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PoliGAF 2016 |OT2| we love the poorly educated

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B

Basileus777

Member
Plinko said:
Still waiting for anyone to show me a realistic path to the nomination for Cruz with the remaining states.
Click to expand...

He'd have to sweep the West and California, win Missouri, Montana, Arizona, SD, Wisconsin, Indiana (all WTA) and Pennsylvania somehow. That'd put him close.

But yeah, since he's not competitive in Ohio/Florida or primaries in the North East/Mid Atlantic, the math is nearly impossible.
 
C

Coriolanus

Banned
Jack Remington said:
Huh, my shares mostly recovered again. I'm only "down" like $300 now instead of $1000. If Trump wins Michigan I just might get back to where I was.
Click to expand...

So you'll do the sensible thing and cash out now so you don't spend another day worrying about that crap, yes?

Chichikov said:
I think the best option for the GOP now is a Cruz nomination.
Yeah, he's going to get crushed in the general, but at least when he does they have a chance to start exorcising the crazy from their party. If Trump lose in the general people like Cruz would be to keep fucking that chicken by saying he's not a "true conservative" (and to be honest, he isn't).

I mean they still have a long term problem of finding popular issues to campaign on, but that's something they'll have to face no matter what, a Trump candidacy pushes that reckoning for at least 4 more years, and the demographic map is going to be even less favorable to them then.
Click to expand...

A Trump failure can be attacked via "no true conservative". A Cruz failure can be attacked via "fuck these establishment types" (which he...technically...is).

Thus, the republicans need a trump/cruz ticket.

tbf, republican politicians would probably love to see cruz running as don's vp.
 
D

danm999

Member
For some reason I thought that Michigan and Mississippi were the 10th.

Tomorrows debate seems like the last chance for Sanders to reverse that.
 
B

BoboBrazil

Member
Qq4IShx.gif


lol
 
C

Chichikov

Member
Coriolanus said:
A Trump failure can be attacked via "no true conservative". A Cruz failure can be attacked via "fuck these establishment types" (which he...technically...is).

Thus, the republicans need a trump/cruz ticket.

tbf, republican politicians would probably love to see cruz running as don's vp.
Click to expand...
I agree , but there's no fucking way Cruz is doing it though, I think his all campaign is geared toward becoming the nominee in 2020 or at the very least, becoming the undisputed face of the "true conservatism".

p.s.
Considering what has been going on in this cycle maybe I should saying "no fucking way", but I still stand by my prediction.
 
M

Makai

Member
Chichikov said:
I agree , but there's no fucking way Cruz is doing it though, I think his all campaign is geared toward becoming the nominee in 2020 or at the very least, becoming the undisputed face of the "true conservatism".

p.s.
Considering what has been going on in this cycle maybe I should saying "no fucking way", but I still stand by my prediction.
Click to expand...
Trump won't even offer it for the simple reason that he was foreign-born.
 
U

User 406

Banned
Fenderputty said:
I see the establishment money, has gotten to the red tags while I was away with my child's birth.
Click to expand...

I strenuously disagree with your comma. A new parent should be setting a better example.

Congrats!


adam387 said:
But food tastes good, and exercise sucks. So, I'll stay lumpy and happy.
Click to expand...

You should try weightlifting. It's the perfect exercise for lazy people, builds muscle mass so your body needs more of those delicious calories, and you can get all Bear Force One. No downsides.


Slayven said:
Are you saying Cruz is a Brood or one of the V aliens?
Click to expand...

I think she was going more for Edgar from Men in Black.


Iolo said:
"Hillary can you weigh in on Donald Trump's penis?"
Click to expand...

"No."

I'm really hoping that becomes her trademark response to every jackass question.
 
A

A Human Becoming

More than a Member
If I was Trump I would be watching Mississippi closely Tuesday for cracks in his southern domination. Cruz did not win any parish bordering Mississippi.
 
T

thepotatoman

Unconfirmed Member
Trump still has a sizable delegate lead, and if he wins Illinois/Florida/Ohio March 15th followed by Arizona a week later, it'd be downright huge. I'm not seeing where Cruz makes up that big of a difference.

Both Cook and 538 have Cruz needing to win Florida, Ohio, and Arizona to reach the 1,237 goal, which seems very unlikely.

It'd probably be over if Trump hits New York's 50% winner take all threshold April 19 for 95 delegates, which is very possible if Rubio and Kasich more or less go away by then.
 
S

Snowman Prophet of Doom

Member
I think Kasich is going to beat Trump in Ohio. Late deciders don't seem to go for Trump, and Kasich and his PAC are going to make a HUGE push in the next few weeks. He's going to crush Rubio in Florida, however, and there's no way Marquito doesn't suspend his campaign after a night like tonight if he can't even carry his home state.
 
G

Gruco

Banned
Kangi said:
Looks like it's a 48 point win for Hillary in LA.

Thanks to our resident LA PoliGAFfers. <3
Click to expand...

Such a huge win. I can't believe how quickly I've just come to expect it.

======

Anywho, just think. 8 months from now, we'll all look back on today as the day Marco Rubio's collapse paved the way for President Kasich.
 
U

User 463088

Banned
gcubed said:
So Bernie wins two states to Hillary's one but she nets more delegates?

Do people realize how delegates work?
Click to expand...

I'm not sure Bernie's campaign knows how this works, even though Devine was the delegate guy for ... someone. Dukkakis? Someone.

She came in with a 195 delegate lead, is leaving with a 206 delegate lead. Not bad for losing 2 states.
 
R

royalan

Member
I'm stating to think that there's something to the idea of the GOP wanting Rubio and Kasich to stay in the race until the convention so that things are messy enough that when they announce a 3rd party candidate, the effect will be somewhat blunted by the general craziness. I can see the reasoning being something like, "Nobody has the required number of delegates and all 4 of these men have been embarrassments to the party. We HAD to do it!"

That both Cruz and Trump called for people to drop out tonight, and Trump himself commenting on the idea of the establishment introducing a 3rd candidate, is telling.
 
B

Basileus777

Member
thepotatoman said:
Trump still has a sizable delegate lead, and if he wins Illinois/Florida/Ohio March 15th followed by Arizona a week later, it'd be downright huge. I'm not seeing where Cruz makes up that big of a difference.

Both Cook and 538 have Cruz needing to win Florida, Ohio, and Arizona to reach the 1,237 goal, which seems very unlikely.

It'd probably be over if Trump hits New York's 50% winner take all threshold April 19 for 95 delegates, which is very possible if Rubio and Kasich more or less go away by then.
Click to expand...

Missouri, the WTA state that no one talks about. I really want to see some polls from it because a victory for Trump there would almost offset Ohio.
 
M

Macho Madness

Member
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio responds to Ted Cruz and Donald Trump's call to drop out of race: 'Everybody that's running asks for somebody to drop out so they can do better - except for me, I've never asked for anybody to drop out. But here's the bottom line - there will be more delegates awarded in Florida than basically every state that voted tonight combined' - NBC News
Click to expand...

.
 
S

shem935

Banned
Yeah delegates you won't get you silly fool. This is the end of your political career. You will forever be known as the water boy who joked about big dons dick and lost your home state.
 
J

jiggle

Member
royalan said:
I'm stating to think that there's something to the idea of the GOP wanting Rubio and Kasich to stay in the race until the convention so that things are messy enough that when they announce a 3rd party candidate, the effect will be somewhat blunted by the general craziness. I can see the reasoning being something like, "Nobody has the required number of delegates and all 4 of these men have been embarrassments to the party. We HAD to do it!"

That both Cruz and Trump called for people to drop out tonight, and Trump himself commenting on the idea of the establishment introducing a 3rd candidate, is telling.
Click to expand...
That's not really a secret though
But I see no reason why they would do that just to hand Romney the crown
Especially after he refused to endorse Marco
And all the pressure they excerpted on Kasich to drop out
 
G

gcubed

Member
jiggle said:
That's not really a secret though
But I see no reason why they would do that just to crown Romney
Especially after he refused to endorse Marco
And all the pressure they excerpted on Kasich to drop out
Click to expand...

Why would Romney want to run to just lose again
 
A

A Human Becoming

More than a Member
Macho Madness said:
.
Click to expand...
If course you're not saying that, you'd look more pathetic.
Basileus777 said:
Missouri, the WTA state that no one talks about. I really want to see some polls from it because a victory for Drumpf there would almost offset Ohio.
Click to expand...
No polling it seems. If Trump managed to win any counties in Kansas bordering Missouri he should have it otherwise I could see Ted taking it considering he took Iowa to the north.
NeoXChaos said:
Only thing saving Drumpf in MS is it being an open primary
Click to expand...
Yeah. It and North Carolina should be guaranteed wins.
 
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