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PoliGAF 2016 |OT10| Jill Stein Inflatable Love Doll
- Thread starter Aaron Strife
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Aaron Strife
Banned
Yup.
Media personalities embarrassing themselves by not understanding how statistics work (Joe Scarborough being told Silver gave Obama a 77% of winning and he's like "WHO THINKS OBAMA IS GOING TO WIN 77% OF THE VOTE" lol go to bed old man).
There was even some homophobia casually thrown around about Nate and some jock-nerd bullshit about Nate being the scraggly numbers guy, not like the sharply-dressed, airheaded media pundits with perfect hair and teeth telling you it's a Dead Heat(TM). My favorite moment of 2012 was during Rove's meltdown when they sent Megyn Kelly to the data room to try and bully the analysts into saying Romney could still win. It might as well have been the head cheerleader telling the school geek to do her math homework for her or else her quarterback boyfriend would shove him in a locker.
The news media is such pure, concentrated bullshit.
No, you gave her Alaska. The worst case scenario...in which she loses...has her lose by like 3 EV so it matters.
User 463088
Banned
Dominican Power
Member
Jack Kingston is so full of shit.
Spoiled Milk
Banned
The firewall got 10 minorities higher.
DontBeThatGuy
Member
You would think that shit would be an easy home-run for these fools, but nah.
nature boy
Member
Ipsos/Reuters polls.
whyamihere
Banned
He's tweeting out an aggregate from Iowa and a single poll he ascribed to 538's aggregate from Ohio.
They just aren't interested. The fact that the Hillary's Alt right speech on him was glossed over. The fact that the media has been soft of his many scandals proves they want a close horse race.
Because if they reported on that shit like they should it would blow up.
I'm more amazed that the USC/LATimes poll that Nate says has a +6 Trump house effect is used in their model. Like... Why would any legit statistician give that poll the time of day? At least it doesn't have much weight. Though yesterday 538 updated with it alongside those stellar YouGov PA and NC and their model actually lowered Clinton's chances... Lulz.
nature boy
Member
He's tweeted about the People's Pundit Daily tracking poll, so he and his campaign will tweet any favorable number.
Oops, sorry about that.
I agree he won't get NH though. Or Nevada. Or Florida. Or Ohio. Or probably Iowa, North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, <Dean scream>
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
I'm 90% sure the people's pundit daily poll is fake. They conveniently came into existence the same day as the LAT survey and they basically follow their trend every single day but with slightly different numbers.
nature boy
Member
That's a winning strategy.
I stopped listening to that since they let Claire Malone out of the basement.
Claire's voice sounds like every white girl voice I've ever heard (good thing I like white girls).
Jody is my favorite podcast host of any political podcast, though. I just like that dude for some reason.
He actually prepared for the primary debates? And that was how he ended up behaving?
...
These debates are going to be something, alright.
It's a joke. He didn't prepare for the primary debates at all, really, and he ain't gonna prepare for these either. Dude is an idiot.
Coriolanus
Banned
I tried filling up that poligaf bet, but god damn, yall have way too many freaking states. Aint no country needs two dakotas or carolinas. One is more than a man could ever need. Or want.
The point still stands though, these debates are going to be incredible with Trump trying the same shtick he did in the primary and Hillary actually, you know... debating. Like a valid candidate.
It's going to look like Tyson beating up a baby. A giant, orange, racist baby.
Beer Monkey
Member
Is Pence already in the bunker?
Ted Cruz debated him like a candidate.
So did Marco, and Jeb.
Kasich never went after Trump specifically, but he was probably the best candidate up there in terms of explaining his positions.
If we stick to the traditional criteria of good debate performance -- displaying intelligence and understanding of the issues, thoughtful answers, informed rebuttals of your opponent's position -- then Trump didn't win a single debate.
But based on media coverage, he won them all.
Yea. At some point in the debate the two candidates will have some back and forth and the moderators will allow that for a bit.
That said I can't wait for the follow up questions on policy positions. Especially on foriegn policy. and I don't think Trump saying "bomb the hell out of them." plays well with an electorate.
Ted Cruz would have won the primaries if he wasn't such a shitbag distasteful candidate for the north. Srsly.
Cruz and Co. may have tried to debate like real candidates, but I think a big part of that would be knowing not to take the bait. They all seemed almost eager to let Trump drag them into shouting matches. Except Kasich, which I agree with you on. He's the only one who looked like a sane politician (which is scary when you think about it).
Hillary isn't going to get goaded into that kind of crap, she knows it doesn't play outside of the echo chamber and will only make him try harder and harder, looking worse and worse. Is anyone actually taking odds on him calling her a bitch on national television?
Hey may now call her a bitch, but he may call her some variation of a female dog.
Wolf is so desperate to make a crisis narrative for the Clinton campaign it's sickening.
Wolf: "What can be done for Hillary to get the vote of young blacks?"
Van Jones:: "Let's not discount the 91-98% of African Americans already voting for Hillary."
Wolf: *blank stare*
I miss Brianna.
Wolf: "What can be done for Hillary to get the vote of young blacks?"
Van Jones:: "Let's not discount the 91-98% of African Americans already voting for Hillary."
Wolf: *blank stare*
I miss Brianna.
You have to separate the Republican primaries from actual presidential debate. The Republican primaries are essentially a dick waiving contest with any semblance of reasonable discourse and fact thrown out the window. It's a whole different dog and pony show.
Hey I think Claire is actually pretty good. Jody is fantastic though.
At KFC probably.
"I think electing her will mean the end of America."
"Why? Could you clarify you stance a bit."
"...."
"Because of reasons."
It could be a millennial thing or just younger black voters being a little more apprehensive. But by and large it's not going to matter.
Not surprised. End of the country. I guess in his mind the end of the country is when all people are treated with decency and respect. The HORROR!
8 X 11 Printer Paper
Member
And I have a feeling a large percentage of those 18% (or so) who are in the 3rd party/ I'm not sure category are located in a safe blue/red state where their presidential vote won't really matter.
FloydtheFathead
Member
I did and I feel I will be very wrong.
Hitlary needs to be stopped before she tries to improve this country!
newshinycd
Member
My in laws are Far down the Fox News/Limbaugh/etc rabbit hole it seems.
They literally believe that Hillary has killed people, that the Clinton Foundation is a slush fund, that she'll raise taxes...
Funny thing is they didn't criticize her on anything regarding the emails. At all.
They tried to bring up that Hillary sold secrets to foreign governments (wtf). I called bullshit and asked my father in law why Trump hired a guy actually being paid by Russia. He legit didn't know about Manafort.
He then tried to see who my wife and I are voting for. My wife said, "I'm not voting for a fucking piece of shit racist." (This is when he went off about the stuff I mentioned earlier).
He asked me if I was going to waste a vote on Jill Stein, since I was a Bernie supporter. I laughed pretty hard when he said that.
The best part came when he asked who my brother was voting for. I said that he was voting for Johnson but was more interested in voting down ballot. My father in law was honestly confused, so I told him that you can ignore the presidental vote and just vote for the Senate, House, and any local elections. So i asked him who he was voting for in the Georgia senate race, and he didn't know who was running. Then I asked him who he was voting for in the district 11 House race, and again he couldn't give me a straight answer because he didn't know who was running.
Fucking really? I couldn't believe that he'd give people so much shit because they won't vote Trump, but doesn't seem to care about the House, Senate, or any local elections.
They literally believe that Hillary has killed people, that the Clinton Foundation is a slush fund, that she'll raise taxes...
Funny thing is they didn't criticize her on anything regarding the emails. At all.
They tried to bring up that Hillary sold secrets to foreign governments (wtf). I called bullshit and asked my father in law why Trump hired a guy actually being paid by Russia. He legit didn't know about Manafort.
He then tried to see who my wife and I are voting for. My wife said, "I'm not voting for a fucking piece of shit racist." (This is when he went off about the stuff I mentioned earlier).
He asked me if I was going to waste a vote on Jill Stein, since I was a Bernie supporter. I laughed pretty hard when he said that.
The best part came when he asked who my brother was voting for. I said that he was voting for Johnson but was more interested in voting down ballot. My father in law was honestly confused, so I told him that you can ignore the presidental vote and just vote for the Senate, House, and any local elections. So i asked him who he was voting for in the Georgia senate race, and he didn't know who was running. Then I asked him who he was voting for in the district 11 House race, and again he couldn't give me a straight answer because he didn't know who was running.
Fucking really? I couldn't believe that he'd give people so much shit because they won't vote Trump, but doesn't seem to care about the House, Senate, or any local elections.
Fenderputty
Banned
Hilary's presidency is actually part 2 of the 1000 years of darkness. Larry didn't ever seem particularly insightful though.
Good on your wife for being brutal with that response lol.
But as to your other points I feel that's most of the electorate. It's just the Presidential candidates and nothing else.
Trump says he would have left G-20 summit in China over Obama staircase flap [WaPo]
Right, so about the nukes
Right, so about the nukes
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