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[ItWasMeantToBe19]

How badly would Trump have to lose for Rand Paul to lose his Senate seat?

 

[Fenderputty]

Paul Ryan continues to look like the coward he is.

Good. Fuck Paul Ryan. May he never sniff the national stage again.

 

[User 463088]

New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls:

IA: Clinton 41, Trump 37 (+4)
OH: Clinton 43, Trump 38 (+5)
PA: Clinton 48, Trump 37 (+11)

 

[Loudninja]

New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls:

IA: Clinton 41, Trump 37 (+4)
OH: Clinton 43, Trump 38 (+5)
PA: Clinton 48, Trump 37 (+11)

Is new plan today should help!

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls:

IA: Clinton 41, Trump 37 (+4)
OH: Clinton 43, Trump 38 (+5)
PA: Clinton 48, Trump 37 (+11)

This seems pretty dominant in Pennsylvania.

 

[nature boy]

New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls:

IA: Clinton 41, Trump 37 (+4)
OH: Clinton 43, Trump 38 (+5)
PA: Clinton 48, Trump 37 (+11)

In line with Q, PA is no longer a battleground state.

WE NEED TEXAS POLLS.

 

[bangbang i'm a timpani]

New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls:

IA: Clinton 41, Trump 37 (+4)
OH: Clinton 43, Trump 38 (+5)
PA: Clinton 48, Trump 37 (+11)

jesus christ she should just pull out of all states and go ham on texas it would be amazing

 

[User 463088]

Before the conventions, it was:

IA: HRC 42, Trump 39 (+3)
OH: HRC 39, Trump 39 (even)
PA: HRC 45, Trump 36 (+9)

 

[thebloo]

Trump campaign already has a statement out. They know he fucked up.

"Actually, it's about the power of unification in politics."

Am I doing this right?

 

[Sibylus]

Gary Kasparov weighs in on the consequences of an atmosphere where this is normal:

@Kasparov63
Putin's followers often "joke" about opposition leaders being killed. Posters with crosshairs, etc. Then they are murdered and it's no joke.

@Kasparov63
Trump joking about someone shooting Hillary is sick & dangerous. It's how unbalanced people are inspired to murder. It trivializes violence.

@Kasparov63
When a Putin regime critic or opposition member is murdered, Westerners say "Putin wouldn't do that! It makes him look bad!" As if he cares.

@Kasparov63
It's not about giving the order to murder. Creating the culture of violence, hatred, & impunity is enough. Killing without consequences.

@Kasparov63
That is why you cannot take these things lightly at all. The normalization of violent rhetoric inevitably leads to violence.

 

[8 X 11 Printer Paper]

Downballot (NBC/WSJ/Marist)
Grassley +10
Portman +5
McGinty +4

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Grassley: +10
Portman: +5
McGinty: +4

 

[whyamihere]

I am very happy with those numbers.

Grassley: +10
Portman: +5
McGinty: +4

More signs that Toomey is fucked.

 

[FloydtheFathead]

Hey guys.. What's..

*sees Trump Comments*

Ok.. That's it.. We've reached bottom of how low he can go.

 

[Zackat]

What are FL numbers?

 

[Y2Kev]

Dagger. Omg.

 

[DorkLord54]

New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls:

IA: Clinton 41, Trump 37 (+4)
OH: Clinton 43, Trump 38 (+5)
PA: Clinton 48, Trump 37 (+11)

So I'm guessing, with these polls showing he's going to lose the Rust Belt + his awful comments, he's completely done?

 

[Box of Kittens]

New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls:

IA: Clinton 41, Trump 37 (+4)
OH: Clinton 43, Trump 38 (+5)
PA: Clinton 48, Trump 37 (+11)

I'm happy with these numbers. It's past time to put to rest the idea that Trump can win PA. Even Diablos doesn't think it'll happen.

 

[Hazmat]

New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls:

IA: Clinton 41, Trump 37 (+4)
OH: Clinton 43, Trump 38 (+5)
PA: Clinton 48, Trump 37 (+11)

Beautiful.

 

[thestopsign]

This seems pretty dominant in Pennsylvania.

PA has consistently been in the +9 to +11 range. I don't even consider it a swing state at this point.

 

[nature boy]

PPP may poll Texas next weekend. It's currently winning their vote on which state they should poll next.

Did my part, although Arizona would also be interesting.

 

[The Technomancer]

So I'm guessing, with these polls showing he's completely lost the Rust Belt + his awful comments, he's completely done?

As far as I'm concerned at this point its not even about his loss anymore. How many other GOP house and senate members can we chain to his neck to go down in November with him?

 

[Roland_Gunner]

Grassley: +10
Portman: +5
McGinty: +4

Strickland, what are you doing?? Thank God for Bayh stepping up.

 

[metalslimer]

Is there any realistic path without Penn?

 

[Oceanwind]

New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls:

IA: Clinton 41, Trump 37 (+4)
OH: Clinton 43, Trump 38 (+5)
PA: Clinton 48, Trump 37 (+11)

Matches up pretty well with the Q-piac polls. I guess he'll sink even further after his remarks today.

 

[Tranqueris]

Susan Collins letting me down on her response to the Trump 2nd amendment comment. Basically said he didn't mean it as a threat.

 

[nature boy]

Is there any realistic path without Penn?

No, and even less so when he'll probably not hold all the Romney 2012 states.

It's a landslide, only question is how much.

 

[Felix Lighter]

Republicans denouncing Trump's statements but then continuing their support may be near impossible this time but when you have Ryan saying things like "textbook example of racist" in one breath and continuing to support the man in the next, it doesn't seem like there is a line.

I'd think they'd rather spin it this time, though. Pretend what he said wasn't completely obvious and join his campaign PR spin.

 

[whyamihere]

McGinty is a better candidate at bridging the "suburban-Dem base" bloc that is driving Hillary's margins in PA than Strickland has been.

 

[Bowdz]

Fucking Portman. Hilldawg better get some massive coattails and carry Strickland's sorry ass across the line.

 

[Roland_Gunner]

Is there any realistic path without Penn?

Trump can get 269 which sends it to the house with OH, FL, NV, NH.

 

[Syncytia]

Hey guys.. What's..

*sees Trump Comments*

Ok.. That's it.. We've reached bottom of how low he can go.

Not yet, he's been working hard at digging deeper and deeper. Nothing stops this tunnel boring machine.

 

[thestopsign]

Is there any realistic path without Penn?

No. Upshot currently has only 4 ways for Trump to win if he doesn't take VA or PA.

 

[User 463088]

Strickland, what are you doing?? Thank God for Bayh stepping up.

Strickland is running a terrible, terrible campaign. Just terrible. He is going to lose bigly. I'm considering stopping my donation and moving it to McGinty.

And, without PA there is no path for Trump. At best, he can tie. If Hillary has PA and VA, she needs one mroe state: NV, IA, NH, OH, NC, GA or FL.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Is there any realistic path without Penn?

Iowa+Nevada+Arizona+Ohio+North Carolina+Georgia+Florida+New Hampshire+House picks him over Hillary.

 

[Spoiled Milk]

CNN ambushing Jeff Sessions with the Trump comment.

 

[whyamihere]

It's still possible that Hillary could drag Strickland over the edge. But he really needs to make some changes.

Trump can get 269 which sends it to the house with OH, FL, NV, NH.

And he's not winning NH.

 

[Kusagari]

Portman is also just a better candidate than Toomey by a large margin.

I never thought it was likely he would lose.

 

[DorkLord54]

Strickland is running a terrible, terrible campaign. Just terrible. He is going to lose bigly. I'm considering stopping my donation and moving it to McGinty.

And, without PA there is no path for Trump. At best, he can tie. If Hillary has PA and VA, she needs one mroe state: NV, IA, NH, OH, NC, GA or FL.

And that's more or less impossible, since at least one of those states will go for her, most likely NH and/or IA.

 

[Nazgul_Hunter]

CNN ambushing Jeff Sessions with the Trump comment.

What did he say?

 

[Syncytia]

CNN ambushing Jeff Sessions with the Trump comment.

And doing his best to deflect. His defense is 'I don't believe that's what he meant'

 

[Spoiled Milk]

What did he say?

It's like Republicans are all on the same wavelength or something. Claimed he hadn't heard that before but said

"Well what he's saying is that people who support the 2nd amendment care about that deeply."

 

[whyamihere]

The hits keep coming.

https://twitter.com/YouGovUS/status/763119523293716480

@YouGovUS
YouGov/Economist Weekly Tracking Poll: 2-way

Clinton 48% (+2)
Trump 41% (-2)

 

[BenjaminBirdie]

Not yet, he's been working hard at digging deeper and deeper. Nothing stops this tunnel boring machine.

The worst part about this, aside from directly inciting fucking violence, is I can't find any of it funny anymore.

And it was really funny.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

This is probably Trump's best case scenario:

http://www.270towin.com/maps/KRw0n

 

[User 463088]

Portman is also just a better candidate than Toomey by a large margin.

I never thought it was likely he would lose.

Portman is running a damn good campaign. He's on message. He's managed to co-opt Trump's anti-China anti-Trade stance within tying himself to him. It's a really, really really well run campaign.

 

[Y2Kev]

Her convention bump is growing. Lol.

 

[The Technomancer]

Is anything going to come of this? Can anything come of this? I can't watch the news right now

 

[Teggy]

Susan Collins dumps Trump a day ago and then decides she needs to spin this one?

daveweigelVerified account
‏@daveweigel
Susan Collins on Trump: "He was suggesting that 2nd Amendment advocates around the country might come together to pressure the Senate."

 

[watershed]

Politico has a story about Carly Fiorina possibly being the next RNC chairmman. That's about as politically savvy as them picking Michael Steele as soon as Obama got elected.