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[Clevinger]

it's a shame that hurricane is going to cancel out these nice polls

 

[jamesinclair]

Personally handed my ballot to the mailman

+1 for Stein in Ohio

 

[HylianTom]

Just FYI: WI+IA+NV+VA = 272, so we might not have to wait for that Ohio recount after all.

I think the phrase "This race is OHVA!" would be fun to shout on Election Night.

 

[speculawyer]

Life in NC continues to be rad as my girlfriends family attempted to make us watch 2016. I refused because it is a crappy propaganda film and now they are talking about how the devil is inside me and I need prayer.

you want universal healthcare. How come that can't be jesus in you?

 

[Black Mamba]

But what if Romney wins California?

But what if I'm really Angelina Jolie masturbating to your posts?

Spoiler

it's true, I am

President Obama is clinging to a slender, four-point lead over Republican Mitt Romney in Virginia, as both sides ramp up already aggressive campaigns in the crucial battleground state, according to a new Washington Post poll.

This fucking media! MoE of 3.5. He's like 87% to win in this poll! BOOOO. "slender" lead.

Anything under 8 is small to these people.

 

[The Technomancer]

In what reality is a 4 point lead slim?

 

[Cloudy]

I love the wording in the WaPo poll. Obama at 51-47 is "clinging" (2 consecutive months over 50 in a state Romney MUST win) yet Romney at 50-47 once in their national poll is cause for blaring headlines

 

[Clevinger]

Personally handed my ballot to the mailman

+1 for Stein in Ohio

I can't wait to see the great things Stein does when she wins the presidency. I'm so excited.

 

[jamesinclair]

I can't wait to see the great things Stein does when she wins the presidency. I'm so excited.

She probably won't direct drones to bomb civilians or keep the prison camps open for one

 

[Slime]

Dayum. If Obama maintains/expands a VA lead from now until election day, I won't need to panic again.

 

[Clevinger]

She probably won't direct drones to bomb civilians or keep the prison camps open for one

Yeah. I can't wait. It's going to be so awesome when she wins and gets the power to actually do those things.

 

[bananas]

Dayum. If Obama maintains/expands a VA lead from now until election day, I won't need to panic until 2014.

Fixed that for you.

 

[HylianTom]

Wow. Apparently, Obama's voters are more likely to say they're "very excited" - 70%, compared to 56% for Romney's voters.

Interesting. Indeed. I wonder how things would look with Goode included..

 

[SmokeMaxX]

But what if I'm really Angelina Jolie masturbating to your posts?

Spoiler

it's true, I am

I knew you couldn't resist me Angelina

 

[Plinko]

OH YEAH

*Bursts through brick wall like Kool-Aid Man*

 

[786110]

In what reality is a 4 point lead slim?

?

 

[RDreamer]

If Virginia and Colorado hit ~65% for Obama on 538 before election, then I'm really really not going to be worried.

 

[Snake]

Lord have mercy @ that double dose of hopium from VA these last couple of days.

 

[pigeon]

Personally handed my ballot to the mailman

+1 for Stein in Ohio

I'm telling you, trolling licenses. This stuff is dangerous in the hands of amateurs.

 

[Black Mamba]

with a tie from Gravis and +4 from WaPo, 538 should increase Obama's Va lead and percentages to win.

Daily trackers basically unchanged so far.

Only thing is the Ras NC poll. But that's the same as before. Same with the other NC poll so that might not change at all or just slightly (since newer polls).

Hopefully he crosses 75% to win today.

Also:

Yahoo! News ‏@YahooNews
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio's eldest daughter was airlifted to a Miami hospital after being in a car accident: http://yhoo.it/SitNRL

 

[Y2Kev]

I just want the election called before 1AM so I can get up at 5:30 and go to work.

 

[RDreamer]

I just want the election called before 1AM so I can get up at 5:30 and go to work.

Same.

I need to be well rested for the smug I'm going to have to pull off that day.

 

[Cloudy]

Biggest paper in Iowa endorses Romney after hurting Obama with the "off the record" flap

http://ow.ly/eOWV9

 

[Clevinger]

I'm telling you, trolling licenses. This stuff is dangerous in the hands of amateurs.

He's serious about voting Stein. But I thought he was in California.

 

[Cheebo]

Biggest paper in Iowa endorses Romney after hurting Obama with the "off the record" flap

http://ow.ly/eOWV9

First time they picked a republican in 40 years.

People usually mock paper endorsements, and they are right to do so. The Register is one of the few where this is not the case. They got a lot of sway in Iowa. Their endorsement of Obama in the 2008 primaries was huge remember.

 

[Kusagari]

I just noticed that Sun Sentinel, the biggest paper in Broward County, backed Romney because he's a "businessman" and can fix the economy. This is in spite of the rest of the endorsement talking about the various problems Romney's presidency can bring since the paper considers itself socially liberal. Then they backed pretty much straight democrat everywhere else.

Lol. Thankfully we're the most pro democrat county in Florida to begin with. Won't mean anything.

 

[The Librarian]

First time they picked a republican in 40 years

Worried yet?

Edit: God dammit I posted that before you brought the worry. I won't be so fast next time.

 

[Clevinger]

First time they picked a republican in 40 years.

People usually mock paper endorsements, and they are right to do so. The Register is one of the few where this is not the case. They got a lot of sway in Iowa. Their endorsement of Obama in the 2008 primaries was huge remember.

Captain Bummer is on duty, I see.

 

[Y2Kev]

Iowa has like the best unemployment rate in the country. What's their problem?

 

[-PXG-]

NYT endorsement was perfect. Succinct and right to the point.

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

She probably won't direct drones to bomb civilians or keep the prison camps open for one

No doubt she will do just that starting in Jan. Good job man. That vote surely will help push our country forward.

 

[Officerrob]

Wow, wasn't expecting that

 

[jamesinclair]

He's serious about voting Stein. But I thought he was in California.

I did indeed vote Stein, but my "vote early, vote often" motto doesn't work for Ohio as I've never been there

 

[el retorno]

First time they picked a republican in 40 years.

People usually mock paper endorsements, and they are right to do so. The Register is one of the few where this is not the case. They got a lot of sway in Iowa. Their endorsement of Obama in the 2008 primaries was huge remember.

so bad news?

 

[cDNA]

First time they picked a republican in 40 years.

People usually mock paper endorsements, and they are right to do so. The Register is one of the few where this is not the case. They got a lot of sway in Iowa. Their endorsement of Obama in the 2008 primaries was huge remember.

Hmm, I am pretty sure they endorsed Hillary Clinton in 2008. I am surprised they endorsed Romney after lying during his interview about his position related to abortion.

 

[Mgoblue201]

Wow. Their whole justification is that Romney has economic fairy dust that will cause the economy to go up as soon as he's elected, and that no, really, he was only pretending to be right-wing and once he's in office it'll all be cool.

Awful.



Thatsthetroll

The failure to articulate an actual economic vision, and instead appeal to the confidence fairy as the path toward growth, is truly pathetic when so much is on the line this election.

 

[Jackson50]

First time they picked a republican in 40 years.

People usually mock paper endorsements, and they are right to do so. The Register is one of the few where this is not the case. They got a lot of sway in Iowa. Their endorsement of Obama in the 2008 primaries was huge remember.

This is the greatest untold story of the past few weeks. Romney's picking up key newspaper endorsements in the swing states. This is genuinely bad news.

This plus an overtime win for my Spartans have been nice bonuses to an already good birthday.

Damn straight. And happy birthday.

Life in NC continues to be rad as my girlfriends family attempted to make us watch 2016. I refused because it is a crappy propaganda film and now they are talking about how the devil is inside me and I need prayer.

Why did I move here? I can't wait for that Obama victory.

My family normally refrains from discussing politics with me as I promptly dispatch whatever prattle they've acquired from FNC that day. However, they always become aggressive around an election. And they've been haranguing me about that damn movie for a week.

 

[speculawyer]

I really really don't understand this. At this point I think he could go on TV and spend an hour insulting her and calling her every derogatory negative you could think of to insult a woman in general and that number wouldn't change. I really don't understand republican women. From saying they don't have a right to control what happens to their own bodies (I hope republicans were all about personal freedom and small government) to openly admitting it's okay to pay a woman less for the same work as a man. Many (of all age groups it seems) still seem okay with voting for the man saying all this crap.

A fair number of people think abortion = murder. If you buy into that 100% then who else can you vote for besides mitt? I think that drives about 37% of the vote.

 

[Hitokage]

This fucking media! MoE of 3.5. He's like 87% to win in this poll! BOOOO. "slender" lead.

Anything under 8 is small to these people.

Well, to take a step back here, a more fundamental problem is that we're awash in polls but few are really sampling that well. MoE is plus or minus for the individual given figures in the poll, so it's like they're providing themselves with polls that don't easily show significant differences. It's pretty much the definition of quantity over quality, all in the service of 24hour horse race reporting.

 

[Cloudy]

What happened to the WaPo tracking poll today?

 

[Y2Kev]

First time they picked a republican in 40 years.

People usually mock paper endorsements, and they are right to do so. The Register is one of the few where this is not the case. They got a lot of sway in Iowa. Their endorsement of Obama in the 2008 primaries was huge remember.

Cheebs, please correct me if I misspeak here:

1) The Des Moines Register picked Hillary Clinton in the caucus. Second source is available here.

2) On what grounds are you saying that the Register has sway in Iowa?

3)

 

[Cloudy]

That DMR endorsement is pretty galling when you think about it. Romney may be a liar and a fraud but he just did it to win the nomination? No mention of the wind energy tax credits that he wants to gut?

 

[PhoenixDark]

First time they picked a republican in 40 years.

People usually mock paper endorsements, and they are right to do so. The Register is one of the few where this is not the case. They got a lot of sway in Iowa. Their endorsement of Obama in the 2008 primaries was huge remember.

Actually the DMR endorsed Hillary Clinton

Obama fucked up by asking for an off the record interview

 

[Y2Kev]

This is the greatest untold story of the past few weeks. Romney's picking up key newspaper endorsements in the swing states. This is genuinely bad news. Damn straight. And happy birthday.My family normally refrains from discussing politics with me as I promptly dispatch whatever prattle they've acquired from FNC that day. However, they always become aggressive around an election. And they've been haranguing me about that damn movie for a week.

http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/2012_newspaper_endorsements.php Here's a full list, if anyone is curious.

 

[Hobbestetrician]

Damn straight. And happy birthday.

Thank you, sir.

 

[Jackson50]

Actually the DMR endorsed Hillary Clinton

Obama fucked up by asking for an off the record interview

Yeah. Yet another unforced error. How bad do you think this hurts him?

 

[Slime]

http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/2012_newspaper_endorsements.php Here's a full list, if anyone is curious.

So aside from this one and a couple in FL, the only papers who endorsed Obama in 2008 but went with Romney this time were in states that don't matter (CA, TX, and TN). Meh.

 

[PhoenixDark]

Obama's arrogance probably cost him the DMR endorsement. They seem to be quite a liberal paper, it's the only explanation. If Romney had demanding off the record editor discussions with papers, you guys would be laughing at him.

Oh well, he better hope his early voting lead is solid enough to stem the landslide most polls show will go Romney's way on election day in Iowa

 

[Officerrob]

http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/2012_newspaper_endorsements.php Here's a full list, if anyone is curious.

So the only ones that went from Obama last time to Romney are:

Houston Chronicle
Star-Telegram (Fort Worth, TX)
Orlando Sentinel
Sun-Sentinel (Ft. Lauderdale, FL)
The Tennessean
Daily News (Los Angeles, CA)
Press-Telegram (Los Angeles County, CA)
and now the Des Moines Register.

Eight changes, five of which are in states where there is already a clear winner

 

[Puddles]

I think it's important to note that if Obama wins Virginia, he won't be fucked if Sandy flips PA. He can even lose PA and CO in that scenario, provided he keeps Ohio.