What Trump did in 2016 was offer two-part populism of white nationalism and protectionism. Many liberal analysts consistently ignored the danger of Trump's promises to "win our trade back" and end unemployment. His economic rhetoric was appealing to large numbers of lower-middle-class whites and netted him a third of the Hispanic electorate. Liberal myopia on economics was one of the biggest contributing factors to Hillary's loss.
Appealing to Rust Belt whites isn't exclusive to appealing to workers of color. Obama did it twice. Hillary could not. This isn't entirely her fault, because Obama was lucky enough to run against candidates offering even more austere economic solutions. Hillary's campaign, disregarding Trump's economic appeal, couldn't predict the kind of Obama-Trump crossover we saw on Tuesday. This led to some absolutely horrible campaign decisions:
It isn't a matter of empathy. It certainly isn't a matter of being "too progressive." In letting Trump make protectionist promises that largely went uncontested, Hillary's campaign ceded most issues of trade and employment to Trump. Her campaign naively assumed that Rust Belt voters would support a status quo that hasn't given them many concrete benefits. Trump offered direct solutions that seemed to work, and enough voters were willing to look past his racism to elect him.
Maybe it would be more efficient for all the white liberals (and British liberals who seem to have lost their way) to just post quotes from this article.
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/11/welcome-to-the-second-redemption/507317/
All of this has happened before. It happens every time people of color strive for equality -- the active, violent resistance of white nationalists, aided and abetted by the white moderates who support people of color in only those years in which doing so might help win elections.
He might not even last 4 years.
Dementia runs in his family.Life is too unfair. The meanest ones always last the longest, he'll probably live to be 90+.
identity
politics
and
moralism
are
not
enough
Clearly not...
But the solution being offered isn't a hybrid but an abandonment of what you are calling Identity politics...
It's very early to say, but Nate Cohn seems to think that turnout was not the only problem - or at least not the problem that sunk the Democrats this year. The turnout was poorly allocated, for starters.
Sadly @VICE has severed its relationship with me for reporting that multi-millionaire Clinton surrogate @lenadunham deceived the public.
Hillary's plan wasn't job creation, but employer encouragement through tax breaks. This is a right-wing position. It worked for Obama because the alternative in 2008 and 2012 was "try not to starve."
In 2016, this attitude was both a tired status quo and less direct than the bridge Trump was selling. Trump also highlighted his jobs plan much more heavily than Clinton highlighted hers.
To the best of my knowledge, Hillary didn't run ads like this. Trump also pivoted in the final few weeks of his campaign with a greater emphasis on economics. Hillary Clinton stuck with moralistic appeals that didn't resonate with many workers.
Dementia runs in his family.
We very well might be looking at half of the last 4 GOP presidents leaving office while afflicted by it.
Against Romney, Obama sticked with pro-worker messages that resonated with WWC:This is a huge factor I have not seen mentioned but a couple of times.
We might want to ease up on gun control anyway. It's an argument we keep losing, badly. And we had success with gun rights Democrats both in this election and in the past.I wonder if this election will change the liberal groupthink on gun control.
"The government will protect you" is a lot less appealing with a white nationalist as president.
Okay, today isn't going so bad. Michael Tracey has been fired, yesssss.
Michael Tracey was fired for doxxing Lena Dunham like the fuckhead he is. Her "deceit" was that she claimed to have voted for Hillary in NY when she might not have... which clearly justifies her doxxing?
https://twitter.com/mtracey/status/797128757408567296
I wonder if this election will change the liberal groupthink on gun control. "The government will keep you safe" is a lot less appealing with a white nationalist as president.
By whom?
Okay, today isn't going so bad. Michael Tracey has been fired, yesssss.
Michael Tracey was fired for doxxing Lena Dunham like the fuckhead he is. Her "deceit" was that she claimed to have voted for Hillary in NY when she might not have... which clearly justifies her doxxing?
https://twitter.com/mtracey/status/797128757408567296
Yeah, I think people wouldn't be as demoralized about the "base" if Hillary had around the same amount of votes as Obama had, but Trump had massively increased turnout.
But Trump had less votes than Romney.
"GO ALL IN ON THE RUST BELT" white liberals will say. i like my intersectional Democratic party that has Muslims, trans people, and disabled people speaking at the DNC, mmkay.Anyway, reporters are insanely racist and that should inform how you consume media.
https://twitter.com/jonathanweisman/status/797120114042793984
Because black people and Muslims can't be populists because they're aren't real "real Americans."
Trump's hires so far have been textbook far right figures. This is awful.
Metric I saw was Hillary down 8m Dems from 2012 and Trump down 1m Republicans. Cant be overstated: Republicans always come home. Or, god this is my new favorite quote so thanks to the poster who brought it up: Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line. If democrats arent in love with the top of the ticket, they just dont care to vote, fuck the ramifications of the democrats not winning. Various interviews with Republicans, hell even just informal conversations with people at my job, they disliked what Trump was doing (racism, bigotry, etc) but all either said "I will hold my nose and vote for him because its more important to have the Republicans win" or "Ill cross that bridge when I get there" which is basically a passive way of saying the first quote.
We also propose milquetoast plans that will barely affect the problems we have here so as to say "we don't want to take your guns away" and then still get killed on it.We might want to ease up on gun control anyway. It's an argument we keep losing, badly. And we had success with gun rights Democrats both in this election and in the past.
In some of these southern states, being anti-gun is a non starter. You will never win. We need to be flexible.
Metric I saw was Hillary down 8m Dems from 2012 and Trump down 1m Republicans. Cant be overstated: Republicans always come home. Or, god this is my new favorite quote so thanks to the poster who brought it up: Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line. If democrats arent in love with the top of the ticket, they just dont care to vote, fuck the ramifications of the democrats not winning. Various interviews with Republicans, hell even just informal conversations with people at my job, they disliked what Trump was doing (racism, bigotry, etc) but all either said "I will hold my nose and vote for him because its more important to have the Republicans win" or "Ill cross that bridge when I get there" which is basically a passive way of saying the first quote.
We also propose milquetoast plans that will barely affect the problems we have here so as to say "we don't want to take your guns away" and then still get killed on it.
It's really upsetting to me that we need to drop it, but nothing will really get done on it.
We also propose milquetoast plans that will barely affect the problems we have here so as to say "we don't want to take your guns away" and then still get killed on it.
It's really upsetting to me that we need to drop it, but nothing will really get done on it.
Or we just go hole hog. No matter what we do they will say we want to take their guns away, even if we drop it, so why not just say we want to take their guns? They'll hit us on it anyway and it's the right thing to do besides.
Metric I saw was Hillary down 8m Dems from 2012 and Trump down 1m Republicans. Cant be overstated: Republicans always come home. Or, god this is my new favorite quote so thanks to the poster who brought it up: Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line. If democrats arent in love with the top of the ticket, they just dont care to vote, fuck the ramifications of the democrats not winning. Various interviews with Republicans, hell even just informal conversations with people at my job, they disliked what Trump was doing (racism, bigotry, etc) but all either said "I will hold my nose and vote for him because its more important to have the Republicans win" or "Ill cross that bridge when I get there" which is basically a passive way of saying the first quote.
Guns will be handled by the courts holding up laws passed by the states. It's a non-starter on a federal level.
"Thats why Clinton will launch a $20 billion initiative to create millions of new career opportunities for young Americansincluding jobs and apprenticeships."
Yup, sounds like a tax break to me!
Are you also glossing over the part about infrastructure investment as well?
That first ad isn't a jobs plan. It doesn't actually mention what his plan is. It just says, "my plan rocks. her plan sucks."
The second ad is exactly what I was talking about. It's race baiting. "Massive illegal immigration." "Those globalists." "Jobs fleeing to Mexico and China." "Global power structure."
Note: globalists is a reference to people of the Jewish faith. Very common in alt-right circles.
If we can't get universal background checks passed, do you think we can institute massive Australia-style federal buyback programs and simultaneously not get struck down by the courts because of the second amendment?Or we just go hole hog. No matter what we do they will say we want to take their guns away, even if we drop it, so why not just say we want to take their guns? They'll hit us on it anyway and it's the right thing to do besides.
The untested part about running on single payer is that it means a real tax hike. I'm not saying that's a non-starter, but I'd like to be more confident that we can win the tax hike element.I really, honestly think that the quickest, most direct counter-appeal to the WWC and rural voters is simple: healthcare.
that was part of the message that got Bill Clinton elected in 92, that's the message that completely galvanized Pennsylvania into voting D for decades. privatization of medicare will be hugely unpopular, repealing the ACA will be a complete disaster, etc.
ironically, part of the ACA's problem is that, because no one seems to understand what the fuck is actually in the bill, it's compromised nature is constantly used against it. it's just a catch-all for everything that is wrong with the system.
this is part of bernie's appeal (the part that mirror's trump). single-payer is a simplistic, effective appeal. it is a message. i hate that it's so fucking hard to control the messaging on healthcare. maybe now that the R's have control (and no plan to fix anything), it'll be easier to craft an insurgent message. i don't know.
Guns will be handled by the courts holding up laws passed by the states. It's a non-starter on a federal level.
Reminds me of 2008 when Obama never even said the word "gun" because there were much larger issues, but the right still pretended like he was going to get rid of their guns.
I think the belief that Dems need to fall in love is correct, and could (should, even) be argued against on the basis of privilege. How privileged do you have to be to shirk your moral duty to make the world a better place, because you, personally, don't love the candidate put forward?
Considering liberal left loves to "check their privilege", I can see this being a slap in the face that might wake them up.
Hillary Clinton's initiative for job creation relied entirely on the "generosity" of individual profiteers. Bernie Sanders wanted government agencies to directly employee young people to the benefit of our nation. This miniature New Deal was hard to accomplish, but far more direct. Nobody would argue that Trump's jobs plan was properly explained (or even solvent), but his promises were direct and simple and much easier to sell. "We'll make China bring back factory jobs" is a much better sound byte than "I have a plan to encourage job growth." This shouldn't be up for debate.
"Anti-globalism" absolutely has anti-Semitic connotations! But where do you think anger toward globalism comes from? This rhetoric is the misdirection of legitimate anger against capitalism toward an imaginary group of potentially Jewish conspirators who are trying to transform the world. Changes like immigration and unemployment are both consequences of capitalism. Anti-globalism allows candidates like Trump to benefit from fear these consequences without attacking the source. Fascists have been doing this for almost a century.
The tactical response to this is that the soft Bernie supporters who might not have turned out could be in safe states, whereas the soft Hillary supporters were in swing states.
BUT...
Virginia. No way Bernie would have won Virginia, given how close it was and how it was so favorable for Clinton. Florida may have been further apart. And Pennsylvania probably wouldn't have flipped, because of how important minority turnout in Philadelphia was.
My realistic take is that Bernie would have kept MI and WI but lost VA. We still lose.
The untested part about running on single payer is that it means a real tax hike. I'm not saying that's a non-starter, but I'd like to be more confident that we can win the tax hike element.
Assault weapon bans and background checks aren't that helpful either and No-Fly-No-Buy is a disaster.
Stopping domestic abusers from having guns and trying to limit gun suicides (with mandatory gun safes maybe?) is the best way to lower gun violence. Probably decriminalizing all drugs too.
Are you serious?
Literally the person I was replying to in the first place... now calling for incrementalism... where as that understanding during and after the primary....
It's funny when incrementalism is only an acceptable option when talking about minority civil rights.
I saw it in OT it's come up here.
Let's not worry aboyt those people they'll vote Dem anyway.
giving up on gun control is going to be a tough pill to swallow but it might have to be necessary.
Did you see what Kander did this year? It absolutely doesn't have to be baked in.No matter what we do they'll hit us on it, so we may as well own it. We may as well push for a full ban. It won't matter, it's already baked in.
Mike Pence is taking over the transition team from Chris Christie.
No idea what that means. Probably going to get a lot worst now.
No matter what we do they'll hit us on it, so we may as well own it. We may as well push for a full ban. It won't matter, it's already baked in.
Chris Christie is never going to get anything in return for anything he did for Trump.Mike Pence is taking over the transition team from Chris Christie.
No idea what that means. Probably going to get a lot worst now.
giving up on gun control is going to be a tough pill to swallow but it might have to be necessary.
Mike Pence is taking over the transition team from Chris Christie.
No idea what that means. Probably going to get a lot worst now.