Support NeoGAF

[ivysaur12]

These Cruz numbers must be terrible.

 

[Roland_Gunner]

Cruz campaign preempting the Selzer poll with regards to turnout numbers.

https://twitter.com/jeffroe/status/693542042996207616

Nate Cohn thinks that the Cruz camp is spreading FUD. Probably not a great sign for his #s:

It is not at all clear that this is the way to interpret turnout. Ppl who respond to polls = likelier to vote.

 

[Yellowtail]

More developments on the debates:

 

[Aaron Strife]

If you have money on PredictIt, I'd recommend tuning in at 5:30 where they said Selzer would go over the trends of the polls. You might be able to shift money around before everyone else gets the actual poll results haha.

I got cold feet on the Trump Iowa prediction and pulled out at even

Shouldn't be "investing" money I don't have anyway.

 

[rjinaz]

These Cruz numbers must be terrible.

We can only hope.

I mean if Trump wins Iowa, it's pretty much over for Cruz isn't it? Or are there other states that will probably back him?

 

[NeoXChaos]

We can only hope.

I mean if Trump wins Iowa, it's pretty much over for Cruz isn't it? Or are there other states that will probably back him?

Texas

 

[B-Dubs]

More developments on the debates:

Why the hell does Bernie's team want to debate in NYC? He's not going to win the state. The optics of having supporters in Clinton's backyard? I also like how they don't mention where in Michigan they wanted the debate.

They should absolutely do a debate in Flint.

 

[kingkitty]

my selzer prediction

1st trump
2nd rubio
3rd cruz
4th gilmore

I'm really interested about that Cruz conference. I'm hoping for the worst.

 

[Roland_Gunner]

Texas

Cruz could do well in a couple of the other Super Tuesday states like Oklahoma and maybe Arkansas but Iowa is his real shot to become one of the campaign favorites.

 

[Overlee]

They should absolutely do a debate in Flint.

It's not politics unless your'e exploiting people you don't really care about.

 

[NeoXChaos]

DMR prediction

Trump 30
Cruz 24
Rubio 20

Hillary 48
Bernie 43

 

[Rafa=FedKilla]

Have they done any polls for Texas yet? I just updated my voters registration.

 

[User 463088]

Dude from Cruz's campaign on MSNBC says that Cruz has good favorables.

Hahahaahaha. Dude probably can't get 50% approval if he's the only one in the room.

 

[Coriolanus]

Why the hell does Bernie's team want to debate in NYC? He's not going to win the state. The optics of having supporters in Clinton's backyard? I also like how they don't mention where in Michigan they wanted the debate.

They should absolutely do a debate in Flint.

Probably the optics of bashing Wall St. in "Wall St.".

 

[SmokeMaxX]

my selzer prediction

1st trump
2nd rubio
3rd cruz
4th gilmore

I'm really interested about that Cruz conference. I'm hoping for the worst.

Highly doubtful that Rubio beats Cruz. Cruz was basically destined to win Iowa until Unstumpable came around. Cruz could reveal himself to be the devil and would still get 20+% in Iowa IMO.

 

[Holmes]

Rubio is probably in striking distance of Cruz. He'll probably end up a close 3rd place. Dat 3-2-1 plan at work.

 

[Makai]

Dude from Cruz's campaign on MSNBC says that Cruz has good favorables.

Hahahaahaha. Dude probably can't get 50% approval if he's the only one in the room.

Among Republicans.

 

[Aaron Strife]

Among Republicans.

Even Trump has ok favorables among Republicans.

 

[dramatis]

Why the hell does Bernie's team want to debate in NYC? He's not going to win the state. The optics of having supporters in Clinton's backyard? I also like how they don't mention where in Michigan they wanted the debate.

They should absolutely do a debate in Flint.

New York is a primary and a delegate-rich state. They probably want to try and squeeze delegates out of the more liberal, populous states (hence the choice of California too).

When those two statements are put next to each other though, Jeff Weaver looks pretty asshat lol

 

[NeoXChaos]

New York is a primary and a delegate-rich state. They probably want to try and squeeze delegates out of the more liberal, populous states (hence the choice of California too).

When those two statements are put next to each other though, Jeff Weaver looks pretty asshat lol

April 26th. Will likely put her over the top that day. Game over mathematically.

Weaver and Devine make my blood boil. I turn the TV off when they show up. Nothing personal.

 

[User 463088]

Weaver is an asshat.

Also, protip? Never let your mother and the mother of the guy you have a date with meet each other prior to the actual date. They're picking out china patterns and shit.

 

[B-Dubs]

It's not politics unless your'e exploiting people you don't really care about.

Of course it's politics, but it's also an issue that hasn't gotten nearly the attention it should.

 

[tmarg]

Weaver is an asshat.

Also, protip? Never let your mother and the mother of the guy you have a date with meet each other prior to the actual date. They're picking out china patterns and shit.

Is poligaf invited to the wedding?

 

[dramatis]

April 26th. Will likely put her over the top that day. Game over mathematically.

Weaver and Devine make my blood boil. I turn the TV off when they show up.

Look. You posted an article like yesterday where Tad Devine said he thinks Bernie Sanders can put Alabama into play in the general.

They can't do math. Just let them be. The donations going into his campaign will get cycled out into the economy.

 

[User 463088]

Is poligaf invited to the wedding?

Hell< I get married, I'll personally pay to fly every single person in this thread to the wedding.

Hahaha. My mom phone banked for the first time. She got someone who was snippy at being bothered. She went into full teacher mode, and the woman apologized. Awesome.

 

[NeoXChaos]

can some point to the source of this?

 

[Rafa=FedKilla]

Jerry Falwell Jr. Will be joining Trump today at his event in Davenport.

 

[Basileus777]

Rubio is probably in striking distance of Cruz. He'll probably end up a close 3rd place. Dat 3-2-1 plan at work.

Until we realize that the "1" is South Carolina where no one has even been competitive with Trump since Carson's demise.

 

[kingkitty]

Of course it's politics, but it's also an issue that hasn't gotten nearly the attention it should.

There's thousands of kids in Flint who were damaged by the water but the only Republican who talked about it in the last debate was old rambler Kasich. Just sad.

 

[Coriolanus]

There's thousands of kids in Flint who were damaged by the water but the only Republican who talked about it in the last debate was old rambler Kasich. Just sad.

Republicans are quite justified in avoiding that issue like flint tap water given that, yknow, they'd have to throw snyder under a bus if they got involved with it.

 

[Overlee]

Of course it's politics, but it's also an issue that hasn't gotten nearly the attention it should.

I can name you 100 issues in the last 60 years that needed attention in Michigan. It's probably the best example on how terrible a system like capitalism works.

"Look, I don't believe you change hearts, I believe you change laws, you change allocation of resources, you change the way systems operate. You're not going to change every heart. You're not. But at the end of the day, we could do a whole lot to change some hearts and change some systems and create more opportunities for people who deserve to have them, to live up to their own God-given potential."

"Her policy response -- if it's not addressing the anti-blackness inherent in some of the previous polices, we're just going to see that thread continue," Yancey said. "And that's what we're looking to hear. What's shifted? What's changed for Hillary Clinton that's going to make us believe that she's going to take this country in a different direction in terms of race?"

You think the poor disenfranchised people in Michigan want any of the water Hillary is trying to sell?

 

[kingkitty]

Republicans are quite justified in avoiding that issue like the plague given that, yknow, they'd have to throw snyder under a bus if they got involved with it.

they could deflect by putting the blame on Obummer, EPA, big government bureaucracy incompetence etc.

 

[tmarg]

There's thousands of kids in Flint who were damaged by the water but the only Republican who talked about it in the last debate was old rambler Kasich. Just sad.

To be fair,it's one of those situations that's so fucked up there isn't actually anything to debate about. Also there isn't any republican with anything to gain by talking about it. Although Snyder was weighing a run himself, I really wish that had ended up happening.

 

[And_Gignac]

Live event link for the Selzer poll for anyone who still doesnt have it.

http://features.desmoinesregister.com/news/live-video/poll.php

My prediction:

Clinton 48
Sanders 44

 

[Coriolanus]

they could deflect by putting the blame on Obummer, EPA, big government bureaucracy incompetence etc.

Well yes, but then they gotta argue for expanding the EPA and making it have more teeth.
Given that lack of control played a part, one can't just go "lol free market will solve it, scrap the fucking EPA", which would be the usual ideal deflection.

 

[Overlee]

can some point to the source of this?

PoliticalCompass.org

This chart extends to all areas of political thought — not just to the confines of the US campaign. Accordingly, the placement of the candidates is in the context of universal political landscape. The chart will be adjusted if and when there are significant policy shifts.

 

[kingkitty]

Well yes, but then they gotta argue for expanding the EPA and making it have more teeth.
Given that lack of control played a part, one can't just go "lol free market will solve it, scrap the fucking EPA", which would be the usual ideal deflection.

No they don't have to argue about expanding the EPA. They can argue that the people currently in charge of the EPA are shit. That Obama helped keep those shitters in charge. That there isn't enough accountability in the EPA, just as there isn't enough accountability in the VA. Republicans can spin a good game. I wonder if they'll talk more about this crisis in the next debate, but who knows.

 

[Aaron Strife]

My prediction

Clinton 49
Sanders 45
O'Malley 2

Trump 34
Cruz 23
Rubio 21
Carson 8
Jeb! 5

 

[NeoXChaos]

Hillary is a liberal. There is no disputing that.

 

[QuiteWhittle]

can some point to the source of this?

Political Compass. I like the test but their analysis is always biased from the left.

Take this for example: http://www.politicalcompass.org/uselection2012

Try taking the test while staying as close to Obama's positions as possible. It's almost impossible to get that far right.

 

[Coriolanus]

Every time politicalcompass is linked, this should also be linked. Density plots.

Gets quite interesting when you hit the stormfront results.

That overlap with ummah, tho

 

[Y2Kev]

People addicted to dmr need to take some Valium.

 

[tmarg]

they could deflect by putting the blame on Obummer, EPA, big government bureaucracy incompetence etc.

Even that wouldn't work. The systems in place to detect the problem worked, they just lied about the results.

 

[Bowdz]

People addicted to dmr need to take some Valium.

Man, I gotta have my polls. You have any polls man? I NEED MY POLLS!

 

[Iolo]

DMR is my Valium

 

[NeoXChaos]

DMR is so overpowered. I'm looking at you Hemorrhage

 

[kingkitty]

life is worthless without DMR

 

[User 406]

Everyone in this room is now DMR for having listened to it.

 

[Wilsongt]

Weaver is an asshat.

Also, protip? Never let your mother and the mother of the guy you have a date with meet each other prior to the actual date. They're picking out china patterns and shit.

Is this your BernieBro? I thought I told you to hit it and quit it.

 

[Wilsongt]

they could deflect by putting the blame on Obummer, EPA, big government bureaucracy incompetence etc.

Jeb already did.