Yeah... I hope that doesn't mean Trump has a chance to turn this around. I want him to dig his heals in and ramp up the crazy (so far he has been). Clinton just needs to have 2 more stellar debates.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT11| Well this is exciting
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Yeah... I hope that doesn't mean Trump has a chance to turn this around. I want him to dig his heals in and ramp up the crazy (so far he has been). Clinton just needs to have 2 more stellar debates.
cartoon_soldier
Member
Do we have any place that keeps the up to date early voting data with analysis?
Virginia + Ohio + Iowa + Florida + North Carolina would also suffice, he wouldn't need Nevada, Colorado and New Hampshire then. I don't expect him to win Va., but it seems like a path of lesser resistance than the one you're suggesting.
EDIT: Condolences, Adam.
Clinton is an excellent debater and trump is an idiot.
I don't agree. He's never been even near close in Virginia and is a bad demographic fit. I could see him winning Nevada Colorado and NH before VA. But I can't see him winning Colorado either for the same reason he's screwed in Virginia.
Trump can't even keep his cool around Bill O' Reilly. He's not suddenly going to become a level-headed master debater.
cartoon_soldier
Member
Plouffe said Trump will win OH, IA, most possible NV. NC will be closest state.
balladofwindfishes
Member
No major news websites have the Trump Cuban story.
Ehh... guess it wasn't juicy enough to stick?
Ehh... guess it wasn't juicy enough to stick?
When did he say that?
Well, exactly. The odds of him running the table in those three states, at least one of which is almost as hard as Va. is all by itself, are surely longer than those of him flipping Va., even if that's a long shot too.
NH polling also hasn't been good for him and if Clinton outperforms her polling by anywhere near the margin at which Obama outperformed his, he's screwed there too. Of course, I fully expect Clinton to win all four.
It's not really clear cut and I don't think it's that well written. It's not legally enforceable anymore and it's just a case of hypocrisy from Trump.
nature boy
Member
As predicted. It's nothing, unless he's investigated.
nature boy
Member
I shouldn't ahve clicked on that before breakfast
User 463088
Banned
Shouldn't have clicked after breakfast either.
gutter_trash
Banned
RIP awesome cat
ThLunarian
Member
There's a thread on this in the OT, but it's a good watch: https://youtu.be/21ijh_LMw08
15 minute video featuring a sociologist from UC Berkeley talking about the five years she spent trying to understand people on the far right. It portrays them in an empathetic light without apologizing for them. I enjoyed it.
15 minute video featuring a sociologist from UC Berkeley talking about the five years she spent trying to understand people on the far right. It portrays them in an empathetic light without apologizing for them. I enjoyed it.
They worry about Democratic voter fraud. Not Republicanz
User 463088
Banned
shinra-bansho
Member
So, Adjusted Leader Trump +1, Trump +2, Trump +3, Tie , Tie then?
balladofwindfishes
Member
Today should be when some more polls start trickling in post-debate, right?
shinra-bansho
Member
Adjusted Johnson +5 Aleppos
User 463088
Banned
Plz you two.
Don't.
Don't.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Obama was ahead, had a bad debate and Romney just about pulled into a tie before it regressed back to the average.
Trump was behind already, blew the first debate and is probably behind more now. If it regresses back to the average he's still behind.
Critical differences between the state of the race then and now.
balladofwindfishes
Member
Imagine a world where Parks was still on and Hillary could make a guest appearance, like Biden did.
Millennial support +100000
Yep. Looks like the Johnson protest voters may have finally seen the light. I hope last night's stupidity causes more people to flee.
And of course https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Th7EA6agX-g
So good https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ng_-HgRfGBY
lol duh http://www.vox.com/2016/7/28/12306978/hillary-clinton-leslie-knope-dnc
And of course https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Th7EA6agX-g
So good https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ng_-HgRfGBY
nature boy
Member
Rasssss has a +6 shift to Clinton in one week, up one to Trump.
I honestly think it's such an obvious parallel that I wonder just how many millenials get that. That a character they love so much is just this politician they think they despise.
Shiiiiiiiiittttt
It's from the 26th-28th, so I don't think it's fully post-debate yet either (it's going to be released as a tracking poll starting today).
clevbrowns94
Member
Great polling day. I can breathe again. I also saw a Winthrop poll in which Trump is only up 4 in SC. That can't be good for him to only be slightly up in a deep red state.
balladofwindfishes
Member
clevbrowns94
Member
So I expect to see a 7 percent shift in 538 in the same way the Bloomberg poll knocked her down the same percentage last week. Right? (in reality, the model will barely budge).
It's certainly ironic.
User 463088
Banned
Are you a fellow Brown's fan? If so, you should be used to disappointment. This is what we deserve.
sazzy
Member
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Rasss is still extra trash, guys. Other trash polls might reflect some trends relative to their inherit trashiness but Ras reflects what Ras *thinks* the trends are. Or they're in "spook the GOP" mode. Who knows? Only Ras does, and only we do a week before the election when Ras tries to look legit in the final polls.
jack_package_200
Banned
Time: Break Up With That Trump Supporter
http://time.com/4509441/presidential-debates-donald-trump-relationships/
Don't date deplorables
http://time.com/4509441/presidential-debates-donald-trump-relationships/
Don't date deplorables
Bee was great too: "anyone triggered by shade should cover their ears"
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