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PoliGAF 2016 |OT4| Tyler New Chief Exit Pollster at CNN

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APF

Member
Clinton's Iraq vote cost her 08 and contributed to people erroneously casting her as a DINO. Young people also weren't around during the Clinton years and don't really understand what they went through and how many of the lines of attack being used against her (and him) / defining them is just GOP messaging honed through literal decades of repetition.
 
I'd say the average person knows and cares very little about the specifics of policy, young people doubly so because they are divorced, usually, from the on-the-ground realities of implementing them. Bernie's plans are full of holes, but the fact that he's basically right on some of the big problems that politicians spend so much time mincing around goes a long way toward making him seem like a viable alternative to the shitty status quo.

I think that's part of it....well, that and the answers he provides are the simplest most basic solutions.

College is too expensive? Make it free!
Healthcare is too expensive? Make it free!
The minimum wage is too low? Make it bigger!
The banks are too big? Break them up!

He offers the perfect, but he has no plans to even give us the good. In an era of sound bites, policy that can be explained in 140 characters or less is going to win over the Twitter generation.
 

ivysaur12

Banned
Eh, I think we don't need to insinuate that kids are stupid for voting for Bernie.

I think Obama did a great job highlighting her weaknesses as a candidate that stemmed from her Iraq War vote. She's been a DINO ever since even though she ran to the left of Obama on healthcare.

She's also just not very personable and kind of a dork.
 

Crayons

Banned
I'd say the average person knows and cares very little about the specifics of policy, young people doubly so because they are divorced, usually, from the on-the-ground realities of implementing them. Bernie's plans are full of holes, but the fact that he's basically right on some of the big problems that politicians spend so much time mincing around goes a long way toward making him seem like a viable alternative to the shitty status quo.

Hillary used to support single payer.

What happened to that Hillary? That was the Hillary Clinton that I liked.
 
Eh, I think we don't need to insinuate that kids are stupid for voting for Bernie.

I think Obama did a great job highlighting her weaknesses as a candidate that stemmed from her Iraq War vote. She's been a DINO ever since even though she ran to the left of Obama on healthcare.

She's also just not very personable and kind of a dork.

Which is why I love her.
 

Crayons

Banned
no.
she.
didn't.

like, did anyone saying this actually read the 1993 reform proposal? her earliest policy proposal on the subject is literally mandated, highly-regulated regional-level private insurance.

My bad.

Well, back then she was on the forefront of progressive issues, imo, compared to now. Now Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders are viewed as the most progressive candidates. Yes, she's still a progressive - but not progressive enough for me, in 2016.
 

ivysaur12

Banned
My bad.

Well, back then she was on the forefront of progressive issues, imo, compared to now. Now Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders are viewed as the most progressive candidates. Yes, she's still a progressive - but not progressive enough for me, in 2016.
Well, yeah, she learned pretty quickly why she couldn't be Bernie or Warren after the 93 healthcare fight.
 
My bad.

Well, back then she was on the forefront of progressive issues, imo, compared to now. Now Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders are viewed as the most progressive candidates. Yes, she's still a progressive - but not progressive enough for me, in 2016.

And she got beat down hard in a climate where republicans were much less polarized than they are now and the democrats actually controlled congress. It's easy to see why she became more of a realist.
 
He's actually plausible... I mean think about it, he's the least polarizing GOP candidate, and totally boring. He probably won't have a negative effect on downticket races

It would piss off all the Trump and Cruz voters, but I think a lot of Cruz voters are just "anti-Trump" voters, so... I have no idea.

It seems pretty hard to predict what will happen at the RNC

As always the problem is that handing over the nomination to someone who wasn't even competitive looks really, really bad. The convention dark horse made sense as a thing back when the party bosses were essentially picking the nominee anyway, but those days are gone and never coming back. The RNC may be a private organization that can pick its nominee however it wants to, but they really do need to worry about legitimacy.

I also imagine if they do go that route they'll probably go for Paul Ryan or somebody (I know some of them have suggested a "fresh face").
 

Cybit

FGC Waterboy
Eh, I think we don't need to insinuate that kids are stupid for voting for Bernie.

I think Obama did a great job highlighting her weaknesses as a candidate that stemmed from her Iraq War vote. She's been a DINO ever since even though she ran to the left of Obama on healthcare.

She's also just not very personable and kind of a dork.

She comes across as inauthentic and willing to change her principles to get votes - which is something that hit her in both 2008 and 2016. That bit's not on the GOP, that's on her. She also comes across as someone who expected to win and the arrogance isn't always kept in check well (see her comments about kids being stupid to vote for Bernie, just like she implied during 2008).

Also, frankly, it's sort of hypocritical how many folks here basically are doing the same thing and acting like the folks voting for Bernie are just incompetent and naive. You know, the generation that Clinton + Bush + etc sent to war is just dumb and naive, and could never, ever be mad at Clinton for being part of the generation that screwed them policy wise when it came to their education (from K through college)...or being willing to cut infrastructure spending but make sure their precious Medicare or Social Security would be OK....or sending them to fight in an unwinnable war or something.

Honestly, as an first generation American, what the baby boomers in this country did to their kids is pretty unconscionable. It stuns me that they, when growing up from a generation who sacrificed heavily (in taxes) to build the infrastructure for this country (and fought in WWII) to give them the best chance to succeed...that when put in the same situation, promptly decided to screw their own kids in order to keep more money in their pockets. I honestly don't get it. That's like the opposite of what we're taught to do.

EDIT: The belief that the older generation appears to have completely screwed the younger generation in this country via the GWB tax cuts and war in Iraq and completely ready to spend into a deficit for their own SS and Medicare, but the deficit will magically be too big after they're done with those programs...ugh, that's my soapbox.
 

Crayons

Banned
I think universal health care is still a very progressive policy goal in its own right.
Oh, it is.

Well, yeah, she learned pretty quickly why she couldn't be Bernie or Warren after the 93 healthcare fight.

And she got beat down hard in a climate where republicans were much less polarized than they are now and the democrats actually controlled congress. It's easy to see why she became more of a realist.

Don't we have good odds of the democrats retaking the majority of the senate this year?
 
We must be really bored if we still trying to figure out math for Sanders magically winning. Lets get back to focusing on the real race and that is Trump Vs Cruz.

It's not a real race. Trump is kicking butt and can still win on the first ballot at a contested convention because it looks like the GOAT will end up a little short due to rookie mistakes. Bringing a few unpledged delegates to the team on the 1st ballot shouldn't be too difficult. Meanwhile, seeing how long Bernie will stick around in the race should be the focus because we know lame candidates like Kasich and Cruz refuse to give it up. Bernie is a bit more murky on when he'll leave.
 

T'Zariah

Banned
Eh, I think we don't need to insinuate that kids are stupid for voting for Bernie.

I think Obama did a great job highlighting her weaknesses as a candidate that stemmed from her Iraq War vote. She's been a DINO ever since even though she ran to the left of Obama on healthcare.

She's also just not very personable and kind of a dork.

I feel like HRC is in her element when she's down in the trenches getting shit done OR explaining policy.

She seems uncomfortable campaigning or debating which while "good" in a traditional sense, it's clear she'd rather be DOING something rather than telling people what she's going to do.
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
It's not a real race. Trump is kicking butt and can still win on the first ballot at a contested convention because it looks like the GOAT will end up a little short due to rookie mistakes. Bringing a few unpledged delegates to the team on the 1st ballot shouldn't be too difficult. Meanwhile, seeing how long Bernie will stick around in the race should be the focus because we know lame candidates like Kasich and Cruz refuse to give it up. Bernie is a bit more murky on when he'll leave.

Cruz will easily win the nomination at the convention.

That HRC website 404 thing is absolute money. Can't wait to vote for her.
 

Crayons

Banned
After Obama was elected I just thought the U.S. was done with neoconservatives.

I should've been more careful with what I said because I'd prefer neoconservatives to right wing populists.

I'm fairly confident that a democrat will win in 2016. Most likely Hillary sparing anything sort of a miracle for Bernie.
Even though I don't expect him to win, he has brought democratic socialism to the table. Socialist is still a dirty word, but not nearly as much as it used to be. In that way, it's a huge success. Pushing Hillary to the left has done this country a great service imo. I remember when I originally started supporting Sanders, NO ONE knew him. Even if (when) he loses, it's still been a great success because he has started a movement that won't die with just one election.
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
After Obama was elected I just thought the U.S. was done with neoconservatives.

I should've been more careful with what I said because I'd prefer neoconservatives to right wing populists.

I'm fairly confident that a democrat will win in 2016. Most likely Hillary sparing anything sort of a miracle for Bernie.
Even though I don't expect him to win, he has brought democratic socialism to the table. Socialist is still a dirty word, but not nearly as much as it used to be. In that way, it's a huge success. Pushing Hillary to the left has done this country a great service imo. I remember when I originally started supporting Sanders, NO ONE knew him. Even if (when) he loses, it's still been a great success because he has started a movement that won't die with just one election.

Hillary isn't a neoconservative...she's never been one...
 
Cruz will easily win the nomination at the convention.
How? Trump might be at 1100 and some change in delegates coming into the convention and would be even closer if he was a seasoned vet in the game. Cruz is a chump that's going to roll in with significantly less for the first ballot.
 
She comes across as inauthentic and willing to change her principles to get votes - which is something that hit her in both 2008 and 2016. That bit's not on the GOP, that's on her. She also comes across as someone who expected to win and the arrogance isn't always kept in check well (see her comments about kids being stupid to vote for Bernie, just like she implied during 2008).

Also, frankly, it's sort of hypocritical how many folks here basically are doing the same thing and acting like the folks voting for Bernie are just incompetent and naive. You know, the generation that Clinton + Bush + etc sent to war is just dumb and naive, and could never, ever be mad at Clinton for being part of the generation that screwed them policy wise when it came to their education (from K through college)...or being willing to cut infrastructure spending but make sure their precious Medicare or Social Security would be OK....or sending them to fight in an unwinnable war or something.

Honestly, as an first generation American, what the baby boomers in this country did to their kids is pretty unconscionable. It stuns me that they, when growing up from a generation who sacrificed heavily (in taxes) to build the infrastructure for this country (and fought in WWII) to give them the best chance to succeed...that when put in the same situation, promptly decided to screw their own kids in order to keep more money in their pockets. I honestly don't get it. That's like the opposite of what we're taught to do.

EDIT: The belief that the older generation appears to have completely screwed the younger generation in this country via the GWB tax cuts and war in Iraq and completely ready to spend into a deficit for their own SS and Medicare, but the deficit will magically be too big after they're done with those programs...ugh, that's my soapbox.
Remind me which war the Clintons put a generation into. Was it the war they didn't fight in Yemen after the USS Cole bombing? What about Bush's war in Somalia that Clinton ended? How about the war we didn't start in Haiti or Rwanda? How about the inclusion of Eastern European countries in NATO, signaling to Russia that no nuclear weapons would ever be present in those countries?

Those Clintons, always starting wars.

If I could vote Bill Clinton into a third term, I would. Oh wait, we basically can!
 

thcsquad

Member
Oh, it is.





Don't we have good odds of the democrats retaking the majority of the senate this year?

Doesn't really matter if they don't get to 60. So we have to win fourteen seats somehow. Any Bernie-type major plans will get filibustered to the end by Republicans.

Plus there's the whole House situation.
 

Crayons

Banned
I never got that line of attack. Hillary is a secret neocon, even though every single neocon in the country hates her with a passion and have made false smears for 30 years?

Makes sense...
I was referring to the current GOP candidates - anyone who isn't Trump (who I called a right wing populist)
 
Hillary's not a neoconservative, but she was, by all accounts, one of the biggest champions of intervention in Libya, which Obama now looks back on as his greatest mistake as POTUS. She also was against Obama's decision not to enforce the red line in Syria, has doubled down on the "special relationship" with Israel, etc. She's definitively a humanitarian interventionist, which is not the kind of batshit crazy neoconservative brings to the table but definitely IS easily her biggest weakness.
 
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