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PoliGAF 2015 |OT2| Pls print

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NeoXChaos

Member
@nolawineguy 5m5 minutes ago
Only 2nd time in my life to vote (D) for #lagov. Other time was for EWE in '91. Go ahead @JohnBelforLA. #GeauxVote

CUWMNO7UEAAbgf4.jpg
 

dramatis

Member
I guess it would depend.

Kessler quotes other sources within the Secret Service so it's not entirely from his experience.

I hope you are right as she could very well be our leader in chief in a little over a year.
I admit using Google is difficult, but come on, at least try.

The weird inaccuracies in Ronald Kessler's new book on the Secret Service
Every book ever written has mistakes. But experts are supposed to get the main things right, and reporters generally follow through when someone tells them something. Too often, Kessler seems to have listened to his sources, written their words down, and then simply printed as fact their allegations or observations without checking on them. I find that weird.

You claim it's just talk, but what you really did is that you just chose to believe the stories were true. Don't try to hide behind a veneer of curiosity. You looked up the book in question and quoted it directly in your attempt to raise doubts about Hillary.

Even now you're asking to learn about the moral characters of other candidates, rather than asking for verification of what you read about Hillary's moral character. Because you think you know what her moral character is, and that the book was telling the truth. You already decided you know Hillary Clinton's true character through the secondhand, unverified reports of a conservative writer who is clearly reporting without bias, since he wrote about Bill favorably. Because he has no reason to slander a strong presidential candidate, and no reason to portray her as unlikeable and horrible to those close to her. You now know the questionable sources and you still choose to believe them. It doesn't matter what we say.

Even looking up Wikipedia to learn more about Hillary isn't hard. You're not interested in additional knowledge. You're just here to push a story.
 

User 406

Banned
Definitely understand this point of view. I disagree to a certain extent as I ascribe more of my vote to someone's character as I believe it's an indication of how someone will act under pressure and work well with others.

This is a bad idea, because "character" is a nebulous shifting concept that you can never truly know, because people have different sides to them in different contexts, and everyone has good days and bad.

What you do know is what policies a candidate is pushing, which is the whole point of having representatives in government. This is what you vote for.

So when Hillary says that opposition to Citizens United is a litmus test for potential Supreme Court nominees, that's only infinitely more important to me than if she was pissed off one day and yelled at someone.

As for how good Hillary will be under pressure, we've got a quarter century of endless abuse, slander, and harassment from the right, including what you posted and far worse, capped by 11 hours of video of her staring down a ridiculous witch hunt. She's got more than enough steel for the job. More than anyone else running, that's for damn sure.
 

SL128

Member
Poll Watch: Democrats, Even Clinton Supporters, Warm to Socialism
The New York Times said:
Fifty-six percent of those Democratic primary voters questioned said they felt positive about socialism as a governing philosophy, versus 29 percent who took a negative view.

The New York Times said:
Sixty-nine percent of Sanders supporters see socialism in a positive light, versus just 21 percent who view it negatively.
I think we now know which proportion of his supporters are former Paulites.

The New York Times said:
Over all, Democrats are just about as keen on socialism as they are on capitalism. In a Gallup survey from November 2012, 53 percent of all Democrats gave socialism a positive rating, while 55 percent did so for capitalism.

The New York Times said:
Socialism gets some of its highest marks from Democratic voters under 30, 63 percent of whom rate it positively, and from another crucial demographic that has largely eluded Mr. Sanders — African-Americans, who say they support socialism by a ratio of 2 to 1.
 
The way that Christie and Graham are almost openly celebrating the Paris attacks is fucking creepy:

Christie: Paris was turning point. "This campaign changed 8 days ago... After this week it's almost funny to be lectured by the President."

Also, Rubio endorsing new Star Wars:

.@marcorubio says we need to develop "space warfare defense" so that China cannot destroy our satellites. #IACaucus
 

Its an off year election.

We've already had a Repub win a gubernatorial election because of low turnout in Kentucky.

Fucking Sam Brownback won last year despite the fact that nobody likes him and his policies have been an unmitigated disaster for his state.

I'd put money on Vitter, but would be absolutely elated if Edwards can pull this off.
 

Zona

Member
Definitely understand this point of view. I disagree to a certain extent as I ascribe more of my vote to someone's character as I believe it's an indication of how someone will act under pressure and work well with others.

Don't know how people can completely discredit the accounts regarding Hillary's character though. Sources from the same book spoke generally favorably of Bill. Maybe she wasn't THAT bad, but come on........

I don't vote based on personality, I really could not give two shits if a politician is someone I would enjoy having a beer with. I vote based on whether a persons policy positions align with mine and how effective I think they will be in achieving them, or at least pushing them. In both cases this means Hillary is my number one choice.

To steal a quote, possibly from this very thread, I don't care is she sacrifices goats to a statue of Dagon over the grave of Vince Foster so long as she nominates liberal SC justices and attempts to implement her campaign platforms.
 

Diablos

Member
In a world where you can walk into a Panera and the only human being working where the customers are is standing behind the baked goods, I am not surprised that more people are warming up to the idea of socialism. Hopefully it continues so we can stop voting for corporatist Democrats simply because they aren't stark raving mad like the GOP. 15-20 years best case scenario imo.

Now hurry up and get to your job and don't even be 30 seconds late because you can be replaced by a computer.
 

Bowdz

Member
Also, Rubio endorsing new Star Wars:

One of the few things I agree with the Rubester about. China's ability to deny our GPS and monitoring satellites is a very legitimate security risk to our military's ability to project force. Instead of spending billions on more tanks that the DoD explicitly has said they do not want, investing more in our own satellite denial weapons in addition to refurbishing our older fleet of monitoring satellites with newer, cheaper, more mobile ones would be a great strategic asset IMO.

Plus, I'm of the opinion (that I know many of GAF vehemently disagree with) that ANY spending on space, military or civilian, is a good thing because it gets us more experience with the technology and environment and helps to further justify a robust civilian program.
 

Diablos

Member
If Edwards loses to the total scumbag Vitter, Democrats are in deep trouble. If I'm high up in Congress or the DNC and I see this happen I would be very worried about the party's future prospects.
 
One of the few things I agree with the Rubester about. China's ability to deny our GPS and monitoring satellites is a very legitimate security risk to our military's ability to project force. Instead of spending billions on more tanks that the DoD explicitly has said they do not want, investing more in our own satellite denial weapons in addition to refurbishing our older fleet of monitoring satellites with newer, cheaper, more mobile ones would be a great strategic asset IMO.

Plus, I'm of the opinion (that I know many of GAF vehemently disagree with) that ANY spending on space, military or civilian, is a good thing because it gets us more experience with the technology and environment and helps to further justify a robust civilian program.

Military and space services help out civilian programs a lot. Spending money on the military is not the problem its where the money is being spent.
 
If Edwards loses to the total scumbag Vitter, Democrats are in deep trouble. If I'm high up in Congress or the DNC and I see this happen I would be very worried about the future prospects for the party.

This is to be expected of elections during the midterms and off-years. As long as the Democrats hold the White House, continue to expect losses at the state level.
 

teiresias

Member
The way that Christie and Graham are almost openly celebrating the Paris attacks is fucking creepy:

Also, Rubio endorsing new Star Wars:

Someone should probably tell Christie he wouldn't be running against the President anyway. I know the whole mechanism behind our government tend to elude Republicans.
 

Bowdz

Member
Military and space services help out civilian programs a lot. Spending money on the military is not the problem its where the money is being spent.

More importantly how the money is being spent. ULA's monopoly on military launches (until just this week with SpaceX!) and their massive $1 billion annual "readiness" subsidy are both wasteful and anti competitive. Thankful, SpaceX has helped to shift the conversation towards a more competitive market place.

Someone should probably tell Christie he wouldn't be running against the President anyway. I know the whole mechanism behind our government tend to elude Republicans.

Christie just needs to shut up and get some sleep.
 

Diablos

Member
This is to be expected of elections during the midterms and off-years. As long as the Democrats hold the White House, continue to expect losses at the state level.
It's not just a matter of "expecting" losses. Yes you can and should expect losses to some degree since things are more competitive due to the WH being controlled by Dems (and, for 8 years, the Senate as well). That's not what's happening though; Dems are losing all over the map, even in deep blue states that are supposed to stay blue no matter what. Look at state legislatures across the country. It's embarrassing.
 

Bowdz

Member
It's not just a matter of "expecting" losses. Yes you can and should expect losses to some degree since things are more competitive due to the WH being controlled by Dems (and, for 8 years, the Senate as well). That's not what's happening though; Dems are losing all over the map, even in deep blue states that are supposed to stay blue no matter what. Look at state legislatures across the country. It's embarrassing.

Indeed. It was a gut punch seeing Massachusetts, Maine, Maryland, and New Jersey all painted in red on Carson's hilariously wrong map concerning which states had "rejected" Syrian refugees. There is an abundance of young talent within the Democratic party at the national level, but it seems like too many states have see a hollowing out of a viable bench.
 
It's not just a matter of "expecting" losses. Yes you can and should expect losses to some degree since things are more competitive due to the WH being controlled by Dems (and, for 8 years, the Senate as well). That's not what's happening though; Dems are losing all over the map, even in deep blue states that are supposed to stay blue no matter what. Look at state legislatures across the country. It's embarrassing.

Not really, in 1997 when Clinton was around Dems only had 17 governors. It's a reality you have to expect, maybe slightly less if you're GOP because your voters turn out more but even then there will be losses.
 

ivysaur12

Banned
I don't see how a loss for the Democrats in ruby red Louisiana would be the thing that would signal that they're in deep trouble versus other, more realistic losses.

Like, a loss in Maryland and Massachusetts would make me, as a party operative, think that we need to rethink our message. Why would a loss in Louisiana do that when the chances of Generic Dem beating Generic Republican are so low there to begin with?
 

User 406

Banned
Plus, I'm of the opinion (that I know many of GAF vehemently disagree with) that ANY spending on space, military or civilian, is a good thing because it gets us more experience with the technology and environment and helps to further justify a robust civilian program.

Nothing good has ever come from military spending.


Sent from my ARPANET
 
Not really, in 1997 when Clinton was around Dems only had 17 governors. It's a reality you have to expect, maybe slightly less if you're GOP because your voters turn out more but even then there will be losses.

Exactly. Look at the Reagan/H.W. Bush years. Democrats dominated at the state level, as well as Congress. Almost everything went to the Republican's favor after Clinton got nominated. This dynamic isn't new. Republicans are fired up right now, and the Democrats are complacent. Exact opposite would happen if a Republican gets in.
 
Not really, in 1997 when Clinton was around Dems only had 17 governors. It's a reality you have to expect, maybe slightly less if you're GOP because your voters turn out more but even then there will be losses.
Yup. Obama's House/Senate losses are a little worse than the average for recent two term presidents (Reagan, Clinton, Bush II) but he also has one more election. If Democrats gained like 20 House seats and 6 Senate seats (which imo would be a pretty good result while not being crazy good) he'd be about average.

Bush obviously was a disaster for the party but even Reagan saw the House minority erode further, and he started out with a Senate majority but lost it, and that was with his VP winning in 1988. The out party has always made strong gains during two term administrations.
 

Teggy

Member
Indeed. It was a gut punch seeing Massachusetts, Maine, Maryland, and New Jersey all painted in red on Carson's hilariously wrong map concerning which states had "rejected" Syrian refugees. There is an abundance of young talent within the Democratic party at the national level, but it seems like too many states have see a hollowing out of a viable bench.

Mass gov response wasn't quite as bad as some of the overreactions in the south - he just said that he wanted to suspend until getting more assurances from the federal govt. More disappointing was that the mayor of Boston backed him up.

What's up with "Billy" Nungressor and "Jeff" Landry?

Why are their names in quotes?

Oddly enough both of their given names are Piyush.
 

Holmes

Member
How did Dems drop the ball so badly in Michigan?
2014, gerrymandering, and geography (Dem vote mainly concentrated in Detroit metro that helps win statewide but legislative races outside city are mostly all Republican - Detroit not big enough like Chicago that Dems could win control of the legislature).
 

Particle Physicist

between a quark and a baryon
I feel like Obama really misread the public mood this week and appeared tone deaf. He just didn't harness any of the public's anger by giving priority to an impassioned defense of western values, and so instead most of his clip replays were of him scolding Republicans and a lot of Americans about not wanting to accept refugees. Irregardless of the merits, I was taken aback by how awful the optics looked.

Obama is being an adult in a room full of hysterical children. Screw optics.
 
2014, gerrymandering, and geography (Dem vote mainly concentrated in Detroit metro that helps win statewide but legislative races outside city are mostly all Republican - Detroit not big enough like Chicago that Dems could win control of the legislature).
All the gerrymandering in the world can't explain the governor race though.
 
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