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PoliGAF 2016 |OT4| Tyler New Chief Exit Pollster at CNN

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Maengun1

Member
My prediction for this was 57-43 Hill. I think the CNN exit poll will end up wrong, but it's not THAT big of a difference. LOL at the freakouts.

Get rekt Ted.
 

Iolo

Member
538 predicting 53-47 Hillary based on latest exits, without guaranteeing a Hillary win!

I don't think Hillary's campaign was downplaying expectations...
 

pigeon

Banned
Atlantic suggested that they had an ABC exit poll which was basically:

* Self described independents 66-33 for Sanders
* All others 66-33 for Hillary
* Self described independents 20% of the electorate

Obviously this poll would not match up well at all with CNN's poll.
 
Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn 1m1 minute ago Washington, DC
Clinton so far is ahead 60-40 in majority white precincts of New York City. This does not look like a good night for Sanders.
 
The good Nate says she's currently winning modestly in places where Zephyr Teachout did well. Ie with white liberals.

So where were they exit polling...

Has he somehow won the minority vote?

Bizarre.
 
Benchmark Politics @benchmarkpol Making a race call: Clinton will win the 2016 New York Democratic Primary. Margin call at 30%. Clinton overperforming benchmarks EVERYWHERE.
 
Atlantic suggested that they had an ABC exit poll which was basically:

* Self described independents 66-33 for Sanders
* All others 66-33 for Hillary
* Self described independents 20% of the electorate

Obviously this poll would not match up well at all with CNN's poll.
Wait. Why are they polling independents? They cant vote!

If this is the reason why the exit polls are wrong.

Lol they probably interviewed people who did that voting provisional because I'm and independent
 
CNN's exit poll:

giphy.gif
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
Wait. Why are they polling independents? They cant vote!

If this is the reason why the exit polls are wrong.

Lol they probably interviewed people who did that voting provisional because I'm and independent

You can register as a Dem and still identify as an Independent.
 

teiresias

Member
Guys, I'm with Kev, I'm puking all over the place, but it's mainly because I just heard a fleeting bit of Wolf Blitzer talking and it made me physically ill.
 
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