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[Thequietone]

Pence did a lot of things that pissed me off last night, but I am disappointed that Kaine didn't correct him when he called immigrants aliens. It is just so dehumanizing, they aren't aliens they are human beings.

 

[sc0la]

Dude. Stop shaking your head.

if he were an honest man

 

[Aceun]

I really do enjoy the Seth Meyers Closer Look segments. They keep me sane.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7c2UyOloZ-0

 

[my name is ed]

https://twitter.com/designgeorge24/status/783870706849189888

bless this woman

esta haciendo el trabajo de dios!

 

[Oblivion]

I really do enjoy the Seth Meyers Closer Look segments. They keep me sane.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7c2UyOloZ-0

Seth is good people. Deserves more ratings.

 

[eBay Huckster]

I really do enjoy the Seth Meyers Closer Look segments. They keep me sane.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7c2UyOloZ-0

LMAO at the entire last minute

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

The Liberal Democrats have The Economist's endorsement for next election on lock.

Clearly the party is back after this endorsement.

 

[Cerium]

The Liberal Democrats have The Economist's endorsement for next election on lock.

Clearly the party is back after this endorsement.

Well, at least British arrogance won't be a thing anymore.

 

[watershed]

The ads cut from the VP debate are great. It's exactly what we were talking about yesterday during the debate. Pence saying "no, that's not true" with a Trump quote right next to him.

 

[RastaMentality]

Loretta Sanchez was seriously terrible. for someone who had no opinion of her before, this was pretty bad.

 

[Spoiled Milk]

^ I had to look this up because I hadn't heard.

omfg lol

Then again...

 

[CygnusXS]

Wait

 

[Spoiled Milk]

Wait

(he didn't)

 

[jiggle]

I was just watching the Trump jokes from Seth meyers' wh correspondence dinner again
He(trump) REALLY can't handle criticisms, like at all

 

[BlastProcessing]

There goes my hero.

Watch him as he goes.

 

[DontBeThatGuy]

Whew, gonna hate it when she's on the other side again next cycle.

I mean, she was on the other side during most of Obama's time in office, and she was your run of the mill conservative shill. I found her worthy of Fox News before Trump jumped into the fray.

 

[Aaron Strife]

There goes my hero.

Watch him as he goes.

Basically

- Clinton wins
- Clinton wins
- Clinton wins
- Trump wins

Still worse odds than Russian roulette.

 

[Joeytj]

There goes my hero.

Watch him as he goes.

Genius Nate, Genius.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Those four can be translated to:

1. Dems take control of both houses in Congress while Hillary is elected president.
2. Dems take control of the Senate and Hillary is president.
3. Hillary is elected president and never gets to make a federal judge appointment because of not having the Senate.
4. The Fourth Reich

 

[SmokeMaxX]

Well essentially he's saying there's a 75% chance of a Clinton Presidency which isn't too inaccurate. I'm not sure if all three Clinton victories are equally likely though...

 

[MHWilliams]

There goes my hero.

Watch him as he goes.

All things are possible in the numbers.

 

[Bronx-Man]

Nate is a mess.

Spoiler

*airhorn*

 

[BlastProcessing]

All things are possible in the numbers.

He was supposed to change things. He could have been the one who would cut through punditry with hard numbers. Instead he uses the numbers to toss out punditry on steroids.

 

[Vimes]

Loretta Sanchez was seriously terrible. for someone who had no opinion of her before, this was pretty bad.

Yeah. I only lasted about twenty minutes into the debate.

I feel so naïve for thinking an all-Dem debate would mean more substance.

 

[Cerium]

On the bright side I do think Harris has a good shot at being President someday.

 

[sazzy]

HOW DOES RANDOM SAMPLING WORK

 

[Pixieking]

HOW DOES RANDOM SAMPLING WORK

God damn, you don't even need to go into mathematics or statistics to know the answer to that one.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Trump's super fans are passionate enough to go to a rally.

But super fans are not the only people you need to win an election.

 

[Debirudog]

On the bright side I do think Harris has a good shot at being President someday.

I want to live and see the day this happens.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Nate Silver found how Trump reacts to hurricanes (spoilers: he's bad):

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/783917324470366208

 

[CygnusXS]

Nate Silver found how Trump reacts to hurricanes (spoilers: he's bad):

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/783917324470366208

Actually, those tweets are shockingly well written (for him). His writing style has really gone downhill.

 

[Oblivion]

I mean, she was on the other side during most of Obama's time in office, and she was your run of the mill conservative shill. I found her worthy of Fox News before Trump jumped into the fray.

Fo realz. I appreciate her attacking Trumpeters, but let's not act like she is or ever was a formidable Republican commentator. Like all current never-Trump Republicans, she's being graded on a curve.

 

[Syncytia]

HOW DOES RANDOM SAMPLING WORK

Uh are there even 250 million people that can vote? Not even to mention registration and actual turn out.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Area journalist says that Greece's Nazi party is likely to win and has all the momentum for 13 paragraphs and then mentions that Greece's Nazi party is at 10% in the polls at the end of the story (unchanged from four years ago and basically constant).

http://theweek.com/articles/651712/how-european-elites-set-greece-fascist-takeover

... I mean, it would be good to see any momentum from the Golden Dawn before writing this article.

 

[CCS]

HOW DOES RANDOM SAMPLING WORK

I wish this was how maths worked, it would make my job a lot easier.

 

[Emarv]

There goes my hero.

Watch him as he goes.

welp, there it is. the post we can all just link to from here on out any time Silver comes up.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Greece kind of does look like a failing nation when these are the polls:

ND 28.5%
SYRIZA 16
GD 7.5
KKE 5.5
DimSym 4.5
ANEL 2
Centrists U 2
Plefsi 2
Antarsya 2
Potami 1.5
LAE 1.5
N/A 20.5

https://twitter.com/GreekAnalyst/status/783329308194603009

ND is the conservative party, Syriza is the Socialist party that is currently in charge, GD is the Nazi party... and then there's four thousand other parties.

 

[BlastProcessing]

Greece kind of does look like a failing nation when these are the polls:



https://twitter.com/GreekAnalyst/status/783329308194603009

ND is the conservative party, Syriza is the Socialist party that is currently in charge, GD is the Nazi party... and then there's four thousand other parties.

Shit like this is why I prefer a two party system.

 

[BanGy.nz]

Twitter and political pundit Nate sucks and is the worst, we should hunt him down and break his hands so he can no longer tweet. Dorky numbers Nate is still OK tho.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

The 30% of France who would walk over burning coals for Le Pen is contrasted nicely by the polls showing that everyone other than the 30% would probably vote nerve gas ahead of her.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opini..._2017#Opinion_polls_for_first_round_of_voting

 

[Cerium]

Shit like this is why I prefer a two party system.

Yeah people who ask for a multiparty system don't really understand what that would look like.

We'd for sure have a Theocratic Evangelical party that would probably be big enough to be part of any right leaning coalition. Typically such parties demand control over the schools. So you could look forward to Mike Huckabee as Secretary of Education.

The white nationalists would probably get their own slice of the pie and who knows how big that party would really be.

And that's really just the beginning.

 

[East Lake]

Greece kind of does look like a failing nation when these are the polls:



https://twitter.com/GreekAnalyst/status/783329308194603009

ND is the conservative party, Syriza is the Socialist party that is currently in charge, GD is the Nazi party... and then there's four thousand other parties.

Not sure why their democracy is the problem rather than the currency situation which allows european bureaucrats to shut down their banking system.

 

[Bronx-Man]

HOW DOES RANDOM SAMPLING WORK

Considering the largest stadium in America can just barely hold over 100,000 I'm gonna call bullshit on this.

Also, this dude's face bugs the crap outta me.

 

[phisheep]

There goes my hero.

That bottom line should read "Tiny Trump win"

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

That bottom line should read "Tiny Trump win"

Tiny Trump win isn't that different than other Trump wins though. All Trump wins involve him winning the Senate and House and being able to pass all of Paul Ryan's agenda.

 

[Fat4all]

That bottom line should read "Tiny Trump win"

a toe across the finish line is still a victory

 

[CCS]

a toe across the finish line is still a victory

Does a hand count? Even if it's tiny?

 

[RastaMentality]

Tiny Trump win isn't that different than other Trump wins though. All Trump wins involve him winning the Senate and House and being able to pass all of Paul Ryan's agenda.

it's scary it's come to that too. people don't realize that in this year (and maybe 2020 too) if a republican wins, they'll likely get the house, senate, and SCOTUS to themselves.

 

[Debirudog]

That thought is incredibly depressing.

 

[Fat4all]

it seems like what Kaine set out to do was successful.

from what i've seen, Trumps base has been on the defense on immigration, his tax shit and russia non-stop.

so that's good going into the town hall.