meaning to these things. Sometimes you lose, that's politics.
The term "managed decline" comes to mind. We're hamstrung by our political structure. Nothing major's going to get done, except for maybe on an emergent basis. We're going to flunk humanity's big test - of whether we can manage to live on the planet without destroying ourselves and each other - in spectacular fashion.
If you had told 20-year-old me that my main hope for national politics later on in my lifetime would be to make the best of a bad situation.. he'd be depressed. Not very inspiring. :/
No it wouldn't. Judicial appointments, vetoing GOP bills, etc.
It wouldn't move the party to the left. Did carter's (who was pretty center leaning) loss help the dems?
I bet Clinton people are scared shitless right now
If I was Obama, yesterday's press conference would have been to announce Immigration action by executive order
Dem Targets: IL, FL, GA, NC, PA, NH, WIS, ND, ARIZ, OH, maybe even LA
GOP Targets: NV, OR, CO
Yeah, Ayotte is the best politician that NH Republicans have, whereas the best politician that NH Democrats have is currently occupying the other Senate seat that NH has... Not really sure who would be able to unseat Ayotte... Dan Feltes, who I helped send to the NH state-level Senate this election, is kind of inspiring, but I don't know if he'll have enough experience by 2016 to be a credible challenge to Ayotte...Not sure if Ayotte is easy pickings.
Not at all. This election probably benefitted her very much. It created a false sense of "we do better by not running RINOs!", it put several crazy GOPers in office that will say crazy things, with Congressional control the GOP cannot dodge responsibility, etc.
So the GOP is going to run with crazy again and when the larger electorate during presidential years shows up at the ballot box in 2016, the GOP is gonna get thumped.
11th dimension chess. You see, the plan is to let the reps take over now so that they can fail at everything, then democrats can take everything in '16.
With all of these progressive ballot measures passing, even in red states, I bet we're going to see an insane number of them show up in 2016, 2018 and beyond.
With so many statehouses in GOP control, this is likely going to be where progressive groups and donors get the most bang for their buck, and the only way they have any real chance at enacting liberal policies until they get the state legislatures back to blue.
Gov Hassan would be a great challenger to Ayotte.Yeah, Ayotte is the best politician that NH Republicans have, whereas the best politician that NH Democrats have is currently occupying the other Senate seat that NH has... Not really sure who would be able to unseat Ayotte... Dan Feltes, who I helped send to the NH state-level Senate this election, is kind of inspiring, but I don't know if he'll have enough experience by 2016 to be a credible challenge to Ayotte...
Not at all. This election probably benefitted her very much. It created a false sense of "we do better by not running RINOs!", it put several crazy GOPers in office that will say crazy things, with Congressional control the GOP cannot dodge responsibility, etc.
So the GOP is going to run with crazy again and when the larger electorate during presidential years shows up at the ballot box in 2016, the GOP is gonna get thumped.
Eh, we're about the same as we were before the elections. Since the Republicans controlled the House there wasn't any meaningful legislation getting passed anyway. The major difference now is Obama can't get his judicial appointees through nearly as easily.So how fucked is the US now that we have a Republican majority in both the House and Senate?
If anything, it serves as a lesson to the Dems that they have to learn how to rile their base. Them taking the "high road" of not making a strong media presence like Republicans do with Fox News and other such nonsense is biting them in the ass and will continue to bite them in the ass until they get more aggressive advertising their message and involving their voters in the political game.
At least we can get people to vote during presidential elections though...
I've never heard anything about wanting to redefine "full time", but looking at the current definition, I can only imagine this has to with weakening the ACA for employers. Filthy fucks.Did you guys hear, that Now We Can Get Congress Going. - Op ed by Boehner/McConnell.
Just do a google search for the title and you get access to the article.
Hickenlooper's now up 2.4 points, and turnout is now around 37.3% R - D 32.1% D. Which is really damn close to the 5 pt gap they were looking for. It's also still neck and neck for the legislature, but the dems very well may keep that too.
It's actually not that bad of a showing for democrats there, given the national trend. The problem really was mainly just with Udall.
Also, I'd like to note Udall is losing by 3 points. RCP had him losing by 2.5 points, and Hickenlooper up 2.5 points. National polls underestimated Republicans by an average of 4 points. Add that together, and if polls instead averaged out to be correct across the country, Udall probably would have won with bad polling being specifically in Colorado, underestimating the Democrats. It's possible polling was just good in colorado, but I suspect it was two wrongs making a right in this one state.
Hickenlooper's now up 2.4 points, and turnout is now around 37.3% R - D 32.1% D. Which is really damn close to the 5 pt gap they were looking for. It's also still neck and neck for the legislature, but the dems very well may keep that too.
It's actually not that bad of a showing for democrats there, given the national trend. The problem really was mainly just with Udall.
Also, I'd like to note Udall is losing by 3 points. RCP had him losing by 2.5 points, and Hickenlooper up 2.5 points. National polls underestimated Republicans by an average of 4 points. Add that together, and if polls instead averaged out to be correct across the country, Udall probably would have won with bad polling being specifically in Colorado, underestimating the Democrats. It's possible polling was just good in colorado, but I suspect it was two wrongs making a right in this one state.
Did you guys hear, that Now We Can Get Congress Going. - Op ed by Boehner/McConnell.
Just do a google search for the title and you get access to the article.
Meh, I don't really like her as much as a governor as I did Lynch... I supported Cilley over her in the 2012 primary. Although I suppose the main thing I disagree with her about (i.e., whether to increase revenue for the state with a casino or an income tax - I prefer the latter, she prefers the former) doesn't really matter as much at the national level, and if she moves up to the Senate, then maybe we could finally get a governor willing to pass an income tax... (And yes, I'm aware that neither Lynch nor Shaheen passed an income tax while they were governor, either, but at least neither of them pretended that a casino would be an adequate substitute for one)Gov Hassan would be a great challenger to Ayotte.
I don't know much about her politics, I've just heard she'd be a great candidate. And considering she's won both in a good and bad year for Democrats she looks good on paper at least.Meh, I don't really like her as much as a governor as I did Lynch... I supported Cilley over her in the 2012 primary. Although I suppose the main thing I disagree with her about (i.e., whether to increase revenue for the state with a casino or an income tax - I prefer the latter, she prefers the former) doesn't really matter as much at the national level, and if she moves up to the Senate, then maybe we could finally get a governor willing to pass an income tax... (And yes, I'm aware that neither Lynch nor Shaheen passed an income tax while they were governor, either, but at least neither of them pretended that a casino would be an adequate substitute for one)
Did you guys hear, that Now We Can Get Congress Going. - Op ed by Boehner/McConnell.
Just do a google search for the title and you get access to the article.
didn't workI think you can just copy the google link and it should give access to everybody. It's Right click > copy link url on the google search link.
didn't work
edit: mentions repealing obamacare in the first paragraph, yawnnnnn
If Dems want old people to vote for them again, they should start advocating for expanding spending on medicare and social security. Why do they not do such things?
If Dems want old people to vote for them again, they should start advocating for expanding spending on medicare and social security. Why do they not do such things?
The deal was widely considered a good one for both sides, but Chase emerged with barely a scratch. First, the ludicrously nonspecific language surrounding the settlement put you, me and every other American taxpayer on the hook for roughly a quarter of Chase's check. Because most of the settlement monies were specifically not called fines or penalties, Chase was allowed to treat some $7 billion of the settlement as a tax write-off.
Couple this with the fact that the bank's share price soared six percent on news of the settlement, adding more than $12 billion in value to shareholders, and one could argue Chase actually made money from the deal. What's more, to defray the cost of this and other fines, Chase last year laid off 7,500 lower-level employees. Meanwhile, per-employee compensation for everyone else rose four percent, to $122,653. But no one made out better than Dimon. The board awarded a 74 percent raise to the man who oversaw the biggest regulatory penalty ever, upping his compensation package to about $20 million.
Did you guys hear, that Now We Can Get Congress Going. - Op ed by Boehner/McConnell.
Just do a google search for the title and you get access to the article.
So, is the media still freaking out about Ebola and ISIS, or is that over now that the election is over?
Repeal the ACA. The next two years are going to be hilarious.
Congress to Obama: Doth thou wish to repeal Obamacare?
Obama: no.
congress: But thou must!
obama: no
Congress: but thou must!
Obama: no
Congress: but thou must!
Obama: no
Congress: but thou must!
Obama: no
Congress: but thou must!
Obama: no
Congress: but thou must!
Obama: no
Congress: but thou must!
x infinity
Reid will lose 100% unless the GOP run another fucking looney again. i wouldnt be surprised if he retired both his seat and minority leader status before then
Dem Targets: IL, FL, GA, NC, PA, NH, WIS, ND, ARIZ, OH, maybe even LA
GOP Targets: NV, OR, CO
Because they are Clinton people. Because Clintons campaigned for Dems in 2014.
All I gotta say it, every piece of shitty legislation and senate appointment that comes out of this new congress, America deserves every bit of it. I hope the GOP fucks over medicare just to make the old people suffer.
The divisions begin already.
There's an entertaining article at {*sigh*} newsmax entitled GOP Leaders to Tea Party: The Infighting Stops Now, where it covers McConnell's vow to not shut down the government over the next two years.
The comments section, as usual, is hysterical, and full of TP voters vowing to fight or to sit out in 2016 if the party goes too moderate. Honestly, they seem all too happy and eager to shit all over the party leadership..
(Not sure if we're allowed to link to newsmax, but the article is easily found.)
There's an entertaining article at {*sigh*} newsmax entitled GOP Leaders to Tea Party: The Infighting Stops Now, where it covers McConnell's vow to not shut down the government over the next two years.