NYCmetsfan
Banned
As horrible as it is. I think the odds are greater than 50 percent there is an attack on the US.
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PoliGAF 2015 |OT2| Pls print
- Thread starter ivysaur12
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As horrible as it is. I think the odds are greater than 50 percent there is an attack on the US.
Nah, but I do think we'll be biting our nails tonight. I don't trust Louisiana voters - especially on a rainy Election Day.
Random thought I had today: If Trump does manage to win the nomination and possibly the general, would we see a surge in children named Trump or Donald or something even more silly but still related to him, a la people naming kids after TV show characters (Game of Thrones and others) or after other popular figures (british monarchy)?
Really I wanna know if a child will be named Huge. At least one, right?
Really I wanna know if a child will be named Huge. At least one, right?
All the polling save one firm has him up by similar amounts after the refugee ads, so it doesn't seem to have much of an effect. I mean, it could, and we'll see at 8pm, but it isn't reflected in the polling.
History books in the future will have a whole chapter devoted to how an ISIS attack on a WWE event prompted the election of a fascism-instating President Trump.
RustyNails
Member
I think it's gonna be close, but imo JBE pulls it off by nostril hair.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
ISIS attacking in 2016 has extreme incentives for them since they could get a refugee hating and Muslim hating president elected.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
If JBE loses then I don't know why we even have polls anymore. Ever since 2010 there's been way too many high profile misses from pollsters and it really diminishes the reliability of the practice.
Actually, even in 2008 there was some bullshit going around. The culprits being Zogby and IBD/TIPP showing McCain leads until the end when they mysteriously got closer to the polling averages.
Actually, even in 2008 there was some bullshit going around. The culprits being Zogby and IBD/TIPP showing McCain leads until the end when they mysteriously got closer to the polling averages.
Butts-a-plenty
Banned
Hillary can hawk it up if she needs to.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
That's not really how it works.
Butts-a-plenty
Banned
What I think is that she is going to make any of those Republican candidates look like clown shoes in debates, regardless of what happens. I also believe that there isn't any good reason to get concerned about stuff that you can't really control.
Butts-a-plenty
Banned
People just trying to lie about 2012. Hillary lied, Benghazi died.
I've always felt that if Democrats are to lose in 2016 it will be because of one of the following two things (besides an attack here). Obama's ratings deteriorating a few points in recent days show the vulnerability of the second.
1. 7-year business cycle downturn.
2. ISIS or Russia does something that dominates the news for months and drives Obama's approval into the low 40's.
1. 7-year business cycle downturn.
2. ISIS or Russia does something that dominates the news for months and drives Obama's approval into the low 40's.
Big Baybee
Member
I voted. I honestly don't think Edwards will win. Those undecideds in the polling are probably republicans too embarrassed to admit that they're voting for Vitter.
JBE is clearing 50% in the polls. Even if all of the undecideds went to Vitter, he'd still win.
I think it'll be very very close regardless.
What about early voting?
Also yeah he's going to lose. He's a democrat and Obama has ruined the party. Rooned! Also Debbie.
Early voting will be the thing that might save JBE. It was up versus the primary, and up huge in the areas in which JBE needed (black voters, parishes that skew heavily Democratic)
Also I made the OT thread here: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1143965
QuiteWhittle
Member
Call me optimistic, but I'm expecting a comfortable three to four point margin win for Edwards.
Sorry but have you considered the negative effect of dws? As voters pull that lever they will think one last time of that lady.
makingmusic476
Member
Most Vitter supporters seem unenthusiastic to me, while many Edwards supporters really, really want to see a change.
Low turnout might not have the effect we're used to seeing.
Everyone seems to dislike Vitter, with those voting for him primarily doing so because they don't want a Democrat to win.
Low turnout might not have the effect we're used to seeing.
Everyone seems to dislike Vitter, with those voting for him primarily doing so because they don't want a Democrat to win.
Yeah, polling has him like 20 points ahead and there's been a lot of polling.
But it's raining, that's like more than enough to keep Democrats from voting
Not really sarcastic. Just jaded.
F Debbie
Amen! Down with DWS, Dems are a mess!
User 463088
Banned
Come on, we gotta win this one. No one else I wanted has won recently, so win this one for me LA!
FloydtheFathead
Member
User 463088
Banned
Yes, you can take JBE to McDonalds..
And unlike Vitter, he won't have to pay for my services.
That was also the pattern in early voting.
Butts-a-plenty
Banned
Why is this thread so slow with this election about to close?
State polls are notoriously unreliable. That being said, I do have almost 200 shares on JBE on PredictIt. I think he's going to win, but in retrospect, I'm not sure if the price that I got was good.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
Don't the polls close in 15 minutes?
FloydtheFathead
Member
And unlike Vitter, he won't have to pay for my services.
:jnc
And you won't depends either..
God this night sucks. Maybe JBE winning will make it better.
If that's the case it could just be a correction.
Butts-a-plenty
Banned
What is this live chat room?
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