Bonen no Max'd
Banned
Wasn't Manchin saying he'd become a Republican if it came down to a 50-50 split?
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT16| Unpresidented
- Thread starter ItWasMeantToBe19
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I'm not so sure about a couple of things in there, it might be a bit too focused on labor and that part with wanting 33% of all contributions to be small dollar ones seems like something he won't be able to make happen unless they fudge the numbers and take in less money overall.
It's not like he really voted with the Dems all that much in the first place.
Fundraising caps got Obama in trouble. No need to repeat that mistake.
Bonen no Max'd
Banned
By govtrack, the only Republican with a higher left ideology score than Manchin is Collins, he's still slightly to the left of Murkowski and Kirk in the current Senate.
There's a big shift after Murkowski and Kirk, too, at that point you get Portman, Corker, Alexander, and Heller. So Manchin's kind of a DINO I guess but the Republicans are so far right he's still pretty clearly not a standard Republican. The other WV senator, Capito, is also a little bit past those guys so if he was replaced by a WV R, it would be a rightward shift in the Senate.
There's a big shift after Murkowski and Kirk, too, at that point you get Portman, Corker, Alexander, and Heller. So Manchin's kind of a DINO I guess but the Republicans are so far right he's still pretty clearly not a standard Republican. The other WV senator, Capito, is also a little bit past those guys so if he was replaced by a WV R, it would be a rightward shift in the Senate.
Taking in more small dollar contributions would be nice, but I don't like how he listed a specific number there. It just smells like something there so he can point to a success when he hits it, regardless of if the total fundraising numbers are down.
Carpe Libertatem
Member
There were rumors, but he shot down them as far as I know.
A Human Becoming
More than a Member
I thought FiveThirtyEight's write up about the likelihood of each senator supporting Trump insightful. It's pretty much what you said: Heitkamp, Manchin and Tester are the Democrats most likely to support Trump. Collins, Heller and McCain are the three most likely to oppose him.
Hmm. This feels like good news:
Mattis supports a two-state solution model for Israel-Palestinian peace. He says the current situation in Israel is unsustainable and argues that the settlements harm prospects for peace and could lead to apartheid.[45] In particular, he believes the lack of a two-state solution is upsetting to the Arab allies of America, which weakens US esteem amongst its Arab allies. Mattis strongly supports John Kerry on the Middle East peace process, praising Kerry for being "wisely focused like a laser-beam" towards a two-state solution.[46]
SerAardvark
Member
Mattis is easily the pick I have the fewest problems with of any, though his rhetoric about Iran is concerning (especially given the generally anti-Iranian tilt of the administration as a whole). That said, he favors a two-state solution in Palestine and from what I've seen/read is much more supportive of our allies (even ones in the Middle East) than other picks would have been, even defending them from the free-loading charges Trump, among others, has made.
excelsiorlef
Member
whyamihere
Banned
For a Republican administration, Mattis is a solid pic. Thank god.
From his perspective, Iran probably is. ISIS, for all of its atrocities, is just a bunch of ragtag guys that can easily be wiped out with the right military commitment. Iran is hardened after fighting the US army covertly in Iraq.
Mattis seems like he will stick to his ideals, if the push back against waterboarding is any indication. Flynn has been for sale to the highest bidder for a while.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
No, we need to refocus on labor they have bodies and get results.
The issues is theres a lack of coordination and they overlap too much. They're especially important in trump states
NYCmetsfan
Banned
The Lamonster
Member
Feel like we just dodged a bullet. Defense Secretary could've been really scary.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
excelsiorlef
Member
shinra-bansho
Member
Mattis is fine. But will need a waiver from memory of the post-service time length requirement.
Also 33% small dollar? And still have comparable war chests to the GOP. Good luck.
Also 33% small dollar? And still have comparable war chests to the GOP. Good luck.
Bonen no Max'd
Banned
Joe Walsh the other day was going off about how if Jesus was a modern dude, he would support the police/say "Merry Christmas"/support capitalism/*insert conservative talking point here*
There were many great responses, but I think my favorite was "the police murdered Jesus"
There were many great responses, but I think my favorite was "the police murdered Jesus"
cooljeanius
Member
I'm having a hard time choosing between him and Ray Buckley, who is my state's DNC chair and who is also running
Ignatz Mouse
Banned
I cannot express how much I hate that man.
Not that I want corruption in the Executive Branch, but I will at least enjoy a lot of hearty "I told you so"s.
Dubbedinenglish
Banned
War with Iran percentage rising
We always think about the economic impact that Republican policies have on uneducated whites that vote for them, but then they are also going to get ground up in a pointless war as well. The army is disproportionately uneducated white.
Abinash117
Member
He wants the US to be involved with world affairs, and he is just another pick who is anti-Iran.
So at the very least the US will be more involved in countering Iranian influence however that happens. Also might mean more involvement in Iraq.
Yes, but "a waiver" means "an act of Congress with the force of law" so if they'll need consent of (a) the House and, if they want to get the process started now, (b) Obama.
It's more complicated than signing a price of paper.
aspiegamer
Member
No way in hell am I clicking that Breitbart link, but I'll take a stab at what I assume they're talking about.
The first 9 months of this year have been the warmed ever recorded. Like it's not even close. On a scale that typically measures in hundredths of a degree per year we're talking tenths. We crossed 1 degree C over the old average in 2015 and 2016 has been more than halfway again toward the 1.5C the Paris Climate Agreement set at a stretch goal (lol). Going from 1.5C to "just" 0.9C or so = 1 degree F in a month sounds mighty impressive as one data point, but that's still a bonkers 1.5F over the old averages. NOAA has started using averages from 1981-2010 in temperature records instead of the old "since records began", because the permanent averages in both highs and lows around the US are 1-3F higher across large areas of the country. Our new new record warm years this decade are on top of the already advanced average of 1981-2010.
There is no way 2016 won't be the warmest year on record. We'd pretty much have to block out the sun for the month of December. 2016 will probably be a high outlier when we look back (it's complicated!), but it reinforces the trend of repeated record warm years consecutively since the start of this century. Prepare your eye rolling for when 2017 is cooler than 2016 (but still above what any record was before 2010 or so).
The first 9 months of this year have been the warmed ever recorded. Like it's not even close. On a scale that typically measures in hundredths of a degree per year we're talking tenths. We crossed 1 degree C over the old average in 2015 and 2016 has been more than halfway again toward the 1.5C the Paris Climate Agreement set at a stretch goal (lol). Going from 1.5C to "just" 0.9C or so = 1 degree F in a month sounds mighty impressive as one data point, but that's still a bonkers 1.5F over the old averages. NOAA has started using averages from 1981-2010 in temperature records instead of the old "since records began", because the permanent averages in both highs and lows around the US are 1-3F higher across large areas of the country. Our new new record warm years this decade are on top of the already advanced average of 1981-2010.
There is no way 2016 won't be the warmest year on record. We'd pretty much have to block out the sun for the month of December. 2016 will probably be a high outlier when we look back (it's complicated!), but it reinforces the trend of repeated record warm years consecutively since the start of this century. Prepare your eye rolling for when 2017 is cooler than 2016 (but still above what any record was before 2010 or so).
NihonTiger90
Member
https://twitter.com/RandyLudlow/status/804477713608282113
Ludlow's a longtime reporter for the Columbus Dispatch, but yeah. Our state treasurer, everyone.
I'm inclined to believe the rumors that he and Kasich hate the hell out of each other are true.
Ludlow's a longtime reporter for the Columbus Dispatch, but yeah. Our state treasurer, everyone.
I'm inclined to believe the rumors that he and Kasich hate the hell out of each other are true.
BoosterDuck
Banned
hey at least they're playing sweet dad rock before the royal majesty arrives
So there's an actual post-election event where the aides from the two campaigns come together and chat?
That must have went well.
Shouting match erupts between Clinton and Trump aides
https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...ifi_push_breaking-news&utm_term=.1ce013d753c4
That must have went well.
Shouting match erupts between Clinton and Trump aides
https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...ifi_push_breaking-news&utm_term=.1ce013d753c4
BoosterDuck
Banned
a piece of human garbage said:
yeah he made it happen on the tax payer's dime
a piece of human garbage said:
I doubt you'll beat Obama's record
edit: holy crap now Trump's bragging about Carrier, this is what he's going to shove down our throats for 4 years
People who spend all their time yelling from the outside in rarely make good leaders. Regardless of ideology.
davepoobond
you can't put a price on sparks
This speech is entertaining because it is reliving the most ridiculous day in recent history
Kai Dracon
Writing a dinosaur space opera symphony
Trump could cut a deal in which a thousand jobs were saved by launching a million people into the sun and the rabid supporters would cheer all the same. And if you showed them footage of the rockets launching they'd say it's the mainstream media faking it.
davepoobond
you can't put a price on sparks
Get 1 regulation, cut 2
Get 1 job, cut 2
Get 1 job, cut 2
Man, they should have known that was a terrible idea.
And I really need Kellyanne to go away. She is so damn disingenuous.
DrForester
Kills Photobucket
Best caption...
davepoobond
you can't put a price on sparks
Don't tell anyone but mad dog is the secretary of defense as he tells a billion people
Dominican Power
Member
A victory tour when he didn't even win the popular vote.
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