• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

November 2013 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes December 9

donny2112

Member
anyway though, I assume you'll only count my latest prediction?

Whatever the prediction was at the cutoff time. Can make as many changes as you want before that, but any changes after that wouldn't be used.


What is GAF Average?

Just got it together. :)

NeoGAF Aggregate Predictions - Nov-2013

1. PS4 - 1189K
2. 3DS - 1016K
3. XB1 - 870K
4. 360 - 678K
5. PS3 - 481K
6. WIU - 248K
7. PSV - 130K
 

Cygnus X-1

Member
Whatever the prediction was at the cutoff time. Can make as many changes as you want before that, but any changes after that wouldn't be used.




Just got it together. :)

NeoGAF Aggregate Predictions - Nov-2013

1. PS4 - 1189K
2. 3DS - 1016K
3. XB1 - 870K
4. 360 - 678K
5. PS3 - 481K
6. WIU - 248K
7. PSV - 130K

Well, fair numbers overall. I found them completely believable.
 

Anth0ny

Member
Just got it together. :)

NeoGAF Aggregate Predictions - Nov-2013

1. PS4 - 1189K
2. 3DS - 1016K
3. XB1 - 870K
4. 360 - 678K
5. PS3 - 481K
6. WIU - 248K
7. PSV - 130K

Nice. I'm pretty close on almost all of them except 360 (I can't see it doing 600k+) and Wii U (surely it's not THAT dead ._. )
 

Griss

Member
I realise I'm far too late, but for my own purposes later... (And since I was only just accepted as a member, lol)

1. PS4 - 1280K
2. XB1 - 1000K
3. 3DS - 970K
4. 360 - 600K
5. PS3 - 400K
6. WIU - 310K
7. PSV - 110K
 

Horns

Member
Could someone explain the NPD at 4pm EST thread at 6:30pm?

Are the NPD results shared privately with certain organizations and then become public a few hours later?
 

Cygnus X-1

Member
Nice. I'm pretty close on almost all of them except 360 (I can't see it doing 600k+) and Wii U (surely it's not THAT dead ._. )

I doubt Wii U will be reported to have sold more than 250k. There already are just a few reason to suppose it will reach 200k. These GAF-estimation is fair if you ask me.

The average during october was 12.5k on the lower end. Being generous, we can suppose the system was able to sell 20k during the first week of november, 30k the second week of november and 50k the third week. Black friday week, we can put the system at 150k. Total 250k and I'm being generous, considering that a 10-fold spike compared to end october is not nothing.

Pachter's estimate are not believable - cannot see Wii U having sold 150k during the entire month. By anecdotal evidence, many US retailers reported an increase by one order of magnitude during black friday week. So, less than 150k during that week seems really odd to me. And I don't see the average of previous weeks sink lo lower values compared to october. That it, 200-250k is what I believe.
 

Steel

Banned
Whatever the prediction was at the cutoff time. Can make as many changes as you want before that, but any changes after that wouldn't be used.




Just got it together. :)

NeoGAF Aggregate Predictions - Nov-2013

1. PS4 - 1189K
2. 3DS - 1016K
3. XB1 - 870K
4. 360 - 678K
5. PS3 - 481K
6. WIU - 248K
7. PSV - 130K

That's a dreadfully reasonable prediction. It will be interesting to see how wrong it is.
 

Kunan

Member
I've seen stacks of unsold Wii U's in all the shops that I've been to, whereas PS4 and XB1 are nowhere to be found.
Me too. It was heart breaking... I saw hundreds of bundles at the Futureshop in Montreal downtown a couple weeks ago. I can't see it going much over Pachter's estimates at this rate.
 

Zeeman

Member
Me too. It was heart breaking... I saw hundreds of bundles at the Futureshop in Montreal downtown a couple weeks ago. I can't see it going much over Pachter's estimates at this rate.

Well of course you saw a whole bunch at Future Shop, the true Nintendo connoisseur only shops at Gamecube Hut
 
Top Bottom