Simon Belmont
Banned
But she'll win even without Florida? What are they celebrating?
-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
PoliGAF 2016 |OT13| For Queen and Country
- Thread starter aspiegamer
- Start date
- Status
But she'll win even without Florida? What are they celebrating?
Whilst they ignore the other 2 Florida polls in the past two days... that each have him down 3... and the early voting numbers which are painting a horrendous picture for republicans. Anyway haha.
MetalGearZed
Member
eek. do these things ever get replaced or...
damn that thing got rekt
damn that thing got rekt
Carpe Carnim
Member
Winning FL proves, I guess, that he is a Mainstream candidate who was just as relevant as the hated Dole, McCain, Romney that the Establishment shoved down their throats.
It's all about setting the rhetorical battlefield for the approaching Civil War in the GOP. Basically, it all boils down to which camp keeps the branding, and which camp has to either shut-up, or slink-off to another party.
maquiladora
Member
Damn, I bet that felt good.
Suikoguy
I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
Yeah, I think it's up to it's 3rd replacement? lol
The Pizza Box guy still wins the contest for most deft execution.
I had to purchase I new bed I wet my old one so much.
User 463088
Banned
http://www.baynews9.com/content/new...ida_decides_polls_presidential_race.html#pdfs
Here's a Survey USA Poll of Florida released last night.
Queen-48
Trump-45
This is with Trump getting 18% of the African American vote, winning Cubans by 5, and getting 37% of the non-Cuban Hispanic vote.
Here's a Survey USA Poll of Florida released last night.
Queen-48
Trump-45
This is with Trump getting 18% of the African American vote, winning Cubans by 5, and getting 37% of the non-Cuban Hispanic vote.
Finale Fireworker
Member
Just park a taco truck over it for now.
banefirelord
Banned
Good to see that Hans Gruber's long lost half-brother is being a productive member of society.
So fantasy land, then?
Box of Kittens
Banned
Ann Selzer has forgotten more about polling than I will likely ever know, so I will not try and come up with problems with that FL poll. What I will do is note that there is no reason to panic over a single poll showing a Trump lead within the margin of error. Given the magnitude of the likely Clinton lead we should expect to see something like this every once in a while in a state as heavily polled as Florida. As always, throw the new polls onto the pile and look at the aggregate. Until we see enough polls showing Trump ahead to move that there is no reason to worry about Florida. And everything is point to a Clinton victory from early voting numbers to national polls to decisions being made by the campaigns to reports from strategists to...
Looks at Halloween mask sales figures...
FUCK
Looks at Halloween mask sales figures...
FUCK
User 463088
Banned
Hell, there's even a newer poll that came out today showing him getting 24% of the African American vote in Florida. (Which isn't going to happen, btw). So, ya, I feel good about Florida.
As to the Indians, if their mascot wasn't racist trash, I'd be happier. I want them to win, though. But, baseball is boring. And the costumes aren't even cute that the players wear.
As to the Indians, if their mascot wasn't racist trash, I'd be happier. I want them to win, though. But, baseball is boring. And the costumes aren't even cute that the players wear.
Simon Belmont
Banned
Yeah I guess. I'm really fascinated by what's going to happen to the republicans, the same way one is fascinated by a car crash.
Carpe Carnim
Member
No seriously guys, Trumps totally ahead in Florida!
darkstar0155
Member
Cavs won though and LBJ had his 1st triple double in a season opener
RustyNails
Member
IBD, LAT and ASS are skewing the aggregates everywhere lol. Hillary was +7 on rcp aggregate a week or so ago. Now she's 4.4.
Good I guess. Gives deplorables something to look forward to, which will make their tears all the more sweet.
Good I guess. Gives deplorables something to look forward to, which will make their tears all the more sweet.
Spoiled Milk
Banned
It's Hillary's birthday, but how do we know it's her birthday? Where is her birth certificate?
I'm amazed that any reputable outlet is still including LAT after it's been thoroughly debunked. Huffington Pollster stays winning though, they NEVER included it.
RustyNails
Member
Doesnt 24,500 sound like an awfully small lead? Did Republicans used to lead NV early voting or what.
IggyChooChoo
Member
The only time I really feel residual resentment toward Bernie supporters is when I think about John Lewis being shouted down by anti-TPP chanting during his speech at the convention. So I try not to think about that.Reminder that Hillary has won over a larger percentage of Bernie supporters than Obama ever won of Hillary supporters (a huge chunk of which voted McCain).
Who has the most disagreeable, whiney fans now?
Anoregon
The flight plan I just filed with the agency list me, my men, Dr. Pavel here. But only one of you!
Benghazi.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
thestopsign
Member
I had a great conversation this morning too.
*Someone in the office is talking about the Elton John song "Benny and the Jets"*
Old 70+ year old co-worker that sits in the office behind me says "I always liked [Elton John's] music, even if he is gay. Not that there is anything wrong with that. I'm actually fine with that, I have some friends that are that."
He goes on a little bit, without me saying a word to him to acknowledge what he was saying. Until he drops this little gem:
"The only thing I really have a problem with is when blacks mix with whites. In fact I once had a football coach that..."
I interrupt him there and tell him to stop talking. He looks at me confused and says "What! I was only telling a story." He then continues on with me not looking at him and mumbles something about how his high school football coach disowned his daughter for being in a relationship with a black man.
He isn't really my boss in anyway thankfully, but he literally sits right behind me everyday in the office. If he was my age and I was his boss I would have fired him on the spot probably, or reported him or something. Fucking south makes me so angry sometimes.
Basileus777
Member
Obama's 2012 7 point victory was by 68k votes. A 24.k early vote lead is significant.
BobTheFork
Member
Try getting a bunch of attention and bark political horseshit, yes
Run for POTUS again? Hell no
lyrick
Member
whyamihere
Banned
Two new Hillary ads (her closing statement ads, pretty much). One narrated by Morgan Freeman:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?time_co...-t46xuxMCLoNuUolquknv-5V7dkI73dgXlE7z_kXSlmqw
https://m.youtube.com/watch?ebc=ANy...gXlE7z_kXSlmqw&time_continue=28&v=p4gRAKAjd04
This is just from Clark, but:
Dems are ahead of their raw vote lead in Washoe as well. They're doing better than in 2012.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?time_co...-t46xuxMCLoNuUolquknv-5V7dkI73dgXlE7z_kXSlmqw
https://m.youtube.com/watch?ebc=ANy...gXlE7z_kXSlmqw&time_continue=28&v=p4gRAKAjd04
This is just from Clark, but:
Dems are ahead of their raw vote lead in Washoe as well. They're doing better than in 2012.
RustyNails
Member
Oh right. I forgot there are only 10 people in nevada, 9 of them in vegas.
Heard a pair of Obama and Freeman ads on Philly radio last night -- they're a cut above most radio ads.
Carpe Carnim
Member
Almost noone who's alive today remembers the last time we saw a political party collapse in on itself.
Enjoy experiencing history!
sazzy
Member
there's video of the guy smashing the star
https://deadline.com/2016/10/donald-trump-hollywood-walk-of-fame-star-destroyed-video-1201842969/
So I'm looking at this map:
http://www.270towin.com/maps/gP7PL
I mean, unless you think Trump can somehow pull off PA, MI, WI, CO, MN, or NM, none of which seems at all likely, isn't the election basically called if even just NH goes to Clinton?
http://www.270towin.com/maps/gP7PL
I mean, unless you think Trump can somehow pull off PA, MI, WI, CO, MN, or NM, none of which seems at all likely, isn't the election basically called if even just NH goes to Clinton?
No. He'll be what? 74? 75? I don't think he'll go through it again. No doubt he'll shoot off his mouth and stir shit for the next four years though.
Wow, I thought I had a shitty start to my day. Sorry to hear about that.
At least you responded and pointed out what he was doing wrong.
Actually pretty clever of them to make it look like they belonged there.
User 463088
Banned
Also, Democrats are the worst. Like people are harassing my bae Jon Favreau over the Bloomberg Poll. We have like 20 polls showing her ahead, but one poll comes out and get the sheets changed. This is why Republicans get shit done. They can be drowning in an ocean of their own tears, but one decent number comes out for them, and they're suddenly Jesus and able to walk on water.
The worst-case scenario has always pretty much always been:
PA, MI, WI, CO, NH, VA (all states she has probably a 90%+ chance of winning) gets Clinton to 270. Even during September when things were super close, that firewall of sorts held up according to state polling.
Good news is that it looks like Clinton has some padding with FL, NC and NV all heavily leaning her way as well. OH, IA and AZ are just for running up the score.
cartoon_soldier
Member
NC early voting is back loaded this time around, they will do good.
thestopsign
Member
He won't have the sta-MI-na.
- Status
Similar threads
- Locked
- Locked
- Locked