Thanks. <8
Agreed.
Also Clinton has done a strong air campaign during August. It may not show in the polls immediately, but I think all those negative Trump ads will begin to take its toll, especially if Trump starts exhibiting some of the same behaviors in the debate, reaffirming those ads.
It's just the media loves a horse race, so if the polls keep tightening (within 2-3 points or so), then the media will proclaim, "The race for the White House is in a virtual tie!!!" and some people on the fence might give Trump a second look and make the race righter than it should be.
If Hilary can get around the Emails and Foundation issues, then yeah there's enough ammo on Trump to hold back him back in the swing states and other purple states and she could even creep into some Red states.
Lets just look at your post for a second, because I think it was so unavoidably smarmy that I want to respond to it one-off. First, its not politically insightful or sharp to suggest that presidential races in modern America coming in at one party holding an 8 point lead in early August will tighten as the race progresses, partisans come home, and convention bounces fade. Presidential politics are incredibly polarized; even popular candidates that are generally perceived favorably see their races tighten (a fact which has been obscured by probability trackers on sites like 538 that give very important weights to time remaining in a race) like Obama/Romney four years ago. Presidential races are not like Congressional or Senatorial races. So adding that you called it while then suggesting [us] guys were so excited for Trumps implosion that the forest was missed for the trees to me is a pretty direct insult to people that have been following presidential politics for their adult lives.
There was certainly no consensus here in the home of Diablos that this was over. You'd only think that if you parachuted in temporarily to remind people what you called weeks ago or what you said back in 1984.
Unfortunately, you were missing the word folks, but the sports analogy comes pretty close.
Im a little frustrated with the daily microanalysis that people are doing and freaking out about on a regular basis. I swear I see more kvetching about biased media reporting, Don Lemon, one or two polls in a series of 10 polls, and Katrina Pierson than I do in places that supposedly are full of political neophytes. Does David Plouffe have to tweet every day? This is in many ways one of the least interesting elections in the modern era. The fundamentals of this election are sound: the economy is OK, the outgoing president is popular, and the other partys nominee is almost cripplingly challenged by demographics. Oh, and Hillary is building the largest campaign apparatus in history to get everyone out to vote.
I can promise people one thing: you dont know better than the Clinton campaign. You have less information than they do. If they are not doing something obvious, it is probably because the candidate herself has decided she does not to do it. I used to be in this boat. Last May and June I wanted to know why Hillary just wouldnt apologize for her email server. I learned its because shes not sorry. Shes not sorry today. Her good answer is only meaningfully different from her bad one in that she has cut the amount of words down. So why doesnt she do a press conference? Because theres nothing in it for her to gain. Why is she only doing fundraisers? Well, maybe because she has to grease the wheels of a 300+ person behemoth that is going to get her elected. Why wont she go on show X or do interview Y or give speech Z? I think you are probably well aware of the reason.
Clinton is not a super strong candidate, but shes a good one for the opponent she has right now. Keep your eyes on the prizeswing state polls have to tighten to such a degree and then people have to get out to vote despite her opponents total lack of actually having a political campaignand remember you are actually winning.
Im not suggesting you cant worry or diablos but lets have some perspective and just do what we can to win this thing.
