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[User 463088]

Breaking news:

My Berniebro is no longer a Berniebro. He decided to vote for Hillary. I converted one ya'll! His rationale was Bernie's withdraw from the south. He thought it was a bad look and reinforced the idea that Bernie's just not the best candidate.

Plus, I make a convincing argument.

 

[Makai]

Hey just told you want you wanted to hear

 

[Black Mamba]

Breaking news:

My Berniebro is no longer a Berniebro. He decided to vote for Hillary. I converted one ya'll! His rationale was Bernie's withdraw from the south. He thought it was a bad look and reinforced the idea that Bernie's just not the best candidate.

Plus, I make a convincing argument.

Is "convincing argument" what the young people call it these days???

 

[User 463088]

Hey just told you want you wanted to hear

How dare you think I'm that easy.

Who told you!?

 

[Paskil]

This is shaping up to be the best election of my lifetime.

 

[Plinko]

The ideal scenario would be a contested convention, I think. I'm still a little bit scared of Trump in the general. Not like, really really scared. Just that little bit of irrational terror. But having a contested convention really drive a wedge into the GOP would help put me at ease, I think.

I completely agree. A contested convention that picks Rubio? Just have Hillary's inauguration the next day at that point.

 

[johnsmith]

Huckabee's daughter is working for Trump as a senior advisor. Endorsement imminent.

 

[Bowdz]

Damnit, the more I hear, the more I'm thinking this debate is going to be to try to destroy Trump from every side. He's going to have to be on his game tonight.

Agreed. Donald just needs to make sure he doesn't have any Rubio moments that will blanket the news post debate. Stay level headed, counter punch hard, and attack like crazy when need be. Here's to hoping Trump is on point tonight.

 

[Kyosaiga]

I completely agree. A contested convention that picks Rubio? Just have Hillary's inauguration the next day at that point.

Or a contested convention that picks Jeb!

loooool

 

[User 463088]

Is "convincing argument" what the young people call it these days???

 

[User 406]

Christ, I go to get my teeth scraped and do some shopping and you bastards have a whole new thread and like a dozen pages for me to catch up on.

Someone's legitimately got to get the tiny hands meme into mainstream conversation. Not even kidding.

Look, I just think the American people deserve to know: If you take the oath of office on a pocket bible, are you really the President? I'm just asking questions!

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/rubio-moderate-conservative_us_56cf3f46e4b0871f60ea66cb?q0kymn29

Nice article about how Rubio isn't even close to a moderate.

We need one of these for Kasich already. >:|

Don't know what the country would do without you guys.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nHDj4DH4mJw

1968 here we come!

Cleveland better start preparing for riots.

I mean, I said I was planning to bike down to Public Square and beat everyone I saw to death with a lead pipe like two threads ago. We're prepared. ^_^

"These voters rate Trump as the least conservative and the least committed Christian of the three top candidates, and yet he still leads," said pollster Doug Usher, who led the survey. "He's turning everything we thought we knew about Republican primary voters on its head."

No, not everything you thought you knew, just everything you were willing to say out loud. I've said it before and I'll say it again: racism is at the very beating heart of our political divide. Trump is showing us how very little has changed since the Dixiecrats left the Democratic Party.


Now, my wife and I are gonna go lift for a bit, this thread better not be at 50 pages when I get back.

 

[Teggy]

Breaking news:

My Berniebro is no longer a Berniebro. He decided to vote for Hillary. I converted one ya'll! His rationale was Bernie's withdraw from the south. He thought it was a bad look and reinforced the idea that Bernie's just not the best candidate.

Plus, I make a convincing argument.

I know this is a big deal, but don't go compromising those Christian values.

 

[Macho Madness]

Damnit, the more I hear, the more I'm thinking this debate is going to be to try to destroy Trump from every side. He's going to have to be on his game tonight.

Well lucky for the Donald it won't work.

 

[PBY]

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/26/o...oters-those-transcripts.html?ref=opinion&_r=1

This transcript thing is gonna be a THING now huh?

NYT not backing down, and I guarantee you these transcripts are gonna suck for her.

 

[User 463088]

I know this is a big deal, but don't go compromising those Christian values.

Oh trust. I bern'd that bridge a while ago. He freaked out over that one poll that showed Bernie close in Ohio. So, ya. I mean, I ain't arguing the point. A vote's a vote, and I'll do what I have to do to secure it.

Energetically and willingly. No low energy here.

 

[gutter_trash]

Breaking news:

My Berniebro is no longer a Berniebro. He decided to vote for Hillary. I converted one ya'll! His rationale was Bernie's withdraw from the south. He thought it was a bad look and reinforced the idea that Bernie's just not the best candidate.

Plus, I make a convincing argument.

the optics of giving up on states south of the Mason-Dixon Line look bad.

On the Right, Trump is able to win in the North-East, the South and the South-West

Bernie has no excuse not being able to win outside his comfort zone

 

[Box of Kittens]

These types of models are so stupid. You can create models that say X will win just by cherry-picking inputs.

It's the same shit as people arguing "party fatigue" as if this is a real thing. It's not.

At the end of the day, these 5 things matter.

1. current state of economy

2. current state of foreign affairs

3. scandal and or incompetence

4. turnout

5. who the candidates are.

That's it.

My favorite was the Bickers-Berry model that predicted a Romney landslide in 2012. Even reading a brief description of how it worked was enough to tell me (or, frankly, anyone who's taken an intro stats course) that it was utter nonsense.

With the right knowledge, it's not that hard to build a statistical model. Building a good statistical model, however, is really hard, in no small part because it's always going to rest on assumptions that can't really be verified. This is a big part of why I've been so skeptical of 538's polls-plus model.

 

[Tarkus]

If it's Trump/Queen Hillary, can I count on you to vote for our queen

Come to the dark side, by which I mean the "Hillary in the general" side. We have free donuts and coffee on Wednesdays.

You guys are like my Mormon friends when I told them their religion was interesting!

What draws you to Rubio? Asking bc I generally just want to know

I'm a just a plain old cookie cutter Republican other than the issues I outlined above. If the issue is typical fare for repubs, then I probably agree. Look, it's like swimming among sharks here. Everyone is probably against me. I'd rather not discuss the minutiae of my viewpoints and why I support who I support. I'm here to have fun and be enlightened, not to argue.

Also, some of us will do anything to secure your vote.

And I do mean anything.

Heyyyyyyy

 

[PBY]

I'm a just a plain old cookie cutter Republican other than the issues I outlined above. If the issue is typical fare for repubs, then I probably agree. Look, it's like swimming among sharks here. Everyone is probably against me. I'd rather not discuss the minutiae of my viewpoints and why I support who I support. I'm here to have fun and be enlightened, not to argue.

Totally get it - wasn't trying to be combative/don't want you on the defensive. Just was actually trying to understand how the consolidation to Rubio might work/legitimately curious. Actually would prefer if more republicans posted here.

 

[Makai]

Come back to Trump, SourShoes. Be true to yourself.

 

[Orbis Tabula]

I completely agree. A contested convention that picks Rubio? Just have Hillary's inauguration the next day at that point.

Fingers crossed, then. Feels weird to spend the whole primary season hoping for Trump to crush Rubio, only to now start pulling for Rubio to win a few states.

 

[Cerium]

This is shaping up to be the best election of my lifetime.

Nothing will ever top 2008 for me.

It was a magical time. As a die hard Obama supporter, we lived what the Bernie bros only dream of experiencing.

Also our candidate wasn't a fraud.

 

[User 463088]

You guys are like my Mormon friends when I told them their religion was interesting!


I'm a just a plain old cookie cutter Republican other than the issues I outlined above. If the issue is typical fare for repubs, then I probably agree. Look, it's like swimming among sharks here. Everyone is probably against me. I'd rather not discuss the minutiae of my viewpoints and why I support who I support. I'm here to have fun and be enlightened, not to argue.

I'm not against you. As long as you're not working to suppress LGBT, women or minority rights, we're good. We might disagree on fiscal policy, but I firmly believe there is a place for fiscal conservatives. Extremes on either end are problematic.

 

[Tesseract]

cool image, kinda nurtures my soul tbh

 

[VendettaRed07]

Yup. How's the saying go? In the valley of the blind, the one eyed man is king?

He's been really good with handling the moderators too though.

In a republican crowd atleast. He's been really great at deflecting questions about things he's said or done that would have sunk another candidate.

I don't know if he'll be able to do the same in general debates though

 

[ivysaur12]

cool image, kinda nurtures my soul tbh

People hated her for this!

 

[Jarmel]

cool image, kinda nurtures my soul tbh

Great cover. I want one with Donald as the devil.

 

[Tesseract]

People hated her for this!

:0

 

[Teggy]

Bernie 45-44 in Ohio, time to diablos again.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/baldwin-wallace-university-23879

Don't know anything about Baldwin Wallace University

 

[Makai]

Joan of Arkansas

 

[CCS]

Breaking news:

My Berniebro is no longer a Berniebro. He decided to vote for Hillary. I converted one ya'll! His rationale was Bernie's withdraw from the south. He thought it was a bad look and reinforced the idea that Bernie's just not the best candidate.

Plus, I make a convincing argument.

Oh Adam, I can only imagine how convincing your argument must be

In all seriousness, nicely done!!

 

[User 463088]

Bernie on my local news. They asked him a question about turning out college kids, and the first word out of his mouth was "Wall Street." I shit you not.

 

[RustyNails]

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/26/o...oters-those-transcripts.html?ref=opinion&_r=1

This transcript thing is gonna be a THING now huh?

NYT not backing down, and I guarantee you these transcripts are gonna suck for her.

She should just release them and get it over with. These things dont go away. This is what David Brock was talking about when he said these questions are giving ammo to GOP. Trump or Rubio can run with the transcripts line because unlike her, they dont have problems admitting they were on their knees in Wall St. Do a big dump on friday evening and forget about it, and prepare for any line of questioning during the debates.

 

[Fenderputty]

I'm a just a plain old cookie cutter Republican other than the issues I outlined above. If the issue is typical fare for repubs, then I probably agree. Look, it's like swimming among sharks here. Everyone is probably against me. I'd rather not discuss the minutiae of my viewpoints and why I support who I support. I'm here to have fun and be enlightened, not to argue.

What happens when this thing is over an all we have are the minutiae of policy to discuss?

 

[shinra-bansho]

Lol.

Those absentee ballot numbers seem impressive. How does it compare to the past numbers if there are any?

 

[User 463088]

Bernie 45-44 in Ohio, time to diablos again.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/baldwin-wallace-university-23879

Don't know anything about Baldwin Wallace University

It's an online poll, although it's not an opt-in poll. They're likely voter screen is pretty weak. From the same time frame, Quinnipiac had a poll with Hillary up 15. This one just looks like an outlier. I don't see Bernie doing exceptionally well here.

 

[RustyNails]

Lol.


Those absentee ballot numbers seem impressive. How does it compare to the past numbers if there are any?

Lookie guys, another Trump Shame Avatar

 

[PopcornMegaphone]

time to diablos again.

What does this mean?

 

[Cerium]

I'm thinking of changing my avatar but it'll need to be something good. I'm waiting for inspiration.

What does this mean?

You know. Diablosing.

 

[CCS]

Bernie on my local news. They asked him a question about turning out college kids, and the first word out of his mouth was "Wall Street." I shit you not.

#justberniethings

Lol.


Those absentee ballot numbers seem impressive. How does it compare to the past numbers if there are any?

The Economist do some great covers.

Also, my internet is back, Debate Party back to happening

 

[B-Dubs]

cool image, kinda nurtures my soul tbh

She got fucking destroyed over this one. There was a buzzfeed article, that was actually journalism, a month ago about how her staff is still feeling the damage from that whole fiasco.

 

[Tarkus]

What happens when this thing is over an all we have are the minutiae of policy to discuss?

We talk about news and issues. I post about them in a subtle, but targeted direction. No chest pounding.

But seriously, most posts of mine will probably be jokes or tesseract-style stuff. Love that guy. Top 5 greatest GAFfers ever.

 

[Veritigo_X]

Bernie 45-44 in Ohio, time to diablos again.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/baldwin-wallace-university-23879

Don't know anything about Baldwin Wallace University

Skipping the south and focusing on Ohio has paid off!

 

[Cerium]

If all goes well on Super Tuesday I think I'll break a thousand in profits on PredictIt for the first time.

 

[superdeluxe]

Wesley Clark stumping for Clinton in Oklahoma:

Wes Clark
@GeneralClark

Looking forward to hitting the campaign trail in Oklahoma for @HillaryClinton #ImWithHer

 

[Box of Kittens]

Skipping the south and focusing on Ohio has paid off!

You can't make up for getting eviscerated in the South with ties in Wisconsin. Ties in Ohio on the other hand...

 

[Kyosaiga]

I think Hillary Derangement Syndrome is starting to approach Obama levels.

Bernie created a monster and now he can't control it.

 

[User 85168]

For those who might have missed it, from the Florida poll thread in OT

 

[superdeluxe]

Will be interesting to see what happens to the polls after Super Tuesday.

 

[Holmes]

From Bloomberg's polling of SEC Primary states:

Trump is bigger than god.



Also of interest:
Even 40% of Republicans in the South think there should be hearings! GJ McConnell.

The south is literally the only region of the country I can see the Pope not being that popular. The south and the mountain west (because of UT/ID/WY) but even then, NV, CO, NM and AZ probably pt him above water.