Trump won states with no endorsements. The people decide. Wrecked.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT2| we love the poorly educated
- Thread starter Makai
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Black Republican
Member
any recent Georgia polls?
Fenderputty
Banned
We're all gonna be diablosing the two weeks heading up to the election because nobody will have a clue what turnout and demo will likely look like.
BoboBrazil
Member
‏@realDonaldTrump 10 minutes ago
They don't like Rubio in Florida- he left them high & dry. Doesn't even show up for votes!
They don't like Rubio in Florida- he left them high & dry. Doesn't even show up for votes!
Ask and ye shall receive (from about an hour ago)
2016 Georgia Republican Presidential Primary - Trump 45%, Rubio 19% (SurveyUSA/TEGNA/11Alive 2/22-2/23)
1) 2016 Georgia Republican Presidential Primary
Asked of 684 likely voters - republican
Ben Carson (R) 8%
Ted Cruz (R) 16%
John Kasich (R) 6%
Marco Rubio (R) 19%
Donald Trump (R) 45%
Other 1%
Undecided 5%
Box of Kittens
Banned
I had such high hopes for 538, then it turned out to be little more than throwing in a regression to hide the fact that the article is just the same old punditry you could find anywhere else.
Polls-only predicts her victory.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
They should take him seriously, of course, and if there's a weird-ass way for him to win, that's it.
It still requires a craaaaazy amount of white votes, though. There'll be no election day surprise Trump victory. If she's in trouble, it will be VERY clear.
User 463088
Banned
Well, tomorrow is the NYCGAF meetup so some of us may be way head of you (if everyone from here actually shows up).
Ziltoidia 9
Member
Rubio is done guys. And so is cruz. Its down to just watching tuesday night as Fox news has a melt down.
Being a Sanders supporter, at least I have some pleasure in being able to watch that occur. We can all agree this is glorious to watch unfold.
Being a Sanders supporter, at least I have some pleasure in being able to watch that occur. We can all agree this is glorious to watch unfold.
Veritigo_X
Member
Sanders supporters are starting to freak out about Twitter censoring #WhichHillary tweets and removing it from the trending list. The source is DailyKos so...
The Librarian
Banned
Not saying they should take any chances, but this is gonna be a landslide election for the Democrats. Rubio and Cruz have already shown hints about the best way to attack Trump in the general.
With redistricting going on in some states, I'm even hopeful for the House at this point.
Basileus777
Member
I can only get SO hard.
They should go visit the blaze. I think sandy hook was an inside job too! False flags everywhere
Macho Madness
Member
Twitter trends have a very weird and arbitrary formula that favors what is happening right now. It trended for like 10 hours. That's a long time.
Yes, indeed. For this moment at least, all liberals and progressives can gather around the giant dumpster fire that is the remains of the GOP and just kind of roast marshmallows and maybe some of those fun-sized weenies. We can all go back to bashing each other with polls and charts tomorrow. Tonight, let's just bask in the marvelous absurdity of all this.
QuiteWhittle
Member
Sanders supporters are whining about something?! Oh shit!
User 463088
Banned
How dare you schedule the NYCGAF meetup not in Ohio. I'm insulted.
I'm going narco free so that I can drink the fuck out of tomorrow evening. The pain pills aren't helping anyway, so I'm just going to have a couple dranks for my queen.
Jack Remington
Banned
I wish no one would ever quote Megan McArdle. She is the dumbest political writer in existence, full stop.
User 463088
Banned
Fair point
Nominate Adam.
"A couple"
Aren't we all Ivy. Aren't we all.
FloydtheFathead
Member
Would the GOP even keep the house on the off chance they actually run a third party bid?
i think the goal of running a third party would to keep perceived turnout high enough to stave off bad down ticket losses.
Macho Madness
Member
Keeping the House and Senate might be the only reason they do it. At that point, they'd be conceding the presidency to do it.
QuiteWhittle
Member
Yes. The conservative vote might split at the top of the ticket but it won't be split downballot.
Ziltoidia 9
Member
Trump could easily just post a list for people to vote for when they vote in the GE and have those people beat the GOP independent option. Trumps crowd is so closed off and would just follow what he says.
BoboBrazil
Member
Trump just tweeted this
User 463088
Banned
I'm sorry but....
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA
Christie just wants to watch the whole damn world burn. This is just the best day of my life this election thus far.
Until tomorrow and Super Tuesday.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA
Christie just wants to watch the whole damn world burn. This is just the best day of my life this election thus far.
Until tomorrow and Super Tuesday.
I am dead. I am now typing from the afterlife.
Box of Kittens
Banned
This is what I don't get about polls-plus. What value is it supposed to add over polls-only once you get close to the election? The ideas behind the polls-plus model don't sound unreasonable for trying to make predictions when you're far enough out that polls aren't reliable (even if this cycle is calling those assumptions into question, that's just a danger you have to live with as a modeler, particularly when you don't have a lot of data to work with) but once you reach the point that the polls actually are meaningful, it's harder to see what value is added by looking at endorsements.
User 463088
Banned
Ziltoidia 9
Member
I also think hes pissed off at the GOP establishment for interacting with Obama when his state needed the help. Didn't rubio attack him for it? This is him getting revenge.
2nd place which is just as good as 1st, and a "You Tried" ribbon.
Don't die .
Don't worry, I wouldn't die before November
Veritigo_X
Member
Basileus777
Member
BoboBrazil
Member
User 463088
Banned
I mean, this whole thing is just a cluster fuck. I'm sorry, but the GOP has completely lost their collective shit. I have no idea how they deal with this, really. If they let Trump run and throw support behind thme, they get his bloated corpse around their necks. They force a 3rd party person through, they're fucked but maybe they can save a bit of their Congressional support? Hahahahahahaha. Sorry. ; cough :
Don't worry, I wouldn't die before November
I'ma hold you to that!
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