• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

PoliGAF 2016 |OT16| Unpresidented

Status
Not open for further replies.

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
I bet that if both Trump and Taiwan announces their independence, China does so form of military action like a blockade, Trump will choke.

We can only hope, but then if he does Russia won't look at NATO the same way again.

Then again he does think NATO is nothing more that a protection racket.
 

JP_

Banned
I bet that if both Trump and Taiwan announces their independence, China does so form of military action like a blockade, Trump will choke.
Why would he choke? It's not like trump himself will be going to battle. Trump has no grasp of the consequences his actions have on others. More likely he'd just throw around military power as recklessly as he throws around violent rhetoric.
 

Pixieking

Banned
Recent YouGov/Economist poll from December 10-13

Some of the things I found interesting to note, though others are more than welcome to add their own spin to counter mine :p

-Very few people, across all demographics, think they're better off financially than a year ago. Most feel things are the same, or worse off

So, what's inflation and the price of goods been like in the past year? If wage's don't rise in-line with increasing costs, then even if people are still in the same roles, they'll be worse off. Even small rises in everyday items (bread, milk, margarine, cereal) affect how people feel about the economy... In fact, small increases in everyday items probably matter more, since you notice every time you go to the store.

Why would he choke? It's not like trump himself will be going to battle. Trump has no grasp of the consequences his actions have on others. More likely he'd just throw around military power as recklessly as he throws around violent rhetoric.

Which would end-up with the unfavourables of W's war in Iraq/Afghanistan, but in the Far East. There's no way Trump could escape being the catalyst for destabilization of that region - hell, it would be his personal Vietnam (oh, the irony of avoiding the draft only to cause a whole new war!). He'd be gifting the next Presidency to the Dems, and depending upon when it happened, 2018 would be a whole new ball game.

Which isn't to say he won't do it, but it'd be crazy, even by Trump standards.

Straight up villains. Not even trying to hide it. Democrats have to start fighting back or this will get worse and worse.

There's few things that the UK can say it does better than the US, but grassroots activism is probably one of them. People will organise protests about anything and everything (almost literally).
 
Barack Obama
2TOAKwJ.png


Bernie Sanders
anst2js.png


I don't know how this translates to the other favorability ratings we've seen. Like Obama is very favorable among Democrats, but also very unfavorable among Republicans. Independents are mostly a wash.

wooo and thats will all the liberal (centrist, whatever) smear machine going full on against him. What a King.
 
Only if you want to completely ignore a strategy that appears to be working.

Of course bernie the individual's favorablity might change if he was given more scrutiny in a general election. We can only guess about that. But does it not matter that what the public's current view of Sanders is increadibly popular?

Seems to me like it's pretty good proof that his type of message and speaking like a human is a great thing to have in politics right now. If nothing else he'll be a great messenger for the democratic party against trump these next 4 years, and democrats should be trotting him out as much as they can for now.

Not everything has to be about the 2016 and 2020 presidential primary.
What strategy is working? There's been little to no activity. Besides a book tour. Nothing is happening that would constitute a strategy.

He has personal favourability as a non-candidate/politician of some prominence but little real power. So does Michelle Obama. Or Bill Clinton. Or Hillary Clinton a couple years ago. Or Ellen DeGeneres.

It means essentially nothing with regard to actual electoral strategy and tactics.

Sure, trot him out as something of a mascot I guess. Provided he learns not to tactlessly pivot when asked about issues affecting minorities. I'm not really sure how apparently he speaks more "like a human" than other people.

But favourability isn't equivalent to agreement.
5_2.png
 

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
What strategy is working? There's been little to no activity. Besides a book tour. Nothing is happening that would constitute a strategy.

He has personal favourability as a non-candidate/politician of some prominence but little real power. So does Michelle Obama. Or Bill Clinton. Or Hillary Clinton a couple years ago. Or Ellen DeGeneres.

It means essentially nothing with regard to actual electoral strategy and tactics.

Sure, trot him out as something of a mascot I guess. Provided he learns not to tactlessly pivot when asked about issues affecting minorities. I'm not really sure how apparently he speaks more "like a human" than other people.

More like a Furby, the same soundbites regardless of what you ask it.
 
Why would he choke? It's not like trump himself will be going to battle. Trump has no grasp of the consequences his actions have on others. More likely he'd just throw around military power as recklessly as he throws around violent rhetoric.

Because I don't believe he really cares about Taiwan and I believe he wouldn't expect China to do anything once he is confronted he'll back down. Similar to what happened in Mexico when he visited.
 
What are you even talking about?

Just mocking this argument that Bernie is only popular because he hasn't been attacked by Republicans when he has been attacked and questioned by plenty of both liberal and conservative outlets, from Vox to The Economist to National Review.

For instance, the recent shit storms that happened when he made comments about identity politics and political correctness.
 
Just mocking this argument that Bernie is only popular because he hasn't been attacked by Republicans when he has been attacked and questioned by plenty of both liberal and conservative outlets, from Vox to The Economist to National Review.

For instance, the recent shit storms that happened when he made comments about identity politics and political correctness.

You said smear machine... what smear machine.

Criticism of his pivot on the PC question isn't smearing it is legit criticism.
 

Pixieking

Banned
Just mocking this argument that Bernie is only popular because he hasn't been attacked by Republicans when he has been attacked and questioned by plenty of both liberal and conservative outlets, from Vox to The Economist to National Review.

For instance, the recent shit storms that happened when he made comments about identity politics and political correctness.

Post-election shit storm isn't the same as being hammered during a campaign. And news outlets - of either political side - aren't the same as the full-force of the RNC, GOP and Trump hitting a candidate repeatedly over a period of 5 straight months (and that's only counting from when Hillary reached the required number of votes during the primary).
 
You said smear machine... what smear machine.

Criticism of his pivot on the PC question isn't smearing it is legit criticism.

By PC Bernie clearly meant how Trump is not a politically directed person in his speech. I don't know why so many liberals pundits took it as "Bernie is siding with racists and homophobes omgggg". That's kind of confirmation bias and smearing.

Like what does Bernie needs to do to prove that he is all in with minorities rights?
 
By PC Bernie clearly meant how Trump is not a politically directed person in his speech. I don't know why so many liberals pundits took it as "Bernie is siding with racists and homophobes omgggg". That's kind of confirmation bias and smearing.

Like what does Bernie needs to do to prove that he is all in with minorities rights?

After Sierra Blanca...

After his comments about Southern Democrats during the primary...

A lot more than any other Democrat.
 
You can't cede any part of the electorate, really.

Bernie gave up on black voters and Southerns in the primary and basically made it impossible to win. Hillary gave up on rural and exurb whites and lost enough to lost PA/WI/MI/FL.

Just mocking this argument that Bernie is only popular because he hasn't been attacked by Republicans when he has been attacked and questioned by plenty of both liberal and conservative outlets, from Vox to The Economist to National Review.

For instance, the recent shit storms that happened when he made comments about identity politics and political correctness.

That's... not even the same thing as during a GE campaign? Like, what?
 

Debirudog

Member
By PC Bernie clearly meant how Trump is not a politically directed person in his speech. I don't know why so many liberals pundits took it as "Bernie is siding with racists and homophobes omgggg". That's kind of confirmation bias and smearing.

Like what does Bernie needs to do to prove that he is all in with minorities rights?

He certainly hasn't done himself any favors.
 

dramatis

Member
Like what does Bernie needs to do to prove that he is all in with minorities rights?
I think you should worry less about that over other concerns.

Post-2008, I'm sure you could find posters who had still hated or disliked Hillary after that election. It's not as if Sanders has no chance, he needs to do better.

On the other hand, it feels impossible for you and other Hillary haters to ever like her. Somehow the privilege of hating Hillary is okay in your book, but Sanders should be given passes from criticism. It's yet another double standard.
 
By PC Bernie clearly meant how Trump is not a politically directed person in his speech. I don't know why so many liberals pundits took it as "Bernie is siding with racists and homophobes omgggg". That's kind of confirmation bias and smearing.

Like what does Bernie needs to do to prove that he is all in with minorities rights?

Answering that question about PC culture which at it's core is about racism/sexism in way that stands up for minorities would have been a good start

Like sorry his answer to that question was horrible and basically entirely sidestepped minorities in favour of more economics.
 

Pixieking

Banned
Answering that question about PC culture which at it's core is about racism/sexism in way that stands up for minorities would have been a good start

Like sorry his answer to that question was horrible and basically entirely sidestepped minorities in favour of more economics.

I feel Sanders has always come across like this. He may care a lot for minorities, but he rarely shows it, and when he does, it's through the prism of economics.

Interestingly, a lot of pro-Sanders posters on Gaf do the same thing. I'm sure the majority genuinely care about minorities and social issues, but everything comes back to economics with them. Perhaps this partially explains the Bernie supporters opinions of Hillary - they are unable to view her through anything other than anti-Wall Street/pro-socialism goggles?
 
I feel Sanders has always come across like this. He may care a lot for minorities, but he rarely shows it, and when he does, it's through the prism of economics.

Interestingly, a lot of pro-Sanders posters on Gaf do the same thing. I'm sure the majority genuinely care about minorities and social issues, but everything comes back to economics with them. Perhaps this partially explains the Bernie supporters view of Hillary - they are unable to view her through anything other than anti-Wall Street/pro-socialism goggles?


And his response after Hayes pushed him on the racism behind this anti PC stuff was equally bizarre as he then basically provided cover for Trump by saying that what Trump meant about PC was that the media doesn't reflect America....

Like huh?

It is moderately impressive how bizarre and bad both those answers were.
 

Pixieking

Banned
And his response after Hayes pushed him on the racism behind this anti PC stuff was equally bizarre as he then basically provided cover for Trump by saying that what Trump meant about PC was that the media doesn't reflect America....

Like huh?

It is moderately impressive how bizarre and bad both those answers were.

Yeah... It genuinely makes me wonder if Sanders has any real depth of knowledge or understanding about anything other than economics. Does he ever talk about race, religion, abortion, immigration? I've read what he's said about education and healthcare, but they're both easily understood through economics (at least to some extent).
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
How did I not see this yesterday? I knew the NYT talked about the hacking, but I had no idea about the SuperPAC's involvement.

http://www.salon.com/2016/12/14/gop...ort/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=socialflow

GOP super PAC linked to Paul Ryan used illegally hacked material against Democratic House candidates: report

I think the thing that squashes most of my hope for the future of this country is the fact that a foreign entity just interfered in a major election, and half the country turns their eyes away because their side won. They basically were slipped a $20 bill to turn away while somebody got the crap kicked out of them, and they went along with it.

People in this country seem to be easily bought and paid for.
 

Wilsongt

Member
I wonder how Presidenr-Elect Putin feels about all of this #fakenews and #cialies coming out about him?

Oh. Here's my answer:

2m
Donald J. Trump‏ @realDonaldTrump
If Russia, or some other entity, was hacking, why did the White House waite so long to act? Why did they only complain after Hillary lost?


863

2,282


12m
Donald J. Trump‏ @realDonaldTrump
The media tries so hard to make my move to the White House, as it pertains to my business, so complex - when actually it isn't!



Donald J. Trump‏ @realDonaldTrump

Has anyone looked at the really poor numbers of @VanityFair Magazine. Way down, big trouble, dead! Graydon Carter, no talent, will be out!
8:05 AM · Dec 15, 2016

What did Vanity Fair do?

https://www.google.com/amp/www.vani...d-trump-inauguration-singer/amp?client=safari

Oh. Before long, Trump wil tweet out deaththreats to all of the news organizationa, his army will respond, and all that will be left is alt-wrong news.
 

Rebel Leader

THE POWER OF BUTTERSCOTCH BOTTOMS
If Russia, or some other entity, was hacking, why did the White House waite so long to act? Why did they only complain after Hillary lost?

Let's waite and see

But to answer him, It's a damned if you do/don't situation. If the WH did say anything before the election it would have been seen as partisan tactic.
 
I think the thing that squashes most of my hope for the future of this country is the fact that a foreign entity just interfered in a major election, and half the country turns their eyes away because their side won. They basically were slipped a $20 bill to turn away while somebody got the crap kicked out of them, and they went along with it.

People in this country seem to be easily bought and paid for.

They don't seem to realize, or want to acknowledge, that Russia helped Trump because they know he'll reduce American power and influence. They've completely bought into the propaganda that Hillary would've started WW3 with Russia while defending Trump antagonizing China at the same time.
 

JP_

Banned
Which would end-up with the unfavourables of W's war in Iraq/Afghanistan, but in the Far East. There's no way Trump could escape being the catalyst for destabilization of that region - hell, it would be his personal Vietnam (oh, the irony of avoiding the draft only to cause a whole new war!). He'd be gifting the next Presidency to the Dems, and depending upon when it happened, 2018 would be a whole new ball game.

Which isn't to say he won't do it, but it'd be crazy, even by Trump standards.
...Iraq didn't cost W reelection and Vietnam didn't cost any president their reelection. Americans generally reelect wartime presidents.
 

Wilsongt

Member
...Iraq didn't cost W reelection and Vietnam didn't cost any president their reelection. Americans generally reelect wartime presidents.

Yeah. We're stuck with Trump if a war breaks out. We'll get a new person in 2025... Provided we've not been nuked from orbit and there are enough people alive left to vote.
 
Yeah. We're stuck with Trump if a war breaks out. We'll get a new person in 2025... Provided we've not been nuked from orbit and there are enough people alive left to vote.
Iraq was started under what seemed like legitimate pretenses.

I would like to think that Trump starting shit on Twitter that blows up (literally) into a war would drag him down considerably compared to Bush.

Fuck, a major enough backlash would probably just get him impeached.

But I also thought he would just lose straight out, so I'm not putting too much faith into it. Trump could nuke a US state at this point and still hold onto 45% of the vote.
 

Pixieking

Banned
...Iraq didn't cost W reelection and Vietnam didn't cost any president their reelection. Americans generally reelect wartime presidents.

I'm tempted to say that the public are far more aware of the cost of lives vs benefit of war since Iraq/Afghanistan. What was it - 11 years? 12? in the Middle East, fighting (and helping to fight) a ground war which has seen little measurable benefit for the American people, and varying benefit for the Iraqis and Afghans. I would hope that the raised awareness of PTSD and suicide rates amongst veterans would cause the general public to push-back against a warmonger president.

I also think that W's war was seen as "noble" (something it has in common with the Vietnam War, at least initially?). For right or wrong, the Western Forces were sold as bringing a measure of justice and stabilisation to an area (ridding the place of WMDs and all that), as well as an attempt to defeat Al Qaeda and the Taliban.

There's few ways Trump can spin militarily destabilisation in the South China Sea and surrounding area as a genuine Good. The only way I can see it is if the administration goes full-tilt at the "One China" policy, and demands independence of Taiwan and Tibet, and the cessation of the destruction of Uyghur culture and language. That, I think, would actually have a fair amount of public support, but is also a) unlikely reasoning from the Trump camp considering their unwillingness to be the world's policeman unless paid and b) actually derails the Far East into chaos - Japan and South Korea would find themselves in the unlikely situation of siding with China.

(not to be too argumentative, btw. :) )
 
Iraq was started under what seemed like legitimate pretenses.

I would like to think that Trump starting shit on Twitter that blows up (literally) into a war would drag him down considerably compared to Bush.

Fuck, a major enough backlash would probably just get him impeached.

But I also thought he would just lose straight out, so I'm not putting too much faith into it. Trump could nuke a US state at this point and still hold onto 45% of the vote.

Trump on Twitter: Wow! Bigly proof Iran is still building nuclear weapons, deal must be scrapped!

Iran: WTF

White House: Iran is violating the nuclear deal and must stop immediately or it is an existential threat to US allies and interests.

Iran: Dude, WTF

Congress: Due to evidence, we will order new sanctions and effectively end the disastrous deal by Obama, if Iran does not comply then it must be brought to justice.

Trump: Iranian vessels can no longer operate in the Strait of Hormuz until they stop all work on nuclear weapons.


Etc etc. Same shit as Bush will happen
 

dramatis

Member
Trump on Twitter: Wow! Bigly proof Iran is still building nuclear weapons, deal must be scrapped!

Iran: WTF

White House: Iran is violating the nuclear deal and must stop immediately or it is an existential threat to US allies and interests.

Iran: Dude, WTF

Congress: Due to evidence, we will order new sanctions and effectively end the disastrous deal by Obama, if Iran does not comply then it must be brought to justice.

Trump: Iranian vessels can no longer operate in the Strait of Hormuz until they stop all work on nuclear weapons.

Etc etc. Same shit as Bush will happen
What if it's not Iran, but China instead?
 

royalan

Member
A good starting point would be to go two weeks without implying that social issues are unimportant.

I mean, shit...

If Bernie really was "all in" with issues facing minorities, it really would be THAT easy to show it.

That he can't speaks volumes.
 

thefro

Member
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/democratic-chair-buttigieg-mayor-232532

Politico said:
The race for the Democratic National Committee chairmanship might get another contestant: Pete Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend, Ind.

The 34-year-old Buttigieg — who was featured in a June New York Times op-ed titled, "The First Gay President?" — is testing the waters for a run, according to multiple Democrats with knowledge of his thinking.

"I know that he's taken phone calls from [DNC] members. I think he's doing more listening than talking, primarily," said a top Indiana Democrat. "My understanding is he's listening and thinking about it."

"I’ve been talking with a number of fellow local and state leaders from around the country about the future direction of the Democratic Party," Buttigieg wrote Tuesday in an email to POLITICO, when asked if he is planning to run for DNC chair. "I am staying focused on South Bend, but I do care deeply about where our country is headed. It’s clear the party needs to connect better with communities like my hometown, where working people are looking for economic fairness and for leadership that focuses on our shared values."

Buttigieg did not respond to followup questions about his interest but Democrats familiar with the mayor's thinking say he's received encouragement in and outside his state about running and is taking that support seriously.

A Harvard graduate, Rhodes Scholar and lieutenant in the Navy Reserve, Buttigieg is considered one of the few Democratic rising stars in increasingly red Indiana.

"If you're going to talk about Midwestern stars you gotta be hearing rumors about Mayor Pete Buttigieg," said Jason Critchlow, chairman of South Bend's St. Joseph County Democratic Party. "I mean it's not just that he's this rising star in Indiana. With the problems that the Democratic Party is facing right now, here's a guy in Indiana that's succeeding on all levels with every level of voter, the blue collar voter, the white collar, professional voters. So it doesn't surprise me at all, especially given his background."

Buttigieg is fantastic, so I'd love to see him involved in the DNC in some way. He'd be great doing the media rounds.
 

Wilsongt

Member
I find it incredibly ironic that Fox News is running a story about women who were denied abortions suffering higher risks for mental health issues.

Nevermind. They played up the flaws of the research.
 

Pixieking

Banned
What if it's not Iran, but China instead?

Which is eminently more likely - Trump has a fucking hard-on for Iran, but the Iran deal stipulates independent observers ensuring Iran doesn't do anything crazy with its nuclear program (iirc).

But China... There's already military tensions in the South China Sea, and they could theoretically use Japan's newly-announced standing army as a reason to push more heavily into "international waters". Add Trump pushing-back against One China, and a willingness to at least talk-up a trade war, and they aren't going to sit-back and watch him do crazy-ass stuff, especially as their economy is slowing down.
 

Wilsongt

Member
Since when has links been like that?

Google->foxnews?

Probably because I am on mobile.

Also, give it up. Electors aren't breaking for Clinton.

WASHINGTON (AP) — Although pestered to a fare-thee-well to abandon Donald Trump, Republican electors appear to be in no mood for an insurrection in the presidential campaign's last voting ritual. This most untraditional of elections is on course to produce a traditional outcome Monday — an Electoral College ticket to the White House for the president-elect.
Whether they like Trump or not, and some surely don't, scores of the Republicans chosen to cast votes in the state-capital meetings told AP they feel bound by history, duty, party loyalty or the law to rubber-stamp their state's results and make him president. Appeals numbering in the tens of thousands — drowning inboxes, ringing cell phones, stuffing home and office mailboxes with actual handwritten letters — have not swayed them.

The Associated Press tried to reach all 538 electors and interviewed more than 330 of them, finding widespread Democratic aggravation with the electoral process but little expectation that the hustle of anti-Trump maneuvering can derail him. For that to happen, Republican-appointed electors would have to stage an unprecedented defection and Democrats would need to buck tradition, too, by peeling away from Hillary Clinton and swinging behind a consensus candidate in sufficient numbers.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom