Kyle Kondik told me that as long as there is a race on the Republican side that will give him cover to keep running despite increased pressure he will certainly get after the 15th.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT2| we love the poorly educated
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Kyle Kondik told me that as long as there is a race on the Republican side that will give him cover to keep running despite increased pressure he will certainly get after the 15th.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Whoever agrees with him on the Chaos Emeralds issue.
Macho Madness
Member
He won't stop asking for donations until he suspends his campaign.
It plays into the perception that he has some ideological test that will not allow him to work within divided government at all. He couldn't vote to release funds for the auto bailout because it was tied in with bank money. He'd rather make an ideological point than help real people in Detroit.
Macho Madness
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cartoon_soldier
Member
Write In: Barack Obama
Macho Madness
Member
It's whatever. It's not harmful, it's just kind of there. I have a hard time caring about it much anymore. Like Neo said, as long as the Republicans and their attention getting party of fucking bullshit train is still going, who cares if Bernie is still in it?
I did like how Hillary addressed Bernie at last night's town hall. "When I dropped out, I did everything I could to ensure Obama was the next president" (HINT HINT BERNIE)
NervousXtian
Thought Emoji Movie was good. Take that as you will.
Have we talked about the new Oregon Min Wage law that was signed?
Portland and surrounding area will be 14.75 by 2022, going to 11.25 July 1, 2017. Smaller cities will get to $13.50 and the rural boonies towns will be 12.50.
We are at $9.25 now, it jumps to 9.75 July 1st, 2016.
This year will be a pretty easy transition, but next year is a huge jump.
Portland and surrounding area will be 14.75 by 2022, going to 11.25 July 1, 2017. Smaller cities will get to $13.50 and the rural boonies towns will be 12.50.
We are at $9.25 now, it jumps to 9.75 July 1st, 2016.
This year will be a pretty easy transition, but next year is a huge jump.
Black Republican
Member
um, he'll be a shadow president aka 3rd term
RustyNails
Member
New SUSA/Bay News 9/News 13 poll of FL has Trump 42% and Lil M 22%.
superdeluxe
Member
That Super Tuesday Bounce.
Politico basically ran this same exact article. Today could be really bad.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/donald-trump-michigan-mississippi-peaking-220398
Macho Madness
Member
I hope it works out.
The Lamonster
Member
superdeluxe
Member
She got a pretty good job by Obama after that.
Well, that's okay, because as it turned out it was all right.
0/4 bad
Macho Madness
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superdeluxe
Member
When should we have exit polling? Should be a bit sooner due to Central Time zone right?
Hillary can only win red states! Bernie is from New York. It's unlikely that Hillary has ever set foot in New York. How is she supposed to win an election in a reliably blue state like that? Seems completely implausible.
===
Just voted for Hills in MI. Looking forward to results tonight. But...not as much as I'm looking forward to next week.
you still think Trump is winning your state?
4:00 CST. Same as always. Call for MS at 7:00 CST. Call for MI at 8:00 CST
Chezzymann
Member
What are yalls predictions for today? I'm hoping trump wins 3 (Michigan, Mississippi, Idaho) and hopefully two by convincing double digits.
superdeluxe
Member
Have to cling on to something..saw all over twitter last night.. People were conceding Mississippi because it was in the South, and that Bernie was going to win Michigan. I think they saw that MSU 'poll' and felt they were going to take it.
Lil bit. The latest 538 pod was 40 mins of trump diablosing
Macho Madness
Member
Yeah, I sense a lot of broken hearts because of that MSU poll. The poll that, if looked at beyond the surface, was easily shown to be junk.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
PBY freaks out over everything.
Anyway, no one brought this up, but Romney joined Rubio in condemning Trump's comments on the KKK with "that will hurt us in the general election!" instead of with "racism is bad." The GOPe remembered who votes for them.
Anyway, no one brought this up, but Romney joined Rubio in condemning Trump's comments on the KKK with "that will hurt us in the general election!" instead of with "racism is bad." The GOPe remembered who votes for them.
Next Tuesday is going to be beautiful. If Trump holds on to Florida and Ohio it will be the greatest day of this election so far. Enough salt for years.
Bernie himself mentioned New York the other day as a state they might win. Pretty sure that's a lot of the supporting evidence on its own.
Macho Madness
Member
National poll - ABC/WaPo
GOP
Trump 34
Cruz 25
Rubio 18
Kasich 13
DEMS
Clinton 49
Sanders 42
GOP
Trump 34
Cruz 25
Rubio 18
Kasich 13
DEMS
Clinton 49
Sanders 42
QuiteWhittle
Member
How big could Clinton's delegate lead be after next week? 350?
Actually not that shook. Really was only actually shook after Iowa. The 538 guys said this week has been more crushing for Trump than the Iowa loss.
I dunno. I'm actually just tired at this point, they just gotta pick someone.
Yeah Trump took a hit.
NervousXtian
Thought Emoji Movie was good. Take that as you will.
It's going to be devastating to my work, and we pay over min wage, and have average wages of $11.50 or so, it's a pretty unskilled position and typically part-time. We start people at $10.. which right now is 75 cents over min... we historically have been 10 to 20% over min wage, which has been harder the last few years.. and going to be real hard next year. I'd need pay $11.75 to $12... which would raise my labor line substantially. It's a lot to take on so quickly, I could see my labor line go 10% and have little to no flexibility to raise what we charge as that's done at a national level.
I'll be forced to take one for the team as they say.. I'm going to have to ask for more money upfront as my P&L ain't gonna be pretty in a few years.
It's good for a lot of the employees though, but there's already animosity from the veterans who have worked to get to $12 to $19 and hour to see the bottom just get pushed towards them so quickly.
By the time we get to NY black people will have realised what is good for them and started voting for Sanders en masse though.
/s
superdeluxe
Member
If she consistantly beats her benchmarks? I'm not sure, I am guessing Adam might have that number.
You are starting to see more and more Clinton's ratings start to improve, due to people thinking she is going to be the Democratic Nom. That will help in closer states for sure.
probably 400+ if she has a good night winning all of them by 55-70% of the vote.
Anecdotally, I know a TON of people turning out just to vote against Trump. Political cynics and apathetics are voting for the first time in their lives to cast a ballot against Trump. Democratics are voting in the GOP primary to vote against Trump. I personally faced a ton of lobbying from people to vote against him.
But, I'm from Ann Arbor. I wouldn't read too much into what the nerds here choose to do
So, my read is that Trump takes it, but I'm not really basing that on anything other than my read of the polls.
Democrats self-immolating
superdeluxe
Member
I'm hoping to see a 60%+ for Hillary in Michigan Today and 70%+ in Mississippi.
superdeluxe
Member
Ann Arbor is Bernie country yah?
Macho Madness
Member
Yeah, for sure. That one is easy to tell. Hillary will probably do terribly here because Bernie die hards (of which there are a lot) will vote for him and a lot of Hillary fans will vote GOP.
Hillary is definitely
FloydtheFathead
Member
I'm sorry..
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