Spoiled Milk
Banned
Besides all over? Get fired up in Florida, New Hampshire, Iowa, and Georgia.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT9| The Wrath of Khan!
- Thread starter B-Dubs
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ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
I buy into the death spiral theory of Trump melting down since he's losing so bad so I'm guessing he calls Hillary a cunt and Obama the n-word and then attacks another disabled reporter before the election.
(He still wins West Virginia by 30 points, but everything else is in play).
(He still wins West Virginia by 30 points, but everything else is in play).
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
If we have this polling gap come October, then Clinton will be going for blood and seriously trying to take the house.
Which means all hands on deck
I still can't believe everything is falling into place like we imagined back last year, never could have imagined it going down so perfectly horrible
User 463088
Banned
Georgia moreso than Florida, I think. His approval in FL was "only" 49%. But, ya, Georgia (if we're being cocky) and maybe a few swings around the I-4 Corridor.
Oh, and Iowa, I think. Iowa loves Obama.
When we look back on this election cycle its going to be Trump's willingness to use nuclear weapons in even minor engagements that really divided him from what remains of mainstream Republicans. It wasn't until that stuff got out that people in the party really started turning their backs on him despite finally bringing in the money.
Fragamemnon
Member
I think the truth in NC is between these numbers and PPP's numbers from earlier this week. It all operates on a sliding scale on just how bad the white educated suburban collapse is for the GOP-the worse it is, the closer to the +9 poll it is.
One exception-I think McRory really is that far behind no matter what the other polls say.
One exception-I think McRory really is that far behind no matter what the other polls say.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
I keep forgetting Bill and the VP are in waiting to be utilized across the country.
Also, on a side note, "Bill and the VP" would be a TV show I would watch. Reality, or a buddy cop show. Either or.
No lies detected
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
>Self preservation mode: Active
>Hostile Threat: Barack Obama
>Defensive Maneuvers: In Progress...
>Speak: "Barack Obama Knows Exactly What He Is Doing"
Box of Kittens
Banned
Kirk is a strong opponent and has done a better job than most Republican senators of distancing himself from Trump, but realistically Illinois is too blue for him to survive this cycle unless he were facing a weak opponent, but he isn't. Duckworth has this.
Veritigo_X
Member
We're just so accustomed to conventional strategies we can't wrap our tiny liberal minds around the genius that is the Trump strategy.
Building his natural base out from New York, I approve.
andthebeatgoeson
Junior Member
Lock him up!
balladofwindfishes
Member
Has there been another case in history where an incumbent party leaving the White House has a wave election towards their own party?
Seems like it usually works the other way around.
Seems like it usually works the other way around.
We don't exactly have a very large sample size, so there's literally always a first time for everything.
nature boy
Member
A big chunk of that money goes to the RNC, since his Trumpster fire of a campaign doesn't have the resources that it would need and so the RNC is doing it.
HW Bush?
RustyNails
Member
Clinton on average +6 on battleground states (which she got there by conventional campaigning/ad spending/gotv) is exactly where Trump wants her to be. He's got her in sights now.
User 463088
Banned
There was only a 2 seat change in the House and a 1 seat change in the Senate in 1988.
eBay Huckster
Member
Yeah I remembered it being a bit more than that. Those really did seem like the end days of liberalism in this country though.
Nate Silver needs to add another variable to polls-plus assessing a sizable penalty against HRC because historically, the US has never elected a woman when the incumbent president has existed.
Man, I can't even tell if that's sarcasm anymore.
Taking it at face value and assuming it to be true, however, isn't such a plan not even possible at this point? I thought there wasn't any more ad time left to buy or something.
User 463088
Banned
I had to look it up because I thought it was a lot worse than that. It really shows what a stranglehold the Democrats had on the Congress until Mr. Gerry Mander got his mitts on this shit.
gutter_trash
Banned
It feels like a time warp when a retired RINO speaks on TV with a normal tone non-partisanly and watches Trump burn his party to the ground
To be fair, his unorthodox method of winning the primaries was something to behold. Say outrageous shit, have media cover it 24/7, don't buy ads because what's the point when you're on cable news 24/7, rinse, repeat.
Hell it's still keeping him in the spotlight the entire time, which is what he really wants. The only problem is that the public is waking up to the fact that this shitheel means what he says, at least when he isn't outright lying.
User 463088
Banned
You know what would make this day better? The Browns winning their pre-season opener tonight. Hahaha.....: cries hysterically :
There's ad time to buy, surely. But as I recall, because the Clinton campaign locked in those buys so early, they got much better rates than the Trump campaign would get now for the same amount of advertising.
balladofwindfishes
Member
There's a chance a liberal SC rules that Gerrymandering is unconstitutional.
That's what I'm hoping for, at least.
Non-parisan computer models breaking down seats fairly using census data. Make house races actual races again.
IggyChooChoo
Member
What we all thought was a brilliant tactic turned out to be a crippling personality disorder.
1948 the Dems picked up 75 House seats and 8 Senate seats to take back both the House & Senate.
VendettaRed07
Member
We really should just run ads of Mitt Romney trashing trump (and Trump dissing Romney) in Utah from now till election day.
Utah is within striking distance, she really should go for it.
Utah is within striking distance, she really should go for it.
User 463088
Banned
I swan to goodness....the networks will call the election for Hillary, and there are people who are going to be saying "Ya, well, we still don't know if this is good news for her or not."
Black Republican
Member
what is it about Colorado that Trump is doing so bad in? cant be just the hispanic vote alone
College educated voters in Denver
User 463088
Banned
Very high level of college educated whites. The state was trending Blue anyway, add that to his Latino problem....and, ya....good luck.
User 85168
Banned
Is this what the kids call dank
whyamihere
Banned
Still think this is true. Feeling v validated by these Ross numbers.
User 463088
Banned
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