RastaMentality
Banned
Can we put Tomi Lahren back in her no name hole known as the Blaze and leave her there? She literally got popular after complaining about a damn Beyoncé video.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT10| Jill Stein Inflatable Love Doll
- Thread starter Aaron Strife
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User 463088
Banned
So Nate posted this:
Clinton national polling average
Aug. 9: 45.2
Aug. 16: 43.8
Aug. 23: 43.4
Aug. 30: 42.9
Trump national polling average
Aug. 9: 37.8
Aug. 16: 36.7
Aug. 23: 37.3
Aug. 30: 37.7
Trump's not gaining anything. Looks like some post bounce fade, really. I think that bodes well for us. If some people have shifted to undecided, they're not moving towards Trump at all. Moving in after labor day when campaigning really takes off, she should be able to recommit those voters to her. Plus, the debates should help with that.
Clinton national polling average
Aug. 9: 45.2
Aug. 16: 43.8
Aug. 23: 43.4
Aug. 30: 42.9
Trump national polling average
Aug. 9: 37.8
Aug. 16: 36.7
Aug. 23: 37.3
Aug. 30: 37.7
Trump's not gaining anything. Looks like some post bounce fade, really. I think that bodes well for us. If some people have shifted to undecided, they're not moving towards Trump at all. Moving in after labor day when campaigning really takes off, she should be able to recommit those voters to her. Plus, the debates should help with that.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
bangbang i'm a timpani
Banned
take the last 3 weeks and shes lost a point and hes gained one
Black Mamba
Member
There's a chance that some people are seeing a blowout and moving towards 3rd party rather than trump. Or it's partially response rates.
The key is Trump's ceiling. He's not moving at all. All the movement is with hillary.
Third party voters in polls are always overrepresented. They are more "frustrated" and more likely to probably answer a poll. As long as Trump's numbers don't move much, Hillary will blow him out.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
you're posts are pretty much constantly
I'm complaining about writers for Vice and the Jacobin writing articles that NeoNazis shouldn't be banned from Twitter for yelling over and over again at black women.
I want to complain about this because I find these people extremely irritating.
Are you talking about her comment about Citizenship being conditional?
User 463088
Banned
Uh, I mean, sure? If that's the read you want to take, but that's not really what the numbers are saying. Like Nate said, it's not that Trump is improving. (A one point difference is probably nothing but noise, considering the polls from the beginning of august were live interviewer polls and these last ones have been online or tracking until the last day or so). He's not really doing any better than he was in the beginning of August. Probably just means she definitely got a larger bounce than Trump (which we knew) and it's now stabilized back to where it was.
The important take, imho, is that Trump's not getting out of the high 30s.
Agreed. That's my take as well.
BlastProcessing
Member
Holy shit.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
First of all, who? You just randomly post screenshots with no context
Secondly I think I've seen the second post and its a medium post from a guy who maybe once wrote for vice? That's not "vice writters"
FloydtheFathead
Member
Fuck..
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Michael Tracey, Connor Kilpatrick, Glenn Greenwald, the Bruenigs, Ben Norton, those people. Tracey is from Vice and Kilpatrick is an editor of the Jacobin.
They annoy me greatly and have argued on Twitter constantly about how no one should be banned on Twitter. This passage just synthesizes their thoughts on the manner.
It has nothing to do with anything, but these people just annoy me and I want to complain about it.
Starting to feel really annoyed by my Journalism/Media professors trying to make some point about bad the election is because "both candidates have have low favorability ratings"
I feel like that means jackshit when the media plays a big part for making Clinton appear so robotic and cold. Years of inflicting trauma, twisting what she says and openly spouting sexist garbage. This is exactly happening to Huma, a victim of Weiner's philandering.
I feel like that means jackshit when the media plays a big part for making Clinton appear so robotic and cold. Years of inflicting trauma, twisting what she says and openly spouting sexist garbage. This is exactly happening to Huma, a victim of Weiner's philandering.
Eh, I see their point in the abstract, but a) Twitter can do what it likes, and b) Milo pretty clearly violated Twitter's TOS repeatedly. Getting upset about him getting banned because you're concerned about the precedent it sets is like all the reporters freaking out about Gawker. Don't break the law/don't flagrantly violate the terms of service to harass people, and there's no issue. They didn't ban Milo because he was an ideologue, they banned him because he broke the rules.
In general, I think it bothers me that people treat Twitter and other social media platforms as commons, rather than proprietary platforms you have no innate rights to. Everyone complains about Twitter's terrible track record with harassment, but they don't ever actually consider treating it like the commercial entity it is and boycotting it.
Fragamemnon
Member
I refuse to believe there's a world where someone who ran Todd "Legitimate rape" Akin's election campaign can actually say something like this.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Hmm, he says he still works there, but I will stop dissing Vice I guess.
metalslimer
Member
Completely pretending like male rape doesn't exist. I hope thiso piece of shit gets slammed
Weird. Both CBC's poll tracker and 538's polling averages show a 5 point lead for her right now while huffpollster shows a near 7 point lead for her.The CBC one shows trump polling above 40%.
User 463088
Banned
So, like, is it a requirement to work for Trump that you be a racist, sexist, Islamophobic asshole...or do they train people?
Because...FUCK, man.
I also just had the weirdest phone call. They said they were from "The Trump :couldn't understand it but maybe Victory? : Campaign." They said I was a loyal Republican voter (Ha!) and would I be willing to commit to Trump. I nicely corrected them, and told them I was a Democrat, and would rather set my junk on fire than vote for Trump. Then they asked me for a donation to defeat Crooked Hillary. I mean...WHAT?
I cannot fathom how they got my number, unless they just paid for rolls of all registered voters? And if so, that's fucking stupid as all hell. They asked for me by name. So weird. Oh, and I asked if she was being paid for this or was a volunteer. She told me she was a "paid phone worker" which....okay.
Nate includes everything that's even remotely published, legitimate or otherwise. He uses that stupid ass USC Panel thing, etc. If it's fit/unfit to print, he uses it.
Because...FUCK, man.
I also just had the weirdest phone call. They said they were from "The Trump :couldn't understand it but maybe Victory? : Campaign." They said I was a loyal Republican voter (Ha!) and would I be willing to commit to Trump. I nicely corrected them, and told them I was a Democrat, and would rather set my junk on fire than vote for Trump. Then they asked me for a donation to defeat Crooked Hillary. I mean...WHAT?
I cannot fathom how they got my number, unless they just paid for rolls of all registered voters? And if so, that's fucking stupid as all hell. They asked for me by name. So weird. Oh, and I asked if she was being paid for this or was a volunteer. She told me she was a "paid phone worker" which....okay.
Nate includes everything that's even remotely published, legitimate or otherwise. He uses that stupid ass USC Panel thing, etc. If it's fit/unfit to print, he uses it.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Men who get raped obviously deserved it for not lifting enough.
Yoooooooooooooo.
How long until Trump has another campaign shakeup? Everyone he picks out is an unmitigated disaster of a human being.
BlastProcessing
Member
Men don't rape men. Women don't rape women. Women don't rape men. Drugs or intimidation or abuse of power are never involved. The only way rape happens is when a man jumps out of the bushes and attacks a woman.
It's old school GOP orthodoxy. In a way, it's a refreshing blast from the past compared to the new Trump-brand stuff.
RustyNails
Member
Silly liberal chicken littles diablosing about Trump being an unpredictable ninja master debater. Get a grip. Hes gonna re-enact that melting time cover on air. Everything about him shows he's going to get destroyed. No prep, thin skin, conspiracy theories. Like what. What more can anyone want.
FloydtheFathead
Member
Docrivers.gif
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Clinton +1 in Ipsos PA poll, +6 in OH, +8 in FL
Go home Ipsos you're drunk
Go home Ipsos you're drunk
This characterization of Trump being some kind of mastermind is seriously annoying me.
1 Florida office.
Jesus Christ...
Trump is an anomaly
I mean, yay. But no.
This election in a nutshell.
Also, been loving all of the Mark Burns backlash today.
RustyNails
Member
Why do you need offices when you can draw out crowds with your rallies?
Da fuk?
Don't get me wrong, +8 in FL is Rubio destruction territory, but that seems way off from other recent polls.
User 463088
Banned
Are these new numbers? Their newest PA state thingy went from +1 to +7.
Those office numbers are insane. ONE office in Florida?
Damn why no Trump office in Cali yet
It's ripe for the taking
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
That map seems to imply that Trump is gonna do a lot worse than his polls in NC, Florida, NH, and Pennsylvania.
whyamihere
Banned
Yeah, but Wisconsin!!!
What's even more insane is that where he does have lots of offices are mostly in swing states where he's already DOA.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
This makes zero sense.
That map (and the data operation that goes with it) keeps me thinking that if a state is tied going into Election Day, odds are that it'll fall into Hillary's column.
And we've seen footage of some of his offices. Understaffed. Closed. Potemkin set-ups.
bangbang i'm a timpani
Banned
damn so that crazy racist kid in colorado got 8 shops going and they can't do anything in florida?
User 463088
Banned
Bububububtttttt he's got those two mobile vans traveling around Florida selling Trump shit and.....ya, I have no idea what the strategy behind that is.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
48 offices in Virginia, Wisconsin, and Colorado (which have non-competitive Senate races and Trump is losing badly).
4 combined offices in NC, NH, Pennsylvania, and Florida (which have competitive Senate races and where Trump has to compete to win).
metalslimer
Member
Does Trump never dump his surrogates because it's too hard to find anyone willing to do that job?
Link
The Autumn Wind
I mean, you pretty much have to come off that way to defend his views and statements.
Plus let's not pretend like this isn't what the Republican Party really is.
Black Mamba
Member
Fla and Pa should be flipped.
There is no world where Clinton wins Florida by 8 and Pa by 1.
I mean I'll defend portions of the Repub base.
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