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PoliGAF 2015-2016 |OT3| If someone named PhoenixDark leaves your party, call the cops
- Thread starter Diablos
- Start date
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Not surprised racist idiots will eat whatever garbage he throws up. And lmao.
Snowman Prophet of Doom
Member
I think what they mean is that, of all of Rubio's shots, a three-candidate field is the best. Which is a "duh" thing to say.
Hexa
Member
He played it off as a joke saying you should get in line on the 8th or something like that.
Brawndo Addict
Banned
I hate political maps like that because they're so misleading. Use a color spectrum relative to the proportion, weight size by population, and you have a much more informative graphic. Maps like this emphasize all the wrong information based on our winner take all system.
Brawndo Addict
Banned
Now those are some data representations I can get behind (minus the legend/titles which wasn't included, border lines for states, etc). Visual complexity is related to latent information, so while I understand the allure of the binary color coding I think it trains us to think in all the wrong ways.
Poodlestrike
Banned
Now those are some data representations I can get behind (minus the legend/titles which wasn't included, border lines for states, etc). Visual complexity is related to latent information, so while I understand the allure of the binary color coding I think it trains us to think in all the wrong ways.
This is really cool.
Worth noting that the second map looks a lot more purple, at least if you blur your eyes. Basic map makes the country look more red than it really is, conceptually speaking.
Florida is swelling like it's got gangrene, which is extremely on-point.
PhoenixDark
Banned
No, he can't under normal circumstances. Republicans winning in 1988 has nothing to do with Trump's chances in 2016. A republican can win, but not Trump. The end.
Rhomega Beta
Member
Looks like a bird with a horribly misshapen left wing.
Who do you think?
If it's not Trump, it's his doctor who speaks just like him.
And lol at the "would go down".
Trump just tweeted this.
I love this election.
I love the "Cardigan" in paint.
Trump just tweeted this.
I love this election.
Lol, this is hilarious.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
Trump is really going after bill.
Look forward to the boss convention speech of 2 hours of pure economic awesomeness
Look forward to the boss convention speech of 2 hours of pure economic awesomeness
Hexa
Member
There was a pretty long lead up up to that.
Like it started off with a protester, and then Trump said that he loved protesters because otherwise the cameras would never pan the room. That they would focus only on the one or two protesters among thousands of people and how the media was unfair. He said something to the extent of talking to Melania about the rally, and how she didn't know how many people were there despite watching it on TV.
And then he asked the camera people to pan it like 10 times before one of them finally did.
And hence that video.
Diamond Joe, Bill, Hillary, VP possibly Castro and Obama? gives me goosebumps just thinking about the convention this july. Its going to be one to remember.
In other news:
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/senate-2016-elections-unpredictable-217135
Excellent...
To think Trump and Cruz are currently the top two is amazing. That said, I still think both Cruz and Trump will outperform most of our expectations in the general. People be cray brahs.
Unseating Toomey is seen as a most daunting task, and unpredictable, since Sestak hasn't really made any moves recently.
Ultimately, your chances of flipping the seats are in the following order:
----------------- (No matter what happens, the two are most likely to win)
Feingold (WI)
Duckwork (IL)
----------------- (If Hillary wins, these will probably win)
Hassan (NH)
Strickland (OH)
*If Murphy (FL)
*If McGinty (PA)
*If Sestak (PA)
----------------- (If Trump or Cruz wins the nomination, the bets are fucking off)
Ross (NC)
*If Grayson (FL)
Kirkpatrick (AZ) If McCain loses his primary, move her up to the top column.
Kander (MO)
Hill (IN)
Eldridge (AR)
No doubt, it's gonna be legendary shit.
I knew they were more terrified of Cruz than they were of Trump, but goddamn. We might see the establishment go all in one Cruz because while it would never work on Trump since he doesn't give a rat's ass, Cruz has a record to answer for.
PhoenixDark
Banned
Obama might not be invited to the convention depending on what happens in the next few months. Terrorism, scandal, economic crash, etc. Never count your chickens before they hatch.
Hobbestetrician
Member
And don't keep fucking them.
You're trying too hard.
Is Bashear not a superdelegate anymore?
Basileus777
Member
Indeed, Martin O'Malley might not want Obama at his convention.
No, unless the DNC nominates him or the KY chair puts him as an add-on later:
[20] Distinguished Party Leaders (current and former Presidents, Vice-Presidents, Congressional leaders, and DNC Chairs)
[20] Democratic governors (including territorial governors and the Mayor of the District of Columbia)
[47] Democratic members of the United States Senate (including Washington, DC Shadow Senators)
[193] Democratic members of the United States House of Representatives (including non-voting Delegates)
[436] Elected members of the Democratic National Committee (including the Chairs and Vice-Chairs of each state's Democratic Party)[2]
One thing that helps TRUMP over the other candidates is that he's been focusing on the non-February states too, like Michigan, Georgia, Ohio, Florida, while everyone is still trying to get voters in New Hampshire or Iowa to notice them. He's definitely solidifying his base where he needs to while other candidates are still trying to establish a base.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Wonder if Senator Scott Brown or Todd Akin will be at the RNC.
ivysaur12 said:
Hmm.
I agree with WI/IL, they seem basically interchangeable in fact. WI isn't as blue as IL, but Johnson is a worse incumbent plus he's going up against a former senator.
I'm also tempted to say FL is more likely to flip than OH on the virtue that FL is an open seat and OH is not.
Figure maybe some of you guys might like this Q and A about some issues with Robert Reich. I of course read it for the basic income bit, but I don't agree with Reich's bluntness about it..
Some highlights
Some highlights
Jack Remington
Banned
Toomey is fucking done. McConnell's majority is fucking done. The next Senate is going to nuke the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees and confirm probably 2-3 appointees for Hillary with 51 votes.
Obama was really good at picking nominees who sailed through confirmation without fierce Republican opposition, and yet proved to be reliable liberals on the court.
It would be interesting if the Dems nuked the SC filibuster though. Hillary could just nominate Goodwin Liu and watch their heads explode.
Jack Remington
Banned
Jerry Seinfeld couldn't even keep a girlfriend after she caught him picking his nose. Jeb's chances at the presidency are fucking done. No way he lives this down. Perception plays an unfairly large role, but it's important as all fuck. Trump has reduced Jeb to a joke candidate.
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