Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 17h17 hours ago
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
All considered, I don't know what to make of it. Clearly, Dems still have the enthusiasm edge. But higher turnout (arguably) cuts both ways
Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 17h17 hours ago
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
For instance, the ev in the general election--when Trump won by just 1.5--was D 26, R 46. Compared to that, rnd 2 looks quite good for Dems
Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 17h17 hours ago
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
Over all, early voters are D 35, R 43 by primary vt history. On it's face, more GOP than rnd 1. OTOH, this is clearly a very different ev
Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 17h17 hours ago
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
All of this makes it real tough to figure out how to "interpret" the early vote. I don't know whether it is "good" or "bad" for R or D.
Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 17h17 hours ago
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
So far, most of the voting is coming from reliable midterm voters, so it doesn't necessarily presage huge increases in turnout
Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 17h17 hours ago
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
It would *really* amaze me if this kept up. If it falls off, a sign of how many voters are ready to end this race. Either way: eye-popping
Nate Cohn‏Verified account @Nate_Cohn 18h18 hours ago
Huge early vote in GA-6. Astonishingly, it's slightly ahead of the general election so far. Nearly 25k votes already cast.